Alfredo Reyes
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 29 | INTLEstrellas Ori… | 15 | .214/.267/.214 | 0 | 2 | 40 | — |
| 2024 | 30 | INTLAguilas Cibae… | 39 | .364/.447/.576 | 0 | 0 | 181 | — |
| 2025 | 31 | INTLAguilas Cibae… | 54 | .222/.327/.289 | 0 | 1 | 75 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 17 | ROK | DSL Mets 2 | — | 224 | 188 | 36 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 44 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 191 | 300 | 229 | 528 | 37 | 241 | 20 | 12 | 248 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK | DSL Mets 2 | — | 263 | 237 | 55 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 49 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 232 | 289 | 283 | 572 | 51 | 286 | 19 | 6 | 257 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | ROK | DSL Mets 2 | — | 250 | 212 | 67 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 40 | 2 | 16 | 5 | 316 | 398 | 425 | 823 | 108 | 374 | 16 | 11 | 359 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | ROK | GCL Mets | — | 170 | 157 | 37 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 38 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 236 | 273 | 280 | 553 | 45 | 308 | 22 | 5 | 245 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A | West Virginia Power | — | 352 | 312 | 62 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 97 | 1 | 28 | 2 | 199 | 263 | 263 | 525 | 64 | 277 | 28 | 7 | 235 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ | Bradenton Marauders | — | 392 | 362 | 84 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 106 | 1 | 24 | 8 | 232 | 272 | 312 | 584 | 80 | 323 | 27 | 5 | 257 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA | Altoona Curve | — | 121 | 108 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 37 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 250 | 319 | 315 | 634 | 65 | 371 | 31 | 8 | 288 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | A+ | Bradenton Marauders | — | 243 | 197 | 61 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 39 | 60 | 1 | 23 | 3 | 310 | 426 | 386 | 812 | 76 | 430 | 25 | 16 | 366 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | INTL | Dominican Republic | — | 86 | 75 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 307 | 381 | 400 | 781 | 93 | 415 | 26 | 10 | 346 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | — | 18 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 278 | 278 | 389 | 667 | 111 | 417 | 33 | 0 | 291 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AA | Altoona Curve | — | 172 | 148 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 56 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 176 | 287 | 250 | 537 | 74 | 275 | 33 | 12 | 255 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | INTL | Estrellas Orientales | — | 45 | 34 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 294 | 442 | 471 | 912 | 176 | 417 | 22 | 20 | 390 | 150 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 29 | INTL | Estrellas Orientales | — | 15 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 214 | 267 | 214 | 481 | 300 | 27 | 7 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 30 | INTL | Aguilas Cibaenas | — | 39 | 33 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 364 | 447 | 576 | 1.023 | 212 | 480 | 21 | 8 | 435 | 181 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 31 | INTL | Aguilas Cibaenas | — | 54 | 45 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 222 | 327 | 289 | 616 | 67 | 294 | 20 | 13 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Mets 2 | — | 224 | 196 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 54 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 128 | 212 | 143 | 355 | 15 | 168 | 24 | 8 | 173 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Mets 2 | — | 263 | 242 | 37 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 60 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 153 | 199 | 186 | 385 | 33 | 187 | 23 | 5 | 169 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Mets 2 | — | 250 | 220 | 48 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 49 | 2 | 16 | 5 | 218 | 282 | 286 | 569 | 68 | 252 | 20 | 7 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | ROK MLE | GCL Mets | — | 170 | 160 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 55 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 181 | 206 | 212 | 419 | 31 | 255 | 32 | 3 | 178 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A MLE | West Virginia Power | — | 352 | 321 | 54 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 128 | 1 | 28 | 2 | 168 | 212 | 215 | 427 | 47 | 250 | 36 | 5 | 183 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 392 | 368 | 70 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 150 | 1 | 24 | 8 | 190 | 220 | 255 | 475 | 65 | 302 | 38 | 3 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 121 | 111 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 45 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 225 | 277 | 288 | 566 | 63 | 347 | 37 | 6 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | A+ MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 243 | 207 | 53 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 86 | 1 | 23 | 3 | 256 | 350 | 309 | 659 | 53 | 403 | 35 | 12 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 18 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 222 | 333 | 556 | 111 | 379 | 39 | 0 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 172 | 154 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 71 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 149 | 234 | 214 | 448 | 65 | 252 | 41 | 8 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Mets 2 | — | 224 | 196 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 54 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 128 | 212 | 143 | 355 | 15 | 174 | 24 | 8 | 173 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Mets 2 | — | 224 | 188 | 36 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 44 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 191 | 300 | 229 | 528 | 37 | 241 | 20 | 12 | 248 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Mets 2 | — | 263 | 242 | 37 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 60 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 153 | 199 | 186 | 385 | 33 | 199 | 23 | 5 | 169 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Mets 2 | — | 263 | 237 | 55 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 49 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 232 | 289 | 283 | 572 | 51 | 286 | 19 | 6 | 257 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Mets 2 | — | 250 | 221 | 48 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 49 | 2 | 16 | 5 | 217 | 282 | 285 | 567 | 68 | 269 | 20 | 7 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | ROK RAW | DSL Mets 2 | — | 250 | 212 | 67 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 40 | 2 | 16 | 5 | 316 | 398 | 425 | 823 | 108 | 374 | 16 | 11 | 359 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | ROK MLE | GCL Mets | — | 170 | 160 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 55 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 181 | 206 | 212 | 419 | 31 | 274 | 32 | 3 | 178 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | ROK RAW | GCL Mets | — | 170 | 157 | 37 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 38 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 236 | 273 | 280 | 553 | 45 | 308 | 22 | 5 | 245 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A MLE | West Virginia Power | — | 352 | 321 | 54 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 128 | 1 | 28 | 2 | 168 | 212 | 215 | 427 | 47 | 271 | 36 | 5 | 183 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A RAW | West Virginia Power | — | 352 | 312 | 62 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 97 | 1 | 28 | 2 | 199 | 263 | 263 | 525 | 64 | 277 | 28 | 7 | 235 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 392 | 368 | 70 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 150 | 1 | 24 | 8 | 190 | 220 | 255 | 475 | 65 | 315 | 38 | 3 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ RAW | Bradenton Marauders | — | 392 | 362 | 84 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 106 | 1 | 24 | 8 | 232 | 272 | 312 | 584 | 80 | 323 | 27 | 5 | 257 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 450 | 394 | 96 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 44 | 163 | 2 | 38 | 6 | 244 | 323 | 302 | 625 | 58 | 402 | 36 | 10 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 450 | 380 | 111 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 58 | 119 | 2 | 38 | 6 | 292 | 389 | 368 | 757 | 76 | 411 | 26 | 13 | 341 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 190 | 172 | 27 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 78 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 157 | 233 | 227 | 460 | 70 | 280 | 41 | 7 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 190 | 166 | 31 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 62 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 187 | 286 | 265 | 551 | 78 | 291 | 33 | 11 | 258 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | INTL MLE | Estrellas Orientales | — | 45 | 34 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 294 | 442 | 471 | 912 | 176 | 417 | 22 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | INTL RAW | Estrellas Orientales | — | 45 | 34 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 294 | 442 | 471 | 912 | 176 | 417 | 22 | 20 | 390 | 150 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 29 | INTL MLE | Estrellas Orientales | — | 15 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 214 | 267 | 214 | 481 | 300 | 27 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 29 | INTL RAW | Estrellas Orientales | — | 15 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 214 | 267 | 214 | 481 | 300 | 27 | 7 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 30 | INTL MLE | Aguilas Cibaenas | — | 39 | 33 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 364 | 447 | 576 | 1.023 | 212 | 480 | 21 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 30 | INTL RAW | Aguilas Cibaenas | — | 39 | 33 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 364 | 447 | 576 | 1.023 | 212 | 480 | 21 | 8 | 435 | 181 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 31 | INTL MLE | Aguilas Cibaenas | — | 54 | 45 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 222 | 327 | 289 | 616 | 67 | 294 | 20 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 31 | INTL RAW | Aguilas Cibaenas | — | 54 | 45 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 222 | 327 | 289 | 616 | 67 | 294 | 20 | 13 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Mets 2 | — | 224 | 201 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 54 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 124 | 212 | 139 | 351 | 15 | 168 | 24 | 8 | 173 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Mets 2 | — | 263 | 247 | 37 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 60 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 150 | 199 | 182 | 381 | 32 | 187 | 23 | 5 | 169 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Mets 2 | — | 250 | 228 | 48 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 49 | 2 | 16 | 5 | 211 | 282 | 276 | 558 | 66 | 252 | 20 | 7 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 20 | ROK MLE | GCL Mets | — | 170 | 163 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 55 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 178 | 206 | 209 | 415 | 31 | 255 | 32 | 3 | 178 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A MLE | West Virginia Power | — | 352 | 331 | 54 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 128 | 1 | 28 | 2 | 163 | 212 | 208 | 421 | 45 | 250 | 36 | 5 | 183 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 392 | 375 | 70 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 150 | 1 | 24 | 8 | 187 | 220 | 251 | 471 | 64 | 302 | 38 | 3 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 450 | 401 | 96 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 44 | 163 | 2 | 38 | 6 | 239 | 323 | 297 | 619 | 57 | 384 | 36 | 10 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 190 | 171 | 27 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 78 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 158 | 233 | 228 | 461 | 70 | 264 | 41 | 7 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2444 | 2200 | 421 | 63 | 14 | 10 | 161 | 770 | 16 | 143 | 41 | 191 | 252 | 246 | 498 | 55 | 287 | 32 | 7 | 197 | 20 | -233 | +12 | +0 | +26 | +53 | -14.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 585 | 113 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 43 | 205 | 4 | 38 | 11 | 193 | 253 | 251 | 504 | 58 | 289 | 32 | 7 | 197 | 20 | -62 | +3 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -3.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAAltoona Curve · 172 PAwOBA .249 → .199 (−51)K% 32.6% → 41.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.56% | ÷0.959 | ×1.220 | — | — | 41.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.63% | ÷0.958 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 8.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.74% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 1.46% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.57% | ÷1.009 | ×0.970 | ×1.006 | ×0.988 | 18.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.52% | ÷1.038 | ×0.860 | ×1.006 | ×0.988 | 5.37% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.09% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.006 | ×0.988 | 0.89% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.09% | ÷0.783 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 1.07% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 57, 1B 102, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 92, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.
Result: wOBA .249 → .199; ISO .074 → .059; BABIP .275 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 18 PAwOBA .283 → .232 (−51)K% 33.3% → 39.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.33% | ÷1.013 | ×1.200 | — | — | 39.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.010 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷1.026 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.018 | 30.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.901 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.018 | 7.16% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.953 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 105, 2B 80, 3B 130, K 103, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .283 → .232; ISO .111 → .087; BABIP .417 → .379. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 A+Bradenton Marauders · 243 PAwOBA .358 → .297 (−61)K% 24.7% → 35.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.69% | ÷0.986 | ×1.420 | — | — | 35.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.64% | ÷0.971 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.978 | 11.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.41% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.978 | 0.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 37.96% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.978 | 35.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.38% | ÷1.058 | ×0.960 | ×1.050 | ×0.978 | 4.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.19% | ÷1.066 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.978 | 1.77% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 100, 2B 112, 3B 80, K 97, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .358 → .297; ISO .076 → .061; BABIP .430 → .403. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAAltoona Curve · 121 PAwOBA .277 → .240 (−38)K% 30.6% → 37.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.58% | ÷0.993 | ×1.220 | — | — | 37.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.44% | ÷0.929 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 5.59% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.83% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.70% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.99% | ÷1.035 | ×0.970 | ×1.002 | ×0.998 | 29.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.63% | ÷0.936 | ×0.860 | ×1.002 | ×0.998 | 5.18% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.002 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.41% | ÷0.857 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 1.28% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 107, 2B 87, 3B 130, K 99, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .277 → .240; ISO .065 → .057; BABIP .371 → .347. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 A+Bradenton Marauders · 392 PAwOBA .249 → .203 (−46)K% 27.0% → 38.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.04% | ÷1.003 | ×1.420 | — | — | 38.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.59% | ÷0.996 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.988 | 3.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.26% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.988 | 0.23% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.002 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 23.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.08% | ÷1.154 | ×0.960 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 4.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.95% | ÷0.923 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 1.78% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.78% | ÷0.976 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 0.70% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 100, 2B 131, 3B 85, K 101, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .249 → .203; ISO .080 → .063; BABIP .323 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AWest Virginia Power · 352 PAwOBA .229 → .183 (−46)K% 27.6% → 36.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.56% | ÷1.012 | ×1.340 | — | — | 36.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.39% | ÷1.037 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.990 | 4.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.28% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.990 | 0.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.26% | ÷1.028 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.990 | 21.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.26% | ÷1.190 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×0.990 | 2.33% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.93% | ÷1.056 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×0.990 | 0.86% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.40% | ÷1.069 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.990 | 1.06% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 114, 1B 106, 2B 138, 3B 111, K 102, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .229 → .183; ISO .064 → .048; BABIP .277 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 ROKGCL Mets · 170 PAwOBA .240 → .178 (−62)K% 22.4% → 32.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.35% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 32.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 2.87% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.21% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×0.985 | 21.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×0.985 | 4.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .240 → .178; ISO .045 → .031; BABIP .308 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 DSLDSL Mets 2 · 250 PAwOBA .355 → .246 (−109)K% 16.0% → 19.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 19.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.80% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.985 | 7.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.80% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.985 | 0.55% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.49% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×1.040 | ×0.985 | 19.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.72% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.040 | ×0.985 | 5.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.58% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.040 | ×0.985 | 0.36% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.16% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.985 | 0.54% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 18.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.040.
Result: wOBA .355 → .246; ISO .108 → .066; BABIP .374 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .