Ryan Scott
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 22 | A+/A2 orgs | 113 | .157/.232/.216 | 0 | 2 | -5 | — | .125/.179/.173 |
| 2018 | 23 | AA/A+/A3 orgs | 227 | .190/.314/.233 | 0 | 1 | 24 | — | .156/.247/.191 |
| 2019 | 24 | AAA/A+2 orgs | 229 | .154/.270/.267 | 6 | 0 | 16 | — | .117/.212/.205 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 18 | ROK | AZL Dodgers | — | 60 | 49 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 263 | 204 | 467 | 61 | 207 | 33 | 12 | 219 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | ROK | AZL Dodgers | — | 76 | 60 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 342 | 250 | 592 | 83 | 265 | 33 | 17 | 293 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | A | Great Lakes Loons | — | 24 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 53 | 250 | 53 | 303 | 83 | 29 | 21 | 183 | -25 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2015 | 20 | ROK | AZL Dodgers | — | 81 | 71 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 141 | 237 | 197 | 435 | 56 | 213 | 31 | 10 | 208 | -23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | ROK | Orem Owlz | — | 81 | 72 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 259 | 250 | 509 | 83 | 244 | 32 | 10 | 241 | -18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A+ | Modesto Nuts | — | 43 | 40 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 100 | 163 | 125 | 288 | 25 | 160 | 35 | 7 | 142 | -47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A | Clinton LumberKings | — | 70 | 62 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 194 | 275 | 274 | 550 | 81 | 235 | 16 | 9 | 253 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | — | 65 | 54 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 297 | 185 | 482 | 19 | 290 | 37 | 12 | 240 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ | Modesto Nuts | — | 34 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 281 | 179 | 460 | 227 | 21 | 12 | 215 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2018 | 23 | A | Clinton LumberKings | — | 128 | 107 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 36 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 206 | 331 | 271 | 602 | 65 | 310 | 28 | 15 | 285 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 43 | 41 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 268 | 302 | 415 | 717 | 146 | 333 | 23 | 5 | 318 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | A+ | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 186 | 154 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 58 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 123 | 262 | 227 | 490 | 104 | 152 | 31 | 13 | 236 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Dodgers | — | 60 | 52 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 115 | 193 | 173 | 366 | 58 | 172 | 48 | 7 | 153 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Dodgers | — | 76 | 65 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 36 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 108 | 237 | 169 | 406 | 62 | 211 | 47 | 11 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | A MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 24 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 48 | 167 | 48 | 214 | 77 | 38 | 12 | 131 | -25 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2015 | 20 | ROK MLE | AZL Dodgers | — | 81 | 74 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 36 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 95 | 163 | 135 | 298 | 41 | 166 | 44 | 6 | 134 | -23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | ROK MLE | Orem Owlz | — | 81 | 76 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 37 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 105 | 160 | 171 | 332 | 66 | 180 | 46 | 5 | 141 | -18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A+ MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 43 | 41 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 73 | 116 | 98 | 214 | 24 | 140 | 49 | 5 | 98 | -47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A MLE | Clinton LumberKings | — | 70 | 64 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 156 | 217 | 219 | 436 | 62 | 207 | 21 | 6 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 65 | 57 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 140 | 234 | 158 | 392 | 18 | 270 | 45 | 8 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 34 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 172 | 250 | 172 | 422 | 206 | 26 | 9 | 180 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2018 | 23 | A MLE | Clinton LumberKings | — | 128 | 113 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 49 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 159 | 252 | 212 | 464 | 53 | 282 | 38 | 10 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 43 | 41 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 220 | 256 | 341 | 597 | 122 | 296 | 30 | 5 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | A+ MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 186 | 161 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 78 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 93 | 202 | 174 | 376 | 81 | 126 | 42 | 10 | 179 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Dodgers | — | 60 | 52 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 115 | 193 | 173 | 366 | 58 | 217 | 48 | 7 | 153 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 18 | ROK RAW | AZL Dodgers | — | 60 | 49 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 263 | 204 | 467 | 61 | 207 | 33 | 12 | 219 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Dodgers | — | 76 | 65 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 36 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 108 | 237 | 169 | 406 | 62 | 214 | 47 | 11 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | ROK RAW | AZL Dodgers | — | 76 | 60 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 342 | 250 | 592 | 83 | 265 | 33 | 17 | 293 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 105 | 95 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 45 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 84 | 163 | 116 | 279 | 32 | 157 | 43 | 8 | 133 | -24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 105 | 90 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 32 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 122 | 240 | 167 | 407 | 44 | 186 | 30 | 12 | 202 | -24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | ROK MLE | Orem Owlz | — | 81 | 76 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 37 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 105 | 160 | 171 | 332 | 66 | 184 | 46 | 5 | 141 | -18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | ROK RAW | Orem Owlz | — | 81 | 72 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 259 | 250 | 509 | 83 | 244 | 32 | 10 | 241 | -18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 113 | 105 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 36 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 124 | 179 | 171 | 350 | 48 | 188 | 32 | 5 | 161 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 113 | 102 | 16 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 26 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 157 | 232 | 216 | 448 | 59 | 211 | 23 | 8 | 210 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 227 | 199 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 88 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 156 | 247 | 191 | 438 | 35 | 274 | 39 | 9 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 227 | 189 | 36 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 67 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 190 | 314 | 233 | 547 | 42 | 290 | 30 | 14 | 262 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 229 | 202 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 91 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 119 | 212 | 208 | 420 | 89 | 178 | 40 | 9 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 229 | 195 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 68 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 270 | 267 | 537 | 113 | 197 | 30 | 12 | 251 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Dodgers | — | 60 | 55 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 109 | 193 | 164 | 357 | 55 | 172 | 48 | 7 | 153 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Dodgers | — | 76 | 65 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 36 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 108 | 237 | 169 | 406 | 62 | 211 | 47 | 11 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 105 | 95 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 45 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 84 | 163 | 116 | 279 | 32 | 146 | 43 | 8 | 133 | -24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | ROK MLE | Orem Owlz | — | 81 | 76 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 37 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 105 | 160 | 171 | 332 | 66 | 180 | 46 | 5 | 141 | -18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 113 | 105 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 36 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 124 | 179 | 171 | 350 | 48 | 182 | 32 | 5 | 161 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 227 | 201 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 88 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 154 | 247 | 189 | 436 | 35 | 267 | 39 | 9 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 229 | 203 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 91 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 118 | 212 | 207 | 419 | 89 | 158 | 40 | 9 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 891 | 794 | 97 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 71 | 362 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 122 | 207 | 179 | 386 | 57 | 207 | 41 | 8 | 177 | 6 | -100 | -0 | +0 | +16 | +19 | -6.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 579 | 70 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 52 | 264 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 121 | 206 | 176 | 382 | 55 | 204 | 41 | 8 | 177 | 6 | -73 | +0 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -4.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 A+Inland Empire 66ers · 186 PAwOBA .232 → .179 (−53)K% 31.2% → 41.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.18% | ÷0.997 | ×1.340 | — | — | 41.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.44% | ÷0.968 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 9.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.15% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 1.68% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.54% | ÷1.024 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 11.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.04% | ÷0.985 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 0.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.760 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.21% | ÷0.939 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 5.04% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 105, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 99, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .232 → .179; ISO .104 → .090; BABIP .152 → .126. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAASalt Lake Bees · 43 PAwOBA .309 → .246 (−63)K% 23.3% → 29.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.26% | ÷1.009 | ×1.290 | — | — | 29.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.65% | ÷0.980 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.048 | 3.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.58% | ÷1.007 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.048 | 21.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.68% | ÷1.062 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.048 | 7.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.23% | ÷1.059 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.048 | 2.49% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 101, 2B 112, 3B 80, K 102, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .309 → .246; ISO .146 → .106; BABIP .333 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AClinton LumberKings · 128 PAwOBA .279 → .216 (−63)K% 28.1% → 38.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.12% | ÷0.990 | ×1.360 | — | — | 38.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.84% | ÷0.998 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 10.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.78% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 0.60% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.54% | ÷0.989 | ×0.920 | ×1.001 | ×0.990 | 20.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.04% | ÷0.969 | ×0.830 | ×1.001 | ×0.990 | 5.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.41% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×1.001 | ×0.990 | 1.41% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.013 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 98, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 98, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.
Result: wOBA .279 → .216; ISO .065 → .053; BABIP .310 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAArkansas Travelers · 65 PAwOBA .238 → .195 (−44)K% 36.9% → 44.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 36.92% | ÷1.022 | ×1.220 | — | — | 44.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.31% | ÷1.097 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 8.07% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.08% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 2.75% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.67% | ÷1.015 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.027 | 24.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.33% | ÷0.920 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 3.13% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.925 | ×0.940 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.925 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 103, 2B 84, 3B 85, K 104, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .238 → .195; ISO .019 → .017; BABIP .290 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 A+Modesto Nuts · 34 PAwOBA .217 → .180 (−37)K% 20.6% → 27.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.59% | ÷0.990 | ×1.340 | — | — | 27.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.76% | ÷1.106 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 7.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.81% | ÷1.003 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.998 | 21.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.951 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.760 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.925 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 101, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 98, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .217 → .180; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .227 → .206. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AClinton LumberKings · 70 PAwOBA .246 → .199 (−48)K% 15.7% → 22.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.71% | ÷0.972 | ×1.360 | — | — | 21.99% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.57% | ÷1.036 | ×0.690 | — | — | 5.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.43% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 1.11% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.73% | ÷0.951 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | — | 12.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.80% | ÷0.950 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | — | 8.13% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.931 | ×0.800 | — | — | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 90, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 94, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .246 → .199; ISO .081 → .065; BABIP .235 → .207. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 A+Modesto Nuts · 43 PAwOBA .138 → .098 (−41)K% 34.9% → 48.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.88% | ÷0.972 | ×1.340 | — | — | 48.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.98% | ÷0.995 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 5.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 12.00% | ÷1.008 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.012 | 10.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.00% | ÷1.082 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.012 | 3.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.041 | ×0.760 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.866 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 102, 2B 116, 3B 108, K 94, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .138 → .098; ISO .025 → .015; BABIP .160 → .140. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 ROKOrem Owlz · 81 PAwOBA .229 → .141 (−88)K% 32.1% → 46.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.10% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 46.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.64% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×0.985 | 5.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.23% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.88% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.39% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×0.985 | 13.34% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.52% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×0.985 | 4.39% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.17% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.985 | 1.61% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .229 → .141; ISO .083 → .049; BABIP .244 → .180. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).