Jose Fleury — OGILVIE

Jose Fleury P Sugar Land Space Cowboys

Age 24 RHP 6'0" / 185 lbs AAA peak 0.5 · 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION24 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133125vR 117

ERA5.25

FIP5.25

K%19.1%

BB%10.9%

K-BB%8.2%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 29 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF4550

CTRL4050

CMD4040

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	20	ROK MLE	DSL HOU Orange	10	4	38	146	60	4	1	40%	3.8	27.9%	3.4%	24.5%	1.1%	1.42	1.75	—
2022	20	ROK RAW	DSL HOU Orange	10	4	38	146	60	4	1	40%	3.8	41.1%	2.7%	38.4%	0.7%	1.42	0.60	—
2023	21	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	26	14	99	398	139	48	8	54%	3.8	25.8%	14.2%	11.6%	2.6%	3.65	4.16	—
2023	21	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	26	14	99	398	139	48	8	54%	3.8	25.8%	14.2%	11.6%	2.6%	3.65	4.16	—
2023	21	A RAW	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	26	14	99	398	139	48	8	54%	3.8	34.9%	12.1%	22.9%	2.0%	3.65	2.80	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	11	71	299	77	26	9	58%	3.8	20.7%	9.9%	10.8%	3.8%	3.66	4.71	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	11	71	299	77	26	9	58%	3.8	20.7%	9.9%	10.8%	3.8%	3.66	4.71	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	11	71	299	77	26	9	58%	3.8	25.8%	8.7%	17.1%	3.0%	3.66	3.67	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	19	85	349	78	35	13	83%	3.7	18.3%	9.5%	8.8%	4.3%	4.55	5.10	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	19	85	349	78	35	13	83%	3.7	18.3%	9.5%	8.8%	4.3%	4.55	5.10	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	19	85	349	78	35	13	83%	3.7	22.3%	10.0%	12.3%	3.7%	4.55	4.49	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	15	1	24	113	13	20	4	7%	1.6	9.5%	15.9%	-6.4%	3.9%	5.32	6.45	—
YTD	24	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	15	1	24	113	13	20	4	7%	1.6	9.5%	15.9%	-6.4%	3.9%	5.32	6.45	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	AAA RAW	HOU	15	1	24	113	13	20	4	7%	1.6	11.5%	17.7%	-6.2%	3.5%	5.32	6.31	—
ROS	24	MLB MLE	HOU	5	0	6	24	5	3	1	0%	1.1	19.1%	10.9%	8.2%	3.6%	5.25	5.25	-0.0
2026 TOT	24	MLB MLE	HOU	—	—	29	137	18	23	5	—	—	12.8%	16.5%	-3.7%	3.6%	5.31	6.22	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	HOU	74	0	78	327	66	34	12	0%	1.0	20.1%	10.5%	9.6%	3.6%	5.10	5.07	-0.5
2028	26	MLB MLE	HOU	74	0	78	327	68	34	12	0%	1.0	20.6%	10.3%	10.3%	3.5%	5.00	4.98	-0.4
2029	27	MLB MLE	HOU	73	0	76	322	67	33	11	0%	1.0	20.8%	10.3%	10.4%	3.5%	4.98	4.99	-0.4
2030	28	MLB MLE	HOU	70	0	74	312	65	33	11	0%	1.1	20.7%	10.5%	10.2%	3.6%	5.02	5.05	-0.4
2031	29	MLB MLE	HOU	67	0	71	299	61	32	11	0%	1.1	20.5%	10.7%	9.8%	3.8%	5.12	5.18	-0.5
2032	30	MLB MLE	HOU	63	0	66	281	56	31	11	0%	1.1	20.1%	11.0%	9.1%	4.0%	5.27	5.36	-0.6
2027	25	MLB CTX	HOU	35	0	37	156	31	16	6	0%	1.1	20.1%	10.5%	9.6%	3.6%	5.10	5.07	-0.2
2028	26	MLB CTX	HOU	51	0	54	228	47	24	8	0%	1.1	20.6%	10.3%	10.3%	3.5%	5.00	4.98	-0.3
2029	27	MLB CTX	HOU	57	0	60	253	53	26	9	0%	1.1	20.8%	10.3%	10.4%	3.5%	4.98	4.99	-0.3
2030	28	MLB CTX	HOU	60	0	63	266	55	28	10	0%	1.1	20.7%	10.5%	10.2%	3.6%	5.02	5.05	-0.4
2031	29	MLB CTX	HOU	59	0	62	262	54	28	10	0%	1.1	20.5%	10.7%	9.8%	3.8%	5.12	5.18	-0.4
2032	30	MLB CTX	HOU	57	0	60	253	51	28	10	0%	1.1	20.1%	11.0%	9.1%	4.0%	5.27	5.36	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		322	0	338	1425	292	151	53	0%	1.0	20.5%	10.6%	9.9%	3.7%	5.08	4.73	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	173	89	31	0%	1.1	20.5%	10.6%	9.9%	3.7%	5.08	4.73	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		93	49	317	1305	280	142	43	53%	3.4	21.5%	10.9%	10.6%	3.3%	3.75	4.47	-1.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		59	31	200	824	177	90	27	53%	3.4	21.5%	10.9%	10.6%	3.3%	3.75	4.47	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jose Fleury (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.25	19.1%	10.9%	3.6%	—	5.01	20.5%	10.1%	231	-0.24	—	—	—
Tanner Burns R 2023 · 5.27 FIP	24	SW	5.27	19.4%	12.5%	4.0%	.257	5.00	17.7%	4.6%	131	-0.27	4.34	382	87
Cade Winquest R 2023 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	17.9%	12.0%	2.3%	.299	3.74	20.8%	10.5%	175	-0.63	3.11	252	87
Patrick Halligan R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	23	SW	4.43	18.8%	11.6%	2.6%	.330	3.73	25.0%	14.9%	174	-0.70	2.47	304	86
Grant Ford R 2021 · 5.78 FIP	23	SW	5.78	20.1%	13.2%	4.9%	.300	4.61	19.0%	4.5%	112	-1.17	3.83	188	85
Yaisel Sierra R 2016 · 4.32 FIP	25	SW	4.32	16.9%	8.6%	2.8%	.338	3.04	22.4%	12.3%	71	-1.28	3.04	176	85
Hunter Adkins R 2016 · 4.64 FIP	25	SW	4.64	16.2%	10.3%	2.9%	.290	4.82	11.8%	0.5%	58	+0.18	4.64	160	85
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.38	17.8%	5.3%	123	-0.47	3.90	164	84
Cooper Chandler R 2023 · 4.33 FIP	24	SP-	4.33	17.8%	9.3%	2.9%	.300	3.78	23.5%	17.1%	18	-0.55	3.78	107	83
Thomas Ponticelli R 2021 · 4.50 FIP	24	SW	4.50	17.2%	9.7%	3.0%	.264	5.28	14.8%	3.5%	163	+0.78	2.59	367	83
Chris Campos R 2023 · 4.91 FIP	22	SP-	4.91	21.0%	11.8%	3.8%	.364	4.57	18.7%	11.7%	237	-0.34	4.54	306	82
Devereaux Harrison R 2023 · 5.04 FIP	22	SP-	5.04	17.6%	11.3%	3.6%	.252	4.76	16.6%	4.4%	294	-0.28	4.43	388	82
Austin Bergner R 2021 · 4.99 FIP	24	SW	4.99	24.0%	10.9%	4.6%	.277	4.88	21.5%	9.9%	274	-0.11	4.06	464	81
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2015 · 5.06 FIP	24	SP-	5.06	18.8%	10.2%	4.1%	.327	4.01	23.2%	13.0%	155	-1.05	2.64	315	81
Casey Legumina R 2021 · 4.08 FIP	24	SP-	4.08	23.3%	9.3%	3.2%	.260	4.36	19.8%	10.9%	189	+0.28	3.06	349	81
Joey Mancini R 2023 · 4.22 FIP	23	SP-	4.22	18.1%	10.0%	2.5%	.354	4.40	16.6%	6.3%	296	+0.18	3.64	391	80
Greyfer Eregua R 2017 · 4.87 FIP	23	SP-	4.87	18.3%	9.3%	3.9%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	126	80
Matt Peacock R 2018 · 4.20 FIP	24	SP-	4.20	16.0%	7.6%	2.7%	.300	4.27	13.6%	5.2%	202	+0.07	3.93	354	80
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	79
Matt Marsh R 2015 · 4.14 FIP	24	SW	4.14	15.5%	10.7%	1.8%	.275	3.65	20.5%	11.4%	70	-0.49	3.13	143	79
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.5	73	20.3%	10.6%	1.42	5.10
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Buck Farmer ('24)	2.5	50	21.6%	10.5%	1.23	4.59
Austin Voth ('24)	1.7	58	22.2%	8.2%	1.50	4.63
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33