Jose Izarra — OGILVIE

Jose IzarraSS Great Lakes Loons

Age 24 R/R 5'11" / 175 lbs A+ HR +8%BB -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION377 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†39

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP255

ISO80

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 23 / POW 32

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT23

scouting grade only

POWER32

scouting grade only

EYE48

scouting grade only

SPEED54

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	20	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	25	23	9	1	0	0	1	7	1	1	0	391	440	435	875	43	562	28	4	398	156	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2023	21	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	455	398	87	18	3	7	41	145	11	10	3	219	309	332	641	113	319	32	9	291	83	-9	+1	—	—	+10	0.2
2024	22	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	73	61	10	3	0	1	11	30	0	3	1	164	292	262	554	98	300	41	15	261	63	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2024	22	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	49	36	9	1	1	1	10	12	3	0	1	250	449	417	866	167	348	24	20	400	157	+3	-0	—	—	+1	0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	20	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	25	23	6	1	0	0	1	10	1	1	0	261	320	304	624	43	447	40	4	261	63	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2023	21	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	455	409	65	12	2	5	30	200	11	10	3	159	236	235	470	76	277	44	7	214	31	-37	+1	—	—	+10	-2.7
2024	22	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	—	73	65	8	2	0	1	7	38	0	3	1	123	208	200	408	77	265	52	10	184	11	-8	+0	—	—	+2	-0.6
2024	22	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	49	40	8	1	1	1	6	18	3	0	1	200	347	350	697	150	273	37	12	273	71	-2	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2022	20	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	25	23	6	1	0	0	1	10	1	1	0	261	320	304	624	43	462	40	4	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK RAW	ACL Dodgers	—	25	23	9	1	0	0	1	7	1	1	0	391	440	435	875	43	562	28	4	398	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	455	409	65	12	2	5	30	200	11	10	3	159	236	235	470	76	287	44	7	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A RAW	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	455	398	87	18	3	7	41	145	11	10	3	219	309	332	641	113	319	32	9	291	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	122	105	15	3	1	1	13	56	3	3	2	143	256	219	475	76	292	46	11	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA RAW	2 teams	—	122	97	19	4	1	2	21	42	3	3	2	196	355	320	675	124	321	34	17	317	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	25	23	6	1	0	0	1	10	1	1	0	261	320	304	624	43	447	40	4	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	455	411	65	12	2	5	30	200	11	10	3	158	236	234	469	75	277	44	7	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	122	105	15	3	1	1	13	56	3	3	2	143	256	219	475	76	268	46	11	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	455	411	65	12	2	5	30	200	11	10	3	158	236	234	469	75	277	44	7	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	122	105	15	3	1	1	13	56	3	3	2	143	256	219	475	76	268	46	11	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	A+ MLE	LAD	—	377	339	58	13	1	2	27	122	4	16	4	171	241	233	474	62	257	32	7	217	33	-30	+2	+0	+4	+8	-1.7
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	A+ RAW	LAD	—	204	175	40	8	2	2	21	54	3	10	2	229	322	331	653	103	311	26	10	293	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	AA RAW	LAD	—	173	153	30	8	0	1	17	40	1	6	2	196	281	268	549	72	259	23	10	254	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	24	A+ MLE	LAD	0%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		259	30	10	226	39	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	24	A+ MLE	LAD	—	387	348	59	13	1	2	28	125	4	16	4	170	239	230	469	60	254	32	7	217	33	-31	+2	+0	+4	+8	-1.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	LAD	30%	297	268	49	10	1	4	23	96	4	7	2	183	258	272	530	90	264	32	8	243	50	-18	+1	+0	+3	+6	-0.8
2028	26	MLB MLE	LAD	44%	359	324	61	12	2	6	28	113	4	8	2	188	261	293	554	105	266	31	8	252	57	-19	+1	+0	+4	+8	-0.6
2029	27	MLB MLE	LAD	49%	381	344	65	13	2	6	30	119	4	9	2	189	262	291	553	102	268	31	8	256	59	-19	+1	+0	+4	+8	-0.5
2027	25	MLB CTX	LAD	30%	90	82	14	3	0	1	7	29	1	2	1	171	244	244	488	73	259	32	8	232	50	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
2028	26	MLB CTX	LAD	44%	159	144	27	5	1	3	12	50	2	4	1	188	259	299	558	111	262	31	8	241	57	-8	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.3
2029	27	MLB CTX	LAD	49%	187	168	32	6	1	3	15	58	2	4	1	190	265	292	557	101	263	31	8	245	59	-9	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	436	394	73	14	2	7	34	137	5	10	3	185	259	284	543	99	262	31	8	241	47	-23	+1	+0	+5	+9	-0.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	109	21	3	10	51	204	7	15	4	186	259	283	541	97	263	31	8	241	47	-34	+1	+0	+7	+14	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	1649	1482	262	51	8	22	126	597	27	38	11	177	254	267	520	90	275	36	8	238	47	-55	+2	+0	+11	+23	-2.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	103	20	3	9	50	235	11	15	4	176	255	267	522	91	273	36	8	238	47	-34	+1	+0	+7	+14	-1.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.7	436	7	10	189	260	290	+5	+3	-0.5	-0.2
/162	664	10	15	+7.1	+4.6	-0.7	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Izarra (OGILVIE)	24	23	32	54	48	170/242/241	71	259	1	5	34%	7%	39	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	36	36→40	52→50	41	176/235/239	63	249	4	15	30%	6%	35	-3.4	212/281/292	80	276	8	14	24%	8%	65	-1.2	205/280/278	73	264	8	16	24%	8%	59	-0.8
✕Jayson Hernandez 2013 · AA	24	39	39→30	49→30	37	192/235/277	84	280	6	8	33%	5%	43	-2.8	215/262/289	74	286	5	5	25%	4%	56	-1.9	229/274/261	32	293	2	0	21%	3%	51	-0.9
✕Cody Bohanek 2019 · AAA	24	39→36	38→40	47→50	41	188/265/260	72	272	7	10	31%	6%	53	-2.1	177/270/265	88	291	8	12	39%	8%	56	-1.9	151/256/238	88	264	7	16	41%	8%	45	-1.6
✕Chris Givin 2022 · AA	25	38	38→30	50→45	43	188/250/263	74	259	6	6	29%	7%	46	-2.6	203/267/280	77	271	6	7	26%	7%	57	-1.8	197/264/256	59	255	4	5	23%	8%	47	-1.2
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	177/255/257	79	269	8	14	35%	9%	48	-2.5	207/287/299	92	295	7	12	29%	9%	69	-0.9	212/301/305	93	294	5	13	27%	10%	75	-0.3
✕Cristopher Navarro 2023 · AA	24	39	35→30	46→45	36	185/230/236	51	281	3	6	34%	5%	31	-3.7	191/245/263	72	274	5	6	30%	6%	44	-2.8	172/230/237	65	240	4	2	28%	6%	31	-0.8
✕Andrés Alvarez 2021 · A	24	41→31	37→45	48→50	42	196/261/270	74	275	4	7	29%	7%	52	-2.2	202/269/324	122	288	13	15	33%	8%	68	-1.0	182/251/303	121	254	14	15	33%	8%	55	-1.1
✕Ashford Fulmer 2017 · A	24	39	36→40	51→50	37	180/249/244	64	298	3	13	38%	6%	42	-2.9	204/267/282	78	290	4	12	29%	7%	57	-1.8	201/266/271	70	279	2	15	26%	6%	51	-1.1
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	38→31	42→45	48→50	41	191/251/284	93	257	11	15	30%	6%	52	-2.2	195/269/308	113	260	13	14	29%	8%	64	-1.3	179/261/273	93	244	9	8	29%	9%	52	-0.9
✕Dwayne Bailey 2011 · AAA	24	41	35→30	53→50	40	195/250/249	55	288	2	14	32%	6%	42	-2.9	220/280/292	72	318	3	12	29%	7%	63	-1.3	229/294/291	62	333	2	11	29%	7%	65	-0.8
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA	25	35	41→45	50→45	39	175/237/270	95	265	8	7	36%	7%	43	-2.8	201/267/311	110	285	10	8	31%	7%	64	-1.3	188/261/294	106	261	9	5	30%	7%	54	-1.0
✕Connor Blair 2022 · A	24	37	39→45	48→45	45	179/255/257	79	269	6	11	34%	9%	47	-2.5	196/281/311	115	314	12	8	38%	9%	70	-0.8	152/262/269	117	243	16	5	41%	11%	52	-0.7
✕Raul Siri 2018 · A	23	39	38→40	51→50	42	192/251/271	80	265	6	11	29%	7%	49	-2.4	199/265/283	84	347	5	9	41%	7%	57	-1.8	146/235/232	85	299	4	14	47%	8%	34	-0.6
✕Chris Paul 2017 · A	24	41→37	38→40	52→40	36	196/243/274	79	285	5	5	32%	4%	46	-2.6	221/263/317	96	300	7	4	27%	4%	63	-1.4	232/270/335	103	304	8	2	26%	3%	67	-0.6
✕Oliver Marmol 2010 · A	24	37	37→40	51→55	38	177/252/249	72	262	4	15	32%	5%	45	-2.7	200/280/299	99	307	7	12	35%	7%	68	-1.0	167/267/280	114	275	8	12	38%	7%	58	-0.4
✕Jon Murphy 2013 · A	23	38	38→30	47→50	39	185/237/262	77	264	5	13	31%	6%	40	-3.0	198/251/261	63	306	3	10	34%	6%	46	-2.6	192/247/244	53	300	3	10	35%	6%	37	-1.7
✕Connor Justus 2019 · AA	24	39→38	38→40	42→45	46	188/272/267	79	265	6	8	29%	8%	57	-1.8	177/251/244	67	256	4	8	30%	7%	43	-2.8	152/224/201	49	226	2	6	31%	7%	21	-2.7
✕Thomas Jones 2022 · A	24	36→35	41→40	52→50	37	176/256/269	93	287	8	17	39%	7%	51	-2.2	180/261/291	111	315	11	13	43%	7%	58	-1.7	123/217/245	122	228	14	10	49%	8%	31	-1.4
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA	23	38	37→40	50→45	40	186/240/263	77	257	4	8	28%	6%	42	-2.9	207/267/299	92	292	8	10	30%	7%	61	-1.5	192/260/271	78	271	9	12	31%	7%	51	-0.6
✕Rand Smith 2011 · A	24	41→39	37→30	53→50	45	197/260/265	67	265	5	15	26%	7%	50	-2.3	210/272/283	73	296	5	10	28%	8%	59	-1.7	198/269/240	42	290	1	4	30%	8%	45	-1.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps