Jaylen Palmer — OGILVIE

Jaylen PalmerSS Binghamton Rumble Ponies

Age 26 R/R 6'3" / 208 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION135 act + 115 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†47

AVG/OBP/SLG.157 / .246 / .255

PA115

HR2

SB5

K%44

BB%9

BABIP280

ISO98

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	18	ROK	GCL Mets	—	100	90	20	3	1	1	5	39	4	5	2	222	293	311	604	89	380	39	5	244	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK	GCL Mets	—	100	87	27	4	1	1	8	27	4	5	2	310	394	414	808	103	441	27	8	364	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A	2 teams	—	460	411	76	15	4	5	42	205	4	30	6	185	267	277	544	92	348	45	9	244	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A	2 teams	—	460	389	95	18	6	6	64	146	4	30	6	244	357	368	724	123	371	32	14	330	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	377	333	41	8	1	7	32	199	12	22	3	123	225	216	442	93	268	53	8	205	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	377	315	58	13	2	9	50	147	12	22	3	184	318	324	642	140	308	39	13	300	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+	3 teams	—	464	407	54	8	1	10	43	236	8	30	8	133	229	231	460	98	265	51	9	209	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+	3 teams	—	464	388	67	11	1	13	62	183	8	30	8	173	299	307	606	134	274	39	13	280	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	2 teams	—	325	297	59	20	0	15	24	154	4	12	4	199	268	418	685	219	344	47	7	294	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	2 teams	—	325	287	62	22	0	12	34	129	4	12	4	216	308	418	726	202	342	40	10	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA	Knoxville Smokies	—	437	391	77	8	1	8	38	200	6	25	9	197	278	284	562	87	373	46	9	251	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA	Knoxville Smokies	—	437	376	90	9	1	8	53	153	6	25	9	239	343	332	675	93	378	35	12	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	26	AA	NYM	—	135	119	17	8	0	1	13	62	3	7	0	143	244	235	480	92	286	46	10	223	29	-11	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.4
YTD	26	AA	NYM	—	135	113	22	11	0	1	19	48	3	7	0	195	326	319	645	124	328	36	14	302	89	-2	+1	+0	+1	+4	0.5
ROS	26	AA	NYM	2%	115	102	16	4	0	2	10	51	2	5	1	157	246	255	501	98	295	44	9	247	47	-7	+1	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
ROS	26	MLB	NYM	2%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						295	50	0	236	39	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	26	AA	NYM	—	137	121	17	8	0	1	13	63	3	7	0	140	241	231	472	91	281	46	9	223	29	-11	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.4
TOT	26	AA	NYM	—	250	221	33	12	0	3	23	113	5	12	1	149	245	244	489	95	283	45	9	234	37	-18	+2	+0	+3	+7	-0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	NYM	27%	336	298	52	12	1	7	30	142	5	12	3	174	261	292	553	117	294	42	9	254	52	-18	+1	+0	+4	+10	-0.4
2028	28	MLB	NYM	40%	364	323	58	13	1	8	33	149	5	13	3	180	266	300	566	121	294	41	9	258	56	-18	+1	-1	+4	+10	-0.3
2029	29	MLB	NYM	45%	373	332	60	14	1	8	33	150	5	12	3	181	265	301	566	120	293	40	9	260	57	-18	+1	-1	+4	+11	-0.4
2027	27	MLB	NYM	27%	90	81	14	3	0	2	8	38	1	3	1	173	256	284	540	111	294	42	9	243	44	-6	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
2028	28	MLB	NYM	40%	145	129	22	5	0	3	13	59	2	5	1	171	257	279	536	109	293	41	9	248	48	-9	+1	-0	+2	+4	-0.3
2029	29	MLB	NYM	45%	167	148	27	6	0	4	15	67	2	5	1	182	267	304	571	122	293	40	9	250	49	-10	+1	-1	+2	+5	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	404	360	63	14	0	9	36	165	5	13	3	175	259	289	548	114	287	41	9	248	48	-24	+1	-1	+4	+11	-0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	101	23	0	14	58	265	8	21	5	174	259	287	546	112	287	41	9	248	48	-38	+2	-1	+7	+18	-1.3
Career	—			—	3351	2984	513	105	11	71	290	1525	55	166	42	172	258	286	544	114	315	46	9	245	45	-206	+16	-2	+36	+95	-6.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	99	20	2	14	56	296	11	32	8	171	257	285	542	114	312	46	9	245	45	-40	+3	-0	+7	+18	-1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	18	ROK	GCL Mets	—	100	87	27	4	1	1	8	27	4	5	2	310	394	414	808	103	441	27	8	364	136	+4	+0	—	—	+3	0.7
2021	21	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	169	143	27	5	2	4	25	65	1	7	1	189	314	336	649	147	311	38	15	300	87	-2	+1	—	—	+5	0.3
2021	21	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	291	246	68	13	4	2	39	81	3	23	5	276	382	386	768	110	398	28	13	347	124	+8	+3	—	—	+8	1.9
2022	22	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	377	315	58	13	2	9	50	147	12	22	3	184	318	324	642	140	308	39	13	300	88	-5	+3	—	—	+11	0.9
2023	23	AAA	Syracuse Mets	—	80	64	16	4	0	6	13	29	1	3	1	250	385	594	978	344	333	36	16	411	172	+7	+0	—	—	+2	0.9
2023	23	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	146	126	18	1	0	3	17	62	3	8	1	143	260	222	482	79	246	42	12	235	38	-10	+1	—	—	+4	-0.5
2023	23	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	238	198	33	6	1	4	32	92	4	19	6	167	295	268	563	101	274	39	13	264	60	-11	+1	—	—	+7	-0.3
2024	24	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	310	273	61	22	0	12	33	119	4	10	4	223	316	436	752	212	345	38	11	334	114	+5	+0	—	—	+9	1.4
2024	24	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	15	14	1	0	0	0	1	10	0	2	0	71	133	71	205		250	67	7	107	-60	-3	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2025	25	AA	Knoxville Smokies	—	437	376	90	9	1	8	53	153	6	25	9	239	343	332	675	93	378	35	12	312	97	-1	+1	—	—	+12	1.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	407	9	14	179	262	301	+4	+3	-0.4	-0.2
	/162	664	15	23	179	262	301	+7.1	+4.9	-0.6	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jaylen Palmer (OGILVIE)	26	35	35	60	55	149/245/244	95	283	3	12	45%	9%	37	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jason Martinson 2015 · AA	26	38→39	44→45	56→50	38	190/250/299	109	293	12	17	38%	7%	49	-1.8	180/238/289	109	294	12	11	41%	6%	41	-2.3	162/221/268	105	271	12	8	43%	6%	26	-2.4
✕Logan Warmoth 2022 · AAA	26	40	40→45	52→55	40	184/266/276	92	316	8	18	41%	8%	51	-1.7	203/278/314	111	301	11	21	34%	8%	65	-0.7	195/273/297	102	277	11	24	31%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Max Burt 2023 · AAA	26	39	46→45	54→55	36	201/251/328	127	286	14	18	34%	5%	57	-1.2	188/246/300	112	281	12	22	36%	6%	48	-1.9	163/230/248	84	244	7	29	34%	6%	26	-1.3
✕Will Holland 2023 · AA	25	37→34	44→45	56→60	39	177/263/294	117	312	12	24	43%	9%	55	-1.4	190/273/300	110	292	10	29	36%	8%	59	-1.1	177/263/281	104	261	10	34	33%	8%	49	-0.7
✕Connor Kopach 2021 · AAA	26	39→32	47→50	54→55	36	197/256/332	135	300	15	18	38%	6%	60	-1.0	189/254/303	114	365	13	16	48%	7%	52	-1.6	115/188/208	93	250	14	21	57%	7%	-2	-1.5
✕Jordan Brewer 2023 · AA	25	41	42→45	55	39	192/272/292	100	316	10	19	39%	8%	58	-1.2	204/271/316	112	283	10	15	30%	7%	63	-0.9	199/265/312	114	264	10	16	27%	7%	56	-0.7
✕Andrés Alvarez 2023 · AA	26	39→30	49→45	56→50	44	199/276/344	145	290	18	20	36%	9%	72	-0.2	196/259/311	115	283	12	12	33%	7%	56	-1.3	183/243/282	99	262	10	8	33%	6%	39	-1.4
✕Stephen Wrenn 2021 · AA	26	41→43	42→45	58→60	38	201/260/313	112	299	9	25	34%	6%	56	-1.3	214/271/338	124	329	13	22	37%	6%	68	-0.5	199/257/318	119	311	13	29	38%	5%	54	-0.8
✕Adam Engel 2018 · MLB	26	39→48	43→50	57→60	39	193/255/310	117	277	9	24	33%	6%	54	-1.4	219/273/343	124	300	11	17	30%	5%	70	-0.3	224/280/353	129	300	12	21	28%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Cory Vaughn 2015 · AAA	26	38→41	44→45	54→50	40	191/262/305	114	272	13	15	33%	7%	56	-1.3	193/257/300	107	289	10	12	35%	7%	53	-1.5	149/216/240	91	232	8	9	38%	7%	17	-1.5
✕Bryan Arias 2023 · AA	26	38	43→45	51→50	38	183/255/286	103	300	11	14	40%	7%	49	-1.8	201/273/302	101	301	9	14	34%	8%	59	-1.1	198/297/294	96	260	8	24	25%	10%	65	-0.1
✕Josh Stowers 2023 · AA	26	36→43	50	55	40	193/263/345	151	273	18	22	35%	7%	67	-0.5	188/252/316	128	271	14	17	34%	7%	55	-1.4	143/205/256	113	199	13	18	35%	6%	17	-2.2
✕Ray-Patrick Didder 2021 · AA	26	40→47	39→45	55→60	40	184/270/268	84	306	7	24	39%	8%	50	-1.7	205/282/312	107	298	10	23	32%	7%	67	-0.5	198/285/310	113	286	12	28	32%	8%	64	-0.5
✕Gift Ngoepe 2015 · AA	25	40	43→45	51→50	37	192/250/302	110	306	10	14	39%	7%	50	-1.8	208/262/322	114	317	10	8	36%	6%	59	-1.1	171/250/283	112	296	11	5	43%	9%	43	-0.9
✕Tanner English 2019 · AAA	26	34→42	41→40	57→55	32	165/223/271	105	294	8	22	44%	6%	30	-3.1	185/238/285	100	311	9	17	41%	5%	40	-2.4	134/188/202	68	231	9	22	44%	4%	-5	-1.5
✕Joseph Rosa 2023 · AAA	26	44	43→40	55→50	40	213/272/327	115	309	10	19	33%	6%	66	-0.6	214/294/305	91	333	6	15	34%	9%	69	-0.4	200/294/276	76	323	5	17	35%	10%	61	-0.5
✕Logan Landon 2019 · AA	26	40→45	44→45	53→50	37	201/248/314	113	286	13	19	34%	5%	52	-1.6	193/242/297	104	287	11	11	35%	5%	44	-2.1	166/218/262	96	245	12	5	37%	6%	23	-1.5
✕Michael O'Neill 2019 · AAA	27	42	43→45	55	35	207/257/319	112	308	11	22	35%	5%	56	-1.3	218/268/310	92	334	9	18	35%	6%	59	-1.1	222/269/281	59	347	7	18	36%	5%	46	-1.2
✕Cody Bohanek 2022 · AAA	27	37→36	45→40	49→50	41	181/280/304	124	295	12	16	39%	8%	66	-0.6	190/278/289	99	315	8	15	39%	8%	59	-1.1	152/249/216	63	282	3	16	42%	8%	27	-1.6
✕Bradlee Beesley 2023 · AA	25	40	45→50	54→60	37	201/257/327	126	300	13	21	36%	6%	59	-1.1	206/282/327	121	313	11	26	35%	7%	70	-0.3	189/280/319	130	291	11	39	35%	8%	63	-0.4