Christopher Paciolla

Christopher PaciollaSS ACL Cubs

Age 23 R/R 6'1" / 185 lbs ROK HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 126 proj PA

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .275 / .319

PA126

HR2

K%26

BB%6

ISO106

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$5M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	18	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	25	21	3	0	0	1	2	7	2	1	0	143	280	286	566	143	154	28	8	270	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	142	127	33	6	0	4	8	31	5	6	3	260	329	402	730	142	309	22	6	325	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	275	263	54	15	0	2	11	77	0	3	1	205	237	285	522	80	281	28	4	235	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	39	32	6	2	0	0	5	8	2	1	0	188	333	250	583	62	250	21	13	286	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	76	67	12	6	0	0	7	17	2	3	2	179	276	269	545	90	240	22	9	256	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	107	93	19	1	0	1	6	32	6	5	2	204	295	247	543	43	290	30	6	256	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	25	22	2	0	0	1	1	10	2	1	0	91	200	227	427	136	128	40	4	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	142	130	24	4	0	3	5	45	5	6	3	185	243	285	527	100	239	32	4	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	275	266	43	11	0	2	8	106	0	3	1	162	186	226	412	64	254	39	3	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	39	33	6	2	0	0	4	10	2	1	0	182	308	242	550	61	223	26	10	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	76	70	10	5	0	0	4	24	2	3	2	143	211	214	425	71	229	32	5	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	107	95	13	1	0	1	4	48	6	5	2	137	219	179	398	42	219	45	4	167	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	25	22	2	0	0	1	1	10	2	1	0	91	200	227	427	136	91	40	4	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	ACL Cubs	—	25	21	3	0	0	1	2	7	2	1	0	143	280	286	566	143	154	28	8	270	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	142	130	24	4	0	3	5	45	5	6	3	185	243	285	527	100	250	32	4	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	ACL Cubs	—	142	127	33	6	0	4	8	31	5	6	3	260	329	402	730	142	309	22	6	325	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	275	266	43	11	0	2	8	106	0	3	1	162	186	226	412	64	258	39	3	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	275	263	54	15	0	2	11	77	0	3	1	205	237	285	522	80	281	28	4	235	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	3 teams	—	222	198	28	7	0	1	12	81	10	9	4	141	227	192	419	51	229	36	5	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK RAW	3 teams	—	222	192	37	9	0	1	18	57	10	9	4	193	295	255	551	62	265	26	8	261	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	25	22	2	0	0	1	1	10	2	1	0	91	200	227	427	136	128	40	4	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	142	131	24	4	0	3	5	45	5	6	3	183	243	282	525	99	239	32	4	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	275	265	43	11	0	2	8	106	0	3	1	162	186	226	413	64	254	39	3	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	3 teams	—	222	198	28	7	0	1	12	81	10	9	4	141	227	192	419	51	223	36	5	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	20	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	275	265	43	11	0	2	8	106	0	3	1	162	186	226	413	64	254	39	3	177	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	3 teams	—	222	198	28	7	0	1	12	81	10	9	4	141	227	192	419	51	223	36	5	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	CHC	0%	332	304	66	14	2	5	21	87	4	6	2	216	277	322	598	106	281	26	6	270	69	-12	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	CHC	30%	160	146	33	7	1	3	11	41	2	3	1	220	282	337	620	117	283	26	7	279	75	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	CHC	44%	266	243	54	11	1	6	18	68	3	5	1	223	286	349	635	125	284	26	7	285	79	-7	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2030	26	MLB MLE	CHC	51%	340	310	70	14	2	8	23	86	4	6	2	225	289	356	645	131	284	25	7	289	82	-7	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.4
2031	27	MLB MLE	CHC	52%	380	346	79	16	2	9	26	96	5	6	2	225	289	356	646	131	284	25	7	289	82	-8	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.5
2032	28	MLB MLE	CHC	53%	403	367	83	17	2	9	28	102	5	5	2	225	289	355	644	130	284	25	7	288	81	-9	+0	-1	+4	+9	0.4
2033	29	MLB MLE	CHC	53%	410	373	84	17	2	9	29	105	5	4	1	223	286	349	635	126	283	26	7	285	79	-10	+0	-1	+4	+9	0.2
2034	30	MLB MLE	CHC	52%	412	376	84	17	2	9	28	107	5	2	1	220	283	342	625	122	281	26	7	280	76	-12	+0	-2	+4	+9	-0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	CHC	30%	48	44	10	2	0	1	3	12	1	1	0	222	284	340	624	118	286	25	6	280	75	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	CHC	44%	117	106	24	5	1	2	8	30	2	2	1	225	288	351	638	126	287	26	7	286	79	-3	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	CHC	51%	172	156	36	7	1	4	12	44	2	3	1	227	290	358	648	131	287	26	7	290	82	-4	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2031	27	MLB CTX	CHC	52%	199	181	40	8	1	4	14	50	2	3	1	227	291	358	649	131	287	25	7	290	82	-4	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2032	28	MLB CTX	CHC	53%	215	195	44	9	1	5	15	55	3	3	1	226	290	357	647	130	287	26	7	290	81	-5	+0	-0	+2	+5	0.2
2033	29	MLB CTX	CHC	53%	215	195	44	9	1	5	15	55	3	2	1	224	288	351	638	127	286	26	7	286	79	-5	+0	-1	+2	+5	0.1
2034	30	MLB CTX	CHC	52%	215	196	43	9	1	4	15	56	2	1	1	221	284	343	628	122	284	26	7	282	76	-6	-0	-1	+2	+5	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1181	1073	241	49	6	25	82	302	15	15	6	225	289	351	640	127	287	26	7	287	66	-29	+1	-2	+13	+26	0.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	591	133	27	3	14	45	166	8	8	3	225	289	352	641	127	287	26	7	287	66	-16	+0	-1	+7	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	3161	2892	609	126	13	62	197	880	48	52	19	211	272	327	600	117	278	28	6	265	66	-63	+2	-4	+27	+54	1.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	595	126	26	3	13	41	181	10	11	4	212	274	331	606	119	279	28	6	265	66	-16	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#2Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Garrett Hampsonlast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	29	65	234	296	352	+10	+10	3.9	3.9
/162	664	11	24	+3.6	+3.7	1.4	pk7: 4
#5Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	2.0	1,308	28	17	224	284	349	+14	+12	1.7	1.7
/162	664	14	8	+7.1	+6.1	0.9	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Christopher Paciolla (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	214/275/319	105	281	2	2	26%	6%	69	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Santana 2022 · AA	23	40	43→45	47→50	40	202/261/310	108	272	11	10	29%	6%	61	-1.5	216/274/340	124	275	14	9	26%	6%	74	-0.6	207/266/326	119	257	14	7	25%	5%	64	-0.8
✕Jack Mayfield 2014 · A	23	42→45	42→55	45→50	42	210/267/314	104	272	10	7	26%	6%	64	-1.3	216/264/328	112	271	11	5	24%	6%	66	-1.1	218/266/393	174	252	22	7	23%	5%	82	+0.0
✕Francisco Acuna 2023 · A	23	40→47	41→45	47→50	42	197/272/302	105	277	8	11	30%	7%	65	-1.2	213/283/307	94	282	7	13	25%	7%	70	-0.9	198/282/292	94	261	8	17	25%	8%	64	-0.7
✕Kyler Fedko 2023 · A	23	43→42	42→50	51→55	47	212/283/319	108	277	9	10	26%	8%	72	-0.7	203/287/319	116	263	12	14	26%	10%	74	-0.6	195/275/339	144	243	18	22	27%	9%	72	-0.5
✕Jacob Amaya 2022 · AA	23	41→47	43→45	48→45	47	203/269/312	108	262	11	6	26%	8%	65	-1.2	220/290/337	117	281	12	7	25%	9%	78	-0.3	218/291/330	112	279	11	6	25%	9%	75	-0.4
✕Chase Strumpf 2021 · A	23	44→37	41→50	49→45	42	208/283/313	105	305	8	7	32%	7%	71	-0.8	199/294/337	138	307	14	5	37%	10%	81	-0.1	184/291/336	152	287	18	4	38%	11%	77	-0.2
✕Ruben Cardenas 2021 · A	23	43	42→55	46→50	41	212/261/320	108	276	9	8	26%	6%	63	-1.4	217/266/376	159	292	21	8	32%	6%	78	-0.3	205/269/366	162	259	21	10	29%	7%	75	-0.3
✕Jake Rogers 2018 · A	23	41→40	44→60	47→45	42	205/269/329	123	282	11	10	30%	7%	69	-0.9	200/273/347	147	275	17	7	32%	8%	75	-0.5	210/288/419	208	272	29	1	33%	8%	97	+0.6
✕Jason Lopez 2021 · A	23	41	43→50	46→45	38	204/251/318	114	286	10	7	32%	5%	59	-1.6	198/261/298	100	298	9	10	34%	8%	58	-1.7	169/237/256	87	252	9	10	35%	8%	38	-0.8
✕Deibinson Romero 2010 · A	23	41→45	40→50	46→40	43	200/264/289	89	277	7	5	29%	7%	57	-1.8	209/275/317	108	276	11	3	27%	7%	69	-0.9	226/298/362	137	274	14	2	22%	8%	85	+0.1
✕Chris Meyers 2022 · A	23	40→46	41→50	51→40	45	197/266/297	101	258	8	11	26%	7%	61	-1.5	222/279/357	135	292	15	6	28%	6%	79	-0.2	226/286/369	143	292	17	3	28%	6%	81	-0.0
✕Kevin Padlo 2019 · A	23	36→42	44→55	45→50	44	183/264/301	119	275	11	7	36%	9%	61	-1.5	207/286/371	164	296	18	9	34%	9%	86	+0.3	196/269/361	165	267	20	12	33%	8%	75	-0.3
✕Brennen Davis 2024 · AAA	24	37→43	43→50	46→45	41	187/271/296	108	268	12	11	33%	7%	63	-1.3	200/289/350	150	264	19	8	31%	8%	83	+0.1	188/287/362	173	236	23	4	30%	8%	83	+0.0
✕Andrew Navigato 2022 · AA	24	41	44→55	46→50	45	204/280/319	115	283	11	13	30%	8%	72	-0.7	220/279/374	154	275	17	14	26%	6%	84	+0.1	218/278/389	170	267	20	17	26%	6%	83	+0.1
✕Jhoneiker Betancourt 2023 · A	23	43	40→50	50→40	42	205/278/298	94	281	7	6	28%	6%	65	-1.2	202/274/329	127	271	14	4	30%	7%	72	-0.7	175/259/316	141	226	20	0	32%	7%	67	-0.5
✕David Sheaffer 2019 · A	24	35	42→50	52→40	39	182/228/283	101	243	10	7	29%	5%	42	-2.9	209/254/329	120	292	12	5	31%	5%	63	-1.4	190/235/299	108	268	11	1	32%	5%	47	-0.8
✕Luis Vázquez 2023 · AAA	23	43→47	42→45	45→50	39	213/260/312	99	288	10	11	29%	5%	61	-1.5	230/291/355	125	302	14	9	27%	6%	83	+0.1	233/299/360	126	304	15	8	27%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Willie MacIver 2021 · A	24	38→35	43→50	49→55	37	192/239/298	106	261	10	9	30%	4%	51	-2.3	195/262/314	119	281	13	15	34%	7%	63	-1.3	240/316/371	130	330	11	18	28%	8%	93	+0.5
✕Larry Cobb 2009 · A	24	42	43→45	48→50	46	207/272/314	107	255	11	12	23%	7%	66	-1.1	214/274/331	117	287	12	10	28%	6%	71	-0.8	176/235/286	110	249	15	4	34%	4%	43	-0.5
✕Corey Joyce 2022 · AA	23	40	39→40	54→50	39	192/262/271	79	300	7	14	36%	7%	53	-2.1	208/308/324	116	294	11	13	30%	10%	84	+0.1	214/316/317	103	300	9	14	28%	10%	82	+0.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps