Austin Charles

SS Quad Cities River Bandits
Age 23 R/R 6'5" / 215 lbs A+ HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
Overview
A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2034
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2040ETA2030MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202420AKC481.257/.357/.386103655—.191/.273/.282
202521A+/ROKKC247.205/.268/.29521119—.169/.218/.249
202622A+/INTL2 orgs226.260/.320/.46181071—.229/.284/.394
2027PROJMLE23MLBKC1.198/.257/.3040060-0.0
2028PROJ22% MLB24MLBKC33.204/.264/.32111670.0
2029PROJ35% MLB25MLBKC72.207/.268/.3322271-0.0
Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034
2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$0.8M2032Arb-2$1M2033Arb-3$1.0M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+
ISO75
K%75
Speed73
wOBA70
wRC+68
Z-Con%57
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%
CompsSteven Baron (age 23) · Grae Kessinger (age 24) · David Sheaffer (age 24)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†60
AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .257 / .304
PA1
HR0
K%28
BB%6
BABIP263
ISO121
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -5.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-5BATRUN: +0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +2.3 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.10.10.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$4M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2028
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M———
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2031Arb-1$0.8M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2032Arb-2$1M———
2033Arb-3$1.0M———
Totals $0.0M $0.6M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202319 AColumbia Fireflies — 296261 601833 22733 123 230297356654 126297 257 285 38 — — — — — —
202420 AColumbia Fireflies — 481409 10515410 5012414 367 257357386744 130338 2610 334 55 — — — — — —
202521 A+Quad Cities River Bandits — 232205 42922 19600 115 205272298570 93267 268 252 22 — — — — — —
202521 ROKACL Royals — 1515 3100 050 00 200200267467 67300 330 206 -35 — — — — — —
202622 A+Quad Cities River Bandits — 186165 471117 16362 102 285355491846 206325 199 367 81 — — — — — —
202622 INTLSurprise Saguaros — 4039 6211 0130 00 154154333487 179192 320 202 23 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202319 A MLEColumbia Fireflies — 296268 481322 151043 123 179231265496 86263 355 224 38 — — — — — —
202420 A MLEColumbia Fireflies — 481425 811237 3417514 367 191273282555 92287 367 249 55 — — — — — —
202521 A+ MLEQuad Cities River Bandits — 232210 36722 14760 115 171223252476 81221 336 200 22 — — — — — —
202521 ROK MLEACL Royals — 1515 2100 070 00 133133200333 67229 470 117 -35 — — — — — —
202622 A+ MLEQuad Cities River Bandits — 186170 39816 11462 102 229284394678 165273 256 288 81 — — — — — —
202319 A MLEColumbia Fireflies — 296268 481322 151043 123 179231265496 86272 355 224 38 — — — — — —
202319 A RAWColumbia Fireflies — 296261 601833 22733 123 230297356654 126297 257 285 38 — — — — — —
202420 A MLEColumbia Fireflies — 481425 811237 3417514 367 191273282555 92297 367 249 55 — — — — — —
202420 A RAWColumbia Fireflies — 481409 10515410 5012414 367 257357386744 130338 2610 334 55 — — — — — —
202521 A+ MLE2 teams — 247225 37722 14830 115 164213240453 76238 346 195 18 — — — — — —
202521 A+ RAW2 teams — 247220 451022 19650 115 205268295563 91269 268 249 18 — — — — — —
202622 A+ MLE2 teams — 226206 481017 14562 102 233288393681 160283 256 288 81 — — — — — —
202622 A+ RAW2 teams — 226204 531328 16492 102 260320461781 201302 227 338 81 — — — — — —
202319 A MLEColumbia Fireflies — 296276 481322 151043 123 174231257488 83263 355 224 38 — — — — — —
202420 A MLEColumbia Fireflies — 481430 811237 3417514 367 188273279552 91287 367 249 55 — — — — — —
202521 A+ MLE2 teams — 247231 37722 14830 115 160213234447 74221 346 195 18 — — — — — —
202622 A+ MLE2 teams — 226208 481017 14562 102 231288389678 159273 256 288 81 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202420 A MLEColumbia Fireflies — 481430 811237 3417514 367 188273279552 91287 367 249 55 — — — — — —
202521 A+ MLE2 teams — 247231 37722 14830 115 160213234447 74221 346 195 18 — — — — — —
202622 A+ MLE2 teams — 226208 481017 14562 102 231288389678 159273 256 288 81 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202723 MLB MLEKC 0% 296273 551125 18833 92 200259310569 110264 286 256 60 -14 +1 +0 +3 +6 -0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202723 MLB CTXKC 0% 11 0000 000 00 198257304561 106263 00 253 60 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202824 MLB MLEKC 22% 148135 28513 10412 41 206266328594 122267 287 267 67 -6 +0 +0 +2 +3 -0.0
202925 MLB MLEKC 35% 209191 40815 14572 61 210271340611 130268 277 273 71 -7 +1 +0 +2 +5 0.1
203026 MLB MLEKC 42% 263240 511017 18713 72 212274347621 134270 277 278 74 -8 +1 +0 +3 +6 0.1
203127 MLB MLEKC 45% 296271 581127 20803 72 213276347623 134270 277 279 75 -9 +1 +0 +3 +6 0.2
203228 MLB MLEKC 46% 314286 621228 22843 62 213276346622 133271 277 278 75 -9 +0 -0 +3 +7 0.1
203329 MLB MLEKC 46% 315287 611128 22863 62 211273340614 130269 277 275 72 -10 +0 -1 +3 +7 -0.1
203430 MLB MLEKC 51% 312285 591117 21863 52 208270333603 125268 287 271 69 -11 +0 -2 +3 +7 -0.3
202824 MLB CTXKC 22% 3331 6101 290 10 204264321584 117265 276 263 67 -1 +0 +0 +0 +1 0.0
202925 MLB CTXKC 35% 7266 14302 5201 21 207268332600 125267 287 269 71 -2 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.0
203026 MLB CTXKC 42% 110101 22413 7301 31 210272338610 129268 276 273 74 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.1
203127 MLB CTXKC 45% 132121 26513 9361 31 210273339612 129268 277 274 75 -4 +0 +0 +1 +3 0.1
203228 MLB CTXKC 46% 146134 28513 10391 31 210273338611 128269 277 274 75 -4 +0 -0 +2 +3 0.0
203329 MLB CTXKC 46% 146134 27513 10401 31 208271332603 124268 277 271 72 -5 +0 -0 +2 +3 -0.0
203430 MLB CTXKC 51% 158145 30613 11431 21 205267325593 120266 277 267 69 -6 +0 -1 +2 +3 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 797732 15329518 542176 176 209269336605 127269 277 271 62 -26 +1 -1 +9 +17 -0.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650597 12524415 441775 145 209269338608 129269 277 271 62 -21 +1 -1 +7 +14 -0.0
Career— MLE — 32152918 5931141965 21195339 11330 203266322588 119273 307 261 62 -66 +4 -2 +21 +43 -0.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650590 12023413 431938 236 203267322589 119274 307 261 62 -22 +1 -1 +7 +14 -0.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Quad Cities River Bandits · 186 PAwOBA .359 → .288 (−71)K% 19.4% → 24.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.35%÷1.000×1.270——24.58%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.60%÷1.000×0.710—×0.9986.10%
HBP% /PA1.08%—×0.790—×0.9980.85%
Singles /BIP21.71%÷1.000×0.920×0.960×0.99819.13%
Doubles /BIP8.53%÷1.000×0.810×0.960×0.9986.62%
Triples /BIP0.78%÷1.000×0.850×0.960×0.9980.63%
Home runs /BIP5.43%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9984.33%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.960.

Result: wOBA .359 → .288; ISO .206 → .161; BABIP .325 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Quad Cities River Bandits · 232 PAwOBA .253 → .200 (−53)K% 25.9% → 32.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.86%÷1.007×1.270——32.62%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.19%÷0.981×0.710—×1.0126.00%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.790—×1.0120.00%
Singles /BIP20.00%÷1.027×0.920×0.950×1.01217.22%
Doubles /BIP6.21%÷1.055×0.810×0.950×1.0124.58%
Triples /BIP1.38%÷1.012×0.850×0.950×1.0121.11%
Home runs /BIP1.38%÷0.983×0.800—×1.0121.14%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 105, 2B 111, 3B 102, K 101, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .253 → .200; ISO .093 → .071; BABIP .267 → .221. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL Royals · 15 PAwOBA .200 → .117 (−84)K% 33.3% → 48.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA33.33%÷0.985×1.440——48.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA0.00%÷0.971×0.620—×0.9750.00%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9750.00%
Singles /BIP20.00%÷1.019×0.820—×0.97515.69%
Doubles /BIP10.00%÷0.975×0.720—×0.9757.20%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.070×0.720—×0.9750.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.939×0.780—×0.9750.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 104, 2B 95, 3B 114, K 97, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .200 → .117; ISO .067 → .037; BABIP .300 → .229. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AColumbia Fireflies · 481 PAwOBA .329 → .249 (−81)K% 25.8% → 36.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.78%÷0.964×1.360——36.38%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.40%÷1.028×0.690—×1.0157.08%
HBP% /PA2.91%—×0.780—×1.0152.30%
Singles /BIP26.67%÷1.037×0.920×0.950×1.01522.80%
Doubles /BIP5.26%÷0.935×0.830×0.950×1.0154.51%
Triples /BIP1.40%÷1.008×0.910×0.950×1.0151.22%
Home runs /BIP3.51%÷1.020×0.800—×1.0152.79%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 107, 2B 87, 3B 102, K 93, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .329 → .249; ISO .130 → .098; BABIP .338 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AColumbia Fireflies · 296 PAwOBA .283 → .224 (−59)K% 24.7% → 35.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.66%÷0.952×1.360——35.22%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.09%÷0.976×0.690—×1.0305.16%
HBP% /PA1.01%—×0.780—×1.0300.81%
Singles /BIP19.15%÷0.970×0.920×0.967×1.03018.08%
Doubles /BIP9.57%÷1.023×0.830×0.967×1.0307.74%
Triples /BIP1.60%÷1.150×0.910×0.967×1.0301.26%
Home runs /BIP1.60%÷1.089×0.800—×1.0301.21%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 94, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 90, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.967.

Result: wOBA .283 → .224; ISO .126 → .093; BABIP .297 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .