Jose Izarra — OGILVIE

Jose IzarraSS Great Lakes Loons

Age 24 R/R 5'11" / 175 lbs A+ HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION233 act + 155 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†34

AVG/OBP/SLG.178 / .253 / .271

PA155

HR2

SB5

K%37

BB%8

BABIP279

ISO93

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE49

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	20	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	25	23	6	1	0	0	1	10	1	1	0	261	320	304	624	43	462	40	4	258	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	25	23	9	1	0	0	1	7	1	1	0	391	440	435	875	43	562	28	4	398	163	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	455	409	66	12	2	5	30	205	11	10	3	161	238	237	475	76	299	45	7	215	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	455	398	87	18	3	7	41	145	11	10	3	219	309	332	641	113	319	32	9	291	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA	2 teams	—	122	106	14	3	1	1	12	60	3	3	2	132	240	208	447	75	289	49	10	207	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA	2 teams	—	122	97	19	4	1	2	21	42	3	3	2	196	355	320	675	124	321	34	17	317	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	A+	LAD	—	233	205	37	7	1	2	18	84	3	12	3	180	257	254	510	73	287	36	8	224	30	-19	+1	+0	+2	+7	-0.8
YTD	24	A+	LAD	—	233	198	45	9	2	2	25	63	3	12	3	227	323	323	646	96	316	27	11	290	80	-5	+1	+0	+2	+7	0.5
ROS	24	A+	LAD	0%	155	140	25	5	1	2	12	57	2	5	1	178	253	271	523	93	269	37	8	230	34	-12	+1	+0	+2	+4	-0.5
ROS	24	MLB	LAD	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						266	0	0	217	24	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	24	A+	LAD	—	234	206	37	7	1	2	18	84	3	12	3	180	256	252	508	73	285	36	8	224	30	-19	+1	+0	+3	+7	-0.8
TOT	24	A+	LAD	—	388	345	62	12	2	4	30	141	5	17	4	180	255	261	516	81	284	36	8	226	31	-30	+2	+0	+4	+11	-1.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	LAD	30%	293	264	48	9	2	4	23	103	4	7	2	182	258	277	534	95	272	35	8	243	44	-19	+1	+0	+3	+8	-0.7
2028	26	MLB	LAD	44%	356	320	59	11	2	6	28	122	5	8	2	184	261	287	548	103	274	34	8	252	51	-20	+1	+0	+4	+10	-0.5
2029	27	MLB	LAD	49%	380	341	63	12	2	6	31	128	5	9	2	185	263	284	547	100	275	34	8	255	54	-20	+1	+0	+4	+11	-0.4
2027	25	MLB	LAD	30%	89	81	14	3	0	1	7	31	1	2	1	173	247	247	494	74	268	35	8	230	34	-7	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.3
2028	26	MLB	LAD	44%	158	142	27	5	1	3	13	54	2	4	1	190	268	303	570	113	270	34	8	239	41	-11	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.4
2029	27	MLB	LAD	49%	186	166	31	6	1	3	15	63	3	4	1	187	266	289	555	102	271	34	8	243	44	-12	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	434	390	72	14	2	7	35	148	6	10	3	185	262	285	547	100	274	34	8	239	41	-29	+1	+0	+5	+12	-1.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	107	21	3	10	52	222	9	15	4	183	260	281	541	98	273	34	8	239	41	-44	+1	+0	+7	+18	-1.7
Career	—			—	1786	1603	281	53	10	24	137	685	31	43	12	175	253	266	519	90	284	38	8	237	39	-122	+4	+0	+19	+51	-5.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	103	19	4	9	50	249	11	16	4	177	254	269	524	93	286	38	8	237	39	-44	+2	+0	+7	+18	-1.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	20	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	25	23	9	1	0	0	1	7	1	1	0	391	440	435	875	43	562	28	4	398	163	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2023	21	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	455	398	87	18	3	7	41	145	11	10	3	219	309	332	641	113	319	32	9	291	81	-10	+1	—	—	+13	0.4
2024	22	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	73	61	10	3	0	1	11	30	0	3	1	164	292	262	554	98	300	41	15	261	58	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2024	22	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	49	36	9	1	1	1	10	12	3	0	1	250	449	417	866	167	348	24	20	400	164	+4	-0	—	—	+1	0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	433	7	10	186	260	288	+5	+3	-0.6	-0.3
	/162	664	11	16	186	260	288	+7.1	+4.6	-1.0	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Izarra (OGILVIE)	24	20	33	55	49	180/255/261	81	284	4	17	36%	8%	31	-1.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	35	36→40	52→50	40	172/231/233	61	252	4	15	32%	6%	24	-3.6	212/280/299	87	278	9	14	25%	8%	62	-0.9	207/281/290	83	267	10	16	25%	8%	57	-0.6
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	37→28	42→45	48→50	40	187/248/281	94	262	11	15	32%	6%	43	-2.2	194/265/312	118	265	14	14	31%	8%	59	-1.1	189/267/300	111	249	11	7	27%	9%	56	-0.5
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA	25	34	40→45	50→45	38	172/234/264	91	270	8	7	38%	7%	33	-2.9	198/262/311	113	286	10	8	32%	7%	57	-1.2	182/252/296	114	256	10	5	31%	7%	45	-1.0
✕Cody Bohanek 2019 · AAA	24	39→36	38→40	47→50	41	189/267/262	73	276	7	10	32%	7%	48	-1.9	173/266/261	88	295	8	12	40%	8%	48	-1.9	147/253/237	90	268	8	16	43%	8%	36	-1.6
✕Connor Blair 2022 · A	24	37	39→45	48→45	45	178/255/258	80	271	7	11	34%	9%	40	-2.4	199/285/312	113	313	12	8	37%	9%	68	-0.5	163/272/277	114	257	15	5	39%	11%	52	-0.5
✕Ethan Murray 2023 · AA	23	35→45	41→40	51→50	42	177/250/275	97	266	9	13	35%	8%	43	-2.2	197/270/288	91	301	7	12	34%	8%	55	-1.4	193/271/278	85	293	6	13	33%	8%	49	-1.1
✕Jayson Hernandez 2013 · AA	24	39	39→30	49→30	36	190/233/274	83	280	6	8	33%	5%	34	-2.8	215/261/287	72	286	5	5	25%	4%	50	-1.8	229/273/258	30	292	2	0	21%	3%	43	-0.8
✕Joe Cronin 2018 · A	24	36	40→45	46→50	45	178/268/270	92	268	8	8	34%	9%	50	-1.7	186/274/284	98	291	9	9	36%	9%	56	-1.3	170/264/263	93	267	9	10	36%	9%	45	-1.0
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	40	49→50	44	178/256/260	82	272	8	14	35%	9%	42	-2.3	211/287/303	92	304	7	12	30%	9%	66	-0.6	219/303/313	94	309	5	13	28%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Caleb Hamilton 2019 · A	24	34	41→45	45	46	172/252/271	98	253	7	6	33%	9%	43	-2.2	186/255/287	101	275	10	8	33%	8%	48	-1.9	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Jawuan Harris 2021 · A	24	36→24	39→40	54→55	40	166/257/253	87	306	7	18	44%	9%	42	-2.3	177/257/259	82	368	6	20	48%	9%	43	-2.2	92/195/135	43	236	2	38	55%	10%	-16	-1.7
✕Joe Donovan 2023 · A	24	35	43→45	51→40	35	174/245/285	111	285	11	7	41%	6%	44	-2.1	197/254/306	109	317	9	5	39%	5%	53	-1.5	196/252/314	118	301	9	0	36%	4%	50	-0.7
✕Ashford Fulmer 2017 · A	24	39	36→40	51→50	37	180/249/244	64	296	3	13	37%	6%	34	-2.8	203/266/281	78	292	4	12	30%	7%	50	-1.7	197/262/269	71	278	3	15	28%	6%	42	-1.1
✕Gift Ngoepe 2014 · AA	24	39→40	38→45	51→50	37	180/245/262	82	309	5	17	41%	7%	37	-2.6	203/256/312	109	315	10	11	36%	6%	55	-1.4	171/250/283	112	296	11	5	43%	9%	43	-0.9
✕Lucas Dunn 2023 · A	24	41→38	41→40	50	44	189/278/292	103	311	7	11	38%	10%	59	-1.1	187/266/281	94	293	9	12	36%	8%	52	-1.6	171/251/255	84	263	9	13	36%	8%	37	-1.6
✕Thomas Jones 2022 · A	24	36→37	40	52→50	37	175/253/268	93	281	8	17	38%	6%	43	-2.2	176/256/285	109	322	11	13	45%	7%	49	-1.8	110/204/224	114	226	14	10	54%	8%	11	-1.7
✕Chris Okey 2019 · AA	24	34	41→45	48→40	36	174/228/264	89	257	9	5	35%	6%	30	-3.1	192/248/306	114	290	13	4	36%	6%	50	-1.7	203/255/307	104	286	10	2	31%	5%	49	-0.5
✕Gunnar Heidt 2017 · A	24	38→39	41→45	48→50	39	188/245/290	102	278	8	15	34%	6%	44	-2.1	192/247/294	102	293	9	12	36%	6%	46	-2.0	188/243/286	98	278	10	9	34%	6%	40	-1.8
✕Andrés Alvarez 2021 · A	24	41→30	37→45	48→50	42	195/261/270	74	275	4	7	29%	7%	46	-2.0	201/266/321	120	293	13	15	34%	7%	62	-0.9	177/245/298	121	254	15	15	35%	7%	45	-1.1
✕J.T. Arruda 2022 · A	24	39→41	38→40	54→55	42	186/251/269	83	279	5	13	33%	8%	41	-2.3	201/275/292	91	299	6	20	32%	9%	58	-1.2	205/267/297	93	281	9	23	29%	7%	52	-0.8