Jose IzarraSS Great Lakes Loons
Age 24 R/R 5'11" / 175 lbs A+ HR +15%K -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035 peak 0.4 · 2029
wRC+†44
AVG/OBP/SLG.183 / .258 / .287
PA136
HR2
K%38
BB%8
MLB%0%
BAT: -8.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-9BATRUN: +0.9 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.5 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +3.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.4peak
2029

Contract

ESTIMATED  ·  service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Arb-2$0.9M+0.3$1M+$0.5M
2031Arb-3$0.9M+0.2$0.9M+$0.0M
2032Ext / FA-deal$0.9M
2033Ext / FA-deal$0.2M
2034Ext / FA-deal$0.4M
2035Ext / FA-deal$0.6M
Totals $4M $-5M -$9M
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202220 ROKACL Dodgers 2523 6100 1101 10 .261.320.304.624 .043.462 404 .259 56 -1 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.0
202321 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes 455409 651225 3019911 103 .159.236.235.470 .076.286 447 .214 22 -40 +1 +0 +5 +13 -2.2
202422 AA2 teams 122105 15312 13593 32 .143.256.248.504 .105.295 4811 .212 21 -11 -0 +0 +1 +3 -0.6
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
202624 A+Great Lakes Loons 4237 6111 5150 20 .162.262.324.586 .162.238 3612 .224 30 -3 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.1
ROS24 MLBLAD 9485 16312 8361 20 .188.266.318.584 .129.287 389 .252 51 -5 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.1
TOT24 MLBLAD 136122 22423 13511 40 .180.265.320.584 .139.279 3810 .243 44 -9 +1 +0 +1 +4 -0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
202725 MLB 10%LAD 234208 40815 21773 51 .192.276.312.588 .120.275 339 .269 64 -10 +1 +0 +3 +7 0.0
202826 MLB 25%LAD 312277 561128 281014 71 .202.285.343.628 .141.278 329 .277 71 -10 +1 +0 +3 +9 0.3
202927 MLB 43%LAD 350311 631229 321124 71 .203.285.341.626 .138.279 329 .280 72 -11 +1 +0 +4 +10 0.4
203028 MLB 52%LAD 374333 671329 341194 71 .201.283.333.616 .132.279 329 .280 72 -12 +1 -1 +4 +11 0.3
203129 MLB 63%LAD 381339 671329 351234 71 .198.280.327.608 .130.278 329 .278 71 -13 +1 -1 +4 +11 0.2
203230 MLB 81%LAD 384341 671329 361254 61 .196.281.326.606 .129.276 339 .275 68 -14 +1 -2 +4 +11 -0.0
203331 MLB 87%LAD 375333 641228 351234 40 .192.277.312.589 .120.275 339 .271 65 -15 +1 -3 +4 +11 -0.2
203432 MLBLAD 359319 621228 331204 20 .194.278.320.598 .125.273 339 .266 62 -15 +0 -4 +4 +10 -0.5
203533 MLBLAD 332295 551027 311133 10 .186.271.305.576 .119.271 349 .261 58 -16 +0 -4 +4 +9 -0.7
203634 MLBLAD 289258 47916 261013 00 .182.265.295.559 .112.269 359 .255 53 -15 +0 -5 +3 +8 -0.9
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career 40863636 6901322287 363141853 6211 .190.273.310.583 .120.280 359 .263 59 -188 +8 -20 +44 +116 -4.0
/ 162G 650578 10921314 582268 102 .189.272.308.580 .119.278 359 .263 59 -30 +1 -3 +7 +18 -0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202220 ROKACL Dodgers 2523 9100 171 10 .391.440.435.875 .043.562 284 .398 163 +2 +0 +1 0.3
202321 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes 455398 871837 4114511 103 .219.309.332.641 .113.319 329 .291 81 -10 +1 +13 0.4
202422 AATulsa Drillers 7361 10301 11300 31 .164.292.262.554 .098.300 4115 .261 58 -3 +0 +2 -0.1
202422 ROKACL Dodgers 4936 9111 10123 01 .250.449.417.866 .167.348 2420 .400 164 +4 -0 +1 0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Jose Izarra (OGILVIE) 24 .183/.258/.287 .104.292 22 38% 8% 50 -0.4
Blake Hunt
2023 · AA
24 38 43→50 49→40 38 .190/.248/.301 .111.281 115 35% 6% 49 -1.8 .209/.266/.343 .134.276 145 29% 6% 67 -0.5 .206/.268/.347.141.26215227%6%67-0.3
Jason Lopez
2022 · AA
24 38 42→50 52→45 40 .189/.250/.291 .102.286 1011 36% 7% 46 -2.0 .204/.266/.313 .109.307 119 35% 7% 59 -1.1 .164/.224/.258.094.23510033%7%25-0.6
Dylan Neuse
2023 · A
24 37 39→40 49→50 44 .183/.260/.264 .081.271 814 33% 9% 45 -2.1 .205/.286/.296 .091.292 713 29% 9% 63 -0.8 .211/.301/.305.094.29351327%10%72-0.1
Chase Strumpf
2022 · AA
24 42→35 44→50 48→45 44 .203/.282/.321 .118.296 117 33% 8% 69 -0.4 .196/.293/.355 .159.317 195 41% 10% 83 +0.6 .180/.284/.345.165.29321342%11%73-0.1
Chad Stevens
2023 · A
24 35→45 44→45 47→50 34 .178/.233/.285 .107.296 1211 42% 6% 38 -2.6 .188/.255/.307 .119.307 1215 40% 7% 53 -1.5 .192/.262/.316.124.298131637%7%56-1.1
Jacob Nottingham
2019 · MLB
24 38→48 44→45 47→50 36 .191/.253/.304 .113.285 128 36% 5% 52 -1.6 .193/.260/.318 .125.293 149 37% 6% 59 -1.1 .178/.252/.304.127.254161135%6%50-0.9
Sean Coyle
2017 · AAA
25 36 45→50 48→50 37 .186/.248/.306 .120.290 1412 39% 7% 50 -1.7 .185/.245/.287 .102.286 910 36% 7% 43 -2.2 .153/.212/.244.092.2243632%7%14-1.0
Maverick Handley
2022 · A
24 40 42→45 52→50 40 .189/.270/.291 .102.312 916 39% 8% 56 -1.3 .201/.289/.309 .108.281 1112 30% 9% 69 -0.4 .196/.292/.292.096.264101027%9%64-0.4
Carson Blair
2014 · A
24 38 44→50 45→30 40 .187/.254/.308 .121.292 116 38% 8% 53 -1.5 .202/.276/.338 .136.333 134 40% 9% 70 -0.3 .191/.269/.325.133.31814141%9%62-0.4
Riley Tirotta
2023 · A
24 43→46 41→50 49→50 40 .198/.267/.293 .095.325 814 39% 8% 54 -1.4 .206/.285/.333 .127.321 1313 37% 9% 73 -0.1 .209/.294/.344.136.315151436%9%77+0.1
Oliver Dunn
2022 · AA
24 39→47 44→50 52→55 45 .189/.271/.304 .115.294 1113 37% 10% 59 -1.1 .219/.303/.372 .153.347 1614 37% 10% 90 +1.0 .205/.288/.342.137.315132036%9%73-0.1
Carter Aldrete
2022 · A
24 41→39 44→50 47→45 38 .203/.256/.312 .109.307 1210 37% 6% 55 -1.4 .209/.257/.353 .144.292 185 34% 6% 66 -0.6 .195/.241/.336.141.26218233%5%53-0.9
Will Wilson
2022 · AA
24 37→39 47→50 51→45 38 .192/.256/.327 .136.292 168 38% 7% 59 -1.1 .200/.260/.331 .131.283 166 34% 7% 62 -0.9 .193/.253/.304.111.25714430%7%49-1.3
Corey Joyce
2022 · AA
23 41 39→45 53→50 39 .193/.262/.274 .080.300 713 36% 7% 48 -1.9 .208/.307/.328 .120.294 1212 31% 10% 82 +0.5 .212/.315/.318.105.30191429%10%80+0.2
Narciso Crook
2019 · AA
24 44→43 43→55 46→50 39 .212/.269/.327 .115.305 1010 33% 6% 64 -0.8 .216/.270/.351 .135.313 1312 33% 6% 71 -0.3 .199/.278/.357.158.302191538%7%73-0.1
Bradlee Beesley
2022 · AA
24 41 44→50 54→60 37 .199/.259/.318 .119.313 1219 38% 6% 58 -1.2 .202/.269/.329 .127.302 1225 35% 7% 66 -0.6 .193/.269/.328.135.286123435%7%61-0.5
Brandon Hicks
2010 · AA
24 39→40 47→50 52→50 41 .199/.264/.336 .137.287 1412 34% 7% 65 -0.7 .196/.257/.331 .135.289 1512 36% 7% 60 -1.0 .192/.258/.339.147.301181040%7%59-0.7
Nick Quintana
2022 · A
24 33→40 43→45 47→45 44 .172/.252/.279 .107.245 116 33% 8% 46 -2.0 .191/.275/.301 .110.267 115 30% 9% 61 -1.0 .177/.269/.279.102.24610330%10%50-0.8
Marcus Wilson
2021 · AA
24 41→51 46→50 49→50 38 .201/.263/.330 .129.318 1412 40% 7% 63 -0.9 .190/.275/.327 .137.337 1517 44% 10% 68 -0.5 .170/.266/.311.141.298161944%10%57-0.8
Johan Lopez
2023 · AA
23 39 44→45 51→55 40 .195/.268/.308 .113.290 1213 35% 7% 59 -1.1 .200/.270/.300 .100.307 912 35% 8% 58 -1.2 .166/.253/.240.073.27641137%10%33-0.6