Jonny Cuevas — OGILVIE

Jonny Cuevas P Montgomery Biscuits

Age 25 RHP 6'3" / 200 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION53 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 140132vR 124

ERA5.64

FIP5.64

K%12.4%

BB%13.5%

K-BB%-1.0%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 59 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL4040

CMD3030

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	20	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	2	0	2	12	3	1	0	0%	1.2	25.0%	8.3%	16.7%	0.0%	7.71	2.04	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	FCL Rays	2	0	2	12	3	1	0	0%	1.2	25.0%	8.3%	16.7%	0.0%	7.71	1.81	—
2022	21	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	19	1	56	259	43	40	5	5%	2.9	12.3%	18.2%	-5.9%	2.7%	4.50	5.83	—
2022	21	A RAW	Charleston RiverDogs	19	1	56	259	43	40	5	5%	2.9	16.6%	15.4%	1.2%	1.9%	4.50	4.87	—
2023	22	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	25	20	102	435	74	38	8	80%	4.1	12.6%	10.3%	2.3%	2.2%	4.93	4.56	—
2023	22	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	25	20	102	435	74	38	8	80%	4.1	12.6%	10.3%	2.3%	2.2%	4.93	4.56	—
2023	22	A RAW	Charleston RiverDogs	25	20	102	435	74	38	8	80%	4.1	17.0%	8.7%	8.3%	1.8%	4.93	3.78	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	33	2	61	271	52	32	6	6%	1.8	15.2%	11.3%	3.9%	2.9%	3.69	4.87	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	33	2	61	271	52	32	6	6%	1.8	15.2%	11.3%	3.9%	2.9%	3.69	4.87	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	33	2	61	271	52	32	6	6%	1.8	19.2%	11.8%	7.4%	2.2%	3.69	4.25	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	2	65	265	44	29	5	6%	1.9	13.5%	11.7%	1.8%	1.7%	3.74	4.38	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	2	65	265	44	29	5	6%	1.9	13.5%	11.7%	1.8%	1.7%	3.74	4.38	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	35	2	65	265	44	29	5	6%	1.9	16.6%	10.9%	5.7%	1.9%	3.74	4.08	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	31	1	53	238	45	33	6	3%	1.7	15.5%	14.1%	1.4%	2.9%	5.09	5.17	—
YTD	25	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	31	1	53	238	45	33	6	3%	1.7	15.5%	14.1%	1.4%	2.9%	5.09	5.17	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	AA RAW	TB	23	0	38	161	27	19	3	0%	1.6	16.8%	11.8%	5.0%	1.9%	4.06	4.20	—
2026	25	AAA RAW	TB	8	1	15	77	18	14	3	12%	1.9	23.4%	18.2%	5.2%	3.9%	7.63	5.57	—
ROS	25	MLB MLE	TB	6	0	6	27	3	4	1	0%	1.1	12.4%	13.5%	-1.0%	2.7%	5.64	5.64	-0.1
2026 TOT	25	MLB MLE	TB	—	—	59	265	48	37	7	—	—	18.3%	13.8%	4.4%	2.5%	5.15	5.22	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	TB	67	0	70	296	43	38	8	0%	1.0	14.5%	13.0%	1.5%	2.8%	5.45	5.42	-0.7
2028	27	MLB MLE	TB	66	0	69	291	44	37	8	0%	1.0	15.2%	12.8%	2.4%	2.8%	5.37	5.37	-0.6
2029	28	MLB MLE	TB	64	0	67	282	44	36	8	0%	1.0	15.5%	12.8%	2.7%	2.9%	5.37	5.40	-0.6
2030	29	MLB MLE	TB	61	0	64	270	42	35	8	0%	1.0	15.4%	12.9%	2.5%	3.1%	5.44	5.51	-0.7
2027	26	MLB CTX	TB	30	0	31	131	19	17	4	0%	1.0	14.5%	13.0%	1.5%	2.8%	5.45	5.42	-0.3
2028	27	MLB CTX	TB	42	0	44	186	28	24	5	0%	1.0	15.2%	12.8%	2.4%	2.8%	5.37	5.37	-0.4
2029	28	MLB CTX	TB	49	0	51	215	33	27	6	0%	1.0	15.5%	12.8%	2.7%	2.9%	5.37	5.40	-0.5
2030	29	MLB CTX	TB	50	0	52	220	34	28	7	0%	1.0	15.4%	12.9%	2.5%	3.1%	5.44	5.51	-0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		169	0	177	748	114	96	22	0%	1.0	15.2%	12.8%	2.4%	2.9%	5.40	5.05	-1.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	129	108	25	0%	1.1	15.2%	12.8%	2.4%	2.9%	5.40	5.05	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		145	26	340	1480	203	188	36	18%	2.3	13.7%	12.7%	1.0%	2.4%	4.45	4.88	-2.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		85	15	200	871	120	111	21	18%	2.3	13.7%	12.7%	1.0%	2.4%	4.45	4.88	-2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jonny Cuevas (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.64	12.4%	13.5%	2.7%	—	5.40	15.0%	2.2%	206	-0.24	—	—	—
Clate Schmidt R 2019 · 5.66 FIP	25	SU	5.66	13.5%	13.9%	3.5%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.51	160	85
Kender Villegas R 2017 · 4.70 FIP	24	SU	4.70	13.3%	13.3%	1.9%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	3.26	131	85
Jarod Wright R 2022 · 5.73 FIP	25	SU	5.73	12.7%	13.2%	3.7%	.282	4.46	13.2%	3.8%	53	-1.27	4.46	170	84
Stephen Johnson R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	16.7%	12.7%	3.4%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	141	84
Jeff Soptic R 2016 · 5.52 FIP	25	SU	5.52	13.6%	15.3%	3.0%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	5.30	124	83
Juan Paniagua R 2015 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	15.7%	11.9%	2.6%	.262	4.63	16.2%	1.8%	93	-0.06	4.57	151	83
Jack Jasiak R 2023 · 5.03 FIP	22	SU	5.03	12.1%	14.2%	2.1%	.288	3.81	19.8%	12.1%	193	-1.22	3.24	262	83
Zach Nuding R 2015 · 4.76 FIP	25	SU	4.76	12.5%	10.5%	2.5%	.236	5.03	12.6%	3.3%	106	+0.27	4.76	146	82
Dillon McNamara R 2017 · 5.01 FIP	25	SW	5.01	13.3%	11.1%	3.0%	.229	3.00	21.2%	12.3%	69	-2.01	1.73	244	82
Conner O'Neil R 2019 · 5.78 FIP	24	SU	5.78	12.8%	13.6%	3.7%	.340	6.92	16.4%	4.1%	26	+1.14	2.89	115	82
Julian Arballo R 2015 · 5.13 FIP	27	SU	5.13	15.1%	13.8%	2.8%	.335	4.46	12.6%	0.6%	116	-0.67	4.45	214	82
Starling Peralta R 2016 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	9.9%	10.0%	1.7%	.261	—	—	—	—	—	4.49	117	82
Justin Camp R 2018 · 4.56 FIP	25	SU	4.56	13.2%	11.9%	1.9%	.296	—	—	—	—	—	2.59	140	81
Fernando Cruz R 2015 · 5.29 FIP	25	SU	5.29	15.6%	12.2%	3.6%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	2.50	371	81
James Pugliese R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	24	SW	4.72	12.5%	11.6%	2.2%	.226	—	—	—	—	—	2.52	218	81
Reece Karalus R 2018 · 4.73 FIP	24	SU	4.73	15.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	4.73	149	81
Tyler Burch R 2023 · 4.92 FIP	25	SU	4.92	15.0%	12.6%	2.7%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	119	81
Mike Hepple R 2015 · 4.46 FIP	25	SU	4.46	11.2%	12.9%	1.2%	.244	5.75	11.1%	-7.4%	59	+1.29	4.46	116	81
Philip Walby R 2017 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	12.7%	12.0%	1.7%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	137	81
El'Hajj Muhammad R 2016 · 4.58 FIP	25	SU	4.58	13.6%	10.0%	2.5%	.285	5.01	7.1%	-2.5%	11	+0.43	4.58	113	80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	68	14.6%	13.0%	1.11	5.46
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Eddie Butler ('18)	1.2	62	13.3%	9.8%	1.49	5.74
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Dylan Covey ('23)	1.5	73	15.4%	9.9%	1.53	6.14