Julio Carrion

Pos3B
B/TR/R
Born1998-12-29
Age (2027)28
No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.
Overview
ALAST SEASON 2023
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202122ROKLAD214.253/.382/.3683241—.172/.274/.247
202223ALAA296.246/.374/.41410540—.158/.259/.247
202324A+/AARI170.233/.282/.3523013—.155/.200/.236
Contract
No contract data on file.
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2023 A
ISO61
wOBA34
wRC+32
Speed19
Z-Con%10
Chase%8

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201920 ROKAZL Dodgers Lasorda — 150126 23502 16415 20 183299270569 87244 2711 266 5 — — — — — —
202021 INTLRA12 — 4943 5200 5211 02 116224163387 47227 4310 194 17 — — — — — —
202122 ROKACL Dodgers — 214174 44913 274510 20 253382368750 115320 2113 344 41 — — — — — —
202223 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes — 296244 609110 41999 51 246374414788 168365 3314 356 40 — — — — — —
202324 A+Hillsboro Hops — 1817 3100 130 00 176222235458 59214 176 211 -1 — — — — — —
202324 AVisalia Rawhide — 152142 34713 7613 00 239289366656 127397 405 294 15 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201920 ROK MLEAZL Dodgers Lasorda — 150132 15301 10595 20 114204159363 45180 397 176 5 — — — — — —
202122 ROK MLEACL Dodgers — 214186 32612 166710 20 172274247521 75235 317 229 41 — — — — — —
202223 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 296259 41615 261459 51 158259247506 89308 499 228 40 — — — — — —
202324 A+ MLEHillsboro Hops — 1817 3100 140 00 176222235458 59191 226 166 -1 — — — — — —
202324 A MLEVisalia Rawhide — 152144 22412 5813 00 153197236433 83333 533 190 15 — — — — — —
201920 ROK MLEAZL Dodgers Lasorda — 150132 15301 10595 20 114204159363 45187 397 176 5 — — — — — —
201920 ROK RAWAZL Dodgers Lasorda — 150126 23502 16415 20 183299270569 87244 2711 266 5 — — — — — —
202021 INTL MLERA12 — 4943 5200 5211 02 116224163387 47227 4310 — — — — — — — —
202021 INTL RAWRA12 — 4943 5200 5211 02 116224163387 47227 4310 194 17 — — — — — —
202122 ROK MLEACL Dodgers — 214186 32612 166710 20 172274247521 75252 317 229 41 — — — — — —
202122 ROK RAWACL Dodgers — 214174 44913 274510 20 253382368750 115320 2113 344 41 — — — — — —
202223 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 296259 41615 261459 51 158259247506 89324 499 228 40 — — — — — —
202223 A RAWRancho Cucamonga Quakes — 296244 609110 41999 51 246374414788 168365 3314 356 40 — — — — — —
202324 A MLE2 teams — 170162 25512 5853 00 154194235429 80307 503 187 13 — — — — — —
202324 A RAW2 teams — 170159 37813 8643 00 233282352635 119370 385 286 13 — — — — — —
201920 ROK MLEAZL Dodgers Lasorda — 150134 15301 10595 20 112204157361 45180 397 176 5 — — — — — —
202122 ROK MLEACL Dodgers — 214186 32612 166710 20 172274247521 75235 317 229 41 — — — — — —
202223 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 296259 41615 261459 51 158259247506 89308 499 228 40 — — — — — —
202324 A MLE2 teams — 170160 25512 5853 00 156194237432 81318 503 187 13 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals
Career— MLE — 879782 11822310 6237728 93 151239225464 74269 437 199 21 -83 +1 +0 +3 +19 -6.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650578 861627 4627921 72 149237220457 71266 437 199 21 -61 +1 +0 +2 +14 -4.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2023 AVisalia Rawhide · 152 PAwOBA .286 → .190 (−97)K% 40.1% → 53.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA40.13%÷1.019×1.360——53.55%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.61%÷0.987×0.690—×0.9703.12%
HBP% /PA1.97%—×0.780—×0.9701.49%
Singles /BIP28.40%÷1.060×0.920×1.016×0.97024.29%
Doubles /BIP8.64%÷1.029×0.830×1.016×0.9706.87%
Triples /BIP1.23%÷0.900×0.910×1.016×0.9701.23%
Home runs /BIP3.70%÷1.003×0.800—×0.9702.87%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 112, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 104, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.0 → −3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.

Result: wOBA .286 → .190; ISO .127 → .080; BABIP .397 → .333. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Hillsboro Hops · 18 PAwOBA .205 → .166 (−40)K% 16.7% → 22.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.67%÷0.987×1.350——22.79%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.56%÷1.038×0.710—×0.9783.72%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.810—×0.9780.00%
Singles /BIP14.29%÷0.980×0.910—×0.97812.97%
Doubles /BIP7.14%÷0.947×0.830—×0.9786.12%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.820—×0.9780.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.952×0.830—×0.9780.00%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 96, 2B 89, 3B 80, K 97, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .205 → .166; ISO .059 → .048; BABIP .214 → .191. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes · 296 PAwOBA .350 → .228 (−122)K% 33.4% → 48.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA33.45%÷0.930×1.360——48.92%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.85%÷1.072×0.690—×0.9808.73%
HBP% /PA3.04%—×0.780—×0.9802.32%
Singles /BIP27.59%÷0.981×0.920×0.955×0.98024.21%
Doubles /BIP6.21%÷0.923×0.830×0.955×0.9805.22%
Triples /BIP0.69%÷1.150×0.910×0.955×0.9800.51%
Home runs /BIP6.90%÷1.247×0.800—×0.9804.34%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 149, 1B 96, 2B 85, 3B 130, K 86, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.955.

Result: wOBA .350 → .228; ISO .168 → .093; BABIP .365 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 ROKACL Dodgers · 214 PAwOBA .339 → .229 (−111)K% 21.0% → 31.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.03%÷0.973×1.440——31.13%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.62%÷1.007×0.620—×0.9657.50%
HBP% /PA4.67%—×0.720—×0.9653.25%
Singles /BIP24.03%÷0.996×0.820×0.950×0.96518.14%
Doubles /BIP6.98%÷0.942×0.720×0.950×0.9654.89%
Triples /BIP0.78%÷1.150×0.720×0.950×0.9650.44%
Home runs /BIP2.33%÷1.068×0.780—×0.9651.64%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 114, 1B 99, 2B 88, 3B 130, K 95, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .339 → .229; ISO .115 → .076; BABIP .320 → .235. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 ROKAZL Dodgers Lasorda · 150 PAwOBA .265 → .176 (−89)K% 27.3% → 39.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.33%÷1.000×1.440——39.36%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.67%÷1.000×0.620—×0.9856.51%
HBP% /PA3.33%—×0.720—×0.9852.36%
Singles /BIP18.82%÷1.000×0.820×0.950×0.98514.44%
Doubles /BIP5.88%÷1.000×0.720×0.950×0.9853.96%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720×0.950×0.9850.00%
Home runs /BIP2.35%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9851.81%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .265 → .176; ISO .087 → .058; BABIP .244 → .180. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .