John Mora
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 23 | A+NYM | 506 | .246/.342/.346 | 5 | 8 | 65 | — | .215/.288/.296 |
| 2017 | 24 | AAA/A+/INTL3 orgs | 606 | .257/.319/.345 | 3 | 20 | 56 | — | .223/.275/.297 |
| 2018 | 25 | AANYM | 396 | .234/.314/.362 | 5 | 4 | 57 | — | .208/.263/.315 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 19 | ROK | DSL Mets 2 | — | 249 | 198 | 53 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 34 | 37 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 268 | 396 | 359 | 754 | 91 | 319 | 15 | 14 | 338 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | ROK | DSL Mets 2 | — | 285 | 242 | 75 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 31 | 34 | 6 | 16 | 14 | 310 | 401 | 413 | 815 | 103 | 355 | 12 | 11 | 362 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | ROK | GCL Mets | — | 135 | 110 | 35 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 13 | 3 | 14 | 4 | 318 | 436 | 427 | 863 | 109 | 357 | 10 | 15 | 387 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A | Savannah Sand Gnats | — | 481 | 407 | 113 | 22 | 12 | 5 | 57 | 70 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 278 | 373 | 428 | 801 | 150 | 320 | 15 | 12 | 350 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ | St. Lucie Mets | — | 506 | 439 | 108 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 60 | 72 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 246 | 342 | 346 | 688 | 100 | 284 | 14 | 12 | 314 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AAA | Las Vegas 51s | — | 33 | 30 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 167 | 242 | 333 | 576 | 167 | 217 | 21 | 9 | 257 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ | St. Lucie Mets | — | 556 | 502 | 133 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 40 | 100 | 6 | 19 | 15 | 265 | 327 | 347 | 673 | 82 | 323 | 18 | 7 | 302 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | INTL | Aguilas Cibaenas | — | 17 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 235 | 312 | 548 | 125 | 231 | 18 | 6 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 396 | 351 | 82 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 37 | 88 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 234 | 314 | 362 | 676 | 128 | 295 | 22 | 9 | 303 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Mets 2 | — | 249 | 208 | 38 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 45 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 183 | 292 | 240 | 532 | 58 | 210 | 18 | 10 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | ROK MLE | DSL Mets 2 | — | 285 | 252 | 51 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 42 | 6 | 16 | 14 | 202 | 280 | 262 | 541 | 60 | 231 | 15 | 7 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | ROK MLE | GCL Mets | — | 135 | 118 | 30 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 19 | 3 | 14 | 4 | 254 | 338 | 331 | 669 | 76 | 294 | 14 | 9 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A MLE | Savannah Sand Gnats | — | 481 | 426 | 104 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 38 | 92 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 244 | 313 | 373 | 687 | 129 | 285 | 19 | 8 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 506 | 456 | 98 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 43 | 107 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 215 | 288 | 296 | 584 | 81 | 270 | 21 | 8 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas 51s | — | 33 | 31 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 129 | 182 | 258 | 440 | 129 | 185 | 30 | 6 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 556 | 511 | 117 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 148 | 6 | 19 | 15 | 229 | 281 | 299 | 580 | 70 | 305 | 27 | 6 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA MLE | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 396 | 365 | 76 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 108 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 208 | 263 | 315 | 578 | 107 | 274 | 27 | 6 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Mets 2 | — | 249 | 208 | 38 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 45 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 183 | 292 | 240 | 532 | 58 | 226 | 18 | 10 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | ROK RAW | DSL Mets 2 | — | 249 | 198 | 53 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 34 | 37 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 268 | 396 | 359 | 754 | 91 | 319 | 15 | 14 | 338 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | ROK MLE | DSL Mets 2 | — | 285 | 252 | 51 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 42 | 6 | 16 | 14 | 202 | 280 | 262 | 541 | 60 | 239 | 15 | 7 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | ROK RAW | DSL Mets 2 | — | 285 | 242 | 75 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 31 | 34 | 6 | 16 | 14 | 310 | 401 | 413 | 815 | 103 | 355 | 12 | 11 | 362 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | ROK MLE | GCL Mets | — | 135 | 118 | 30 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 19 | 3 | 14 | 4 | 254 | 338 | 331 | 669 | 76 | 300 | 14 | 9 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | ROK RAW | GCL Mets | — | 135 | 110 | 35 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 13 | 3 | 14 | 4 | 318 | 436 | 427 | 863 | 109 | 357 | 10 | 15 | 387 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A MLE | Savannah Sand Gnats | — | 481 | 426 | 104 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 38 | 92 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 244 | 313 | 373 | 687 | 129 | 296 | 19 | 8 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A RAW | Savannah Sand Gnats | — | 481 | 407 | 113 | 22 | 12 | 5 | 57 | 70 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 278 | 373 | 428 | 801 | 150 | 320 | 15 | 12 | 350 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 506 | 456 | 98 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 43 | 107 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 215 | 288 | 296 | 584 | 81 | 272 | 21 | 8 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ RAW | St. Lucie Mets | — | 506 | 439 | 108 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 60 | 72 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 246 | 342 | 346 | 688 | 100 | 284 | 14 | 12 | 314 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 606 | 558 | 124 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 34 | 163 | 6 | 20 | 15 | 222 | 274 | 296 | 570 | 73 | 306 | 27 | 6 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 606 | 548 | 141 | 27 | 6 | 3 | 44 | 110 | 6 | 20 | 15 | 257 | 319 | 345 | 664 | 88 | 314 | 18 | 7 | 298 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA MLE | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 396 | 365 | 76 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 108 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 208 | 263 | 315 | 578 | 107 | 281 | 27 | 6 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA RAW | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 396 | 351 | 82 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 37 | 88 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 234 | 314 | 362 | 676 | 128 | 295 | 22 | 9 | 303 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Mets 2 | — | 249 | 215 | 38 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 45 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 177 | 292 | 233 | 524 | 56 | 210 | 18 | 10 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | ROK MLE | DSL Mets 2 | — | 285 | 256 | 51 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 42 | 6 | 16 | 14 | 199 | 280 | 258 | 537 | 59 | 231 | 15 | 7 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | ROK MLE | GCL Mets | — | 135 | 119 | 30 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 19 | 3 | 14 | 4 | 252 | 338 | 328 | 666 | 76 | 294 | 14 | 9 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A MLE | Savannah Sand Gnats | — | 481 | 435 | 104 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 38 | 92 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 239 | 313 | 366 | 679 | 126 | 285 | 19 | 8 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 506 | 454 | 98 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 43 | 107 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 216 | 288 | 297 | 586 | 81 | 270 | 21 | 8 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 606 | 561 | 124 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 34 | 163 | 6 | 20 | 15 | 221 | 274 | 294 | 568 | 73 | 298 | 27 | 6 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA MLE | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 396 | 366 | 76 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 108 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 208 | 263 | 314 | 577 | 107 | 274 | 27 | 6 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2658 | 2383 | 521 | 92 | 34 | 16 | 195 | 576 | 36 | 87 | 73 | 219 | 288 | 306 | 594 | 87 | 278 | 22 | 7 | 262 | 64 | -115 | -12 | +0 | +9 | +58 | -6.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 583 | 127 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 48 | 141 | 9 | 21 | 18 | 218 | 288 | 304 | 592 | 86 | 277 | 22 | 7 | 262 | 64 | -28 | -3 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2018 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies · 396 PAwOBA .294 → .252 (−43)K% 22.2% → 27.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.22% | ÷0.992 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.59% | ÷1.028 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 5.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.01% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.86% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.53% | ÷1.009 | ×0.970 | ×0.986 | ×0.998 | 19.44% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.08% | ÷0.906 | ×0.860 | ×0.986 | ×0.998 | 5.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.66% | ÷1.134 | ×0.950 | ×0.986 | ×0.998 | 2.20% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.90% | ÷1.013 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 1.46% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 102, 2B 81, 3B 127, K 98, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.
Result: wOBA .294 → .252; ISO .128 → .108; BABIP .295 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 A+St. Lucie Mets · 556 PAwOBA .297 → .254 (−43)K% 18.0% → 26.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.99% | ÷0.956 | ×1.420 | — | — | 26.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.19% | ÷0.957 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.988 | 5.57% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.08% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.988 | 0.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.62% | ÷0.970 | ×0.920 | ×1.019 | ×0.988 | 24.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.47% | ÷1.056 | ×0.960 | ×1.019 | ×0.988 | 5.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.24% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.019 | ×0.988 | 1.13% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.75% | ÷0.911 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 0.71% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 94, 2B 111, 3B 80, K 91, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.
Result: wOBA .297 → .254; ISO .082 → .069; BABIP .323 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAALas Vegas 51s · 33 PAwOBA .250 → .192 (−58)K% 21.2% → 28.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.21% | ÷0.948 | ×1.290 | — | — | 28.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.09% | ÷1.015 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.048 | 6.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 4.35% | ÷0.994 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.048 | 4.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 13.04% | ÷0.998 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.048 | 11.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.35% | ÷1.111 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.048 | 3.32% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.209 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 142, 1B 99, 2B 100, 3B 122, K 90, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .250 → .192; ISO .167 → .126; BABIP .217 → .185. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+St. Lucie Mets · 506 PAwOBA .307 → .265 (−42)K% 14.2% → 21.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.23% | ÷0.959 | ×1.420 | — | — | 21.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.66% | ÷1.032 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.998 | 8.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.79% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.998 | 0.73% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.07% | ÷0.994 | ×0.920 | ×1.027 | ×0.998 | 20.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.09% | ÷0.956 | ×0.960 | ×1.027 | ×0.998 | 4.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.91% | ÷1.017 | ×0.810 | ×1.027 | ×0.998 | 1.56% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.36% | ÷0.943 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 1.27% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 99, 2B 91, 3B 103, K 92, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.
Result: wOBA .307 → .265; ISO .100 → .089; BABIP .284 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 ASavannah Sand Gnats · 481 PAwOBA .346 → .298 (−48)K% 14.6% → 19.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.55% | ÷1.019 | ×1.340 | — | — | 19.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.85% | ÷0.976 | ×0.660 | — | — | 8.01% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.04% | — | ×0.770 | — | — | 0.80% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.96% | ÷1.012 | ×0.920 | ×1.009 | — | 20.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.53% | ÷1.028 | ×0.820 | ×1.009 | — | 5.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.56% | ÷1.053 | ×0.940 | ×1.009 | — | 3.21% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.48% | ÷0.804 | ×0.820 | — | — | 1.51% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 61, 1B 102, 2B 106, 3B 111, K 104, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.
Result: wOBA .346 → .298; ISO .150 → .138; BABIP .320 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 ROKGCL Mets · 135 PAwOBA .381 → .298 (−83)K% 9.6% → 13.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.63% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 13.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.81% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 9.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.22% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 1.58% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.80% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×0.985 | 22.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.19% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×0.985 | 4.61% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×0.985 | 2.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .381 → .298; ISO .109 → .085; BABIP .357 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 DSLDSL Mets 2 · 285 PAwOBA .356 → .242 (−114)K% 11.9% → 14.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.93% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 14.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.53% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.985 | 7.26% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.11% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.985 | 1.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.44% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×1.001 | ×0.985 | 17.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.21% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.001 | ×0.985 | 4.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.40% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.001 | ×0.985 | 1.42% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 18.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.
Result: wOBA .356 → .242; ISO .103 → .064; BABIP .355 → .231. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 DSLDSL Mets 2 · 249 PAwOBA .337 → .237 (−101)K% 14.9% → 18.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.86% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.65% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 9.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.21% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 2.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.60% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×1.003 | ×0.995 | 16.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.45% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.003 | ×0.995 | 4.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.86% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.003 | ×0.995 | 1.12% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.
Result: wOBA .337 → .237; ISO .091 → .059; BABIP .319 → .210. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .