Jonny Cuevas
P
Durham Bulls
Age 25
RHP
6'3" / 200 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION32 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 144135vR 126
ERA5.57
FIP5.57
K%12.6%
BB%13.4%
K-BB%-0.9%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 102 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | FCL Rays | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 25.0% | 8.3% | 16.7% | 0.0% | 7.71 | 2.04 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | FCL Rays | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 25.0% | 8.3% | 16.7% | 0.0% | 7.71 | 1.81 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 19 | 1 | 56 | 259 | 43 | 40 | 5 | 5% | 2.9 | 12.3% | 18.2% | -5.9% | 2.8% | 4.50 | 5.93 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 19 | 1 | 56 | 259 | 43 | 40 | 5 | 5% | 2.9 | 16.6% | 15.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 4.50 | 4.87 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 25 | 20 | 102 | 435 | 74 | 38 | 8 | 80% | 4.1 | 12.6% | 10.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.93 | 4.48 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 25 | 20 | 102 | 435 | 74 | 38 | 8 | 80% | 4.1 | 17.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 1.8% | 4.93 | 3.78 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 33 | 2 | 61 | 271 | 52 | 32 | 6 | 6% | 1.8 | 15.2% | 11.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.69 | 4.84 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 33 | 2 | 61 | 271 | 52 | 32 | 6 | 6% | 1.8 | 19.2% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 2.2% | 3.69 | 4.25 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 2 | 65 | 265 | 44 | 29 | 5 | 6% | 1.9 | 13.7% | 12.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.74 | 4.27 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 2 | 65 | 265 | 44 | 29 | 5 | 6% | 1.9 | 16.6% | 10.9% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 3.74 | 4.08 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AAA | Durham Bulls | 19 | 1 | 32 | 145 | 27 | 22 | 3 | 5% | 1.7 | 16.0% | 16.2% | -0.3% | 2.3% | 5.68 | 5.06 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | TB | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 37 | 40 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 12.6% | 13.4% | -0.9% | 2.6% | 5.57 | 5.57 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | TB | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 12.6% | 13.4% | -0.9% | 2.6% | 5.57 | 5.57 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | TB | — | — | 102 | 441 | 64 | 62 | 11 | — | — | 14.5% | 14.0% | 0.6% | 2.5% | 5.61 | 5.41 | -0.0 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | TB | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 12.6% | 13.4% | -0.9% | 2.6% | 5.57 | 5.19 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | TB | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 43 | 38 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.6% | 13.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 5.39 | 5.36 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | TB | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 44 | 37 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.3% | 12.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 5.32 | 5.32 | -0.5 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | TB | 30 | 0 | 31 | 131 | 19 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.6% | 13.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 5.39 | 5.36 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | TB | 42 | 0 | 44 | 186 | 28 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.3% | 12.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 5.32 | 5.32 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 72 | 0 | 76 | 320 | 48 | 41 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.0% | 12.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 5.35 | 4.96 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 127 | 108 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.0% | 12.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 5.35 | 4.96 | +1.0 | ||
| Career | — | 133 | 26 | 318 | 1387 | 190 | 179 | 31 | 20% | 2.4 | 13.7% | 12.9% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 4.47 | 4.82 | +2.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 84 | 16 | 200 | 871 | 119 | 112 | 20 | 20% | 2.4 | 13.7% | 12.9% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 4.47 | 4.82 | +1.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jonny Cuevas (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.57 | 12.6% | 13.4% | 2.6% | — | 5.34 | 14.9% | 2.1% | 139 | -0.23 | — | — | — |
| Aaron Northcraft R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.50 | 13.6% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .286 | 4.16 | 16.1% | 7.8% | 91 | -0.34 | 3.28 | 252 | 86 |
| Clate Schmidt R 2026 · 5.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.61 | 13.5% | 13.9% | 3.4% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 160 | 85 |
| Kender Villegas R 2025 · 4.55 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.55 | 13.3% | 13.3% | 1.6% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.18 | 131 | 84 |
| Juan Paniagua R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.75 | 15.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .262 | 4.62 | 16.2% | 1.8% | 93 | -0.13 | 4.51 | 151 | 83 |
| Jarod Wright R 2026 · 5.87 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.87 | 12.7% | 13.2% | 4.0% | .282 | 4.28 | 13.2% | 3.8% | 53 | -1.59 | 4.28 | 170 | 82 |
| Jeff Soptic R 2026 · 5.45 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.45 | 13.6% | 15.3% | 2.8% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.27 | 124 | 82 |
| Stephen Johnson R 2026 · 5.44 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.44 | 16.7% | 12.7% | 3.9% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 141 | 82 |
| Zach Nuding R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.09 | 12.5% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .236 | 4.99 | 12.6% | 3.3% | 106 | -0.10 | 4.99 | 146 | 82 |
| James Pugliese R 2025 · 4.90 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.90 | 12.5% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .226 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.52 | 218 | 81 |
| Conner O'Neil R 2025 · 5.58 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.58 | 12.8% | 13.6% | 3.3% | .340 | 7.24 | 16.4% | 4.1% | 26 | +1.66 | 2.90 | 115 | 81 |
| Justin Camp R 2026 · 5.00 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.00 | 13.2% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .296 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.59 | 140 | 81 |
| Starling Peralta R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.43 | 9.9% | 10.0% | 1.6% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.43 | 117 | 81 |
| Reece Karalus R 2025 · 4.81 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.81 | 15.4% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.74 | 149 | 81 |
| Dillon McNamara R 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.37 | 13.3% | 11.1% | 3.6% | .229 | 2.98 | 21.2% | 12.3% | 69 | -2.39 | 1.73 | 244 | 81 |
| Fernando Cruz R 2026 · 5.41 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.41 | 15.6% | 12.2% | 3.8% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.52 | 356 | 80 |
| Julian Arballo R 2028 · 5.47 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.47 | 15.1% | 13.8% | 3.5% | .335 | 4.38 | 12.6% | 0.6% | 116 | -1.09 | 4.28 | 214 | 80 |
| Tyler Burch R 2026 · 4.70 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.70 | 15.0% | 12.6% | 2.3% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.54 | 119 | 80 |
| El'Hajj Muhammad R 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.71 | 13.6% | 10.0% | 2.7% | .285 | 5.19 | 7.1% | -2.5% | 11 | +0.48 | 4.65 | 113 | 79 |
| Conor Steinbaugh R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.77 | 16.0% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .281 | 6.87 | 14.3% | 0.8% | 39 | +2.10 | 4.77 | 107 | 79 |
| Rob Huber R 2025 · 4.67 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.67 | 15.7% | 14.7% | 1.9% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 117 | 79 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 70 | 14.1% | 13.0% | 1.04 | 5.43 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |