Aldo Leija — OGILVIE

Aldo Leija P ACL Padres

Age 22 RHP 6'2" / 160 lbs ROK peak 0.2 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126118vR 110

ERA4.89

FIP4.89

K%22.7%

BB%13.3%

K-BB%9.4%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres	12	12	43	169	54	8	3	100%	3.6	21.7%	5.9%	15.8%	2.5%	1.87	3.41	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL Padres	12	12	43	169	54	8	3	100%	3.6	32.0%	4.7%	27.2%	1.8%	1.87	2.06	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	2	2	3	11	4	1	0	100%	1.5	36.4%	9.1%	27.3%	0.0%	0.00	1.18	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	2	2	3	11	4	1	0	100%	1.5	36.4%	9.1%	27.3%	0.0%	0.00	1.18	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	ACL Padres	2	2	3	11	4	1	0	100%	1.5	36.4%	9.1%	27.3%	0.0%	0.00	1.43	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	13	3	22	93	26	13	2	23%	1.7	19.0%	17.5%	1.5%	3.4%	4.57	5.56	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	13	3	22	93	26	13	2	23%	1.7	19.0%	17.5%	1.5%	3.4%	4.57	5.56	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	ACL Padres	13	3	22	93	26	13	2	23%	1.7	28.0%	14.0%	14.0%	2.2%	4.57	3.70	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	22	MLB	SD	1	1	1	4	1	1	0	100%	1.0	22.7%	13.3%	9.4%	3.0%	4.89	4.89	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	SD	4	4	20	85	20	10	3	100%	5.0	23.5%	11.8%	11.7%	3.0%	4.70	4.61	+0.1
2027	23	MLB CTX	SD	2	2	10	42	10	5	1	100%	5.0	23.5%	11.8%	11.7%	3.0%	4.70	4.61	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		2	2	10	42	10	5	1	100%	5.0	23.5%	11.8%	11.7%	3.0%	4.70	4.23	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		37	37	200	844	201	101	20	100%	5.3	23.5%	11.8%	11.7%	3.0%	4.70	4.23	+1.6
Career	—	MLE		27	17	68	273	58	27	7	63%	2.5	21.4%	10.0%	11.4%	2.7%	2.65	4.06	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		79	50	200	803	172	80	22	63%	2.5	21.4%	10.0%	11.4%	2.7%	2.65	4.06	+0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Aldo Leija (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.89	22.7%	13.3%	3.0%	—	4.61	23.5%	11.7%	20	-0.28	—	—	—
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.38	17.8%	5.3%	123	-0.47	3.90	164	82
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	82
Chad Donato R 2017 · 3.85 FIP	22	SP-	3.85	20.9%	11.4%	2.0%	.333	3.99	21.4%	12.6%	184	+0.14	2.89	439	79
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.16	23.1%	9.1%	200	-1.68	3.51	223	77
Jared Ruxer R 2015 · 4.16 FIP	23	SP-	4.16	17.3%	10.6%	2.1%	.333	4.29	14.9%	7.5%	240	+0.13	3.39	270	77
Chris Campos R 2023 · 4.91 FIP	22	SP-	4.91	21.0%	11.8%	3.8%	.364	4.57	18.7%	11.7%	237	-0.34	4.54	306	77
Casey Legumina R 2021 · 4.08 FIP	24	SP-	4.08	23.3%	9.3%	3.2%	.260	4.36	19.8%	10.9%	189	+0.28	3.06	349	76
Victor Simeon R 2023 · 5.53 FIP	22	SW	5.53	20.3%	15.7%	3.9%	.333	3.87	25.6%	5.4%	81	-1.66	3.22	180	76
Hunter Gregory R 2022 · 3.90 FIP	23	SP-	3.90	21.2%	8.7%	2.7%	.374	4.56	20.4%	7.8%	188	+0.66	3.84	249	75
Noah Skirrow R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SP-	4.55	18.4%	11.5%	2.8%	.306	4.72	16.0%	6.0%	316	+0.17	3.97	371	75
Jake Lyons R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	22	SP-	4.46	21.8%	13.9%	2.6%	.325	4.64	19.4%	9.2%	105	+0.18	4.13	174	75
Keagan Gillies R 2022 · 5.68 FIP	24	SP-	5.68	17.2%	11.3%	4.7%	.370	3.54	23.4%	13.8%	142	-2.14	2.93	176	74
Trayson Kubo R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	21	SW	5.01	19.8%	15.6%	2.9%	.450	4.82	17.7%	1.4%	66	-0.19	4.48	107	74
Darren Bowen R 2023 · 3.82 FIP	22	SP-	3.82	19.0%	12.8%	1.3%	.236	5.41	15.1%	4.2%	223	+1.59	3.82	278	74
Michael Cederoth R 2015 · 4.10 FIP	22	SP-	4.10	16.8%	13.0%	1.4%	.292	4.95	21.6%	2.4%	83	+0.85	4.10	118	74
Ryan Atkinson R 2016 · 4.58 FIP	23	SP-	4.58	18.4%	11.3%	2.9%	.315	4.48	21.6%	9.0%	305	-0.10	4.14	338	73
Mac Sceroler R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	22	SP-	4.46	17.6%	11.8%	2.5%	.318	4.34	18.4%	10.3%	200	-0.12	3.95	275	73
Marco Jimenez R 2022 · 5.27 FIP	22	SP-	5.27	19.6%	17.7%	2.9%	.372	3.89	18.3%	6.7%	148	-1.38	3.36	183	73
Jharold Clemente R 2023 · 4.97 FIP	20	SP	4.97	17.5%	13.6%	3.0%	.258	5.11	13.3%	4.3%	92	+0.14	4.09	116	73
Eddy Peralta R 2023 · 4.65 FIP	20	SP-	4.65	22.0%	19.8%	1.6%	.342	3.96	21.0%	1.7%	86	-0.69	3.73	117	73