Austin Charles — OGILVIE

Austin CharlesSS Quad Cities River Bandits

Age 22 R/R 6'5" / 215 lbs A+ HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION123 act + 144 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†45

AVG/OBP/SLG.189 / .252 / .288

PA144

HR2

SB5

K%33

BB%6

BABIP274

ISO98

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1.0M	+$0.3M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.9M
2031	Arb-1	$1M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	19	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	296	269	47	12	2	2	14	115	3	12	3	175	224	257	480	82	283	39	5	208	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	296	261	60	18	3	3	22	73	3	12	3	230	297	356	654	126	297	25	7	285	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	481	429	78	12	3	8	30	190	14	36	7	182	258	280	538	98	295	40	6	236	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	481	409	105	15	4	10	50	124	14	36	7	257	357	386	744	130	338	26	10	334	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	2 teams	—	247	225	34	7	1	2	14	87	0	11	5	151	201	218	419	67	224	35	6	186	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	2 teams	—	247	220	45	10	2	2	19	65	0	11	5	205	268	295	563	91	269	26	8	249	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A+	KC	—	123	112	27	7	1	2	8	36	1	8	1	241	298	375	673	134	333	29	7	296	85	-2	+1	+0	+1	+3	0.4
YTD	22	A+	KC	—	123	108	33	9	1	3	12	27	1	8	1	306	380	491	871	185	380	22	10	379	148	+7	+1	+0	+1	+3	1.3
ROS	22	A+	KC	0%	144	132	25	5	1	2	9	47	2	5	1	189	252	288	540	98	280	33	6	245	45	-9	+1	-0	+2	+4	-0.3
ROS	22	MLB	KC	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						276	0	0	233	36	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	22	A+	KC	—	124	113	27	7	1	2	8	36	1	8	1	239	295	372	667	133	329	29	6	295	84	-2	+1	-0	+1	+4	0.4
TOT	22	A+	KC	—	267	244	52	12	2	4	17	83	3	13	2	213	273	328	601	115	302	31	6	268	63	-11	+2	-0	+3	+8	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	KC	25%	306	280	57	12	2	5	19	97	4	9	2	204	264	314	578	111	281	32	6	259	56	-15	+1	-1	+3	+9	-0.3
2028	24	MLB	KC	36%	388	355	74	15	2	9	26	119	4	11	3	208	270	338	608	130	283	31	7	271	66	-15	+1	-1	+4	+11	0.0
2029	25	MLB	KC	43%	435	397	85	17	2	11	30	131	5	12	3	214	278	350	628	136	284	30	7	279	72	-14	+1	-1	+5	+12	0.3
2030	26	MLB	KC	47%	463	423	91	18	3	12	32	138	5	12	3	215	278	357	635	142	285	30	7	283	75	-13	+1	-1	+5	+13	0.5
2031	27	MLB	KC	48%	476	433	93	18	3	12	34	142	6	12	3	215	281	353	635	139	285	30	7	283	75	-14	+1	-1	+5	+13	0.5
2027	23	MLB	KC	25%	77	71	13	3	0	1	5	24	1	2	1	183	247	268	514	85	278	31	6	247	47	-5	+0	-0	+1	+2	-0.2
2028	24	MLB	KC	36%	141	129	26	5	1	3	9	43	2	4	1	202	264	326	590	124	280	30	6	259	57	-7	+0	-0	+2	+4	-0.1
2029	25	MLB	KC	43%	186	169	35	7	1	4	13	56	2	5	1	207	272	331	603	124	281	30	7	267	62	-8	+1	-0	+2	+5	-0.0
2030	26	MLB	KC	47%	216	196	41	8	1	5	15	64	3	6	1	209	276	337	612	128	281	30	7	270	65	-9	+1	-0	+2	+6	0.0
2031	27	MLB	KC	48%	227	206	43	8	1	6	16	68	3	6	1	209	276	345	620	136	281	30	7	271	65	-9	+1	-0	+2	+6	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	848	772	158	31	4	19	58	255	11	23	5	205	270	329	599	124	277	30	7	266	61	-37	+3	-2	+9	+24	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	122	24	3	15	44	195	8	18	4	206	270	333	603	127	278	30	7	266	61	-28	+2	-1	+7	+18	-0.2
Career	—			—	3236	2943	584	116	19	63	208	1066	43	120	30	198	261	315	576	117	282	33	6	256	54	-169	+12	-5	+35	+92	-3.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	118	23	4	13	42	214	9	24	6	200	263	318	581	118	284	33	6	256	54	-34	+2	-1	+7	+18	-0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	19	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	296	261	60	18	3	3	22	73	3	12	3	230	297	356	654	126	297	25	7	285	76	-8	+1	—	—	+8	0.2
2024	20	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	481	409	105	15	4	10	50	124	14	36	7	257	357	386	744	130	338	26	10	334	113	+7	+4	—	—	+14	2.6
2025	21	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	232	205	42	9	2	2	19	60	0	11	5	205	272	298	570	93	267	26	8	252	51	-13	+0	—	—	+7	-0.6
2025	21	ROK	ACL Royals	—	15	15	3	1	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	200	200	267	467	67	300	33	0	206	16	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	9	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
	/162	664	10	21	239	286	365	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	848	21	23	213	273	347	+9	+0	0.7	0.7
	/162	664	16	18	213	273	347	+7.1	+0.0	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Austin Charles (OGILVIE)	22	20→30	30→50	55	30	213/273/328	115	302	4	13	31%	6%	63	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Steven Baron 2014 · A	23	34	40→45	53→50	34	176/209/269	93	256	6	9	34%	4%	22	-3.7	215/263/298	83	301	5	9	28%	6%	53	-1.5	240/300/311	71	326	5	6	26%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Kenedy Corona 2022 · A	22	43→40	39→45	52→55	39	205/259/290	85	285	6	20	29%	5%	50	-1.8	206/268/333	127	294	13	23	33%	7%	66	-0.6	198/265/322	124	280	13	27	32%	7%	58	-0.9
✕Franklin Tineo 2017 · A	22	36	38→45	46→50	45	179/245/253	75	239	5	10	26%	7%	35	-2.8	198/277/298	100	282	8	10	30%	8%	60	-1.0	201/298/325	124	262	10	12	25%	10%	74	-0.0
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	49→40	40	194/261/274	80	272	6	7	29%	6%	47	-1.9	217/294/301	84	283	8	4	25%	7%	69	-0.4	216/298/285	69	279	7	1	23%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Wendell Rijo 2018 · AA	22	40→41	38→55	45→50	39	194/248/274	81	270	6	11	30%	5%	41	-2.3	205/260/312	107	271	11	7	27%	6%	56	-1.3	208/263/371	163	264	20	14	29%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Jase Bowen 2022 · A	21	37→38	41→50	54→55	34	183/241/274	91	285	9	12	37%	5%	39	-2.5	193/247/307	114	286	13	16	36%	5%	50	-1.7	200/250/342	142	290	17	24	36%	5%	57	-0.7
✕Narciso Crook 2017 · A	22	37→44	41→55	51→50	32	186/222/284	98	282	9	11	37%	4%	32	-3.0	205/255/323	118	306	11	10	35%	5%	57	-1.2	198/275/352	154	301	19	15	38%	7%	71	-0.2
✕Corey Joyce 2022 · AA	23	40	39→45	54→50	39	192/262/274	82	303	8	14	37%	7%	48	-1.9	206/305/332	126	296	13	13	32%	10%	82	+0.5	214/316/327	113	306	11	14	30%	10%	82	+0.3
✕Jeudy Valdez 2011 · A	22	38→43	41→50	50→55	39	189/235/288	99	259	8	17	30%	5%	39	-2.5	209/246/345	136	281	14	17	30%	4%	59	-1.1	211/245/356	146	279	16	17	30%	3%	58	-1.0
✕Stone Garrett 2019 · A	23	35→37	41→55	50	28	172/211/269	97	300	9	12	44%	4%	24	-3.6	200/237/336	136	303	16	15	38%	3%	53	-1.5	219/280/389	170	298	21	11	33%	7%	83	+0.4
✕Luis Aviles Jr. 2017 · A	22	38→40	39→50	49→55	32	186/218/269	84	287	6	12	37%	4%	26	-3.4	192/232/265	73	306	6	23	37%	4%	31	-3.0	196/238/335	139	267	15	22	32%	4%	50	-1.1
✕Luke Williams 2019 · A	22	41→46	37→45	50→60	41	199/250/266	67	260	5	15	25%	5%	40	-2.4	204/263/297	93	276	7	19	27%	7%	53	-1.5	230/291/360	130	317	13	42	30%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Chris Roller 2019 · A	22	40	41→50	51→55	42	193/268/296	103	286	9	14	34%	8%	56	-1.3	205/269/314	109	292	8	12	30%	6%	60	-1.0	179/262/313	134	284	16	16	40%	8%	57	-0.7
✕James Simmons 2008 · A	22	38	39→55	52→55	36	177/240/270	93	303	6	11	41%	7%	37	-2.7	194/246/286	92	335	7	16	41%	6%	43	-2.2	201/260/369	167	362	23	18	48%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Fabian Pertuz 2023 · A	22	37→33	41→40	49→55	33	185/229/278	92	285	8	9	37%	4%	33	-2.9	172/223/263	91	273	9	12	38%	5%	28	-3.2	143/198/223	80	227	9	13	40%	5%	4	-2.5
✕Sthervin Matos 2016 · A	22	36→34	40→50	51→50	37	182/232/268	86	265	8	14	34%	5%	33	-2.9	189/238/276	87	283	8	10	34%	6%	37	-2.6	139/173/208	69	201	7	2	34%	4%	-12	-1.5
✕Pedruin Bautista 2006 · A	22	39	38→40	50→60	33	192/225/272	80	283	4	10	33%	4%	30	-3.1	197/277/272	75	275	3	17	27%	8%	53	-1.5	190/288/262	72	257	2	25	24%	10%	54	-0.6
✕Ismael Alcantara 2021 · A	22	44→28	38→45	57→50	41	201/270/281	80	317	5	16	36%	8%	53	-1.5	213/271/338	125	320	13	13	35%	6%	68	-0.5	202/261/313	111	301	12	16	35%	6%	53	-0.8
✕Jordyn Adams 2022 · A	22	38→40	40→45	52→60	35	183/238/269	86	312	8	16	42%	6%	36	-2.7	194/252/291	97	301	8	29	36%	6%	47	-1.9	186/248/297	110	286	13	26	38%	7%	45	-1.1
✕Brian Ruggiano 2009 · A	23	40→43	38→45	54→55	38	190/244/275	85	291	5	10	35%	6%	40	-2.4	214/269/323	109	304	8	14	31%	6%	63	-0.9	216/273/331	115	298	9	15	29%	6%	64	-0.5