Ben Vespi
P
Chesapeake Baysox
Age 25
RHP
6'3" / 190 lbs
AA
peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION44 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116107vR 98
ERA4.28
FIP4.28
K%21.8%
BB%8.8%
K-BB%13.0%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 114 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 31 | 2 | 63 | 272 | 80 | 21 | 3 | 6% | 2.0 | 21.9% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 1.5% | 2.84 | 3.26 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 31 | 2 | 63 | 272 | 80 | 21 | 3 | 6% | 2.0 | 29.4% | 7.7% | 21.7% | 1.1% | 2.84 | 2.18 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Chesapeake Baysox | 25 | 2 | 44 | 208 | 47 | 13 | 7 | 8% | 1.8 | 18.4% | 5.9% | 12.4% | 4.5% | 6.34 | 4.79 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | BAL | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 64 | 26 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.8% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 2.8% | 4.28 | 4.28 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | BAL | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.8% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 2.8% | 4.28 | 4.28 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 114 | 504 | 111 | 39 | 15 | — | — | 22.1% | 7.7% | 14.4% | 3.0% | 5.08 | 4.48 | +1.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 21.8% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 2.8% | 4.28 | 3.90 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | BAL | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 66 | 26 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.2% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 2.8% | 4.27 | 4.27 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | BAL | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 65 | 26 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.3% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 2.9% | 4.29 | 4.31 | +0.3 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | BAL | 30 | 0 | 31 | 131 | 29 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.2% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 2.8% | 4.27 | 4.27 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | BAL | 42 | 0 | 44 | 186 | 41 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.3% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 2.9% | 4.29 | 4.31 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 72 | 0 | 76 | 320 | 71 | 28 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.2% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 2.8% | 4.28 | 3.91 | +0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 187 | 74 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.2% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 2.8% | 4.28 | 3.91 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 56 | 4 | 107 | 480 | 98 | 37 | 14 | 7% | 1.9 | 20.4% | 7.8% | 12.6% | 2.8% | 4.28 | 3.92 | +1.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 104 | 7 | 200 | 894 | 182 | 70 | 25 | 7% | 1.9 | 20.4% | 7.8% | 12.6% | 2.8% | 4.28 | 3.92 | +3.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ben Vespi (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.28 | 21.8% | 8.8% | 2.8% | — | 4.29 | 22.2% | 13.4% | 139 | +0.01 | — | — | — |
| Barrett Loseke R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.36 | 21.7% | 10.1% | 3.3% | .311 | 5.39 | 24.0% | 10.9% | 22 | +1.03 | 4.36 | 152 | 91 |
| Austin Ross R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.51 | 20.7% | 9.6% | 3.5% | .281 | 4.91 | 21.2% | 5.7% | 55 | +0.40 | 4.51 | 121 | 89 |
| Nick Merkel R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.90 | 22.8% | 7.1% | 3.3% | .284 | 3.25 | 20.8% | 10.5% | 125 | -0.65 | 3.08 | 201 | 88 |
| Alex Phillips R 2025 · 3.26 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.26 | 22.0% | 8.0% | 1.8% | .263 | 4.49 | 23.2% | 14.6% | 72 | +1.23 | 3.26 | 139 | 88 |
| Nelson Gonzalez R 2026 · 3.33 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.33 | 19.6% | 7.7% | 1.7% | .293 | 4.70 | 17.7% | 7.8% | 115 | +1.37 | 3.33 | 258 | 87 |
| Easton Sikorski R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.24 | 21.1% | 10.6% | 2.9% | .286 | 6.43 | 14.1% | 7.0% | 24 | +2.19 | 4.09 | 183 | 87 |
| Matt Pierpont R 2026 · 3.42 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.42 | 20.7% | 8.6% | 1.8% | .295 | 3.26 | 21.6% | 13.6% | 156 | -0.16 | 2.66 | 280 | 87 |
| J.R. Graham R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.38 | 18.7% | 7.4% | 3.5% | .317 | 3.55 | 20.4% | 10.1% | 61 | -0.83 | 3.30 | 125 | 86 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.74 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .330 | 4.97 | 16.5% | 3.9% | 101 | +1.23 | 3.74 | 140 | 86 |
| Josh Martin R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.43 | 24.1% | 7.4% | 2.6% | .257 | 2.89 | 20.7% | 13.6% | 124 | -0.54 | 2.31 | 225 | 86 |
| Derek Gordon R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 85 |
| Casey Cobb R 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.73 | 21.8% | 6.2% | 3.1% | .261 | 5.72 | 17.2% | 8.3% | 118 | +1.99 | 3.73 | 191 | 85 |
| Randall Delgado R 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.57 | 23.7% | 10.1% | 2.2% | .284 | 3.71 | 20.3% | 12.4% | 167 | +0.14 | 3.05 | 290 | 85 |
| Jordan Milbrath R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.04 | 19.9% | 10.4% | 2.4% | .272 | 3.57 | 19.6% | 9.7% | 129 | -0.47 | 3.26 | 386 | 85 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.26 | 18.9% | 10.2% | 2.7% | .271 | 4.65 | 19.5% | 11.5% | 99 | +0.39 | 3.81 | 233 | 85 |
| Andrew Bellatti R 2024 · 4.32 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.32 | 19.3% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.71 | 278 | 85 |
| Emmanuel Chapman R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.19 | 19.7% | 10.6% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.43 | 18.4% | 2.3% | 111 | +0.24 | 3.87 | 192 | 85 |
| Miguel Sánchez R 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.68 | 21.3% | 9.0% | 2.2% | .305 | 4.77 | 19.1% | 9.7% | 83 | +1.09 | 2.54 | 309 | 85 |
| Taylor Floyd R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.14 | 21.7% | 10.8% | 2.7% | .331 | 4.88 | 18.1% | 8.6% | 167 | +0.74 | 3.34 | 334 | 84 |
| Jonathan Brand R 2026 · 3.24 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.24 | 22.1% | 7.8% | 1.8% | .274 | 4.67 | 24.1% | 8.8% | 38 | +1.43 | 3.24 | 172 | 84 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 70 | 22.1% | 8.8% | 1.09 | 4.28 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |
| Scott Oberg ('19) | 5 | 51 | 21.5% | 9.3% | 0.91 | 3.85 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |