Ben Vespi — OGILVIE

Ben Vespi P Chesapeake Baysox

Age 25 RHP 6'3" / 190 lbs AA peak 0.2 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION66 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115107vR 99

ERA4.31

FIP4.31

K%21.8%

BB%9.0%

K-BB%12.8%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 72 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL4545

CMD5555

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	31	2	63	272	80	21	3	6%	2.0	21.9%	9.2%	12.7%	1.5%	2.84	3.22	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	31	2	63	272	80	21	3	6%	2.0	21.9%	9.2%	12.7%	1.5%	2.84	3.22	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	31	2	63	272	80	21	3	6%	2.0	29.4%	7.7%	21.7%	1.1%	2.84	2.18	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AA MLE	Chesapeake Baysox	35	2	66	304	74	24	9	6%	1.9	19.3%	8.9%	10.4%	3.6%	5.32	4.57	—
YTD	25	AA MLE	Chesapeake Baysox	35	2	66	304	74	24	9	6%	1.9	19.3%	8.9%	10.4%	3.6%	5.32	4.57	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	A+ RAW	BAL	13	0	27	119	32	14	2	0%	2.1	26.9%	11.8%	15.1%	1.7%	2.70	3.24	—
2026	25	AA RAW	BAL	22	2	39	185	42	10	7	9%	1.8	22.7%	5.4%	17.3%	3.8%	7.09	3.94	—
ROS	25	MLB MLE	BAL	6	0	6	25	5	2	1	0%	1.0	21.8%	9.0%	12.8%	2.8%	4.31	4.31	+0.0
2026 TOT	25	MLB MLE	BAL	—	—	72	329	79	26	10	—	—	24.2%	8.0%	16.2%	2.9%	5.24	4.55	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	BAL	67	0	70	296	66	27	8	0%	1.0	22.2%	9.0%	13.2%	2.8%	4.30	4.29	+0.2
2028	27	MLB MLE	BAL	66	0	69	291	65	26	8	0%	1.0	22.3%	9.1%	13.2%	2.9%	4.32	4.33	+0.2
2029	28	MLB MLE	BAL	64	0	67	282	63	26	8	0%	1.0	22.2%	9.2%	13.0%	3.0%	4.37	4.41	+0.1
2030	29	MLB MLE	BAL	61	0	64	270	59	26	8	0%	1.0	22.0%	9.5%	12.5%	3.1%	4.47	4.54	+0.0
2027	26	MLB CTX	BAL	30	0	31	131	29	12	4	0%	1.0	22.2%	9.0%	13.2%	2.8%	4.30	4.29	+0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	BAL	42	0	44	186	41	17	5	0%	1.0	22.3%	9.1%	13.2%	2.9%	4.32	4.33	+0.1
2029	28	MLB CTX	BAL	49	0	51	215	48	20	6	0%	1.0	22.2%	9.2%	13.0%	3.0%	4.37	4.41	+0.1
2030	29	MLB CTX	BAL	50	0	52	220	48	21	7	0%	1.0	22.0%	9.5%	12.5%	3.1%	4.47	4.54	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		169	0	177	748	166	69	22	0%	1.0	22.1%	9.2%	12.9%	3.0%	4.37	4.03	+1.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	187	78	25	0%	1.1	22.1%	9.2%	12.9%	3.0%	4.37	4.03	+1.2
Career	—	MLE		66	4	129	576	118	52	15	6%	2.0	20.5%	9.1%	11.5%	2.6%	4.11	3.93	+0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		102	6	200	891	183	81	23	6%	2.0	20.5%	9.1%	11.5%	2.6%	4.11	3.93	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ben Vespi (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.31	21.8%	9.0%	2.8%	—	4.34	22.2%	13.1%	206	+0.03	—	—	—
Barrett Loseke R 2022 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	21.7%	10.1%	3.4%	.311	5.31	22.6%	11.3%	22	+0.89	4.42	152	91
Austin Ross R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	24	SU	4.41	20.7%	9.6%	3.4%	.281	5.19	21.2%	5.7%	55	+0.78	4.41	121	90
Nelson Gonzalez R 2015 · 3.42 FIP	25	SU	3.42	19.6%	7.7%	1.8%	.293	4.98	17.7%	7.8%	115	+1.56	3.42	258	88
Nick Merkel R 2023 · 3.99 FIP	25	SU	3.99	22.8%	7.1%	3.5%	.284	3.44	20.7%	10.3%	129	-0.55	3.15	205	88
Alex Phillips R 2019 · 3.26 FIP	24	SU	3.26	22.0%	8.0%	1.8%	.263	4.62	23.2%	14.6%	72	+1.36	3.26	139	87
Matt Pierpont R 2016 · 3.51 FIP	25	SU	3.51	20.7%	8.6%	1.9%	.295	3.41	21.6%	13.6%	156	-0.10	2.76	280	87
J.R. Graham R 2015 · 4.39 FIP	25	SU	4.39	18.7%	7.4%	3.5%	.317	3.63	20.4%	10.1%	61	-0.76	3.31	125	86
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	86
Jordan Milbrath R 2017 · 4.05 FIP	25	SU	4.05	19.9%	10.4%	2.4%	.272	3.61	19.6%	9.7%	129	-0.44	3.19	386	86
Bryan Pope R 2023 · 3.96 FIP	24	SU	3.96	19.4%	9.5%	2.4%	.332	5.20	12.7%	-0.3%	22	+1.24	3.96	148	85
Chris Jefferson R 2022 · 3.53 FIP	25	SU	3.53	22.4%	10.2%	1.9%	.330	4.99	16.5%	3.9%	101	+1.46	3.53	140	85
Randall Delgado R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	25	SU	3.61	23.7%	10.1%	2.2%	.284	3.78	20.3%	12.4%	167	+0.17	3.09	290	85
Casey Cobb R 2021 · 3.48 FIP	25	SU	3.48	21.8%	6.2%	2.6%	.261	5.59	17.2%	8.3%	118	+2.11	3.48	191	85
Andrew Bellatti R 2015 · 4.34 FIP	23	SU	4.34	19.3%	8.8%	3.2%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	2.67	278	85
Dusty Isaacs R 2017 · 4.00 FIP	25	SU	4.00	23.1%	10.8%	2.7%	.255	4.62	21.6%	9.9%	86	+0.62	3.16	253	85
Taylor Floyd R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	25	SU	4.34	21.7%	10.8%	3.1%	.331	4.61	18.4%	8.9%	192	+0.27	3.48	359	84
Anthony Vizcaya R 2019 · 3.22 FIP	25	SU	3.22	21.9%	10.8%	1.1%	.259	7.20	18.2%	5.5%	13	+3.98	3.22	115	84
Josh Martin R 2015 · 3.16 FIP	25	SU	3.16	24.1%	7.4%	2.1%	.257	2.96	20.7%	13.6%	124	-0.20	2.41	225	84
Taylor Grover R 2016 · 3.68 FIP	25	SU	3.68	17.5%	8.4%	1.8%	.317	4.92	19.4%	9.1%	89	+1.24	3.68	239	84
Jhan Mariñez R 2015 · 3.50 FIP	26	SU	3.50	23.1%	9.3%	2.1%	.244	3.70	18.9%	11.1%	168	+0.20	3.16	253	84

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	68	22.1%	9.2%	1.13	4.35
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Archie Bradley ('21)	2.2	74	23.2%	9.8%	0.85	3.93
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Derek Law ('24)	1.5	60	21.5%	8.9%	0.88	3.47