Phillip Glasser
2B Rochester Red Wings| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24 | AA/A+/A/INTL2 orgs | 506 | .296/.391/.413 | 8 | 23 | 88 | — | .253/.320/.348 |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA/AAWSH | 544 | .302/.390/.404 | 7 | 32 | 105 | — | .289/.355/.381 |
| 2026 | 26 | AAAWSH | 415 | .271/.371/.336 | 2 | 12 | 76 | — | .251/.324/.300 |
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 27 | MLBWSH | 16 | .253/.322/.327 | 0 | 0 | 87 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ38% MLB | 28 | MLBWSH | 83 | .251/.320/.327 | 1 | 2 | 86 | 0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ49% MLB | 29 | MLBWSH | 117 | .249/.318/.325 | 1 | 3 | 85 | 0.0 |
Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 35
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 23 | A | Fredericksburg Nationals | — | 21 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 421 | 476 | 526 | 1.003 | 105 | 471 | 10 | 10 | 447 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | ROK | FCL Nationals | — | 50 | 39 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 256 | 408 | 359 | 767 | 103 | 257 | 8 | 18 | 352 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | — | 68 | 58 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 172 | 294 | 172 | 467 | 208 | 15 | 9 | 238 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 324 | 275 | 84 | 16 | 1 | 6 | 40 | 45 | 5 | 14 | 4 | 305 | 403 | 436 | 839 | 131 | 345 | 14 | 12 | 375 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A | Fredericksburg Nationals | — | 72 | 63 | 24 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 381 | 451 | 587 | 1.038 | 206 | 449 | 18 | 11 | 449 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | INTL | Salt River Rafters | — | 42 | 37 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 270 | 357 | 324 | 681 | 54 | 370 | 24 | 12 | 317 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 54 | 46 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 391 | 481 | 522 | 1.003 | 130 | 447 | 13 | 15 | 447 | 149 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | — | 490 | 427 | 125 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 52 | 55 | 8 | 30 | 11 | 293 | 380 | 391 | 771 | 98 | 324 | 11 | 11 | 350 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 415 | 351 | 95 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 53 | 57 | 3 | 12 | 3 | 271 | 371 | 336 | 707 | 66 | 316 | 14 | 13 | 323 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 23 | A MLE | Fredericksburg Nationals | — | 21 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 350 | 381 | 450 | 831 | 100 | 403 | 14 | 5 | 354 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | ROK MLE | FCL Nationals | — | 50 | 43 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 209 | 306 | 302 | 608 | 93 | 201 | 12 | 10 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 68 | 60 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 167 | 265 | 167 | 431 | 210 | 18 | 6 | 208 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 324 | 292 | 76 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 61 | 5 | 14 | 4 | 260 | 325 | 366 | 691 | 106 | 302 | 19 | 7 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A MLE | Fredericksburg Nationals | — | 72 | 66 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 303 | 352 | 439 | 792 | 136 | 389 | 24 | 7 | 360 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 54 | 48 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 375 | 444 | 500 | 944 | 125 | 421 | 15 | 11 | 388 | 149 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 490 | 443 | 124 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 36 | 67 | 8 | 30 | 11 | 280 | 345 | 368 | 713 | 88 | 319 | 14 | 7 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 415 | 367 | 92 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 37 | 68 | 3 | 12 | 3 | 251 | 324 | 300 | 624 | 49 | 296 | 16 | 9 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 71 | 63 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 238 | 314 | 317 | 632 | 79 | 255 | 11 | 8 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 71 | 58 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 310 | 429 | 414 | 842 | 103 | 327 | 8 | 15 | 380 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | 4 teams | — | 506 | 457 | 116 | 22 | 1 | 7 | 35 | 98 | 9 | 23 | 6 | 254 | 319 | 352 | 672 | 98 | 307 | 19 | 7 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ RAW | 4 teams | — | 506 | 433 | 128 | 25 | 1 | 8 | 59 | 78 | 9 | 23 | 6 | 296 | 391 | 413 | 805 | 118 | 343 | 15 | 12 | 362 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 544 | 491 | 142 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 42 | 75 | 8 | 32 | 11 | 289 | 355 | 381 | 736 | 92 | 331 | 14 | 8 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 544 | 473 | 143 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 60 | 62 | 8 | 32 | 11 | 302 | 390 | 404 | 794 | 101 | 336 | 11 | 11 | 359 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 415 | 367 | 92 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 37 | 68 | 3 | 12 | 3 | 251 | 324 | 300 | 624 | 49 | 303 | 16 | 9 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA RAW | Rochester Red Wings | — | 415 | 351 | 95 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 53 | 57 | 3 | 12 | 3 | 271 | 371 | 336 | 707 | 66 | 316 | 14 | 13 | 323 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 71 | 64 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 234 | 314 | 312 | 627 | 78 | 261 | 11 | 8 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | 4 teams | — | 506 | 457 | 116 | 22 | 1 | 7 | 35 | 98 | 9 | 23 | 6 | 254 | 319 | 352 | 672 | 98 | 302 | 19 | 7 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 544 | 489 | 142 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 42 | 75 | 8 | 32 | 11 | 290 | 355 | 382 | 737 | 92 | 329 | 14 | 8 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 415 | 372 | 92 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 37 | 68 | 3 | 12 | 3 | 247 | 324 | 296 | 620 | 48 | 296 | 16 | 9 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | 4 teams | — | 506 | 457 | 116 | 22 | 1 | 7 | 35 | 98 | 9 | 23 | 6 | 254 | 319 | 352 | 672 | 98 | 302 | 19 | 7 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 544 | 489 | 142 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 42 | 75 | 8 | 32 | 11 | 290 | 355 | 382 | 737 | 92 | 329 | 14 | 8 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 415 | 372 | 92 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 37 | 68 | 3 | 12 | 3 | 247 | 324 | 296 | 620 | 48 | 296 | 16 | 9 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB MLE | WSH | 10% | 380 | 342 | 87 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 31 | 62 | 4 | 12 | 4 | 253 | 323 | 328 | 651 | 75 | 299 | 16 | 8 | 297 | 87 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +8 | 0.4 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB CTX | WSH | 10% | 16 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 253 | 322 | 327 | 649 | 74 | 299 | 19 | 6 | 296 | 87 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 28 | MLB MLE | WSH | 38% | 222 | 200 | 51 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 38 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 251 | 321 | 328 | 649 | 77 | 298 | 17 | 8 | 295 | 86 | -4 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB MLE | WSH | 49% | 240 | 217 | 53 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 42 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 249 | 318 | 326 | 644 | 77 | 297 | 18 | 8 | 293 | 85 | -4 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB CTX | WSH | 38% | 83 | 75 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 251 | 320 | 327 | 647 | 76 | 298 | 17 | 8 | 295 | 86 | -1 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +2 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB CTX | WSH | 49% | 117 | 105 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 20 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 249 | 318 | 325 | 643 | 76 | 297 | 17 | 9 | 293 | 85 | -2 | +0 | -1 | +0 | +3 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 200 | 180 | 45 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 34 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 250 | 322 | 322 | 644 | 72 | 297 | 17 | 8 | 294 | 89 | -3 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +4 | 0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 585 | 146 | 23 | 0 | 6 | 55 | 110 | 6 | 16 | 6 | 250 | 320 | 320 | 640 | 70 | 297 | 17 | 8 | 294 | 89 | -11 | +1 | -3 | +2 | +14 | 0.3 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2153 | 1934 | 504 | 77 | 9 | 20 | 170 | 354 | 27 | 88 | 26 | 261 | 329 | 341 | 670 | 80 | 308 | 16 | 8 | 300 | 89 | -10 | +1 | -2 | +2 | +13 | 0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 584 | 152 | 23 | 3 | 6 | 51 | 107 | 8 | 27 | 8 | 260 | 328 | 341 | 669 | 80 | 308 | 16 | 8 | 300 | 89 | -11 | +1 | -2 | +2 | +14 | 0.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAARochester Red Wings · 415 PAwOBA .317 → .281 (−36)K% 13.7% → 16.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.73% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 16.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.77% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 8.84% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.72% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.68% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.19% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.021 | ×1.003 | 24.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.10% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.021 | ×1.003 | 4.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.34% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.021 | ×1.003 | 0.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.68% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 0.48% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .317 → .281; ISO .066 → .056; BABIP .316 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAHarrisburg Senators · 490 PAwOBA .341 → .316 (−25)K% 11.2% → 13.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.22% | ÷0.997 | ×1.220 | — | — | 13.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.41% | ÷0.967 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 7.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.63% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 1.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.34% | ÷1.009 | ×0.970 | ×1.037 | ×0.988 | 25.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.84% | ÷0.887 | ×0.860 | ×1.037 | ×0.988 | 4.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.81% | ÷0.913 | ×0.950 | ×1.037 | ×0.988 | 0.86% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.61% | ÷0.963 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 1.29% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 102, 2B 77, 3B 83, K 99, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.037.
Result: wOBA .341 → .316; ISO .098 → .092; BABIP .324 → .319. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAARochester Red Wings · 54 PAwOBA .436 → .388 (−48)K% 13.0% → 15.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.96% | ÷1.028 | ×1.200 | — | — | 15.14% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.81% | ÷0.978 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 10.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 38.46% | ÷0.987 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.018 | 36.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.018 | 2.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.56% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.018 | 2.20% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.56% | ÷0.960 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 1.90% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 97, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 106, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .436 → .388; ISO .130 → .107; BABIP .447 → .421. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks · 324 PAwOBA .367 → .301 (−65)K% 13.9% → 18.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.89% | ÷0.974 | ×1.310 | — | — | 18.68% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.04% | ÷1.015 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.978 | 6.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.54% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.978 | 1.16% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.52% | ÷1.008 | ×0.870 | ×1.050 | ×0.978 | 23.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.96% | ÷0.942 | ×0.780 | ×1.050 | ×0.978 | 5.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.43% | ÷0.984 | ×0.850 | ×1.050 | ×0.978 | 0.39% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.61% | ÷1.016 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.978 | 2.21% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 102, 2B 88, 3B 97, K 95, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .367 → .301; ISO .131 → .115; BABIP .345 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AFredericksburg Nationals · 72 PAwOBA .443 → .360 (−82)K% 18.1% → 23.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.06% | ÷1.038 | ×1.360 | — | — | 23.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.11% | ÷1.044 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.970 | 7.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.970 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.00% | ÷1.024 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.970 | 26.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 14.00% | ÷0.907 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.970 | 12.43% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.970 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.00% | ÷1.078 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.970 | 2.88% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 105, 2B 81, 3B 130, K 108, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.0 → −3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .443 → .360; ISO .206 → .167; BABIP .449 → .389. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAHarrisburg Senators · 68 PAwOBA .233 → .208 (−25)K% 14.7% → 17.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.71% | ÷1.008 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.82% | ÷1.051 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 5.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.88% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 4.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.83% | ÷1.010 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 20.96% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.964 | ×0.860 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.915 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.990 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 102, 2B 93, 3B 83, K 102, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .233 → .208; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .208 → .210. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKFCL Nationals · 50 PAwOBA .351 → .263 (−89)K% 8.0% → 11.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 8.00% | ÷1.011 | ×1.440 | — | — | 11.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.00% | ÷1.013 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.955 | 10.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 1.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.86% | ÷0.983 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.955 | 18.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.86% | ÷0.971 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 2.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.034 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.86% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.955 | 2.13% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 97, 2B 94, 3B 107, K 102, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 19.5 → −4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .351 → .263; ISO .103 → .083; BABIP .257 → .201. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AFredericksburg Nationals · 21 PAwOBA .436 → .354 (−82)K% 9.5% → 13.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.52% | ÷0.978 | ×1.360 | — | — | 13.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.52% | ÷1.126 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 5.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 35.29% | ÷1.016 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.980 | 31.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.76% | ÷1.065 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.980 | 8.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.917 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 103, 2B 113, 3B 130, K 96, BB 125 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .436 → .354; ISO .105 → .080; BABIP .471 → .403. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .