Jose Meneses

P Wilson Warbirds

Age 22 LHP 6'1" / 150 lbs A peak 0.2 · 2030

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	19	ROKMIL	7	1	19	10.89	6.89	12.3%	22.6%	—	K 8.3% · BB 28.3% · FIP 7.51
2025	20	MIX2 levels	18	0	24	8.51	5.11	26.0%	23.6%	—	K 19.2% · BB 26.1% · FIP 6.23
2026	21	MIX2 levels	37	1	57	2.21	2.22	31.4%	11.8%	—	K 23.6% · BB 13.7% · FIP 3.16
2027PROJ	22	MLBMIL	29	0	30	5.02	5.02	22.8%	15.8%	-0.2
2028PROJ49% MLB	23	MLBMIL	25	0	26	4.79	4.68	23.6%	13.6%	-0.0
2029PROJ70% MLB	24	MLBMIL	36	0	38	4.57	4.45	24.1%	12.2%	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 94%

CompsBrendan Nail (age 23) · Seth Clark (age 23) · Andrew Walling (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 112120vR 129

ERA5.02

FIP5.02

K%22.8%

BB%15.8%

K-BB%7.0%

Proj IP30

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 30 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5560

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 2	14	0	22	101	19	21	1	0%	1.6	12.8%	26.0%	-13.2%	0.7%	3.68	5.71	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers 2	14	0	22	101	19	21	1	0%	1.6	18.8%	20.8%	-2.0%	1.0%	3.68	4.83	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	11	5	35	160	34	26	0	45%	3.2	14.5%	20.3%	-5.9%	0.0%	3.63	4.45	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers 1	11	5	35	160	34	26	0	45%	3.2	21.2%	16.2%	5.0%	0.0%	3.63	3.39	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	7	1	19	106	13	24	2	14%	2.7	8.3%	28.3%	-20.0%	2.8%	10.89	7.51	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	7	1	19	106	13	24	2	14%	2.7	8.3%	28.3%	-20.0%	2.8%	10.89	7.51	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	ACL Brewers	7	1	19	106	13	24	2	14%	2.7	12.3%	22.6%	-10.4%	1.9%	10.89	6.89	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	0	24	123	32	29	2	0%	1.4	19.2%	26.1%	-7.0%	2.6%	8.51	6.23	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	0	24	123	32	29	2	0%	1.4	19.2%	26.1%	-7.0%	2.6%	8.51	6.23	—
2025	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	18	0	24	123	32	29	2	0%	1.4	26.0%	23.6%	2.4%	1.6%	8.51	5.11	—
2026	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	1	57	229	72	27	1	3%	1.5	23.6%	13.7%	9.8%	0.6%	2.21	3.16	—
2026	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	1	57	229	72	27	1	3%	1.5	23.6%	13.7%	9.8%	0.6%	2.21	3.16	—
2026	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	1	57	229	72	27	1	3%	1.5	31.4%	11.8%	19.7%	0.4%	2.21	2.22	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	MIL	29	0	30	127	29	20	3	0%	1.0	22.8%	15.8%	7.0%	2.7%	5.02	5.02	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	MIL	51	0	53	225	53	31	6	0%	1.0	23.6%	13.6%	9.9%	2.7%	4.79	4.68	-0.1
2029	24	MLB MLE	MIL	52	0	54	230	55	28	6	0%	1.0	24.1%	12.2%	11.9%	2.7%	4.57	4.45	+0.1
2030	25	MLB MLE	MIL	53	0	55	233	57	26	6	0%	1.0	24.4%	11.3%	13.1%	2.7%	4.41	4.30	+0.2
2031	26	MLB MLE	MIL	53	0	55	233	57	26	6	0%	1.0	24.6%	11.2%	13.4%	2.7%	4.33	4.28	+0.2
2032	27	MLB MLE	MIL	52	0	54	230	57	26	6	0%	1.0	24.6%	11.3%	13.3%	2.7%	4.32	4.32	+0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	MIL	25	0	26	110	26	15	3	0%	1.0	23.6%	13.6%	9.9%	2.7%	4.79	4.68	-0.0
2029	24	MLB CTX	MIL	36	0	38	160	39	20	4	0%	1.1	24.1%	12.2%	11.9%	2.7%	4.57	4.45	+0.0
2030	25	MLB CTX	MIL	43	0	45	190	46	21	5	0%	1.0	24.4%	11.3%	13.1%	2.7%	4.41	4.30	+0.1
2031	26	MLB CTX	MIL	46	0	48	203	50	23	5	0%	1.0	24.6%	11.2%	13.4%	2.7%	4.33	4.28	+0.2
2032	27	MLB CTX	MIL	47	0	49	207	51	23	6	0%	1.0	24.6%	11.3%	13.3%	2.7%	4.32	4.32	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		196	0	206	871	212	102	23	0%	1.1	24.3%	11.7%	12.6%	2.7%	4.45	4.00	+1.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	206	99	22	0%	1.1	24.3%	11.7%	12.6%	2.7%	4.45	4.00	+1.3
Career	—	MLE		87	7	157	719	122	152	8	8%	1.8	17.0%	21.2%	-4.2%	1.1%	4.76	4.97	+0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		111	9	200	916	156	194	10	8%	1.8	17.0%	21.2%	-4.2%	1.1%	4.76	4.97	+0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jose Meneses (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.02	22.8%	15.8%	2.7%	—	4.47	24.0%	11.7%	163	-0.55	—	—	—
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	92
Seth Clark L 2023 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.287	5.23	18.4%	0.6%	82	+1.00	4.23	128	90
Andrew Walling L 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SU	4.20	23.7%	14.8%	2.2%	.272	3.89	22.1%	8.8%	105	-0.31	3.14	161	87
Jonathan Hennigan L 2017 · 4.08 FIP	22	SU	4.08	22.0%	13.6%	2.0%	.341	3.57	17.5%	5.8%	119	-0.51	3.46	265	87
Jeff Belge L 2021 · 4.91 FIP	23	SU	4.91	24.0%	18.8%	2.7%	.343	3.68	24.2%	10.4%	131	-1.23	3.30	175	86
Keylan Killgore L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	22	SU	4.23	20.7%	12.7%	2.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	161	85
Nick Jones L 2022 · 4.21 FIP	23	SU	4.21	22.3%	17.9%	1.3%	.284	3.63	21.7%	12.0%	143	-0.58	1.32	201	83
Joseph Menefee L 2023 · 4.50 FIP	23	SU	4.50	21.9%	18.5%	1.7%	.361	4.71	24.8%	6.0%	99	+0.21	3.22	146	83
Trevor Seidenberger L 2015 · 4.64 FIP	23	SU	4.64	18.1%	14.3%	2.3%	.248	6.29	13.1%	-1.8%	52	+1.65	4.64	101	82
Angel Hernandez L 2022 · 5.53 FIP	22	SU	5.53	23.4%	21.0%	3.2%	.262	4.36	21.2%	1.6%	123	-1.17	3.33	182	82
Carlos Rey L 2024 · 4.47 FIP	22	SU	4.47	26.1%	22.0%	1.4%	.297	4.30	25.5%	5.4%	108	-0.17	3.90	165	82
Ty Madrigal L 2021 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	19.3%	15.7%	2.0%	.329	5.75	17.6%	2.4%	49	+1.19	4.56	107	82
Evan Taylor L 2022 · 4.31 FIP	22	SU	4.31	28.1%	16.5%	2.7%	.304	3.19	21.9%	10.0%	150	-1.12	3.09	225	82
Triston Polley L 2021 · 4.88 FIP	24	SU	4.88	22.3%	20.0%	2.1%	.361	4.77	18.5%	5.2%	136	-0.11	4.15	151	82
Dillon Larsen L 2022 · 5.90 FIP	24	SU	5.90	21.7%	21.6%	3.5%	.277	4.65	18.0%	-4.1%	91	-1.25	4.04	120	81
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	81
Brandon Neeck L 2023 · 4.19 FIP	23	SU	4.19	21.0%	13.9%	2.0%	.419	4.24	22.9%	8.7%	176	+0.05	3.24	203	81
Austin Hamilton L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	17.0%	15.6%	2.3%	.329	4.20	16.3%	8.9%	109	-0.72	4.02	135	81
Sean Mellen L 2021 · 4.59 FIP	23	SU	4.59	21.5%	12.1%	3.2%	.364	4.01	21.3%	10.9%	55	-0.58	4.01	101	81
Julian Bosnic L 2023 · 5.72 FIP	23	SU	5.72	22.5%	21.0%	3.4%	.206	4.74	19.1%	-0.1%	90	-0.98	4.31	136	81

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.5	50	24.1%	12.3%	1.03	4.54
David Aardsma ('15)	1.7	48	23.1%	12.4%	1.09	4.27
José Cisnero ('24)	1.4	46	24.0%	11.3%	1.01	4.16
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. ('16)	1.2	58	24.6%	11.1%	0.93	4.35
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*
Mac Scarce ('72-'78, 1 WAR*)	1.0	52	25.9%*	12.4%*	1.27*	4.17*