Brady Day

SS Jersey Shore BlueClaws

Age 25 L/R 5'10" / 190 lbs A+ HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1833ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	22	APHI	87	.195/.279/.208	0	1	10	—	.165/.233/.177
2025	23	APHI	270	.261/.354/.348	2	9	61	—	.221/.289/.296
2026	24	A+/APHI	171	.265/.347/.430	5	11	66	—	.216/.271/.350
2027PROJMLE	25	MLBPHI	221	.226/.289/.331	3	5	76	0.1
2028PROJ30% MLB	26	MLBPHI	37	.228/.292/.342	1	1	78	0.0
2029PROJ42% MLB	27	MLBPHI	69	.228/.293/.343	1	1	78	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Whiff%95

Z-Con%94

K%93

Speed87

Chase%81

wRC+79

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsAustin Krum (age 25) · Mitch Canham (age 25) · Nate Sutton (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 78 proj PA

wRC+†76

AVG/OBP/SLG.224 / .287 / .328

PA78

HR1

K%22

BB%7

ISO105

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	22	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	87	77	15	1	0	0	8	16	1	1	1	195	279	208	487	13	242	18	9	233	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	270	230	60	10	2	2	32	36	1	9	4	261	354	348	701	87	293	13	12	315	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	148	128	37	5	2	5	18	22	1	11	0	289	381	477	858	188	317	15	12	378	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	23	23	3	1	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	130	130	174	304	43	167	22	0	135	-45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	22	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	87	79	13	1	0	0	6	22	1	1	1	165	233	177	410	13	209	25	7	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	270	240	53	8	2	2	22	46	1	9	4	221	289	296	585	75	249	17	8	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	148	135	31	4	2	4	11	29	1	11	0	230	293	378	670	148	260	20	7	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	23	23	3	1	0	0	0	7	0	0	0	130	130	174	304	43	145	30	0	102	-45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	87	79	13	1	0	0	6	22	1	1	1	165	233	177	410	13	224	25	7	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	—	87	77	15	1	0	0	8	16	1	1	1	195	279	208	487	13	242	18	9	233	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	270	240	53	8	2	2	22	46	1	9	4	221	289	296	585	75	258	17	8	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	—	270	230	60	10	2	2	32	36	1	9	4	261	354	348	701	87	293	13	12	315	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	171	158	34	5	2	4	11	36	1	11	0	215	271	348	619	133	254	21	6	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	171	151	40	6	2	5	18	27	1	11	0	265	347	430	778	166	294	16	11	345	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	87	80	13	1	0	0	6	22	1	1	1	163	233	175	408	12	209	25	7	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	270	245	53	8	2	2	22	46	1	9	4	216	289	290	579	73	249	17	8	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	171	157	34	5	2	4	11	36	1	11	0	217	271	350	621	134	245	21	6	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	22	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	87	80	13	1	0	0	6	22	1	1	1	163	233	175	408	12	209	25	7	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	270	245	53	8	2	2	22	46	1	9	4	216	289	290	579	73	249	17	8	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	171	157	34	5	2	4	11	36	1	11	0	217	271	350	621	134	245	21	6	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	PHI	0%	221	201	44	8	1	3	16	49	2	5	1	226	289	331	621	105	279	22	7	280	76	-6	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	PHI	30%	122	111	26	5	1	2	9	27	1	3	1	227	291	338	629	110	280	22	7	283	78	-3	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.1
2029	27	MLB MLE	PHI	42%	166	151	34	6	1	3	13	37	1	3	1	227	292	339	631	111	280	22	8	284	78	-4	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2030	28	MLB MLE	PHI	48%	206	187	42	8	1	3	16	46	1	4	1	226	291	338	629	111	280	22	8	283	78	-5	+0	-1	+2	+4	0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	PHI	30%	37	34	7	1	0	1	3	8	0	1	0	228	292	342	634	113	280	22	8	285	78	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
2029	27	MLB CTX	PHI	42%	69	63	14	3	0	1	5	15	1	1	0	228	293	343	636	115	280	22	7	286	78	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2030	28	MLB CTX	PHI	48%	98	90	21	4	1	2	7	22	1	2	0	228	293	342	635	114	280	22	7	285	78	-3	+0	-0	+1	+2	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	204	187	42	8	1	4	15	45	2	4	0	225	289	342	631	118	275	22	7	286	67	-5	+1	-0	+2	+4	0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	596	133	25	3	13	48	143	6	13	0	223	288	341	628	117	273	22	7	286	67	-17	+3	-1	+7	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	1100	997	217	36	7	15	83	231	7	33	8	218	282	313	595	95	265	21	8	267	67	-15	+1	-1	+6	+12	0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	589	128	21	4	9	49	136	4	20	5	217	282	312	594	95	264	21	8	267	67	-17	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws · 148 PAwOBA .368 → .291 (−78)K% 14.9% → 19.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.86%	÷1.000	×1.310	—	—	19.47%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.16%	÷1.000	×0.600	—	×0.988	7.21%
HBP% /PA	0.68%	—	×0.770	—	×0.988	0.51%
Singles /BIP	23.58%	÷1.000	×0.870	×0.980	×0.988	19.86%
Doubles /BIP	4.72%	÷1.000	×0.780	×0.980	×0.988	3.56%
Triples /BIP	1.89%	÷1.000	×0.850	×0.980	×0.988	1.55%
Home runs /BIP	4.72%	÷1.000	×0.880	—	×0.988	4.10%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.

Result: wOBA .368 → .291; ISO .188 → .160; BABIP .317 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AClearwater Threshers · 23 PAwOBA .131 → .102 (−29)K% 21.7% → 29.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.74%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	29.57%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×0.980	0.00%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.780	—	×0.980	0.00%
Singles /BIP	11.11%	÷1.000	×0.920	—	×0.980	10.02%
Doubles /BIP	5.56%	÷1.000	×0.830	—	×0.980	4.52%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.910	—	×0.980	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×0.980	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .131 → .102; ISO .043 → .032; BABIP .167 → .145. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AClearwater Threshers · 270 PAwOBA .314 → .259 (−55)K% 13.3% → 17.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.33%	÷1.065	×1.360	—	—	17.02%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.85%	÷0.975	×0.690	—	×0.990	8.30%
HBP% /PA	0.37%	—	×0.780	—	×0.990	0.29%
Singles /BIP	23.71%	÷1.030	×0.920	×0.966	×0.990	20.25%
Doubles /BIP	5.15%	÷0.975	×0.830	×0.966	×0.990	4.20%
Triples /BIP	1.03%	÷0.923	×0.910	×0.966	×0.990	0.97%
Home runs /BIP	1.03%	÷1.083	×0.800	—	×0.990	0.75%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 106, 2B 95, 3B 85, K 113, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.

Result: wOBA .314 → .259; ISO .087 → .073; BABIP .293 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AClearwater Threshers · 87 PAwOBA .230 → .183 (−48)K% 18.4% → 25.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.39%	÷0.982	×1.360	—	—	25.46%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.20%	÷0.973	×0.690	—	—	6.52%
HBP% /PA	1.15%	—	×0.780	—	—	0.90%
Singles /BIP	22.95%	÷1.042	×0.920	×0.978	—	19.82%
Doubles /BIP	1.64%	÷0.938	×0.830	×0.978	—	1.42%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.132	×0.910	×0.978	—	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.115	×0.800	—	—	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 108, 2B 88, 3B 126, K 96, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.

Result: wOBA .230 → .183; ISO .013 → .011; BABIP .242 → .209. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ehire Adrianzalast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,519 PA	2.3	1,519	20	19	240	310	353	+10	+13	4.0	4.4
/162	664	9	8	+4.2	+5.5	1.8	pk7: 5
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Kiko Garcia'76-'85 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,595 PA	2.4	1,595	12	34	232*	283*	343*	+14	+14	2.2	3.0
/162	664	5	14	+5.7	+6.0	0.9	pk7: 4
#4Tim Cullen'66-'72 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,960 PA	3.0	1,960	9	10	229*	288*	313*	+10	+27	2.7	2.7
/162	664	3	3	+3.6	+9.1	0.9	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Paul Popovich'64-'75 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,909 PA	2.9	1,909	14	4	233*	288*	323*	+10	+20	0.2	0.9
/162	664	5	1	+3.5	+7.0	0.1	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.3	205	3	4	228	289	340	+2	+3	0.3	0.3
/162	664	11	13	+7.1	+9.7	1.1	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brady Day (OGILVIE)	25	50	25	50	45	224/287/328	105	279	1	2	22%	7%	76	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Austin Krum 2011 · AA	25	49→52	38→40	49→50	49	231/297/310	80	294	5	12	22%	8%	74	-0.5	233/294/310	77	300	4	18	22%	7%	73	-0.6	239/300/305	66	311	2	23	22%	7%	72	-0.7
✕Mitch Canham 2010 · AA	25	48→49	41→40	49→45	50	232/294/334	102	278	8	8	19%	8%	78	-0.3	207/266/286	79	256	6	6	20%	7%	57	-1.8	205/266/276	71	263	2	11	21%	7%	53	-0.8
✕Nate Sutton 2008 · A	25	49→56	39→40	53→50	46	234/285/322	88	288	7	15	21%	6%	72	-0.7	240/287/321	81	292	5	17	18%	6%	72	-0.7	240/290/318	78	291	4	18	18%	6%	70	-0.7
✕Phil Clarke 2024 · AA	26	46	41→40	49→45	51	224/305/321	97	267	9	7	19%	8%	81	-0.1	232/310/316	84	267	7	8	15%	9%	82	-0.0	233/317/297	64	264	5	6	13%	9%	77	-0.2
✕Bryce Windham 2022 · A	25	47	40	49→50	51	226/295/319	93	275	7	7	20%	9%	76	-0.4	217/287/302	85	274	5	8	21%	9%	69	-0.9	217/287/297	80	278	4	10	22%	9%	65	-0.5
✕Kevin Taylor 2016 · A	25	46→56	42→40	47→40	47	226/286/329	103	277	10	8	22%	7%	74	-0.5	251/312/338	87	297	6	3	17%	7%	86	+0.3	255/311/328	73	298	5	2	15%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Adam Haley 2006 · AA	25	53→56	39→40	47→50	42	251/294/335	83	314	6	13	22%	5%	78	-0.3	221/276/303	82	287	6	10	24%	6%	64	-1.3	193/255/253	60	255	3	5	24%	7%	43	-1.5
✕Jack Dunn 2022 · A	25	49→48	38→40	53→55	47	232/294/310	78	296	6	15	23%	7%	73	-0.6	222/304/296	74	290	6	18	23%	9%	74	-0.5	213/306/284	71	274	6	21	22%	10%	71	-0.6
✕Kyle Mottice 2021 · A	25	50	36→30	52→55	51	233/334/299	66	281	3	19	17%	8%	88	+0.4	228/289/309	81	290	5	14	22%	6%	71	-0.8	242/295/294	52	300	0	21	18%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Luke Waddell 2023 · AA	25	48→52	44→40	44→50	50	236/295/353	117	269	12	9	18%	7%	84	+0.1	233/305/320	87	274	6	15	16%	8%	80	-0.2	231/304/305	74	273	4	15	16%	8%	74	-0.4
✕Marcus Lemon 2013 · AA	25	53→55	38→40	47→45	45	250/293/335	85	304	4	10	19%	5%	78	-0.3	228/273/313	85	293	4	6	22%	5%	65	-1.2	219/262/299	80	286	4	3	24%	5%	54	-1.0
✕Phillip Glasser 2024 · A	24	48→58	40	51→55	51	228/295/321	93	271	7	12	18%	8%	76	-0.4	256/319/346	90	306	7	19	17%	7%	91	+0.6	263/329/345	82	312	6	21	16%	8%	91	+0.5
✕Darren Baker 2023 · AA	24	52→58	37→30	49→60	44	245/289/320	75	312	4	12	22%	6%	72	-0.7	253/302/313	60	329	2	25	22%	7%	76	-0.4	258/312/308	50	335	1	32	22%	7%	75	-0.4
✕Brett Nommensen 2012 · AA	25	50→45	41→40	55	49	239/315/342	104	286	7	20	19%	8%	89	+0.5	230/299/323	93	290	6	14	21%	8%	78	-0.3	208/277/284	76	263	5	9	22%	8%	60	-0.6
✕Freddy Zamora 2024 · AA	25	48→52	40	52→50	46	226/294/319	93	304	7	15	27%	8%	76	-0.4	209/283/289	80	277	6	14	25%	8%	65	-1.2	195/275/263	67	256	5	13	24%	8%	54	-1.0
✕Garrett Stubbs 2018 · AAA	25	47	40→45	53→50	50	224/293/318	93	264	8	13	18%	8%	75	-0.5	229/293/337	108	280	9	14	20%	7%	79	-0.2	219/308/324	105	279	10	10	23%	11%	83	+0.0
✕James Rapoport 2010 · AA	25	49→55	37→40	53→55	48	232/290/305	73	285	4	16	20%	7%	70	-0.8	236/303/302	66	278	4	9	16%	8%	74	-0.5	237/306/289	52	276	3	7	14%	8%	70	-0.7
✕Erich Weiss 2017 · AA	25	51→54	38→45	49→50	45	241/294/327	86	311	5	9	23%	6%	76	-0.4	229/283/346	117	294	9	7	24%	6%	77	-0.3	220/275/350	130	281	11	5	25%	6%	73	-0.3
✕John Mora 2017 · A	24	48→50	40	49→50	50	226/294/327	100	279	6	9	20%	8%	77	-0.3	216/272/304	88	292	5	9	26%	6%	63	-1.3	212/265/295	83	292	4	10	27%	6%	56	-1.5
✕Jax Biggers 2021 · A	24	47→52	38→40	49→50	49	224/286/299	76	273	5	12	19%	8%	68	-1.0	214/266/303	89	268	7	14	22%	6%	61	-1.5	219/293/313	94	285	7	13	24%	9%	72	-0.5

Brady Day

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps