Jaylen PalmerSS
Knoxville Smokies
Age 26
R/R
6'3" / 208 lbs
AA
BB +5%HR -4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
wRC+†42
AVG/OBP/SLG.164 / .243 / .275
PA250
HR6
SB9
K%47
BB%8
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
35→35
PWR
35→35
SPD
60→60
EYE
49↗55
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.5peak
2028
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $-9M | $-29M | -$20M | ||
Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$20M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$20M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | GCL Mets | 100 | 90 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 39 | 4 | 5 | 2 | .222 | .293 | .311 | .604 | .089 | .380 | 39 | 5 | .244 | 45 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +3 | -0.2 |
| 2021 | 21 | A | 2 teams | 460 | 410 | 75 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 43 | 203 | 4 | 30 | 6 | .183 | .267 | .273 | .540 | .090 | .341 | 44 | 9 | .245 | 45 | -28 | +4 | +0 | +5 | +13 | -0.7 |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Brooklyn Cyclones | 377 | 336 | 42 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 194 | 12 | 22 | 3 | .125 | .220 | .220 | .440 | .095 | .259 | 51 | 8 | .205 | 15 | -36 | +3 | +0 | +4 | +11 | -1.9 |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | 3 teams | 464 | 409 | 52 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 41 | 234 | 8 | 30 | 8 | .127 | .221 | .220 | .441 | .093 | .247 | 50 | 9 | .206 | 15 | -44 | +3 | +0 | +5 | +13 | -2.4 |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | 2 teams | 325 | 297 | 54 | 18 | 0 | 12 | 24 | 159 | 4 | 12 | 4 | .182 | .252 | .364 | .616 | .182 | .333 | 49 | 7 | .262 | 59 | -15 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +9 | -0.2 |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Knoxville Smokies | 437 | 392 | 73 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 37 | 200 | 6 | 25 | 9 | .186 | .267 | .260 | .527 | .074 | .353 | 46 | 8 | .242 | 43 | -28 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +12 | -1.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | CHC | 250 | 224 | 37 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 117 | 3 | 9 | 3 | .165 | .246 | .277 | .523 | .112 | .304 | 47 | 8 | .240 | 42 | -16 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +7 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB 11% | CHC | 336 | 301 | 53 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 150 | 4 | 12 | 4 | .176 | .255 | .296 | .551 | .120 | .303 | 45 | 8 | .248 | 48 | -20 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +10 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB 22% | CHC | 364 | 326 | 59 | 11 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 157 | 4 | 12 | 4 | .181 | .260 | .304 | .564 | .123 | .301 | 43 | 9 | .253 | 52 | -20 | +1 | -1 | +4 | +10 | -0.6 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB 34% | CHC | 373 | 334 | 60 | 11 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 158 | 4 | 12 | 4 | .180 | .259 | .299 | .559 | .120 | .300 | 42 | 9 | .254 | 53 | -20 | +1 | -1 | +4 | +11 | -0.6 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB 44% | CHC | 378 | 339 | 61 | 11 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 160 | 4 | 11 | 3 | .180 | .259 | .298 | .557 | .118 | .298 | 42 | 8 | .253 | 52 | -21 | +1 | -2 | +4 | +11 | -0.7 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB 58% | CHC | 369 | 331 | 58 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 157 | 4 | 9 | 3 | .175 | .254 | .287 | .541 | .112 | .296 | 43 | 8 | .249 | 49 | -21 | +1 | -3 | +4 | +10 | -0.9 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB 76% | CHC | 354 | 317 | 55 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 153 | 4 | 7 | 2 | .174 | .254 | .287 | .541 | .114 | .294 | 43 | 8 | .245 | 45 | -22 | +1 | -4 | +4 | +10 | -1.1 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB 93% | CHC | 326 | 291 | 49 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 143 | 4 | 6 | 1 | .168 | .251 | .271 | .522 | .103 | .292 | 44 | 9 | .239 | 41 | -22 | +1 | -4 | +3 | +9 | -1.3 |
| 2034 | 34 | MLB | CHC | 284 | 255 | 42 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 127 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .165 | .245 | .267 | .511 | .102 | .290 | 45 | 8 | .233 | 36 | -20 | +0 | -5 | +3 | +8 | -1.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 5197 | 4652 | 790 | 148 | 12 | 112 | 436 | 2351 | 72 | 206 | 57 | .170 | .252 | .279 | .531 | .109 | .306 | 45 | 8 | .240 | 42 | -340 | +18 | -20 | +56 | +147 | -14.1 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 582 | 100 | 19 | 2 | 14 | 55 | 294 | 9 | 26 | 7 | .172 | .254 | .284 | .537 | .112 | .310 | 45 | 8 | .240 | 42 | -43 | +2 | -2 | +7 | +18 | -1.8 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | GCL Mets | 100 | 87 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 4 | 5 | 2 | .310 | .394 | .414 | .808 | .103 | .441 | 27 | 8 | .364 | 136 | +4 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 0.7 |
| 2021 | 21 | A+ | Brooklyn Cyclones | 169 | 143 | 27 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 65 | 1 | 7 | 1 | .189 | .314 | .336 | .649 | .147 | .311 | 38 | 15 | .300 | 87 | -2 | +1 | — | — | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2021 | 21 | A | St. Lucie Mets | 291 | 246 | 68 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 39 | 81 | 3 | 23 | 5 | .276 | .382 | .386 | .768 | .110 | .398 | 28 | 13 | .347 | 124 | +8 | +3 | — | — | +8 | 1.9 |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Brooklyn Cyclones | 377 | 315 | 58 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 50 | 147 | 12 | 22 | 3 | .184 | .318 | .324 | .642 | .140 | .308 | 39 | 13 | .300 | 88 | -5 | +3 | — | — | +11 | 0.9 |
| 2023 | 23 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | 80 | 64 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 29 | 1 | 3 | 1 | .250 | .385 | .594 | .978 | .344 | .333 | 36 | 16 | .411 | 172 | +7 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 0.9 |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | 146 | 126 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 62 | 3 | 8 | 1 | .143 | .260 | .222 | .482 | .079 | .246 | 42 | 12 | .235 | 38 | -10 | +1 | — | — | +4 | -0.5 |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Brooklyn Cyclones | 238 | 198 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 32 | 92 | 4 | 19 | 6 | .167 | .295 | .268 | .563 | .101 | .274 | 39 | 13 | .264 | 60 | -11 | +1 | — | — | +7 | -0.3 |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | 310 | 273 | 61 | 22 | 0 | 12 | 33 | 119 | 4 | 10 | 4 | .223 | .316 | .436 | .752 | .212 | .345 | 38 | 11 | .334 | 114 | +5 | +0 | — | — | +9 | 1.4 |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Brooklyn Cyclones | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .071 | .133 | .071 | .205 | .000 | .250 | 67 | 7 | .107 | -60 | -3 | +0 | — | — | +0 | -0.2 |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Knoxville Smokies | 437 | 376 | 90 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 53 | 153 | 6 | 25 | 9 | .239 | .343 | .332 | .675 | .093 | .378 | 35 | 12 | .312 | 97 | -1 | +1 | — | — | +12 | 1.3 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Jaylen Palmer (OGILVIE) | 26 | 35 | 35 | 60 | 55 | .164/.243/.275 | .110 | .304 | 6 | 9 | 47% | 8% | 42 | -1.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Connor Kopach 2021 · AAA |
26 | 39→33 | 44→45 | 54→55 | 37 | .193/.254/.311 | .118 | .297 | 12 | 18 | 37% | 6% | 54 | -1.4 | .184/.251/.289 | .105 | .364 | 11 | 16 | 48% | 7% | 47 | -1.9 | .105/.185/.185 | .080 | .240 | 12 | 21 | 58% | 8% | -9 | -1.7 |
|
✕Logan Warmoth 2022 · AAA |
26 | 42→39 | 40→45 | 52→55 | 40 | .191/.272/.285 | .093 | .320 | 8 | 17 | 39% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .199/.277/.305 | .106 | .301 | 10 | 21 | 35% | 8% | 63 | -0.9 | .186/.268/.279 | .093 | .271 | 9 | 24 | 32% | 9% | 50 | -1.0 |
|
✕Max Burt 2023 · AAA |
26 | 39 | 46→45 | 54→55 | 36 | .202/.252/.327 | .125 | .285 | 14 | 17 | 34% | 5% | 57 | -1.2 | .190/.247/.303 | .113 | .282 | 13 | 22 | 36% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .172/.233/.265 | .093 | .260 | 10 | 26 | 36% | 6% | 31 | -1.4 |
|
✕Jason Martinson 2015 · AA |
26 | 39→41 | 45→50 | 56→50 | 38 | .196/.256/.311 | .115 | .296 | 13 | 16 | 37% | 7% | 55 | -1.4 | .187/.244/.302 | .115 | .301 | 12 | 11 | 40% | 6% | 47 | -1.9 | .168/.226/.281 | .113 | .280 | 13 | 8 | 43% | 6% | 31 | -2.1 |
|
✕Will Holland 2023 · AA |
25 | 38→35 | 44→45 | 56→60 | 40 | .182/.266/.298 | .116 | .308 | 12 | 23 | 41% | 8% | 57 | -1.2 | .188/.270/.297 | .109 | .289 | 10 | 29 | 36% | 8% | 58 | -1.2 | .175/.260/.280 | .105 | .257 | 10 | 34 | 34% | 8% | 47 | -0.8 |
|
✕Bryan Arias 2023 · AA |
26 | 38 | 43→45 | 51→50 | 40 | .188/.263/.297 | .108 | .296 | 12 | 13 | 38% | 8% | 55 | -1.4 | .201/.277/.307 | .106 | .299 | 10 | 14 | 34% | 8% | 63 | -0.9 | .196/.298/.302 | .106 | .259 | 11 | 24 | 26% | 10% | 67 | -0.1 |
|
✕Stephen Wrenn 2021 · AA |
26 | 41→43 | 42→45 | 59→60 | 39 | .200/.260/.310 | .111 | .293 | 9 | 26 | 34% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .207/.268/.324 | .117 | .323 | 12 | 22 | 37% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .189/.251/.296 | .108 | .301 | 12 | 29 | 39% | 5% | 47 | -1.1 |
|
✕Tanner English 2019 · AAA |
26 | 35→45 | 42→45 | 57→55 | 35 | .172/.235/.278 | .107 | .299 | 8 | 23 | 43% | 6% | 37 | -2.6 | .182/.237/.281 | .099 | .308 | 9 | 18 | 41% | 5% | 38 | -2.6 | .127/.182/.193 | .066 | .223 | 9 | 22 | 45% | 4% | -10 | -1.6 |
|
✕Ryan Metzler 2019 · AAA |
26 | 40 | 40 | 50 | 38 | .193/.248/.281 | .088 | .293 | 8 | 15 | 36% | 6% | 43 | -2.2 | .204/.258/.297 | .093 | .310 | 9 | 12 | 35% | 6% | 51 | -1.7 | .145/.202/.182 | .037 | .248 | 4 | 8 | 41% | 6% | -4 | -1.0 |
|
✕Jordan Brewer 2023 · AA |
25 | 42 | 43→45 | 55 | 40 | .199/.276/.305 | .105 | .313 | 10 | 19 | 37% | 7% | 62 | -0.9 | .199/.267/.312 | .113 | .279 | 11 | 16 | 31% | 7% | 60 | -1.0 | .189/.257/.301 | .112 | .252 | 11 | 16 | 28% | 7% | 50 | -0.9 |
|
✕Justin Dean 2023 · AAA |
26 | 43→47 | 42→45 | 58→65 | 38 | .201/.273/.305 | .104 | .324 | 9 | 26 | 38% | 7% | 61 | -1.0 | .204/.283/.299 | .095 | .323 | 9 | 38 | 36% | 9% | 63 | -0.8 | .208/.288/.296 | .088 | .322 | 8 | 47 | 35% | 9% | 62 | -0.6 |
|
✕Ray-Patrick Didder 2021 · AA |
26 | 40→46 | 39→45 | 55→60 | 40 | .184/.267/.265 | .081 | .302 | 6 | 24 | 38% | 8% | 49 | -1.8 | .202/.278/.309 | .107 | .292 | 10 | 23 | 32% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .195/.280/.308 | .112 | .279 | 12 | 28 | 32% | 8% | 62 | -0.6 |
|
✕Michael O'Neill 2018 · AA |
26 | 41→40 | 43→45 | 52→55 | 36 | .205/.252/.312 | .108 | .296 | 10 | 18 | 34% | 5% | 53 | -1.5 | .211/.261/.312 | .101 | .314 | 10 | 21 | 34% | 5% | 56 | -1.3 | .207/.257/.292 | .085 | .310 | 9 | 23 | 35% | 5% | 46 | -1.5 |
|
✕Josh Stowers 2023 · AA |
26 | 36→41 | 50 | 55 | 40 | .190/.262/.338 | .149 | .273 | 18 | 22 | 36% | 8% | 65 | -0.7 | .182/.248/.310 | .128 | .265 | 14 | 18 | 35% | 7% | 52 | -1.6 | .138/.201/.251 | .113 | .193 | 13 | 18 | 35% | 6% | 14 | -2.3 |
|
✕Simon Whiteman 2023 · AA |
26 | 40→44 | 37→30 | 58→55 | 42 | .182/.263/.250 | .067 | .302 | 4 | 26 | 38% | 9% | 42 | -2.3 | .195/.265/.272 | .077 | .291 | 6 | 20 | 32% | 8% | 48 | -1.9 | .190/.256/.259 | .069 | .262 | 5 | 20 | 28% | 8% | 38 | -1.0 |
|
✕Logan Landon 2019 · AA |
26 | 42→44 | 45 | 53→50 | 39 | .209/.258/.326 | .116 | .290 | 13 | 18 | 32% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .196/.247/.302 | .106 | .284 | 12 | 12 | 34% | 6% | 48 | -1.9 | .166/.222/.255 | .090 | .241 | 11 | 5 | 35% | 6% | 22 | -1.5 |
|
✕Gift Ngoepe 2015 · AA |
25 | 41→42 | 41→45 | 51→50 | 40 | .197/.261/.298 | .101 | .308 | 8 | 15 | 37% | 8% | 53 | -1.5 | .207/.263/.313 | .106 | .319 | 9 | 9 | 35% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .199/.256/.303 | .104 | .307 | 8 | 5 | 36% | 6% | 49 | -1.1 |
|
✕Connor Kaiser 2023 · AA |
26 | 38 | 48→45 | 51→50 | 42 | .198/.263/.333 | .135 | .282 | 16 | 12 | 35% | 8% | 63 | -0.8 | .187/.269/.297 | .110 | .295 | 11 | 14 | 37% | 9% | 57 | -1.2 | .172/.261/.270 | .098 | .275 | 9 | 12 | 38% | 10% | 44 | -1.2 |
|
✕Alex McKenna 2023 · AAA |
25 | 42→38 | 43→40 | 50 | 39 | .193/.269/.303 | .110 | .330 | 11 | 14 | 42% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .200/.274/.306 | .106 | .335 | 10 | 11 | 40% | 8% | 61 | -1.0 | .167/.251/.258 | .090 | .289 | 10 | 3 | 42% | 9% | 36 | -0.8 |
|
✕Cody Bohanek 2022 · AAA |
27 | 37→36 | 43→40 | 48→50 | 40 | .177/.276/.289 | .112 | .295 | 10 | 15 | 40% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .186/.277/.284 | .098 | .306 | 8 | 15 | 38% | 8% | 58 | -1.2 | .151/.251/.216 | .064 | .271 | 3 | 16 | 40% | 8% | 27 | -1.6 |