Austin Charles — OGILVIE

Austin CharlesSS Quad Cities River Bandits

Age 22 R/R 6'5" / 215 lbs A+ HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION186 act + 22 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .227 / .238

PA22

HR0

K%32

BB%5

BABIP266

ISO48

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2031	Arb-1	$2M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-3	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$0.9M		$2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	19	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	296	261	60	18	3	3	22	73	3	12	3	230	297	356	654	126	297	25	7	285	79	-7	+1	—	—	+6	0.0
2024	20	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	481	409	105	15	4	10	50	124	14	36	7	257	357	386	744	130	338	26	10	334	112	+7	+4	—	—	+10	2.2
2025	21	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	232	205	42	9	2	2	19	60	0	11	5	205	272	298	570	93	267	26	8	252	57	-12	+0	—	—	+5	-0.7
2025	21	ROK	ACL Royals	—	15	15	3	1	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	200	200	267	467	67	300	33	0	206	26	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	19	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	296	269	48	13	2	2	14	109	3	12	3	178	227	264	491	86	258	37	5	214	31	-24	+1	—	—	+6	-1.7
2024	20	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	481	428	81	11	3	8	31	183	14	36	7	189	266	285	551	96	287	38	6	244	51	-28	+4	—	—	+10	-1.3
2025	21	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	232	210	32	6	1	2	14	81	0	11	5	152	205	219	424	67	217	35	6	193	17	-23	+0	—	—	+5	-1.8
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	15	15	2	1	0	0	0	7	0	0	0	133	133	200	333	67	235	47	0	120	-33	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2023	19	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	296	269	48	13	2	2	14	109	3	12	3	178	227	264	491	86	279	37	5	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A RAW	Columbia Fireflies	—	296	261	60	18	3	3	22	73	3	12	3	230	297	356	654	126	297	25	7	285	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	481	428	81	11	3	8	31	183	14	36	7	189	266	285	551	96	300	38	6	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A RAW	Columbia Fireflies	—	481	409	105	15	4	10	50	124	14	36	7	257	357	386	744	130	338	26	10	334	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	247	225	34	7	1	2	14	88	0	11	5	151	201	218	419	67	225	36	6	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	247	220	45	10	2	2	19	65	0	11	5	205	268	295	563	91	269	26	8	249	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	296	277	48	13	2	2	14	109	3	12	3	173	227	256	484	83	258	37	5	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	481	433	81	11	3	8	31	183	14	36	7	187	266	282	548	95	287	38	6	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	247	231	34	7	1	2	14	88	0	11	5	147	201	212	413	65	218	36	6	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	19	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	296	277	48	13	2	2	14	109	3	12	3	173	227	256	484	83	258	37	5	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	481	433	81	11	3	8	31	183	14	36	7	187	266	282	548	95	287	38	6	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	247	231	34	7	1	2	14	88	0	11	5	147	201	212	413	65	218	36	6	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	A+ MLE	KC	—	186	170	39	8	1	6	11	49	2	10	2	229	284	394	678	165	284	26	6	285	79	-5	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A+ RAW	KC	—	186	165	47	11	1	7	16	36	2	10	2	285	355	491	846	206	325	19	9	367	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	22	A+ MLE	KC	0%	22	21	4	1	0	0	1	7	0	1	0	190	227	238	465	48	269	32	5	253	57	-1	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	22	A+ MLE	KC	—	208	191	43	9	1	6	12	56	2	11	2	225	278	377	655	152	285	27	6	282	77	-6	+1	-0	+2	+5	0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	KC	25%	306	280	58	11	2	7	19	90	4	9	2	207	267	336	603	129	270	29	6	265	66	-12	+1	-1	+3	+7	-0.2
2028	24	MLB MLE	KC	36%	388	355	75	14	2	10	25	110	5	11	3	211	273	346	619	135	273	28	6	276	73	-12	+1	-1	+4	+8	0.0
2029	25	MLB MLE	KC	43%	435	398	85	16	2	12	29	122	5	12	3	214	275	354	630	141	274	28	7	282	77	-12	+1	-1	+5	+9	0.3
2030	26	MLB MLE	KC	47%	463	423	90	17	2	13	32	129	5	12	3	213	276	355	631	142	275	28	7	285	79	-11	+1	-1	+5	+10	0.4
2031	27	MLB MLE	KC	48%	476	434	93	18	2	13	33	133	6	12	3	214	279	355	634	141	275	28	7	285	79	-12	+1	-1	+5	+10	0.4
2032	28	MLB MLE	KC	48%	479	436	93	18	2	13	34	134	6	11	3	213	279	353	633	140	274	28	7	285	79	-12	+1	-2	+5	+10	0.3
2033	29	MLB MLE	KC	48%	474	432	92	18	2	13	34	134	5	10	3	213	278	354	632	141	274	28	7	283	78	-13	+1	-2	+5	+10	0.1
2034	30	MLB MLE	KC	47%	467	426	89	17	2	12	33	133	5	9	2	209	274	343	616	134	273	28	7	280	76	-13	+1	-3	+5	+10	-0.0
2027	23	MLB CTX	KC	25%	77	71	14	3	0	2	5	23	1	2	1	197	260	324	584	127	267	30	6	252	66	-3	+0	-0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	KC	36%	141	129	27	5	1	3	9	40	2	4	1	209	271	333	605	124	270	28	6	262	73	-5	+0	-0	+2	+3	0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	KC	43%	186	169	36	7	1	5	13	52	2	5	1	213	277	355	632	142	271	28	7	268	77	-5	+1	-0	+2	+4	0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	KC	47%	216	196	42	8	1	6	15	60	3	6	1	214	280	357	638	143	271	28	7	271	79	-5	+1	-0	+2	+5	0.2
2031	27	MLB CTX	KC	48%	227	206	43	8	1	6	16	63	3	6	1	209	276	345	620	136	271	28	7	271	79	-6	+1	-0	+2	+5	0.2
2032	28	MLB CTX	KC	48%	231	210	44	8	1	6	16	65	3	5	1	210	275	343	618	133	271	28	7	270	79	-6	+1	-1	+2	+5	0.1
2033	29	MLB CTX	KC	48%	225	204	43	8	1	6	16	63	3	5	1	211	278	348	626	137	270	28	7	269	78	-6	+1	-1	+2	+5	0.1
2034	30	MLB CTX	KC	47%	220	199	41	8	1	5	16	63	3	4	1	206	275	332	607	126	269	29	7	266	76	-6	+0	-1	+2	+5	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1523	1384	290	55	7	39	106	429	20	37	8	210	275	344	619	134	272	28	7	268	67	-42	+4	-5	+16	+33	0.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	591	124	23	3	17	45	183	9	16	3	210	276	345	622	135	272	28	7	268	67	-18	+2	-2	+7	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	4534	4127	842	161	22	105	299	1372	58	146	37	204	267	330	597	126	274	30	7	268	67	-99	+9	-12	+38	+76	1.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	120	23	3	15	43	197	8	21	5	203	266	328	594	125	273	30	7	268	67	-18	+2	-2	+7	+14	0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#5J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	2.3	1,524	41	37	214	275	355	+16	+0	2.0	2.0
/162	664	18	16	+7.1	+0.0	0.9	pk7: 2
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Austin Charles (OGILVIE)	22	20→30	30→50	55	30	195/252/305	110	269	5	10	30%	6%	57	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Steven Baron 2014 · A	23	35	40→45	53→50	34	179/213/275	95	257	7	9	33%	4%	34	-3.5	216/264/299	83	296	5	9	27%	6%	59	-1.7	237/293/310	73	315	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Franklin Tineo 2017 · A	22	36	38→45	46→50	45	179/245/253	75	239	5	10	26%	7%	42	-2.9	198/277/298	100	282	8	10	30%	8%	65	-1.2	201/298/325	124	262	10	12	25%	10%	77	-0.1
✕Corey Joyce 2022 · AA	23	40	39→40	54→50	39	192/262/271	79	299	7	14	36%	7%	53	-2.1	205/306/320	115	292	11	13	31%	10%	82	-0.0	213/316/315	101	301	9	14	29%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Kenedy Corona 2022 · A	22	43→42	39→50	52→55	39	206/260/294	87	286	6	20	29%	5%	57	-1.8	210/269/338	128	294	14	23	32%	7%	71	-0.8	201/266/326	124	278	13	27	31%	7%	64	-1.0
✕Luke Williams 2019 · A	22	40→44	38→45	50→65	41	197/248/266	70	256	6	15	25%	5%	46	-2.6	206/264/300	94	275	7	19	26%	7%	60	-1.6	222/284/339	116	307	11	42	29%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Ryan Bliss 2023 · A	23	35→45	44→45	52→60	39	184/241/293	109	256	12	21	32%	6%	50	-2.3	221/288/352	131	295	12	39	28%	8%	81	-0.1	221/289/349	127	292	11	41	26%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	41	38→40	49→40	40	195/262/275	80	276	6	7	30%	6%	54	-2.0	219/298/304	85	284	8	4	24%	7%	74	-0.5	216/302/271	55	271	5	1	21%	8%	67	-0.3
✕Tucker Mitchell 2023 · A	22	38	43→45	51→45	35	181/259/287	106	307	11	11	42%	7%	57	-1.8	200/265/308	108	290	13	7	34%	6%	63	-1.4	190/248/282	93	268	12	5	33%	5%	49	-1.0
✕Pedruin Bautista 2006 · A	22	39	38→40	50→60	33	192/225/272	80	283	4	10	33%	4%	38	-3.2	197/277/272	75	275	3	17	27%	8%	59	-1.7	190/288/262	72	257	2	25	24%	10%	60	-0.6
✕Fabian Pertuz 2023 · A	22	37→34	40	49→55	33	186/229/277	91	285	8	9	37%	4%	41	-3.0	175/226/265	90	273	8	12	37%	5%	38	-3.2	148/203/228	80	231	8	13	38%	5%	19	-2.4
✕Narciso Crook 2017 · A	22	38→43	42→50	51→50	32	191/227/294	103	284	10	11	36%	4%	44	-2.8	207/257/322	115	306	10	10	34%	5%	62	-1.4	206/268/351	145	302	15	14	35%	6%	70	-0.6
✕Stone Garrett 2019 · A	23	35→39	40→60	51→50	28	174/211/268	94	303	8	12	44%	4%	32	-3.6	202/238/329	127	300	14	15	37%	3%	57	-1.8	221/282/389	168	300	20	11	32%	7%	86	+0.2
✕Jase Bowen 2022 · A	21	37→40	42→50	54→55	35	184/245/283	99	282	10	12	37%	5%	50	-2.3	197/252/315	118	289	14	16	35%	5%	59	-1.6	203/254/335	133	288	14	24	34%	5%	62	-0.9
✕Chris Roller 2019 · A	22	39	41→45	51→55	42	192/267/295	103	286	9	14	34%	8%	61	-1.5	205/269/313	108	292	7	12	30%	6%	65	-1.2	178/265/281	103	258	10	19	32%	8%	56	-1.0
✕Sthervin Matos 2016 · A	22	36→34	41→50	51→50	37	184/233/275	92	265	9	14	33%	5%	42	-2.9	191/239/282	91	286	8	10	34%	6%	46	-2.6	142/175/217	75	206	8	2	35%	4%	3	-1.4
✕Luis Aviles Jr. 2017 · A	22	38→42	39→50	50→55	32	187/219/274	87	291	6	12	37%	4%	36	-3.4	196/235/270	74	306	6	23	36%	4%	41	-3.0	198/240/336	138	265	15	22	31%	4%	57	-1.1
✕Jhonny Santos 2019 · A	22	41	40→45	50	41	203/253/296	93	271	8	14	28%	6%	55	-2.0	206/262/323	117	278	12	13	29%	6%	65	-1.2	190/248/321	131	245	17	9	29%	7%	57	-0.8
✕Jeudy Valdez 2011 · A	22	39→45	40→50	50→55	39	193/239/290	97	261	8	17	29%	5%	48	-2.5	211/248/336	125	280	12	17	29%	4%	62	-1.4	211/247/343	132	277	13	17	28%	3%	61	-1.3
✕Sean Coyle 2013 · A	21	38→36	45→50	54→50	38	193/255/316	124	276	12	13	34%	6%	61	-1.5	204/262/352	148	296	18	14	36%	6%	72	-0.7	194/255/352	157	279	21	15	37%	7%	68	-0.5
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	177/255/257	79	269	8	14	35%	9%	48	-2.5	207/287/299	92	295	7	12	29%	9%	69	-0.9	212/301/305	93	294	5	13	27%	10%	75	-0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps