Ervin Torres
P
DSL Rockies
Age 21
LHP
6'0" / 185 lbs
ROK
peak 0.4 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 27 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 99108vR 117
ERA4.33
FIP4.33
K%23.3%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%14.1%
ROS IP27
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 27 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Colorado | 12 | 5 | 39 | 158 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 42% | 3.2 | 12.1% | 3.2% | 8.9% | 0.6% | 2.79 | 2.80 | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Colorado | 12 | 5 | 39 | 158 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 42% | 3.2 | 17.7% | 2.5% | 15.2% | 0.6% | 2.79 | 2.30 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Rockies | 11 | 10 | 46 | 199 | 49 | 12 | 5 | 91% | 4.2 | 16.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 3.8% | 4.93 | 4.70 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Rockies | 11 | 10 | 46 | 199 | 49 | 12 | 5 | 91% | 4.2 | 24.6% | 6.0% | 18.6% | 2.5% | 4.93 | 3.17 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | DSL Rockies | 6 | 0 | 8 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 20.0% | 3.3% | 16.7% | 3.3% | 3.38 | 3.66 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | DSL Rockies | 6 | 0 | 8 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 20.0% | 3.3% | 16.7% | 3.3% | 3.38 | 3.60 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | MLB | COL | 26 | 0 | 27 | 115 | 27 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.33 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | COL | 27 | 0 | 29 | 121 | 29 | 10 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.2% | 8.6% | 15.5% | 2.9% | 4.22 | 4.15 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | COL | 13 | 0 | 14 | 59 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.2% | 8.6% | 15.5% | 2.9% | 4.22 | 4.15 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 13 | 0 | 14 | 59 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.2% | 8.6% | 15.5% | 2.9% | 4.22 | 3.77 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 199 | 71 | 28 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.2% | 8.6% | 15.5% | 2.9% | 4.22 | 3.77 | +3.8 | ||
| Career | — | 29 | 15 | 92 | 387 | 58 | 21 | 9 | 52% | 3.2 | 15.1% | 5.4% | 9.7% | 2.4% | 3.90 | 3.85 | +1.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 63 | 32 | 200 | 838 | 126 | 45 | 20 | 52% | 3.2 | 15.1% | 5.4% | 9.7% | 2.4% | 3.90 | 3.85 | +3.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ervin Torres (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.33 | 23.3% | 9.2% | 3.0% | — | 4.15 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 29 | -0.18 | — | — | — |
| Taylor Hearn L 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.88 | 26.1% | 10.6% | 3.0% | .347 | 3.97 | 22.3% | 11.7% | 236 | +0.09 | 3.66 | 572 | 84 |
| Carlos Peña L 2025 · 3.17 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.17 | 23.8% | 10.5% | 1.4% | .301 | 3.85 | 19.1% | 10.2% | 145 | +0.68 | 3.17 | 577 | 80 |
| Josh Hendrickson L 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.99 | 21.8% | 6.7% | 3.4% | .250 | 4.39 | 19.3% | 10.9% | 110 | +0.40 | 3.93 | 319 | 79 |
| Jacob Lopez L 2025 · 3.66 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.66 | 24.3% | 7.9% | 2.9% | .302 | 3.58 | 30.4% | 21.6% | 55 | -0.08 | 3.50 | 478 | 79 |
| Matt Osterberg L 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.89 | 20.2% | 12.3% | 1.7% | .255 | 4.14 | 15.6% | 9.3% | 274 | +0.25 | 3.59 | 294 | 79 |
| Sonny Vargas L 2025 · 4.43 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.43 | 21.0% | 10.1% | 3.3% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.20 | 165 | 78 |
| Thomas Ireland L 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.50 | 16.7% | 8.7% | 3.1% | .286 | 3.55 | 17.3% | 8.3% | 177 | -0.95 | 2.94 | 221 | 78 |
| Aidan Deakins L 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.83 | 18.9% | 8.5% | 2.3% | .323 | 5.29 | 17.1% | 6.0% | 62 | +1.46 | 3.83 | 119 | 77 |
| Dalton Pence L 2027 · 3.32 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.32 | 23.8% | 9.6% | 1.8% | .271 | 3.89 | 22.0% | 13.9% | 71 | +0.57 | 3.32 | 153 | 77 |
| Keyshawn Askew L 2027 · 3.37 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.37 | 25.6% | 12.2% | 1.6% | .274 | 3.78 | 20.7% | 5.5% | 196 | +0.41 | 3.37 | 262 | 77 |
| David Rodriguez L 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.74 | 19.8% | 5.7% | 2.9% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.58 | 120 | 77 |
| James Reeves L 2028 · 3.50 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.50 | 21.9% | 8.7% | 2.1% | .237 | 3.30 | 23.0% | 13.1% | 146 | -0.20 | 2.02 | 280 | 76 |
| Alex Cornwell L 2028 · 3.97 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.97 | 18.9% | 7.3% | 2.8% | .382 | 3.85 | 16.5% | 8.0% | 311 | -0.12 | 3.10 | 381 | 76 |
| Sam Long L 2026 · 3.26 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.26 | 20.7% | 9.8% | 1.2% | .371 | 4.18 | 21.3% | 13.1% | 97 | +0.92 | 3.08 | 446 | 75 |
| Luis Angel Rodriguez L 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.47 | 27.3% | 9.0% | 2.8% | .245 | 4.61 | 23.7% | 8.3% | 212 | +1.14 | 2.73 | 388 | 75 |
| Jackson Stoeckinger L 2026 · 3.19 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.19 | 18.7% | 7.7% | 1.2% | .365 | 4.75 | 13.1% | 7.3% | 157 | +1.56 | 3.19 | 184 | 75 |
| Garrett Schoenle L 2029 · 4.66 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.66 | 21.4% | 10.8% | 3.6% | .263 | 4.29 | 21.0% | 9.5% | 219 | -0.37 | 2.34 | 338 | 74 |
| Adrian Gusman L 2028 · 3.57 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.57 | 16.5% | 6.6% | 1.9% | .280 | 3.65 | 15.0% | 7.2% | 63 | +0.08 | 2.91 | 141 | 74 |
| Jordi Martinez L 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.84 | 19.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .277 | 4.56 | 17.7% | 6.6% | 120 | +0.72 | 3.15 | 205 | 74 |
| Ryan Williamson L 2028 · 4.10 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.10 | 18.4% | 5.9% | 3.3% | .286 | 5.67 | 18.4% | 5.8% | 102 | +1.57 | 4.10 | 123 | 74 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 28 | 23.7% | 8.9% | 1.15 | 4.27 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Zach McAllister ('18) | 4 | 57 | 24.8% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 3.63 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Santiago Casilla ('18) | 4 | 52 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 0.96 | 3.49 |
| Sam Hentges ('24) | 4 | 52 | 25.4% | 8.4% | 0.78 | 4.18 |