Raimy Rodriguez — OGILVIE

Raimy Rodriguez P Asheville Tourists

Age 21 RHP 6'1" / 195 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION50 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 160152vR 144

ERA6.70

FIP6.70

K%15.2%

BB%23.9%

K-BB%-8.7%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 56 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL2020

CMD2525

K†3045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL HOU Orange	13	4	30	132	32	14	0	31%	2.3	16.5%	13.3%	3.2%	0.0%	3.94	3.39	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL HOU Orange	13	4	30	132	32	14	0	31%	2.3	24.2%	10.6%	13.6%	0.0%	3.94	2.36	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	10	3	32	147	46	25	1	30%	3.2	21.3%	21.3%	0.0%	0.7%	5.12	4.38	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	10	3	32	147	46	25	1	30%	3.2	21.3%	21.3%	0.0%	0.7%	5.12	4.38	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	FCL Astros	10	3	32	147	46	25	1	30%	3.2	31.3%	17.0%	14.3%	0.7%	5.12	2.97	—
2024	19	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	25	10	83	419	90	76	2	40%	3.3	15.9%	21.4%	-5.5%	0.6%	6.53	4.77	—
2024	19	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	25	10	83	419	90	76	2	40%	3.3	15.9%	21.4%	-5.5%	0.6%	6.53	4.77	—
2024	19	A RAW	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	25	10	83	419	90	76	2	40%	3.3	21.5%	18.1%	3.3%	0.5%	6.53	4.00	—
2025	20	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	26	20	93	415	94	73	8	77%	3.6	16.8%	20.8%	-4.0%	2.5%	4.95	5.68	—
2025	20	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	26	20	93	415	94	73	8	77%	3.6	16.8%	20.8%	-4.0%	2.5%	4.95	5.68	—
2025	20	A RAW	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	26	20	93	415	94	73	8	77%	3.6	22.7%	17.6%	5.1%	1.9%	4.95	4.56	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	27	0	50	253	56	48	5	0%	1.9	15.9%	22.3%	-6.4%	2.6%	6.08	6.00	—
YTD	21	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	27	0	50	253	56	48	5	0%	1.9	15.9%	22.3%	-6.4%	2.6%	6.08	6.00	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	21	A RAW	HOU	1	0	3	11	6	1	0	0%	3.3	54.5%	9.1%	45.5%	0.0%	0.00	-0.35	—
2026	21	A+ RAW	HOU	26	0	47	242	50	47	5	0%	1.8	20.7%	19.4%	1.2%	2.1%	6.51	4.95	—
ROS	21	MLB MLE	HOU	5	0	5	23	4	6	1	0%	1.1	15.2%	23.9%	-8.7%	2.7%	6.70	6.70	-0.1
2026 TOT	21	MLB MLE	HOU	—	—	56	276	60	54	6	—	—	21.6%	19.4%	2.2%	2.0%	6.14	6.07	-0.9
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	HOU	83	0	88	370	63	74	10	0%	1.1	17.2%	20.1%	-2.9%	2.7%	6.20	6.03	-1.3
2028	23	MLB MLE	HOU	87	0	91	384	70	68	10	0%	1.0	18.3%	17.6%	0.7%	2.6%	5.79	5.61	-1.0
2029	24	MLB MLE	HOU	89	0	93	394	75	63	10	0%	1.0	19.1%	16.0%	3.0%	2.6%	5.49	5.34	-0.8
2030	25	MLB MLE	HOU	90	0	94	399	78	60	10	0%	1.0	19.5%	15.0%	4.5%	2.6%	5.29	5.18	-0.7
2031	26	MLB MLE	HOU	90	0	94	399	79	60	10	0%	1.0	19.7%	15.0%	4.7%	2.6%	5.21	5.15	-0.6
2032	27	MLB MLE	HOU	89	0	93	393	77	59	10	0%	1.0	19.7%	15.1%	4.6%	2.7%	5.20	5.19	-0.7
2033	28	MLB MLE	HOU	86	0	90	381	75	58	11	0%	1.0	19.6%	15.2%	4.4%	2.8%	5.25	5.28	-0.7
2034	29	MLB MLE	HOU	82	0	86	364	70	56	11	0%	1.0	19.3%	15.4%	3.9%	2.9%	5.34	5.41	-0.8
2035	30	MLB MLE	HOU	77	0	81	342	65	54	11	0%	1.1	19.0%	15.8%	3.2%	3.1%	5.49	5.58	-0.9
2027	22	MLB CTX	HOU	41	0	43	182	31	36	5	0%	1.0	17.2%	20.1%	-2.9%	2.7%	6.20	6.03	-0.7
2028	23	MLB CTX	HOU	63	0	66	279	51	49	7	0%	1.0	18.3%	17.6%	0.7%	2.6%	5.79	5.61	-0.7
2029	24	MLB CTX	HOU	73	0	77	325	62	52	9	0%	1.1	19.1%	16.0%	3.0%	2.6%	5.49	5.34	-0.7
2030	25	MLB CTX	HOU	79	0	83	350	68	53	9	0%	1.1	19.5%	15.0%	4.5%	2.6%	5.29	5.18	-0.6
2031	26	MLB CTX	HOU	82	0	86	363	72	54	10	0%	1.0	19.7%	15.0%	4.7%	2.6%	5.21	5.15	-0.6
2032	27	MLB CTX	HOU	82	0	86	363	72	55	10	0%	1.0	19.7%	15.1%	4.6%	2.7%	5.20	5.19	-0.6
2033	28	MLB CTX	HOU	80	0	84	355	69	54	10	0%	1.1	19.6%	15.2%	4.4%	2.8%	5.25	5.28	-0.7
2034	29	MLB CTX	HOU	78	0	82	346	67	53	10	0%	1.1	19.3%	15.4%	3.9%	2.9%	5.34	5.41	-0.8
2035	30	MLB CTX	HOU	73	0	77	325	62	51	10	0%	1.1	19.0%	15.8%	3.2%	3.1%	5.49	5.58	-0.8
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		653	0	686	2896	555	459	79	0%	1.1	19.2%	15.9%	3.3%	2.7%	5.42	4.99	-3.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	162	134	23	0%	1.1	19.2%	15.9%	3.3%	2.7%	5.42	4.99	-1.0
Career	—	MLE		101	37	287	1366	229	281	20	37%	2.8	16.8%	20.6%	-3.8%	1.5%	5.52	5.10	-8.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		70	26	200	952	160	196	14	37%	2.8	16.8%	20.6%	-3.8%	1.5%	5.52	5.10	-2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Raimy Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.70	15.2%	23.9%	2.7%	—	5.65	18.2%	0.3%	272	-1.05	—	—	—
Garrett Apker R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	23	SW	6.24	15.0%	18.8%	3.7%	.343	4.93	18.9%	5.2%	53	-1.31	4.01	101	83
Garrett Nuss R 2015 · 5.71 FIP	22	SW	5.71	14.1%	14.9%	3.5%	.352	4.58	15.0%	5.3%	92	-1.13	4.57	174	82
Dominic Hambley R 2023 · 5.81 FIP	20	SW	5.81	16.4%	20.4%	2.8%	.318	4.66	17.9%	-4.3%	73	-1.15	4.44	131	82
Fabricio Reina R 2021 · 6.88 FIP	21	SW	6.88	12.6%	27.2%	2.5%	.224	5.16	17.4%	-2.0%	28	-1.72	3.76	191	81
Ted Stuka R 2021 · 5.72 FIP	24	SW	5.72	12.4%	23.4%	1.3%	.262	6.22	15.9%	-13.1%	41	+0.50	5.36	105	81
Alejandro Hidalgo R 2023 · 6.05 FIP	20	SW	6.05	16.0%	21.7%	2.8%	.283	6.53	21.9%	9.4%	148	+0.48	4.03	272	81
Jose Pena Jr. R 2023 · 6.67 FIP	20	SU	6.67	13.6%	25.8%	2.6%	.292	3.81	22.3%	9.1%	116	-2.86	3.48	176	81
Leudy Martinez R 2019 · 5.99 FIP	19	SW	5.99	15.2%	22.0%	2.5%	.292	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	116	80
Jol Concepcion R 2021 · 6.54 FIP	22	SW	6.54	12.2%	20.0%	3.5%	.272	4.60	23.9%	3.9%	50	-1.94	4.60	154	80
Jonny Cuevas R 2022 · 5.83 FIP	21	SU	5.83	12.3%	18.2%	2.7%	.281	4.59	13.5%	2.6%	225	-1.24	4.38	334	79
Nestor Lorant R 2023 · 5.53 FIP	21	SW	5.53	18.7%	18.2%	3.1%	.280	3.86	20.5%	11.3%	249	-1.67	2.73	373	79
Joe Barlow R 2016 · 6.15 FIP	20	SW	6.15	13.6%	16.4%	3.9%	.269	3.72	29.5%	10.7%	116	-2.43	2.99	354	79
Bryant Salgado R 2021 · 5.65 FIP	21	SW	5.65	14.2%	20.4%	2.1%	.219	4.83	15.9%	3.5%	89	-0.82	4.83	110	79
Yeriel Santos R 2023 · 5.89 FIP	19	SW	5.89	17.4%	22.9%	2.5%	.239	5.80	16.0%	-0.9%	276	-0.09	4.44	351	78
Vitico Valdez R 2023 · 5.68 FIP	19	SW	5.68	11.3%	19.8%	1.9%	.260	4.04	14.7%	-2.5%	43	-1.64	4.04	132	78
Juan Reynoso R 2023 · 6.29 FIP	19	SW	6.29	17.1%	28.3%	1.9%	.345	4.78	19.5%	2.2%	166	-1.51	3.61	251	77
Darlin Pinales R 2023 · 6.68 FIP	20	SW	6.68	17.0%	27.6%	2.8%	.350	4.44	21.7%	1.1%	117	-2.24	3.61	214	77
Alex Santos II R 2023 · 6.17 FIP	21	SW	6.17	16.8%	17.5%	4.1%	.335	4.57	24.8%	8.5%	106	-1.60	3.51	313	77
Erick Reynoso R 2023 · 6.37 FIP	20	SP-	6.37	10.7%	20.4%	2.9%	.305	6.44	14.9%	-7.7%	146	+0.07	6.06	180	76
Elian Rodriguez R 2018 · 6.43 FIP	21	SW	6.43	11.3%	28.5%	1.2%	.221	6.29	16.9%	-6.1%	61	-0.14	5.60	109	76

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	4.4	88	18.8%	16.7%	1.06	5.56
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Dakota Hudson ('24)	2.8	92	15.0%	11.1%	0.91	4.25
Aaron Sanchez ('22)	3.3	93	18.1%	10.0%	0.98	4.32