Hader Blanco — OGILVIE

Hader Blanco P DSL Pirates Black

Age 22 LHP 5'11" / 150 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 16 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118126vR 135

ERA5.34

FIP5.34

K%21.5%

BB%16.1%

K-BB%5.4%

ROS IP16

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL PIT Black	15	3	30	135	27	29	0	20%	2.0	13.6%	26.9%	-13.3%	0.0%	3.60	5.35	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL PIT Black	15	3	30	135	27	29	0	20%	2.0	20.0%	21.5%	-1.5%	0.0%	3.60	4.20	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	17	0	33	150	27	23	2	0%	2.0	12.2%	19.2%	-6.9%	1.9%	4.86	5.52	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Black	17	0	33	150	27	23	2	0%	2.0	18.0%	15.3%	2.7%	1.3%	4.86	4.33	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	13	0	27	114	22	20	1	0%	2.1	13.1%	21.9%	-8.8%	1.3%	3.95	5.49	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	13	0	27	114	22	20	1	0%	2.1	13.1%	21.9%	-8.8%	1.3%	3.95	5.49	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Black	13	0	27	114	22	20	1	0%	2.1	19.3%	17.5%	1.8%	0.9%	3.95	4.16	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	PIT	15	0	16	68	15	11	2	0%	1.1	21.5%	16.1%	5.4%	3.0%	5.34	5.34	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	PIT	24	0	26	108	24	15	3	0%	1.1	22.4%	13.9%	8.5%	2.9%	5.07	4.96	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	PIT	12	0	13	55	12	8	2	0%	1.1	22.4%	13.9%	8.5%	2.9%	5.07	4.96	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	13	53	12	7	2	0%	1.0	22.4%	13.9%	8.5%	2.9%	5.07	4.58	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	191	112	32	0%	1.1	22.4%	13.9%	8.5%	2.9%	5.07	4.58	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		45	3	91	399	52	90	4	7%	2.0	13.0%	22.6%	-9.6%	1.1%	4.17	5.46	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		99	7	200	880	114	199	9	7%	2.0	13.0%	22.6%	-9.6%	1.1%	4.17	5.46	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Hader Blanco (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.34	21.5%	16.1%	3.0%	—	4.96	22.4%	8.5%	26	-0.38	—	—	—
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	90
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	84
Seth Clark L 2023 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	15.0%	2.1%	.287	5.23	18.4%	0.6%	82	+1.00	4.23	128	84
Jeff Belge L 2021 · 4.91 FIP	23	SU	4.91	24.0%	18.8%	2.7%	.343	3.68	24.2%	10.4%	131	-1.23	3.30	175	83
Angel Hernandez L 2022 · 5.53 FIP	22	SU	5.53	23.4%	21.0%	3.2%	.262	4.36	21.2%	1.6%	123	-1.17	3.33	182	82
Austin Hamilton L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	17.0%	15.6%	2.3%	.329	4.20	16.3%	8.9%	109	-0.72	4.02	135	82
Triston Polley L 2021 · 4.88 FIP	24	SU	4.88	22.3%	20.0%	2.1%	.361	4.77	18.5%	5.2%	136	-0.11	4.15	151	82
Dillon Larsen L 2022 · 5.90 FIP	24	SU	5.90	21.7%	21.6%	3.5%	.277	4.65	18.0%	-4.1%	91	-1.25	4.04	120	82
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	81
Trevor Seidenberger L 2015 · 4.64 FIP	23	SU	4.64	18.1%	14.3%	2.3%	.248	6.29	13.1%	-1.8%	52	+1.65	4.64	101	81
Ty Madrigal L 2021 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	19.3%	15.7%	2.0%	.329	5.75	17.6%	2.4%	49	+1.19	4.56	107	80
Keylan Killgore L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	22	SU	4.23	20.7%	12.7%	2.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	161	80
Julian Bosnic L 2023 · 5.72 FIP	23	SU	5.72	22.5%	21.0%	3.4%	.206	4.74	19.1%	-0.1%	90	-0.98	4.31	136	80
Andrew Walling L 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SU	4.20	23.7%	14.8%	2.2%	.272	3.89	22.1%	8.8%	105	-0.31	3.14	161	80
Joseph Menefee L 2023 · 4.50 FIP	23	SU	4.50	21.9%	18.5%	1.7%	.361	4.71	24.8%	6.0%	99	+0.21	3.22	146	80
Ignacio Briceno L 2023 · 4.54 FIP	22	SU	4.54	17.3%	12.7%	2.4%	.270	3.28	14.7%	3.5%	76	-1.26	2.39	156	80
Nick Jones L 2022 · 4.21 FIP	23	SU	4.21	22.3%	17.9%	1.3%	.284	3.63	21.7%	12.0%	143	-0.58	1.32	201	79
Max Green L 2018 · 4.87 FIP	22	SU	4.87	15.7%	13.3%	2.6%	.352	4.41	13.9%	6.6%	86	-0.46	4.19	169	79
Sean Mellen L 2021 · 4.59 FIP	23	SU	4.59	21.5%	12.1%	3.2%	.364	4.01	21.3%	10.9%	55	-0.58	4.01	101	79
Christian Chamberlain L 2022 · 6.42 FIP	23	SU	6.42	23.4%	21.7%	4.6%	.330	4.12	24.1%	5.4%	99	-2.30	3.91	148	79