Jose Izarra

SS Great Lakes Loons
Age 25 R/R 5'11" / 175 lbs A+ HR +8%BB -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
Overview
A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037
ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202321ALAA455.219/.309/.33271030—.159/.236/.235
202422AA/ROKLAD122.196/.355/.3202336—.155/.272/.262
202624AA/A+LAD381.212/.305/.30031634—.178/.249/.255
2027PROJMLE25MLBLAD1.190/.260/.2640053-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB26MLBLAD73.194/.265/.2781257-0.1
2029PROJ42% MLB27MLBLAD113.196/.266/.2821259-0.2
Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
Whiff%69
Z-Con%69
K%61
BB%54
Chase%46
Speed46
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%
CompsChris Givin (age 25) · Chris Roller (age 25) · Jack Winkler (age 25)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†53
AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .260 / .264
PA1
HR0
K%28
BB%8
BABIP261
ISO84
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -11.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-12BATRUN: +0.8 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.30-0.3WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.3-0.1-0.2272829
Tools · ContractCON 33 / POW 32
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT33
scouting grade only
POWER32
scouting grade only
EYE47
scouting grade only
SPEED54
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202220 ROKACL Dodgers — 2523 9100 171 10 391440435875 43562 284 398 62 — — — — — —
202321 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes — 455398 871837 4114511 103 219309332641 113319 329 291 30 — — — — — —
202422 AATulsa Drillers — 7361 10301 11300 31 164292262554 98300 4115 261 14 — — — — — —
202422 ROKACL Dodgers — 4936 9111 10123 01 250449417866 167348 2420 400 68 — — — — — —
202624 AATulsa Drillers — 177155 30801 19401 62 194286265550 71254 2311 256 28 — — — — — —
202624 A+Great Lakes Loons — 204175 40822 21543 102 229322331653 103311 2610 293 40 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202220 ROK MLEACL Dodgers — 2523 6100 1101 10 261320304624 43445 404 260 62 — — — — — —
202321 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 455409 651225 3020211 103 159236235470 76285 447 213 30 — — — — — —
202422 AA MLETulsa Drillers — 7364 8201 8380 31 125222203425 78269 5211 189 14 — — — — — —
202422 ROK MLEACL Dodgers — 4940 8111 6183 01 200347350697 150266 3712 268 68 — — — — — —
202624 AA MLETulsa Drillers — 177161 27701 13491 62 168234230464 62231 287 209 28 — — — — — —
202624 A+ MLEGreat Lakes Loons — 204181 34622 15693 102 188261276538 88261 347 227 40 — — — — — —
202220 ROK MLEACL Dodgers — 2523 6100 1101 10 261320304624 43462 404 260 62 — — — — — —
202220 ROK RAWACL Dodgers — 2523 9100 171 10 391440435875 43562 284 398 62 — — — — — —
202321 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 455409 651225 3020211 103 159236235470 76290 447 213 30 — — — — — —
202321 A RAWRancho Cucamonga Quakes — 455398 871837 4114511 103 219309332641 113319 329 291 30 — — — — — —
202422 AA MLE2 teams — 122105 15311 13563 32 143256219475 76292 4611 221 36 — — — — — —
202422 AA RAW2 teams — 12297 19412 21423 32 196355320675 124321 3417 317 36 — — — — — —
202624 A+ MLE2 teams — 381342 601322 281174 164 175246243489 67257 317 219 34 — — — — — —
202624 A+ RAW2 teams — 381330 701623 40944 164 212305300605 88284 2510 276 34 — — — — — —
202220 ROK MLEACL Dodgers — 2523 6100 1101 10 261320304624 43445 404 260 62 — — — — — —
202321 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 455411 651225 3020211 103 158236234469 75285 447 213 30 — — — — — —
202422 AA MLE2 teams — 122105 15311 13563 32 143256219475 76268 4611 221 36 — — — — — —
202624 A+ MLE2 teams — 381346 601322 281174 164 173246240486 66247 317 219 34 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202422 AA MLE2 teams — 122105 15311 13563 32 143256219475 76268 4611 221 36 — — — — — —
202624 A+ MLE2 teams — 381346 601322 281174 164 173246240486 66247 317 219 34 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202725 MLB MLELAD 0% 380345 671423 291053 92 194264271535 77267 288 246 53 -21 +1 +0 +4 +8 -0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202725 MLB CTXLAD 0% 11 0000 000 00 190260264524 74261 00 242 53 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202826 MLB MLELAD 30% 240217 43913 19662 51 198268285553 86269 288 253 57 -12 +1 +0 +3 +5 -0.4
202927 MLB MLELAD 42% 272247 491013 21742 62 200270288558 89270 278 255 59 -13 +0 +0 +3 +6 -0.4
202826 MLB CTXLAD 30% 7366 13301 6201 20 194265278543 84262 278 249 57 -4 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.1
202927 MLB CTXLAD 42% 113102 19401 9311 21 196266282548 86263 278 251 59 -6 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 186168 32702 15512 41 190265268533 77259 278 250 43 -9 +0 +0 +2 +4 -0.3
/ 162G— A+C — 650587 1112407 521787 143 189263266529 77257 278 250 43 -32 +1 +0 +7 +14 -1.0
Career— MLE — 17051533 27556816 12858325 4613 179254258512 78274 348 232 43 -37 +2 +0 +8 +16 -1.3
/ 162G— MLE — 650584 1042136 4922210 185 178253255509 77272 348 232 43 -34 +1 +0 +7 +14 -1.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Great Lakes Loons · 204 PAwOBA .291 → .227 (−63)K% 26.5% → 33.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.47%÷1.000×1.270——33.62%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.29%÷1.000×0.710—×0.9887.22%
HBP% /PA1.47%—×0.790—×0.9881.15%
Singles /BIP23.14%÷1.000×0.920×0.953×0.98820.04%
Doubles /BIP6.61%÷1.000×0.810×0.953×0.9885.04%
Triples /BIP1.65%÷1.000×0.850×0.953×0.9881.32%
Home runs /BIP1.65%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9881.31%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.953.

Result: wOBA .291 → .227; ISO .103 → .078; BABIP .311 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AATulsa Drillers · 177 PAwOBA .250 → .209 (−42)K% 22.6% → 27.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.60%÷1.000×1.220——27.57%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.73%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0127.60%
HBP% /PA0.56%—×0.870—×1.0120.50%
Singles /BIP18.26%÷1.000×0.920×0.999×1.01216.99%
Doubles /BIP6.96%÷1.000×0.840×0.999×1.0125.91%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.940×0.999×1.0120.00%
Home runs /BIP0.87%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0120.70%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.

Result: wOBA .250 → .209; ISO .071 → .059; BABIP .254 → .231. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AATulsa Drillers · 73 PAwOBA .255 → .189 (−66)K% 41.1% → 52.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA41.10%÷0.959×1.220——52.26%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.07%÷1.048×0.700—×1.04210.49%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.870—×1.0420.00%
Singles /BIP19.35%÷1.042×0.920—×1.04217.80%
Doubles /BIP9.68%÷1.003×0.840—×1.0428.44%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.142×0.940—×1.0420.00%
Home runs /BIP3.23%÷1.063×0.800—×1.0422.53%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 108, 2B 101, 3B 128, K 92, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .255 → .189; ISO .098 → .071; BABIP .300 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKACL Dodgers · 49 PAwOBA .391 → .268 (−123)K% 24.5% → 35.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.49%÷0.984×1.440——35.83%
BB% (unintentional) /PA20.41%÷1.070×0.620—×0.97511.53%
HBP% /PA6.12%—×0.720—×0.9754.30%
Singles /BIP25.00%÷1.011×0.820—×0.97519.76%
Doubles /BIP4.17%÷1.010×0.720—×0.9752.90%
Triples /BIP4.17%÷0.967×0.720—×0.9753.02%
Home runs /BIP4.17%÷0.942×0.780—×0.9753.36%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 102, 2B 102, 3B 93, K 97, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .391 → .268; ISO .167 → .125; BABIP .348 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes · 455 PAwOBA .287 → .213 (−74)K% 31.9% → 44.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA31.87%÷0.973×1.360——44.54%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.01%÷0.976×0.690—×1.0156.47%
HBP% /PA2.42%—×0.780—×1.0151.91%
Singles /BIP23.32%÷0.955×0.920×0.950×1.01521.66%
Doubles /BIP7.11%÷0.990×0.830×0.950×1.0155.75%
Triples /BIP1.19%÷0.900×0.910×0.950×1.0151.16%
Home runs /BIP2.77%÷1.025×0.800—×1.0152.19%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 91, 2B 98, 3B 80, K 95, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .287 → .213; ISO .113 → .079; BABIP .319 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ROKACL Dodgers · 25 PAwOBA .388 → .260 (−128)K% 28.0% → 40.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.00%÷0.998×1.440——40.41%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.00%÷0.973×0.620—×0.9952.54%
HBP% /PA4.00%—×0.720—×0.9952.87%
Singles /BIP50.00%÷1.029×0.820—×0.99539.65%
Doubles /BIP6.25%÷0.931×0.720—×0.9954.81%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.720—×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.912×0.780—×0.9950.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 106, 2B 86, 3B 80, K 100, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .388 → .260; ISO .043 → .028; BABIP .562 → .445. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).