Alejandro Rios
C ACL D-backs| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROKDSL D-backs R… | 69 | .097/.188/.129 | 0 | 0 | -42 | — | .063/.145/.079 |
| 2023 | 18 | ROKDSL Arizona R… | 71 | .158/.294/.193 | 0 | 0 | -1 | — | .102/.221/.119 |
| 2026 | 21 | A/ROKARI | 81 | .217/.333/.261 | 0 | 1 | 14 | — | .138/.222/.166 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 22 | MLBARI | 191 | .183/.253/.255 | 2 | 2 | 45 | -0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ34% MLB | 23 | MLBARI | 38 | .193/.262/.277 | 0 | 0 | 49 | -0.1 |
Tools · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL D-backs Red | — | 69 | 62 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 97 | 188 | 129 | 317 | 32 | 133 | 25 | 7 | 162 | -42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Arizona Red | — | 71 | 57 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 158 | 294 | 193 | 487 | 35 | 200 | 21 | 10 | 236 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A | Visalia Rawhide | — | 34 | 30 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 206 | 100 | 306 | 273 | 56 | 6 | 164 | -49 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026 | 21 | ROK | ACL D-backs | — | 47 | 39 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 308 | 426 | 385 | 810 | 77 | 414 | 21 | 17 | 374 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL D-backs Red | — | 69 | 63 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 63 | 145 | 79 | 224 | 16 | 89 | 30 | 6 | 106 | -42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Arizona Red | — | 71 | 59 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 102 | 221 | 119 | 339 | 17 | 127 | 25 | 7 | 166 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A MLE | Visalia Rawhide | — | 34 | 31 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 118 | 32 | 150 | 255 | 76 | 3 | 96 | -49 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026 | 21 | ROK MLE | ACL D-backs | — | 47 | 42 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 214 | 298 | 262 | 560 | 48 | 324 | 30 | 11 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL D-backs Red | — | 69 | 63 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 63 | 145 | 79 | 224 | 16 | 95 | 30 | 6 | 106 | -42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL D-backs Red | — | 69 | 62 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 97 | 188 | 129 | 317 | 32 | 133 | 25 | 7 | 162 | -42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Arizona Red | — | 71 | 59 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 102 | 221 | 119 | 339 | 17 | 136 | 25 | 7 | 166 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Arizona Red | — | 71 | 57 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 158 | 294 | 193 | 487 | 35 | 200 | 21 | 10 | 236 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 81 | 73 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 40 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 137 | 222 | 164 | 387 | 27 | 303 | 49 | 7 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 81 | 69 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 29 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 217 | 333 | 261 | 594 | 43 | 375 | 36 | 12 | 286 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL D-backs Red | — | 69 | 63 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 63 | 145 | 79 | 224 | 16 | 89 | 30 | 6 | 106 | -42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Arizona Red | — | 71 | 62 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 97 | 221 | 113 | 333 | 16 | 127 | 25 | 7 | 166 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 81 | 73 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 40 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 137 | 222 | 164 | 387 | 27 | 295 | 49 | 7 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 81 | 73 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 40 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 137 | 222 | 164 | 387 | 27 | 295 | 49 | 7 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB MLE | ARI | 0% | 191 | 173 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 69 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 183 | 253 | 255 | 507 | 72 | 289 | 36 | 7 | 235 | 45 | -13 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +4 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 23 | MLB MLE | ARI | 34% | 112 | 102 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 40 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 187 | 257 | 267 | 524 | 79 | 290 | 36 | 7 | 241 | 49 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +2 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB CTX | ARI | 34% | 38 | 35 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 193 | 262 | 277 | 539 | 84 | 300 | 37 | 8 | 247 | 49 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 38 | 35 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 171 | 237 | 200 | 437 | 29 | 286 | 37 | 8 | 247 | 16 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 599 | 103 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 51 | 239 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 172 | 237 | 200 | 437 | 28 | 286 | 37 | 8 | 247 | 16 | -39 | +0 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -1.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 389 | 348 | 48 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 139 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 138 | 221 | 178 | 399 | 40 | 222 | 36 | 7 | 192 | 16 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +4 | -0.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 581 | 81 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 45 | 232 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 139 | 222 | 182 | 405 | 43 | 223 | 36 | 7 | 192 | 16 | -40 | +2 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -1.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 ROKACL D-backs · 47 PAwOBA .365 → .256 (−110)K% 21.3% → 30.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.28% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 30.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.02% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 10.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.03% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.985 | 25.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.34% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 7.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .365 → .256; ISO .077 → .052; BABIP .414 → .324. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AVisalia Rawhide · 34 PAwOBA .161 → .096 (−65)K% 55.9% → 76.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 55.88% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 76.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 4.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.88% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 4.66% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.27% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.015 | 25.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .161 → .096; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .273 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 DSLDSL Arizona Red · 71 PAwOBA .241 → .166 (−75)K% 21.1% → 25.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.13% | ÷0.999 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.86% | ÷1.015 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 6.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.63% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 3.97% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.076 | ×0.680 | ×0.990 | ×1.008 | 10.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.76% | ÷0.936 | ×0.600 | ×0.990 | ×1.008 | 3.05% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.926 | ×0.600 | ×0.990 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.838 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 68, 1B 115, 2B 87, 3B 85, K 100, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .241 → .166; ISO .035 → .024; BABIP .200 → .127. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 DSLDSL D-backs Red · 69 PAwOBA .158 → .106 (−52)K% 24.6% → 30.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.64% | ÷0.987 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.25% | ÷0.977 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 5.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.90% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 2.07% |
| Singles /BIP | 8.89% | ÷0.994 | ×0.680 | ×0.996 | ×1.022 | 6.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.44% | ÷1.007 | ×0.600 | ×0.996 | ×1.022 | 2.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.600 | ×0.996 | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 99, 2B 101, 3B 130, K 97, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.
Result: wOBA .158 → .106; ISO .032 → .019; BABIP .133 → .089. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).