Raimy Rodriguez
P
Asheville Tourists
Age 21
RHP
6'1" / 195 lbs
A+
peak 0.3 · 2030
2026 ROS PROJECTION41 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 165156vR 146
ERA6.54
FIP6.54
K%15.2%
BB%22.7%
K-BB%-7.5%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 106 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL HOU Orange | 13 | 4 | 30 | 132 | 32 | 14 | 0 | 31% | 2.3 | 16.5% | 13.3% | 3.2% | 0.0% | 3.94 | 3.39 | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL HOU Orange | 13 | 4 | 30 | 132 | 32 | 14 | 0 | 31% | 2.3 | 24.2% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 0.0% | 3.94 | 2.36 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | FCL Astros | 10 | 3 | 32 | 147 | 46 | 25 | 1 | 30% | 3.2 | 21.3% | 21.3% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 5.12 | 4.29 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | FCL Astros | 10 | 3 | 32 | 147 | 46 | 25 | 1 | 30% | 3.2 | 31.3% | 17.0% | 14.3% | 0.7% | 5.12 | 2.97 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | 25 | 10 | 83 | 419 | 90 | 76 | 2 | 40% | 3.3 | 15.9% | 21.4% | -5.5% | 0.5% | 6.53 | 4.74 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | 25 | 10 | 83 | 419 | 90 | 76 | 2 | 40% | 3.3 | 21.5% | 18.1% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 6.53 | 4.00 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | 26 | 20 | 93 | 415 | 94 | 73 | 8 | 77% | 3.6 | 16.8% | 20.8% | -4.0% | 2.5% | 4.95 | 5.68 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | 26 | 20 | 93 | 415 | 94 | 73 | 8 | 77% | 3.6 | 22.7% | 17.6% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 4.95 | 4.56 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | 21 | 0 | 41 | 208 | 49 | 41 | 5 | 0% | 2.0 | 16.8% | 23.4% | -6.5% | 3.2% | 6.15 | 6.38 | -0.9 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | HOU | 62 | 0 | 65 | 274 | 42 | 62 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.2% | 22.7% | -7.5% | 2.7% | 6.54 | 6.54 | -1.4 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15.2% | 22.7% | -7.5% | 2.7% | 6.54 | 6.54 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 21 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 106 | 482 | 91 | 103 | 12 | — | — | 18.8% | 21.4% | -2.6% | 2.6% | 6.39 | 6.48 | -1.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 21 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 15.2% | 22.7% | -7.5% | 2.7% | 6.54 | 6.16 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | HOU | 65 | 0 | 68 | 288 | 50 | 56 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.3% | 19.3% | -2.0% | 2.6% | 6.08 | 5.92 | -1.0 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB | HOU | 67 | 0 | 71 | 299 | 55 | 51 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.5% | 17.1% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 5.70 | 5.53 | -0.6 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB | HOU | 69 | 0 | 72 | 306 | 59 | 48 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.3% | 15.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 5.42 | 5.28 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | HOU | 32 | 0 | 34 | 144 | 25 | 28 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.3% | 19.3% | -2.0% | 2.6% | 6.08 | 5.92 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB | HOU | 50 | 0 | 52 | 220 | 41 | 38 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.5% | 17.1% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 5.70 | 5.53 | -0.6 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB | HOU | 57 | 0 | 60 | 253 | 49 | 40 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.3% | 15.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 5.42 | 5.28 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 139 | 0 | 146 | 615 | 114 | 105 | 16 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.5% | 17.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 5.67 | 5.14 | +0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 157 | 144 | 22 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.5% | 17.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 5.67 | 5.14 | +0.6 | ||
| Career | — | 95 | 37 | 278 | 1321 | 224 | 273 | 20 | 39% | 2.9 | 17.0% | 20.7% | -3.7% | 1.5% | 5.51 | 5.11 | +0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 68 | 27 | 200 | 952 | 161 | 197 | 14 | 39% | 2.9 | 17.0% | 20.7% | -3.7% | 1.5% | 5.51 | 5.11 | +0.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Raimy Rodriguez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 6.54 | 15.2% | 22.7% | 2.7% | — | 5.57 | 18.4% | 1.0% | 211 | -0.97 | — | — | — |
| Reynardo Cruz R 2025 · 5.65 FIP | 20 | SW | 5.65 | 16.1% | 18.2% | 2.9% | .252 | 4.79 | 16.3% | -1.2% | 66 | -0.86 | 3.94 | 216 | 85 |
| Johan Moreno R 2026 · 6.39 FIP | 21 | SW | 6.39 | 13.2% | 16.7% | 4.2% | .325 | 4.18 | 20.7% | 8.6% | 105 | -2.21 | 3.13 | 206 | 83 |
| Drew Conover R 2028 · 6.30 FIP | 23 | SW | 6.30 | 15.6% | 29.8% | 1.4% | .272 | 5.34 | 11.7% | -3.6% | 96 | -0.96 | 4.52 | 135 | 82 |
| Garrett Nuss R 2027 · 5.91 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.91 | 14.1% | 14.9% | 3.8% | .352 | 4.67 | 15.0% | 5.3% | 92 | -1.24 | 4.56 | 174 | 82 |
| Ted Stuka R 2029 · 5.78 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.78 | 12.4% | 23.4% | 1.4% | .262 | 6.34 | 15.9% | -13.1% | 41 | +0.56 | 5.51 | 105 | 81 |
| Kendy Richard R 2026 · 5.98 FIP | 21 | SW | 5.98 | 12.0% | 16.0% | 3.4% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.33 | 141 | 81 |
| Jol Concepcion R 2027 · 6.53 FIP | 22 | SW | 6.53 | 12.2% | 20.0% | 3.5% | .272 | 4.65 | 23.9% | 3.9% | 50 | -1.88 | 4.65 | 154 | 81 |
| Alejandro Hidalgo R 2025 · 5.89 FIP | 20 | SW | 5.89 | 16.0% | 21.7% | 2.5% | .283 | 6.33 | 22.1% | 8.9% | 127 | +0.44 | 4.23 | 251 | 81 |
| Mason McGwire R 2025 · 6.65 FIP | 20 | SP- | 6.65 | 11.7% | 21.2% | 3.4% | .298 | 3.50 | 23.5% | 12.6% | 52 | -3.15 | 3.50 | 128 | 81 |
| Hansel Rosario R 2026 · 5.40 FIP | 21 | SW | 5.40 | 19.2% | 22.2% | 2.0% | .306 | 6.91 | 16.3% | -21.0% | 19 | +1.51 | 5.08 | 107 | 81 |
| Alex Santos II R 2026 · 5.82 FIP | 21 | SW | 5.82 | 16.8% | 17.5% | 3.5% | .335 | 4.77 | 23.0% | 5.9% | 89 | -1.05 | 3.51 | 296 | 80 |
| Fabricio Reina R 2026 · 6.70 FIP | 21 | SW | 6.70 | 12.6% | 27.2% | 2.2% | .224 | 5.22 | 17.4% | -2.0% | 28 | -1.48 | 3.76 | 191 | 80 |
| Jefferson Medina R 2026 · 5.36 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.36 | 13.1% | 16.1% | 2.4% | .279 | 3.91 | 14.1% | 2.6% | 187 | -1.45 | 3.58 | 350 | 80 |
| Leudy Martinez R 2024 · 5.99 FIP | 19 | SW | 5.99 | 15.2% | 22.0% | 2.5% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.40 | 116 | 80 |
| Nestor Lorant R 2026 · 5.44 FIP | 21 | SW | 5.44 | 18.7% | 18.2% | 2.9% | .280 | 3.82 | 20.3% | 11.1% | 243 | -1.62 | 2.69 | 367 | 80 |
| Hunter Parks R 2026 · 5.41 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.41 | 18.7% | 16.8% | 3.2% | .312 | 5.36 | 17.8% | -0.6% | 163 | -0.05 | 3.51 | 278 | 78 |
| Jorge Juan R 2025 · 5.47 FIP | 20 | SW | 5.47 | 14.7% | 24.8% | 0.8% | .323 | 4.62 | 25.5% | 14.0% | 38 | -0.85 | 3.32 | 238 | 78 |
| Johsson Arias R 2027 · 5.43 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.43 | 8.5% | 17.1% | 1.6% | .244 | 3.64 | 15.9% | 4.4% | 77 | -1.79 | 3.46 | 117 | 78 |
| Joe Barlow R 2025 · 6.15 FIP | 20 | SW | 6.15 | 13.6% | 16.4% | 3.9% | .269 | 3.64 | 29.5% | 10.7% | 116 | -2.51 | 3.04 | 354 | 78 |
| Bryant Salgado R 2026 · 5.50 FIP | 21 | SW | 5.50 | 14.2% | 20.4% | 1.8% | .219 | 4.92 | 15.9% | 3.5% | 89 | -0.58 | 4.92 | 110 | 78 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 69 | 17.6% | 18.6% | 1.02 | 5.92 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |