Julio Carrion
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | ROKLAD | 214 | .253/.382/.368 | 3 | 2 | 41 | — | .172/.274/.247 |
| 2022 | 23 | ALAA | 296 | .246/.374/.414 | 10 | 5 | 40 | — | .158/.259/.247 |
| 2023 | 24 | A+/AARI | 170 | .233/.282/.352 | 3 | 0 | 13 | — | .155/.200/.236 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 20 | ROK | AZL Dodgers Lasorda | — | 150 | 126 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 41 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 183 | 299 | 270 | 569 | 87 | 244 | 27 | 11 | 266 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 21 | INTL | RA12 | — | 49 | 43 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 116 | 224 | 163 | 387 | 47 | 227 | 43 | 10 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | ROK | ACL Dodgers | — | 214 | 174 | 44 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 45 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 253 | 382 | 368 | 750 | 115 | 320 | 21 | 13 | 344 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 296 | 244 | 60 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 41 | 99 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 246 | 374 | 414 | 788 | 168 | 365 | 33 | 14 | 356 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Hillsboro Hops | — | 18 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 222 | 235 | 458 | 59 | 214 | 17 | 6 | 211 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A | Visalia Rawhide | — | 152 | 142 | 34 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 61 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 239 | 289 | 366 | 656 | 127 | 397 | 40 | 5 | 294 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 20 | ROK MLE | AZL Dodgers Lasorda | — | 150 | 132 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 59 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 114 | 204 | 159 | 363 | 45 | 180 | 39 | 7 | 176 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | ROK MLE | ACL Dodgers | — | 214 | 186 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 67 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 172 | 274 | 247 | 521 | 75 | 235 | 31 | 7 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 296 | 259 | 41 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 145 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 158 | 259 | 247 | 506 | 89 | 308 | 49 | 9 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ MLE | Hillsboro Hops | — | 18 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 222 | 235 | 458 | 59 | 191 | 22 | 6 | 166 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A MLE | Visalia Rawhide | — | 152 | 144 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 81 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 153 | 197 | 236 | 433 | 83 | 333 | 53 | 3 | 190 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK MLE | AZL Dodgers Lasorda | — | 150 | 132 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 59 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 114 | 204 | 159 | 363 | 45 | 187 | 39 | 7 | 176 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK RAW | AZL Dodgers Lasorda | — | 150 | 126 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 41 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 183 | 299 | 270 | 569 | 87 | 244 | 27 | 11 | 266 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 21 | INTL MLE | RA12 | — | 49 | 43 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 116 | 224 | 163 | 387 | 47 | 227 | 43 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 21 | INTL RAW | RA12 | — | 49 | 43 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 116 | 224 | 163 | 387 | 47 | 227 | 43 | 10 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | ROK MLE | ACL Dodgers | — | 214 | 186 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 67 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 172 | 274 | 247 | 521 | 75 | 252 | 31 | 7 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | ROK RAW | ACL Dodgers | — | 214 | 174 | 44 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 45 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 253 | 382 | 368 | 750 | 115 | 320 | 21 | 13 | 344 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 296 | 259 | 41 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 145 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 158 | 259 | 247 | 506 | 89 | 324 | 49 | 9 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A RAW | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 296 | 244 | 60 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 41 | 99 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 246 | 374 | 414 | 788 | 168 | 365 | 33 | 14 | 356 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 170 | 162 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 85 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 194 | 235 | 429 | 80 | 307 | 50 | 3 | 187 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 170 | 159 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 64 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 233 | 282 | 352 | 635 | 119 | 370 | 38 | 5 | 286 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK MLE | AZL Dodgers Lasorda | — | 150 | 134 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 59 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 112 | 204 | 157 | 361 | 45 | 180 | 39 | 7 | 176 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | ROK MLE | ACL Dodgers | — | 214 | 186 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 67 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 172 | 274 | 247 | 521 | 75 | 235 | 31 | 7 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 296 | 259 | 41 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 145 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 158 | 259 | 247 | 506 | 89 | 308 | 49 | 9 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 170 | 160 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 85 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 156 | 194 | 237 | 432 | 81 | 318 | 50 | 3 | 187 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 879 | 782 | 118 | 22 | 3 | 10 | 62 | 377 | 28 | 9 | 3 | 151 | 239 | 225 | 464 | 74 | 269 | 43 | 7 | 199 | 21 | -83 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +19 | -6.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 578 | 86 | 16 | 2 | 7 | 46 | 279 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 149 | 237 | 220 | 457 | 71 | 266 | 43 | 7 | 199 | 21 | -61 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -4.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2023 AVisalia Rawhide · 152 PAwOBA .286 → .190 (−97)K% 40.1% → 53.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 40.13% | ÷1.019 | ×1.360 | — | — | 53.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.61% | ÷0.987 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.970 | 3.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.97% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.970 | 1.49% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.40% | ÷1.060 | ×0.920 | ×1.016 | ×0.970 | 24.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.64% | ÷1.029 | ×0.830 | ×1.016 | ×0.970 | 6.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.23% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×1.016 | ×0.970 | 1.23% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.70% | ÷1.003 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.970 | 2.87% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 112, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 104, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.0 → −3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .286 → .190; ISO .127 → .080; BABIP .397 → .333. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Hillsboro Hops · 18 PAwOBA .205 → .166 (−40)K% 16.7% → 22.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.67% | ÷0.987 | ×1.350 | — | — | 22.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.56% | ÷1.038 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 3.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷0.980 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.978 | 12.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷0.947 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.978 | 6.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.952 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 96, 2B 89, 3B 80, K 97, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .205 → .166; ISO .059 → .048; BABIP .214 → .191. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes · 296 PAwOBA .350 → .228 (−122)K% 33.4% → 48.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.45% | ÷0.930 | ×1.360 | — | — | 48.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.85% | ÷1.072 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 8.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.04% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 2.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.59% | ÷0.981 | ×0.920 | ×0.955 | ×0.980 | 24.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.21% | ÷0.923 | ×0.830 | ×0.955 | ×0.980 | 5.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.69% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.955 | ×0.980 | 0.51% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.90% | ÷1.247 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 4.34% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 149, 1B 96, 2B 85, 3B 130, K 86, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.955.
Result: wOBA .350 → .228; ISO .168 → .093; BABIP .365 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKACL Dodgers · 214 PAwOBA .339 → .229 (−111)K% 21.0% → 31.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.03% | ÷0.973 | ×1.440 | — | — | 31.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.62% | ÷1.007 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.965 | 7.50% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.67% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 3.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.03% | ÷0.996 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×0.965 | 18.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.98% | ÷0.942 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×0.965 | 4.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.78% | ÷1.150 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×0.965 | 0.44% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.33% | ÷1.068 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.965 | 1.64% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 114, 1B 99, 2B 88, 3B 130, K 95, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .339 → .229; ISO .115 → .076; BABIP .320 → .235. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 ROKAZL Dodgers Lasorda · 150 PAwOBA .265 → .176 (−89)K% 27.3% → 39.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.33% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 39.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 6.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.33% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 2.36% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.82% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×0.985 | 14.44% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×0.985 | 3.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.35% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 1.81% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .265 → .176; ISO .087 → .058; BABIP .244 → .180. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .