Jonathan Linares
C Rancho Cucamonga Quakes| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19 | ROKLAA | 99 | .200/.423/.271 | 1 | 3 | 55 | — | .163/.309/.225 |
| 2025 | 20 | ASEA | 122 | .198/.298/.340 | 3 | 1 | 31 | — | .145/.223/.245 |
| 2026 | 21 | ALAA | 165 | .275/.417/.458 | 5 | 2 | 97 | — | .230/.344/.374 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 22 | MLBLAA | 275 | .206/.291/.326 | 6 | 5 | 76 | 0.2 | |
| 2028PROJ34% MLB | 23 | MLBLAA | 48 | .209/.294/.335 | 1 | 1 | 80 | 0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ46% MLB | 24 | MLBLAA | 100 | .212/.297/.343 | 2 | 2 | 83 | 0.2 |
Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 47
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Angels | — | 112 | 90 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 289 | 418 | 367 | 785 | 78 | 347 | 14 | 14 | 359 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | ACL Angels | — | 57 | 46 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 261 | 382 | 348 | 730 | 87 | 364 | 25 | 9 | 328 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | ACL Angels | — | 99 | 70 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 200 | 423 | 271 | 694 | 71 | 283 | 23 | 25 | 339 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 122 | 106 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 36 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 198 | 298 | 340 | 637 | 142 | 265 | 30 | 10 | 289 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 165 | 131 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 38 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 275 | 417 | 458 | 875 | 183 | 348 | 23 | 16 | 390 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Angels | — | 112 | 95 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 211 | 318 | 274 | 592 | 63 | 249 | 18 | 10 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Angels | — | 57 | 48 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 188 | 291 | 229 | 520 | 42 | 308 | 37 | 5 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Angels | — | 99 | 80 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 33 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 163 | 309 | 225 | 534 | 62 | 250 | 33 | 15 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 122 | 110 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 49 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 145 | 223 | 245 | 469 | 100 | 230 | 40 | 7 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 165 | 139 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 52 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 230 | 344 | 374 | 718 | 144 | 318 | 32 | 11 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Angels | — | 112 | 95 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 211 | 318 | 274 | 592 | 63 | 263 | 18 | 10 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Angels | — | 112 | 90 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 289 | 418 | 367 | 785 | 78 | 347 | 14 | 14 | 359 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Angels | — | 57 | 48 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 188 | 291 | 229 | 520 | 42 | 321 | 37 | 5 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK RAW | ACL Angels | — | 57 | 46 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 261 | 382 | 348 | 730 | 87 | 364 | 25 | 9 | 328 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Angels | — | 99 | 80 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 33 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 163 | 309 | 225 | 534 | 62 | 261 | 33 | 15 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK RAW | ACL Angels | — | 99 | 70 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 200 | 423 | 271 | 694 | 71 | 283 | 23 | 25 | 339 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 122 | 110 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 49 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 145 | 223 | 245 | 469 | 100 | 233 | 40 | 7 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A RAW | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 122 | 106 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 36 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 198 | 298 | 340 | 637 | 142 | 265 | 30 | 10 | 289 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 165 | 139 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 52 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 230 | 344 | 374 | 718 | 144 | 333 | 32 | 11 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A RAW | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 165 | 131 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 38 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 275 | 417 | 458 | 875 | 183 | 348 | 23 | 16 | 390 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Angels | — | 112 | 96 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 208 | 318 | 271 | 589 | 62 | 249 | 18 | 10 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Angels | — | 57 | 50 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 180 | 291 | 220 | 511 | 40 | 308 | 37 | 5 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Angels | — | 99 | 82 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 33 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 159 | 309 | 220 | 529 | 61 | 250 | 33 | 15 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 122 | 110 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 49 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 145 | 223 | 245 | 469 | 100 | 230 | 40 | 7 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 165 | 140 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 52 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 229 | 344 | 371 | 715 | 143 | 318 | 32 | 11 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Angels | — | 99 | 82 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 33 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 159 | 309 | 220 | 529 | 61 | 250 | 33 | 15 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 122 | 110 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 49 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 145 | 223 | 245 | 469 | 100 | 230 | 40 | 7 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 165 | 140 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 52 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 229 | 344 | 371 | 715 | 143 | 318 | 32 | 11 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB MLE | LAA | 0% | 275 | 244 | 51 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 75 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 206 | 291 | 326 | 618 | 120 | 269 | 27 | 9 | 281 | 76 | -8 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +6 | 0.2 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 23 | MLB MLE | LAA | 34% | 141 | 125 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 38 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 210 | 295 | 337 | 632 | 127 | 271 | 27 | 9 | 286 | 80 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +3 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB MLE | LAA | 46% | 217 | 192 | 40 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 58 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 213 | 298 | 344 | 642 | 131 | 273 | 27 | 9 | 290 | 83 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.5 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB MLE | LAA | 52% | 280 | 248 | 54 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 74 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 215 | 300 | 349 | 649 | 134 | 274 | 26 | 9 | 293 | 85 | -5 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +6 | 0.7 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB MLE | LAA | 54% | 326 | 289 | 62 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 85 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 217 | 301 | 352 | 653 | 136 | 275 | 26 | 9 | 295 | 86 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +6 | +7 | 0.8 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB MLE | LAA | 54% | 349 | 309 | 68 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 32 | 91 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 217 | 301 | 353 | 653 | 135 | 275 | 26 | 9 | 295 | 86 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +6 | +8 | 0.8 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB MLE | LAA | 54% | 356 | 315 | 68 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 33 | 93 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 215 | 299 | 348 | 646 | 133 | 274 | 26 | 9 | 292 | 84 | -7 | +0 | -1 | +6 | +8 | 0.7 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB MLE | LAA | 53% | 352 | 313 | 67 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 93 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 213 | 296 | 341 | 637 | 129 | 273 | 26 | 9 | 288 | 81 | -8 | +0 | -1 | +6 | +8 | 0.5 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB MLE | LAA | 52% | 345 | 307 | 64 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 93 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 210 | 292 | 333 | 625 | 124 | 271 | 27 | 9 | 283 | 78 | -9 | +0 | -2 | +6 | +7 | 0.3 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB MLE | LAA | 52% | 314 | 279 | 57 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 85 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 205 | 287 | 323 | 610 | 118 | 267 | 27 | 9 | 277 | 74 | -10 | -0 | -3 | +6 | +7 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB CTX | LAA | 34% | 48 | 43 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 209 | 294 | 335 | 630 | 127 | 269 | 27 | 8 | 285 | 80 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB CTX | LAA | 46% | 100 | 90 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 27 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 212 | 297 | 343 | 640 | 131 | 271 | 27 | 9 | 290 | 83 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +2 | 0.2 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB CTX | LAA | 52% | 145 | 129 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 38 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 214 | 299 | 348 | 647 | 134 | 272 | 26 | 9 | 292 | 85 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +3 | 0.3 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB CTX | LAA | 54% | 177 | 157 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 46 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 216 | 300 | 351 | 651 | 136 | 273 | 26 | 9 | 294 | 86 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +4 | 0.4 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB CTX | LAA | 54% | 189 | 167 | 36 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 49 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 216 | 300 | 351 | 651 | 135 | 273 | 26 | 9 | 294 | 86 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +4 | 0.5 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB CTX | LAA | 54% | 193 | 171 | 37 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 51 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 214 | 298 | 347 | 644 | 132 | 272 | 26 | 9 | 291 | 84 | -4 | +0 | -0 | +3 | +4 | 0.4 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB CTX | LAA | 53% | 187 | 166 | 35 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 50 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 212 | 295 | 340 | 635 | 129 | 271 | 27 | 9 | 287 | 81 | -4 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +4 | 0.3 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB CTX | LAA | 52% | 181 | 161 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 49 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 209 | 291 | 332 | 623 | 124 | 268 | 27 | 9 | 283 | 78 | -5 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB CTX | LAA | 52% | 163 | 145 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 44 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 204 | 286 | 322 | 608 | 118 | 265 | 27 | 9 | 277 | 74 | -5 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +4 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1383 | 1229 | 262 | 45 | 8 | 33 | 125 | 367 | 17 | 22 | 7 | 213 | 295 | 343 | 638 | 130 | 274 | 27 | 9 | 288 | 78 | -30 | +2 | -4 | +25 | +30 | 2.3 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 578 | 124 | 21 | 4 | 16 | 59 | 172 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 215 | 296 | 348 | 644 | 133 | 275 | 26 | 9 | 288 | 78 | -14 | +1 | -2 | +12 | +14 | 1.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3331 | 2935 | 615 | 106 | 21 | 73 | 309 | 911 | 55 | 54 | 19 | 210 | 297 | 335 | 631 | 125 | 275 | 27 | 9 | 284 | 78 | -61 | +3 | -7 | +50 | +60 | 4.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 573 | 120 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 60 | 178 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 209 | 297 | 333 | 630 | 124 | 275 | 27 | 9 | 284 | 78 | -14 | +1 | -2 | +12 | +14 | 1.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes · 165 PAwOBA .383 → .312 (−71)K% 23.0% → 31.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.03% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 31.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 11.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.64% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 2.88% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.73% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.011 | ×1.015 | 23.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.53% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.011 | ×1.015 | 6.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.08% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.011 | ×1.015 | 1.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 4.37% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.
Result: wOBA .383 → .312; ISO .183 → .148; BABIP .348 → .318. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AInland Empire 66ers · 122 PAwOBA .284 → .214 (−70)K% 29.5% → 39.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.51% | ÷1.008 | ×1.360 | — | — | 39.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.84% | ÷1.011 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 6.92% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.46% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 1.98% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.066 | ×0.920 | ×0.993 | ×1.030 | 17.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.86% | ÷1.065 | ×0.830 | ×0.993 | ×1.030 | 2.28% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.86% | ÷0.997 | ×0.910 | ×0.993 | ×1.030 | 2.67% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.29% | ÷1.036 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 3.41% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 113, 2B 113, 3B 99, K 102, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.
Result: wOBA .284 → .214; ISO .142 → .105; BABIP .265 → .230. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKACL Angels · 99 PAwOBA .332 → .249 (−83)K% 23.2% → 33.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.23% | ÷1.004 | ×1.440 | — | — | 33.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 25.25% | ÷1.026 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 15.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.02% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 1.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.40% | ÷0.958 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 21.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.26% | ÷0.966 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 3.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.053 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.13% | ÷0.895 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 1.87% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 92, 2B 93, 3B 111, K 101, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .332 → .249; ISO .071 → .063; BABIP .283 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Angels · 57 PAwOBA .326 → .244 (−83)K% 24.6% → 37.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.56% | ÷0.955 | ×1.440 | — | — | 37.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.77% | ÷0.978 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 5.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 7.02% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 5.17% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.25% | ÷0.970 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.022 | 27.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.001 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 6.25% | ÷0.961 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 4.79% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.910 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 94, 2B 100, 3B 92, K 91, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .326 → .244; ISO .087 → .062; BABIP .364 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 DSLDSL Angels · 112 PAwOBA .354 → .259 (−95)K% 14.3% → 17.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.29% | ÷0.976 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.29% | ÷1.074 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 9.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.57% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 2.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.03% | ÷1.016 | ×0.680 | ×1.043 | ×1.022 | 19.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.76% | ÷0.863 | ×0.600 | ×1.043 | ×1.022 | 5.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.35% | ÷0.964 | ×0.600 | ×1.043 | ×1.022 | 0.90% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.801 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 60, 1B 103, 2B 73, 3B 93, K 95, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.043.
Result: wOBA .354 → .259; ISO .078 → .059; BABIP .347 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).