Jose Fleury
P
Sugar Land Space Cowboys
Age 24
RHP
6'0" / 185 lbs
AAA
peak 0.4 · 2028
2026 ROS PROJECTION24 act + 67 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 140130vR 121
ERA5.36
FIP5.36
K%19.6%
BB%11.8%
K-BB%7.8%
ROS IP67
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 91 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | DSL HOU Orange | 10 | 4 | 38 | 146 | 60 | 4 | 1 | 40% | 3.8 | 27.9% | 3.4% | 24.5% | 1.2% | 1.42 | 1.81 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | DSL HOU Orange | 10 | 4 | 38 | 146 | 60 | 4 | 1 | 40% | 3.8 | 41.1% | 2.7% | 38.4% | 0.7% | 1.42 | 0.60 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | 26 | 14 | 99 | 398 | 139 | 48 | 8 | 54% | 3.8 | 25.8% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 2.6% | 3.65 | 4.17 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | 26 | 14 | 99 | 398 | 139 | 48 | 8 | 54% | 3.8 | 34.9% | 12.1% | 22.9% | 2.0% | 3.65 | 2.80 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 11 | 71 | 299 | 77 | 26 | 9 | 58% | 3.8 | 20.7% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 4.0% | 3.66 | 4.78 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 11 | 71 | 299 | 77 | 26 | 9 | 58% | 3.8 | 25.8% | 8.7% | 17.1% | 3.0% | 3.66 | 3.67 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 19 | 85 | 349 | 78 | 35 | 13 | 83% | 3.7 | 18.9% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 4.55 | 5.25 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 19 | 85 | 349 | 78 | 35 | 13 | 83% | 3.7 | 22.3% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 3.7% | 4.55 | 4.49 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AAA | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | 15 | 1 | 24 | 113 | 13 | 20 | 4 | 7% | 1.6 | 10.1% | 18.6% | -8.5% | 3.9% | 5.32 | 6.74 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | HOU | 64 | 0 | 67 | 284 | 55 | 33 | 11 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.6% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 5.36 | 5.36 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | HOU | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.6% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 5.36 | 5.36 | -0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 91 | 397 | 68 | 53 | 15 | — | — | 17.3% | 13.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.35 | 5.72 | -0.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 7 | 28 | 6 | 3 | 1 | — | — | 19.6% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 5.36 | 4.98 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | HOU | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 59 | 32 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.5% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 3.6% | 5.19 | 5.15 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | HOU | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 60 | 31 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.9% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 3.6% | 5.09 | 5.06 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | HOU | 64 | 0 | 67 | 283 | 59 | 31 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.0% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 3.6% | 5.06 | 5.06 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | HOU | 31 | 0 | 33 | 139 | 29 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.5% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 3.6% | 5.19 | 5.15 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | HOU | 45 | 0 | 47 | 198 | 41 | 22 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.9% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 3.6% | 5.09 | 5.06 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | HOU | 50 | 0 | 53 | 224 | 47 | 24 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.0% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 3.6% | 5.06 | 5.06 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 133 | 0 | 140 | 590 | 123 | 65 | 21 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.8% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 3.6% | 5.12 | 4.72 | +1.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 176 | 93 | 30 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.8% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 3.6% | 5.12 | 4.72 | +1.6 | ||
| Career | — | 93 | 49 | 317 | 1305 | 283 | 149 | 44 | 53% | 3.4 | 21.7% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 3.4% | 3.75 | 4.56 | +3.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 59 | 31 | 200 | 824 | 179 | 94 | 28 | 53% | 3.4 | 21.7% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 3.4% | 3.75 | 4.56 | +2.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jose Fleury (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.36 | 19.6% | 11.8% | 3.7% | — | 5.09 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 203 | -0.27 | — | — | — |
| Grant Ford R 2025 · 5.34 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.34 | 20.1% | 13.2% | 4.1% | .300 | 4.57 | 19.0% | 4.5% | 112 | -0.77 | 3.96 | 188 | 90 |
| Tanner Burns R 2026 · 5.52 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.52 | 19.4% | 12.5% | 4.5% | .257 | 5.02 | 18.7% | 3.7% | 127 | -0.50 | 4.07 | 378 | 87 |
| Ray Gaither R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.91 | 21.9% | 13.2% | 3.6% | .314 | 4.49 | 18.6% | 4.7% | 123 | -0.42 | 4.16 | 164 | 86 |
| Dawson Netz R 2026 · 5.27 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.27 | 16.4% | 12.9% | 3.5% | .321 | 4.42 | 23.3% | 12.6% | 51 | -0.85 | 4.42 | 102 | 85 |
| Nick Hull R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.79 | 19.0% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .296 | 4.83 | 18.7% | 8.3% | 87 | +0.04 | 3.93 | 268 | 84 |
| Cooper Chandler R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.50 | 17.8% | 9.3% | 3.1% | .300 | 3.74 | 23.5% | 17.1% | 18 | -0.76 | 3.74 | 107 | 82 |
| Yaisel Sierra R 2027 · 4.31 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.31 | 16.9% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .338 | 3.01 | 22.4% | 12.3% | 71 | -1.30 | 3.01 | 176 | 82 |
| Thomas Ponticelli R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.73 | 17.2% | 9.7% | 3.4% | .264 | 5.29 | 15.3% | 2.9% | 163 | +0.56 | 2.59 | 367 | 82 |
| Hunter Adkins R 2027 · 4.37 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.37 | 16.2% | 10.3% | 2.4% | .290 | 4.81 | 11.8% | 0.5% | 58 | +0.44 | 4.37 | 160 | 82 |
| Zach Linginfelter R 2026 · 5.72 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.72 | 19.1% | 16.0% | 4.0% | .295 | 4.94 | 18.8% | -0.6% | 46 | -0.78 | 3.58 | 109 | 82 |
| Danny Cody R 2026 · 6.00 FIP | 24 | SW | 6.00 | 20.5% | 15.0% | 5.0% | .369 | 6.37 | 11.4% | -6.9% | 37 | +0.37 | 6.00 | 106 | 81 |
| Casey Legumina R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.28 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .260 | 4.34 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 189 | +0.06 | 3.68 | 323 | 80 |
| Danny Kirwin R 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.29 | 17.9% | 9.9% | 2.6% | .262 | 5.23 | 16.8% | 4.6% | 91 | +0.94 | 4.03 | 161 | 79 |
| Matt Marsh R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.21 | 15.5% | 10.7% | 1.9% | .275 | 3.87 | 20.5% | 11.4% | 70 | -0.34 | 3.13 | 143 | 79 |
| Greyfer Eregua R 2025 · 4.85 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.85 | 18.3% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 126 | 79 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2027 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 79 |
| Austin Bergner R 2026 · 5.47 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.47 | 24.0% | 10.9% | 5.5% | .277 | 5.12 | 21.7% | 9.6% | 274 | -0.35 | 4.00 | 464 | 78 |
| R.J. Freure R 2026 · 5.83 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.83 | 21.7% | 16.2% | 4.6% | .298 | 6.05 | 20.3% | 0.1% | 26 | +0.22 | 5.19 | 196 | 78 |
| Carlos Sano R 2027 · 4.98 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.98 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 3.6% | .282 | 9.58 | 19.7% | 7.1% | 18 | +4.60 | 4.98 | 105 | 78 |
| Matt Peacock R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.22 | 16.0% | 7.6% | 2.7% | .300 | 4.20 | 13.6% | 5.2% | 202 | -0.02 | 3.96 | 354 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 68 | 20.5% | 11.2% | 1.40 | 5.17 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |