Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | DSL Cubs Blue | 9 | 9 | 29 | 121 | 36 | 11 | 0 | 100% | 3.2 | 20.2% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 0.0% | 3.45 | 2.83 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | DSL Cubs Blue | 9 | 9 | 29 | 121 | 36 | 11 | 0 | 100% | 3.2 | 29.8% | 9.1% | 20.7% | 0.0% | 3.45 | 1.74 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 1 | 42 | 178 | 57 | 20 | 2 | 6% | 2.3 | 22.6% | 13.7% | 8.9% | 1.6% | 3.43 | 3.80 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 1 | 42 | 178 | 57 | 20 | 2 | 6% | 2.3 | 32.0% | 11.2% | 20.8% | 1.1% | 3.43 | 2.43 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | ROK | ACL Cubs | 5 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 33.3% | 11.1% | 22.2% | 0.0% | 9.00 | 1.69 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | ROK | ACL Cubs | 5 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 33.3% | 11.1% | 22.2% | 0.0% | 9.00 | 1.60 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | CHC | 24 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 25 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.4% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 4.32 | 4.32 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | CHC | 24 | 0 | 25 | 107 | 25 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 9.0% | 14.7% | 3.0% | 4.28 | 4.25 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | CHC | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 9.0% | 14.7% | 3.0% | 4.28 | 4.25 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 9.0% | 14.7% | 3.0% | 4.28 | 3.87 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 74 | 18 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 9.0% | 14.7% | 3.0% | 4.28 | 3.87 | +3.6 | ||
| Career | — | 32 | 10 | 77 | 326 | 74 | 41 | 3 | 31% | 2.4 | 22.6% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 0.9% | 3.87 | 3.27 | +1.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 83 | 26 | 200 | 850 | 192 | 107 | 7 | 31% | 2.4 | 22.6% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 0.9% | 3.87 | 3.27 | +5.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Eligio Paredes (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.32 | 23.4% | 9.3% | 3.0% | — | 4.25 | 23.8% | 14.7% | 25 | -0.07 | — | — | — |
| Kyle Zimmer R 2025 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.89 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .293 | 4.63 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 33 | +0.74 | 2.08 | 276 | 85 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.86 | 22.2% | 9.8% | 2.5% | .353 | 4.73 | 19.3% | 6.7% | 54 | +0.87 | 3.86 | 106 | 80 |
| Carlo Reyes R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.26 | 20.4% | 8.6% | 3.2% | .318 | 3.98 | 24.1% | 12.9% | 61 | -0.28 | 2.79 | 229 | 79 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2027 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 79 |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .311 | 4.48 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.63 | 281 | 78 |
| Joshua Loeschorn R 2025 · 3.74 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.74 | 24.5% | 7.7% | 3.1% | .272 | 4.60 | 16.4% | 7.6% | 67 | +0.86 | 3.04 | 135 | 78 |
| Casey Legumina R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.28 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .260 | 4.34 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 189 | +0.06 | 3.68 | 323 | 77 |
| Trent Fennell R 2025 · 3.88 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.88 | 20.6% | 12.2% | 1.8% | .328 | 5.38 | 19.4% | 3.5% | 107 | +1.50 | 3.88 | 163 | 77 |
| Alex Valverde R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.72 | 23.2% | 9.3% | 2.6% | .321 | 6.00 | 18.1% | 6.6% | 166 | +2.28 | 3.72 | 423 | 77 |
| T.J. Weir R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.08 | 20.0% | 9.1% | 2.8% | .319 | 3.46 | 19.0% | 9.6% | 190 | -0.62 | 3.21 | 349 | 76 |
| Sean Sullivan R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.88 | 20.3% | 10.0% | 4.1% | .247 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.30 | 318 | 76 |
| Colby Morris R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .291 | 5.76 | 16.2% | 4.4% | 54 | +1.53 | 4.23 | 105 | 75 |
| Jake Lyons R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.31 | 20.1% | 8.5% | 3.4% | .337 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.31 | 174 | 75 |
| Tyler Mitzel R 2025 · 4.21 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.21 | 24.1% | 12.0% | 3.0% | .245 | 4.19 | 22.4% | 14.3% | 96 | -0.02 | 3.95 | 142 | 75 |
| Emmanuel Chapman R 2027 · 4.19 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.19 | 19.7% | 10.6% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.43 | 18.4% | 2.3% | 111 | +0.24 | 3.87 | 192 | 75 |
| Jimmy Kingsbury R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.09 | 18.2% | 9.9% | 4.1% | .304 | 3.92 | 17.8% | 9.2% | 166 | -1.17 | 3.59 | 307 | 75 |
| Jake Curtis R 2026 · 3.34 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.34 | 19.3% | 6.5% | 1.9% | .338 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.34 | 105 | 74 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2028 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.11 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 190 | +1.19 | 3.92 | 233 | 74 |
| Ben Vespi R 2026 · 3.26 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.26 | 21.9% | 9.2% | 1.5% | .370 | 4.79 | 18.4% | 12.5% | 39 | +1.53 | 3.26 | 102 | 74 |
| Andrew Bellatti R 2025 · 4.32 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.32 | 19.3% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.71 | 278 | 74 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 25 | 23.6% | 9.2% | 1.15 | 4.30 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Santiago Casilla ('18) | 4 | 52 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 0.96 | 3.49 |
| Zach McAllister ('18) | 4 | 57 | 24.8% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 3.63 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |