Ethan FreyOF
Asheville Tourists
Age 22
R/R
6'4" / 225 lbs
A+
H +4%HR -3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
peak 1.6 · 2031
wRC+†59
AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .293 / .365
PA120
HR3
SB6
K%28
BB%8
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
35↗49
PWR
47↗59
SPD
35↗44
FLD
24↗45
EYE
52↗53
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.8peak
2031
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2030
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2035
First FA Year 2036
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +1.5 | $14M | +$13M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +1.6 | $15M | +$14M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +1.5 | $14M | +$13M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $3M | +1.3 | $13M | +$10M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $4M | +1.1 | $11M | +$7M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $4M | +0.9 | $5M | +$0.7M |
| Totals | $13M | $71M | +$58M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | 122 | 109 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 36 | 0 | 9 | 5 | .284 | .350 | .404 | .754 | .119 | .389 | 30 | 9 | .325 | 107 | +1 | -0 | +0 | -1 | +3 | 0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | 71 | 64 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 0 | 5 | 2 | .203 | .282 | .266 | .547 | .062 | .302 | 30 | 10 | .243 | 44 | -4 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +2 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | HOU | 49 | 45 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .222 | .286 | .333 | .619 | .111 | .294 | 29 | 8 | .292 | 82 | -1 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +1 | -0.0 |
| TOT | 22 | MLB | HOU | 120 | 109 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 35 | 0 | 6 | 2 | .211 | .283 | .294 | .577 | .083 | .301 | 29 | 9 | .263 | 59 | -5 | +0 | -0 | -1 | +3 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB 11% | HOU | 203 | 179 | 41 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 48 | 2 | 4 | 1 | .229 | .313 | .380 | .693 | .151 | .281 | 24 | 10 | .315 | 99 | -0 | +0 | -1 | -1 | +6 | 0.4 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB 26% | HOU | 309 | 272 | 65 | 11 | 2 | 10 | 31 | 71 | 3 | 6 | 2 | .239 | .324 | .404 | .728 | .165 | .284 | 23 | 10 | .325 | 107 | +2 | +0 | -2 | -2 | +9 | 0.8 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB 44% | HOU | 373 | 329 | 79 | 13 | 2 | 13 | 38 | 86 | 3 | 7 | 2 | .240 | .324 | .410 | .735 | .170 | .286 | 23 | 10 | .332 | 112 | +5 | +1 | -2 | -2 | +11 | 1.2 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB 59% | HOU | 414 | 365 | 90 | 15 | 3 | 16 | 42 | 95 | 4 | 7 | 2 | .247 | .331 | .436 | .767 | .189 | .287 | 23 | 10 | .336 | 115 | +7 | +1 | -2 | -2 | +12 | 1.5 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB 76% | HOU | 433 | 381 | 94 | 16 | 3 | 16 | 45 | 100 | 4 | 7 | 2 | .247 | .333 | .430 | .763 | .184 | .287 | 23 | 10 | .336 | 115 | +7 | +1 | -3 | -3 | +12 | 1.6 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB 84% | HOU | 442 | 389 | 95 | 16 | 3 | 16 | 46 | 103 | 4 | 7 | 2 | .244 | .330 | .424 | .754 | .180 | .286 | 23 | 10 | .335 | 114 | +7 | +1 | -3 | -3 | +13 | 1.5 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB 90% | HOU | 439 | 386 | 93 | 15 | 3 | 16 | 46 | 103 | 4 | 6 | 2 | .241 | .328 | .420 | .748 | .179 | .286 | 23 | 10 | .333 | 113 | +6 | +0 | -4 | -3 | +12 | 1.3 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB | HOU | 434 | 381 | 92 | 15 | 3 | 16 | 46 | 103 | 4 | 6 | 1 | .241 | .329 | .423 | .752 | .181 | .284 | 24 | 11 | .330 | 110 | +5 | +1 | -5 | -3 | +12 | 1.1 |
| 2035 | 31 | MLB | HOU | 423 | 373 | 87 | 14 | 2 | 15 | 44 | 103 | 3 | 5 | 1 | .233 | .319 | .402 | .721 | .169 | .283 | 24 | 10 | .326 | 107 | +4 | +1 | -5 | -3 | +12 | 0.9 |
| 2036 | 32 | MLB | HOU | 407 | 358 | 83 | 14 | 2 | 14 | 43 | 101 | 3 | 5 | 0 | .232 | .319 | .399 | .719 | .168 | .281 | 25 | 11 | .321 | 104 | +2 | +1 | -6 | -2 | +12 | 0.6 |
| 2037 | 33 | MLB | HOU | 379 | 334 | 76 | 12 | 2 | 13 | 39 | 96 | 3 | 4 | 0 | .228 | .314 | .392 | .706 | .165 | .280 | 25 | 10 | .315 | 100 | -0 | +1 | -6 | -2 | +11 | 0.3 |
| 2038 | 34 | MLB | HOU | 335 | 295 | 66 | 10 | 2 | 11 | 35 | 88 | 2 | 4 | 0 | .224 | .310 | .383 | .693 | .159 | .278 | 26 | 10 | .309 | 94 | -2 | +1 | -7 | -2 | +9 | -0.1 |
| 2039 | 35 | MLB | HOU | 282 | 249 | 54 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 29 | 77 | 2 | 4 | 0 | .217 | .304 | .361 | .665 | .145 | .275 | 27 | 10 | .301 | 88 | -4 | +1 | -7 | -2 | +8 | -0.4 |
| 2040 | 36 | MLB | HOU | 226 | 199 | 41 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 64 | 2 | 3 | 0 | .206 | .295 | .337 | .631 | .131 | .272 | 28 | 10 | .292 | 81 | -5 | +1 | -8 | -1 | +6 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 5270 | 4644 | 1097 | 178 | 31 | 180 | 542 | 1288 | 43 | 85 | 20 | .236 | .322 | .404 | .726 | .168 | .286 | 24 | 10 | .324 | 106 | +35 | +9 | -61 | -32 | +149 | 10.2 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 573 | 135 | 22 | 4 | 22 | 67 | 159 | 5 | 10 | 2 | .236 | .321 | .403 | .724 | .168 | .286 | 24 | 10 | .324 | 106 | +4 | +1 | -8 | -4 | +18 | 1.3 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | 122 | 100 | 33 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 25 | 0 | 9 | 5 | .330 | .442 | .470 | .912 | .140 | .405 | 20 | 16 | .404 | 167 | +9 | -0 | — | — | +3 | 1.3 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Ethan Frey (OGILVIE) | 22 | 35→49 | 47→59 | 35→44 | 53 | .222/.293/.365 | .143 | .292 | 3 | 2 | 28% | 8% | 85 | +0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
●Justyn-Henry Malloy 2022 · A |
22 | 46→56 | 45→50 | 48→45 | 47 | .224/.294/.345 | .121 | .300 | 13 | 10 | 29% | 9% | 79 | +0.3 | .233/.321/.379 | .146 | .324 | 18 | 5 | 31% | 11% | 100 | +1.7 | .234/.340/.391 | .157 | .320 | 18 | 5 | 30% | 12% | 109 | +2.0 |
|
●Nolan Reimold 2007 · A |
23 | 41→51 | 51→60 | 46→50 | 45 | .213/.291/.371 | .158 | .284 | 19 | 11 | 31% | 9% | 85 | +0.7 | .243/.310/.420 | .177 | .295 | 21 | 9 | 24% | 8% | 106 | +2.2 | .264/.334/.460 | .196 | .301 | 24 | 9 | 20% | 8% | 123 | +2.5 |
|
●Todd Frazier 2009 · A |
23 | 46→54 | 48→65 | 46→50 | 44 | .232/.292/.378 | .146 | .294 | 15 | 8 | 26% | 7% | 87 | +0.8 | .230/.282/.383 | .153 | .285 | 16 | 10 | 24% | 6% | 84 | +0.6 | .250/.316/.464 | .214 | .276 | 30 | 14 | 22% | 8% | 116 | +3.1 |
|
✕Kevin Cornelius 2016 · A |
23 | 45 | 47→65 | 49→40 | 46 | .224/.288/.357 | .132 | .297 | 14 | 5 | 29% | 8% | 80 | +0.4 | .222/.282/.389 | .167 | .329 | 20 | 3 | 36% | 7% | 86 | +0.8 | .202/.259/.380 | .178 | .301 | 23 | 0 | 39% | 7% | 71 | -0.1 |
|
●Jonathan India 2019 · A |
22 | 43→51 | 45→50 | 51→50 | 45 | .208/.290/.333 | .125 | .296 | 12 | 10 | 32% | 8% | 76 | +0.0 | .217/.304/.340 | .123 | .297 | 12 | 10 | 29% | 9% | 83 | +0.6 | .243/.342/.393 | .150 | .294 | 17 | 11 | 22% | 10% | 107 | +1.9 |
|
●Vinnie Catricala 2011 · A |
22 | 48→58 | 47→55 | 46→45 | 43 | .241/.299/.382 | .141 | .298 | 15 | 6 | 24% | 6% | 92 | +1.2 | .241/.294/.385 | .144 | .294 | 15 | 8 | 23% | 6% | 90 | +1.0 | .225/.277/.355 | .130 | .276 | 14 | 7 | 23% | 5% | 72 | -0.2 |
|
●Andrés Chaparro 2022 · A |
23 | 44→50 | 49→60 | 44→40 | 47 | .220/.300/.367 | .147 | .292 | 16 | 5 | 29% | 9% | 89 | +0.9 | .230/.295/.410 | .180 | .281 | 23 | 5 | 26% | 7% | 97 | +1.5 | .233/.294/.421 | .188 | .272 | 25 | 4 | 24% | 7% | 97 | +1.2 |
|
●Anthony Santander 2017 · A |
22 | 43→49 | 47→65 | 45 | 40 | .220/.274/.359 | .139 | .291 | 15 | 7 | 30% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .234/.278/.389 | .155 | .289 | 17 | 6 | 25% | 5% | 84 | +0.6 | .242/.317/.473 | .231 | .257 | 31 | 2 | 20% | 9% | 120 | +3.4 |
|
✕Kyle Lewis 2018 · A |
23 | 44→46 | 47→55 | 48→40 | 40 | .219/.277/.347 | .128 | .311 | 15 | 7 | 33% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .221/.275/.362 | .141 | .317 | 16 | 5 | 34% | 7% | 76 | +0.1 | .237/.309/.392 | .156 | .335 | 21 | 6 | 33% | 9% | 95 | +0.8 |
|
✕Jaff Decker 2012 · AA |
22 | 42→50 | 52→55 | 46→55 | 49 | .217/.305/.388 | .170 | .285 | 20 | 9 | 30% | 10% | 96 | +1.5 | .210/.290/.346 | .136 | .279 | 14 | 9 | 28% | 10% | 79 | +0.3 | .223/.297/.332 | .109 | .287 | 9 | 13 | 24% | 9% | 75 | +0.0 |
|
●Harrison Bader 2016 · A |
22 | 48→55 | 48→55 | 51→55 | 41 | .240/.291/.385 | .145 | .301 | 16 | 16 | 26% | 5% | 89 | +0.9 | .231/.286/.375 | .144 | .313 | 17 | 14 | 31% | 5% | 84 | +0.6 | .235/.328/.418 | .183 | .312 | 21 | 18 | 29% | 9% | 108 | +1.3 |
|
●Edward Olivares 2018 · A |
22 | 42→52 | 47→55 | 51→55 | 39 | .214/.266/.352 | .138 | .266 | 14 | 13 | 25% | 4% | 69 | -0.4 | .223/.265/.352 | .129 | .280 | 13 | 16 | 25% | 4% | 68 | -0.5 | .259/.316/.431 | .172 | .293 | 20 | 16 | 19% | 6% | 108 | +1.4 |
|
●Rainel Rosario 2011 · A |
22 | 42→51 | 45→50 | 46→50 | 44 | .207/.283/.342 | .135 | .296 | 11 | 9 | 32% | 8% | 74 | -0.1 | .210/.267/.310 | .100 | .310 | 8 | 9 | 33% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .253/.308/.402 | .150 | .285 | 19 | 6 | 18% | 7% | 96 | +1.1 |
|
●Zach Neto 2023 · AA |
22 | 49→48 | 47→60 | 49→55 | 41 | .240/.300/.376 | .136 | .307 | 14 | 12 | 26% | 6% | 90 | +1.0 | .246/.317/.423 | .177 | .300 | 21 | 19 | 25% | 6% | 111 | +2.5 | .248/.320/.446 | .198 | .298 | 25 | 24 | 25% | 6% | 113 | +2.3 |
|
✕Aaron Luna 2009 · A |
22 | 43 | 50 | 50→45 | 45 | .215/.318/.372 | .157 | .292 | 18 | 8 | 31% | 8% | 98 | +1.6 | .214/.320/.369 | .155 | .268 | 17 | 7 | 26% | 8% | 98 | +1.6 | .212/.320/.363 | .151 | .264 | 17 | 7 | 25% | 8% | 94 | +0.8 |
|
●Sean Rodríguez 2008 · AA |
23 | 44→49 | 50→60 | 47→50 | 44 | .224/.296/.380 | .156 | .288 | 18 | 12 | 28% | 7% | 90 | +1.0 | .234/.304/.421 | .187 | .295 | 22 | 11 | 28% | 7% | 104 | +2.0 | .238/.311/.439 | .201 | .293 | 25 | 12 | 27% | 7% | 107 | +1.7 |
|
✕Heriberto Hernández 2022 · A |
22 | 45 | 50→55 | 45 | 41 | .217/.295/.373 | .156 | .333 | 18 | 7 | 38% | 8% | 88 | +0.9 | .205/.283/.367 | .162 | .312 | 20 | 6 | 38% | 9% | 82 | +0.5 | .213/.297/.387 | .174 | .298 | 22 | 7 | 34% | 10% | 90 | +0.8 |
|
●Will Smith 2018 · A |
23 | 40→50 | 45→60 | 48→45 | 45 | .200/.283/.322 | .122 | .270 | 13 | 8 | 30% | 8% | 70 | -0.3 | .208/.287/.393 | .185 | .263 | 24 | 6 | 30% | 9% | 90 | +1.0 | .249/.351/.438 | .188 | .273 | 23 | 3 | 18% | 11% | 123 | +3.0 |
|
●Brian Anderson 2015 · A |
22 | 48→58 | 48→55 | 48→45 | 42 | .241/.291/.377 | .136 | .292 | 16 | 5 | 24% | 5% | 86 | +0.8 | .216/.274/.327 | .111 | .283 | 11 | 3 | 27% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .268/.353/.445 | .177 | .324 | 19 | 3 | 22% | 9% | 126 | +2.8 |
|
★Mark Reynolds 2006 · A |
22 | 41→51 | 49→65 | 48→50 | 40 | .212/.261/.357 | .145 | .270 | 17 | 5 | 28% | 5% | 69 | -0.4 | .245/.309/.450 | .205 | .322 | 26 | 4 | 31% | 8% | 113 | +2.6 | .255/.337/.492 | .237 | .341 | 31 | 12 | 32% | 10% | 132 | +4.0 |