Kelvin HidalgoSS Spokane Indians
Age 21 R/R 6'1" / 166 lbs A+ HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
2026 ROS PROJECTION317 act + 211 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†36
AVG/OBP/SLG.182 / .229 / .269
PA211
HR3
SB8
K%34
BB%4
BABIP268
ISO86
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -40.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-40BATRUN: +2.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +5.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+6POSREP: +15.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+15REPTotal WAR: -1.80-1.8WAR
0.00.51.00.20.30.3+$4M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 30
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT35
scouting grade only
POWER30
scouting grade only
EYE30
scouting grade only
SPEED60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.2$0.6M+$0.0M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.3$0.8M+$0.3M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.3$0.8M+$0.3M
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $3M $2M +$0.6M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL Rockies — 257233 46933 16636 157 197267300567 103254 256 246 46 — — — — — —
202217 ROKDSL Rockies — 257223 601235 26506 157 269361417778 148324 1910 348 124 — — — — — —
202318 ROKDSL Colorado — 239207 44647 19647 141 213300382682 169261 278 294 83 — — — — — —
202318 ROKDSL Colorado — 239197 618412 29477 141 310416574990 264340 2012 421 180 — — — — — —
202419 ROK2 teams — 283263 54621 12973 214 205248255503 49315 344 225 30 — — — — — —
202419 ROK2 teams — 283254 731041 21673 214 287349370719 83381 247 321 104 — — — — — —
202520 AFresno Grizzlies — 506464 911536 221867 436 196243280524 84307 374 224 30 — — — — — —
202520 AFresno Grizzlies — 506449 1112145 371257 436 247314345660 98327 257 293 82 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD21 A+COL — 317292 53927 121166 124 182229298527 116269 374 226 31 -25 +1 +0 +3 +9 -1.2
YTD21 A+COL — 317285 671339 19836 124 235297396693 161297 266 303 90 -4 +1 +0 +3 +9 1.0
ROS21 A+COL 0% 211197 36613 9723 82 182229269498 86267 344 232 36 -15 +1 +0 +2 +6 -0.6
ROS21 MLBCOL 0% 11 0000 000 00 287 00 238 40 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
FULL21 A+COL — 318293 53927 121166 124 181228297525 116267 364 226 31 -25 +1 +0 +3 +9 -1.2
TOT21 A+COL — 528489 8915310 211889 206 182229286515 104268 364 228 33 -40 +2 +0 +6 +15 -1.8
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202722 MLBCOL 35% 559520 10117411 271807 174 194244306549 112271 325 249 48 -33 +2 +0 +6 +16 -0.9
202823 MLBCOL 49% 597553 11219414 311858 174 203255327582 125274 315 260 57 -29 +2 +0 +6 +17 -0.4
202924 MLBCOL 53% 615568 11720415 341868 184 206261335595 129275 306 267 62 -26 +2 +0 +7 +17 -0.0
203025 MLBCOL 55% 627578 12121416 361878 184 209265343608 133276 306 271 65 -25 +2 +0 +7 +18 0.2
203126 MLBCOL 56% 634584 12221416 371898 184 209266341606 132276 306 272 66 -24 +2 +0 +7 +18 0.3
203227 MLBCOL 55% 634583 12121416 381908 184 208266340605 132276 306 272 66 -24 +2 +0 +7 +18 0.3
202722 MLBCOL 35% 193180 38715 9622 61 211257344601 133292 325 258 55 -10 +1 +0 +2 +5 -0.1
202823 MLBCOL 49% 290269 591028 15904 82 219271361631 141295 315 270 65 -12 +1 +0 +3 +8 0.1
202924 MLBCOL 53% 325300 671229 18984 92 223276367643 143297 306 278 71 -11 +1 +0 +3 +9 0.3
203025 MLBCOL 55% 343316 7113210 201024 102 225279373653 149297 306 282 74 -10 +1 +0 +4 +10 0.5
203126 MLBCOL 56% 353324 7313310 211055 102 225283377659 151297 306 283 75 -10 +1 +0 +4 +10 0.5
203227 MLBCOL 55% 349321 7213210 211044 102 224280371651 146297 306 283 75 -10 +1 +0 +4 +10 0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 18541711 380681252 10456123 5311 222276367643 145296 306 277 70 -62 +6 +0 +20 +53 1.7
/ 162G— — 650600 13324418 361978 194 222275365640 143296 306 277 70 -22 +2 +0 +7 +18 0.6
Career— — 51624750 96516137108 281159973 20744 203258321579 118278 315 258 56 -258 +24 +0 +55 +146 -3.4
/ 162G— — 650598 12220514 352019 266 204258324583 120279 315 258 56 -33 +3 +0 +7 +18 -0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL Rockies — 257223 601235 26506 157 269361417778 148324 1910 348 124 +7 +0 — — +7 1.5
202318 ROKDSL Colorado — 239197 618412 29477 141 310416574990 264340 2012 421 180 +22 +2 — — +7 3.1
202419 AFresno Grizzlies — 3632 9210 291 30 281343406749 125375 256 326 108 +0 +1 — — +1 0.2
202419 ROKACL Rockies — 247222 64831 19582 184 288350365715 77382 238 320 103 +1 +2 — — +7 1.0
202520 AFresno Grizzlies — 506449 1112145 371257 436 247314345660 98327 257 293 82 -10 +6 — — +14 1.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6
#3Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA
62,4383130244299357+9+265.45.4
/16266488+2.4+7.21.5pk7: 5
#4J.P. Arencibialast yr '15
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA
51,650782213260414+29-44.24.2
/162664311+11.9-1.71.7pk7: 4
#5Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons
31,8544553207259337+20+9-0.10.2
/1626641619+7.1+3.2-0.0pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Kelvin Hidalgo (OGILVIE) 21 35 30 60 30 182/229/286 104268 1020 36% 4% 33 -1.8 ————————— —————————
✕Victor Soto
2010 · A 		21 39 37→45 56→60 40 188/240/265 77263 322 29% 5% 35 -2.8 199/243/272 73293 314 31% 5% 37 -2.6 187/218/2375027901832%3%15-0.8
✕Tyler James
2018 · A 		21 44 36→30 64→65 42 204/266/281 77293 227 29% 7% 50 -1.7 220/283/294 74332 427 32% 7% 61 -1.0 230/297/2896035244533%8%61-0.4
✕Johnni Turbo
2010 · A 		21 43→48 38→40 55 35 205/237/286 82286 415 30% 4% 38 -2.6 218/255/299 81314 517 31% 4% 49 -1.8 240/277/3046429831820%4%56-0.4
✕Justin Trapp
2012 · A 		21 42→45 39→45 54→55 39 200/255/283 83294 621 33% 6% 46 -2.0 213/267/313 100294 916 29% 6% 59 -1.1 214/267/3069329091528%5%54-1.2
✕Frankeny Fernandez
2017 · A 		20 36 38→40 53→60 42 174/248/255 81275 519 36% 8% 37 -2.6 193/258/268 75281 510 31% 7% 44 -2.1 172/238/215432393627%7%20-1.1
✕Kenny Wilson
2011 · A 		21 36→46 35→40 56→60 40 170/243/223 53273 226 36% 7% 27 -3.3 191/262/262 71286 428 32% 7% 45 -2.1 195/262/2899430282235%6%49-0.7
✕Brandon Dailey
2013 · A 		21 42 40→45 55 37 202/247/299 97291 712 32% 5% 46 -2.0 194/247/296 102282 96 33% 6% 46 -2.0 138/192/212741905029%5%1-1.2
✕Kenedy Corona
2022 · A 		22 43→40 39→45 52→55 39 205/259/290 85285 620 29% 5% 50 -1.8 206/268/333 127294 1323 33% 7% 66 -0.6 198/265/322124280132732%7%58-0.9
✕Tyler Goeddel
2014 · A 		21 42→50 40→45 59→55 39 204/254/302 98293 620 31% 6% 50 -1.7 223/280/337 114302 918 28% 6% 71 -0.3 225/287/343117297101826%7%72-0.1
✕Christian Cairo
2022 · A 		21 39→46 40 53→60 46 187/281/276 89288 716 34% 10% 58 -1.2 194/293/274 80293 618 32% 11% 63 -0.9 214/304/2836830343427%10%66-0.4
✕Ciro Rosero
2007 · A 		21 46 38→30 53→60 43 221/279/298 77284 625 24% 6% 60 -1.0 215/273/303 88291 816 27% 6% 59 -1.1 193/247/28188236131924%5%39-0.6
✕Brent Brewer
2009 · A 		21 41→40 39→40 56→55 37 195/245/284 89295 520 34% 6% 42 -2.3 195/243/265 70317 316 37% 6% 36 -2.7 183/235/2365430711938%6%22-2.4
✕Cristian Paulino
2013 · A 		21 41 37→40 55→60 40 197/250/272 75271 417 28% 6% 41 -2.3 209/254/301 92275 621 25% 4% 50 -1.8 209/253/31010126972824%4%48-0.6
✕Wes Rogers
2015 · A 		21 45→48 41→40 57→65 42 217/271/315 97295 918 28% 6% 61 -1.0 221/279/307 86297 534 26% 6% 62 -0.9 221/279/3078629854226%6%60-0.8
✕Gilbert Gomez
2012 · A 		20 39→35 40 52→50 40 193/252/284 91274 714 31% 6% 46 -2.0 201/271/278 77305 48 32% 8% 53 -1.5 191/271/264742963733%9%45-1.3
✕Jose Vinicio
2014 · A 		21 39→30 36→40 51→55 32 189/218/250 60273 319 32% 3% 20 -3.8 217/246/283 66295 313 26% 3% 40 -2.4 246/270/3086231511222%3%53-0.5
✕Sandy Mota
2018 · A 		21 38 39→30 52→55 35 186/232/270 84279 614 34% 5% 33 -2.9 189/242/270 81287 512 34% 6% 37 -2.6 164/223/2347024641533%6%18-1.0
✕Luis De Los Santos
2019 · A 		21 40→47 40→45 53→45 35 198/241/288 90276 78 30% 4% 42 -2.3 203/247/309 106292 97 32% 4% 50 -1.8 216/283/33511929113729%7%69-0.2
✕Jase Bowen
2022 · A 		21 37→38 41→50 54→55 34 183/241/274 91285 912 37% 5% 39 -2.5 193/247/307 114286 1316 36% 5% 50 -1.7 200/250/342142290172436%5%57-0.7
✕Reidy Mercado
2022 · A 		21 42 37→30 56→60 40 198/254/268 70293 421 32% 6% 41 -2.3 185/235/238 53302 220 37% 6% 25 -3.5 163/211/1963426813137%5%1-1.3