Buddy Kennedy — OGILVIE

Buddy Kennedy1B Sacramento River Cats

Age 27 R/R 5'10" / 213 lbs AAA BB -3% Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027 peak 2.3 · 2027

wRC+†108

AVG/OBP/SLG.250 / .333 / .410

PA250

HR8

K%20

BB%9

MLB%10%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

60→60

PWR

45→45

SPD

45→45

EYE

50↗55

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.3peak

2027

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2022

Service 4.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-2	$2M	+1.1	$9M	+$7M
2027	Arb-3	$12M	+2.3	$19M	+$7M
Totals		$14M		$28M	+$14M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	18	ROK	ACL D-backs	201	185	34	6	5	0	12	68	2	7	2	.184	.241	.270	.511	.086	.286	34	6	.225	30	-16	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.9
2018	19	ROK	Missoula Osprey	255	236	55	11	1	3	16	49	1	2	0	.233	.285	.326	.611	.093	.280	19	6	.268	63	-11	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.2
2019	20	A	Kane County Cougars	438	403	84	15	3	6	29	104	2	4	4	.208	.265	.305	.570	.097	.263	24	7	.257	55	-22	-1	+0	+2	+12	-0.9
2021	22	AA	3 teams	470	420	88	8	2	17	40	158	6	16	4	.210	.288	.360	.647	.150	.285	34	9	.286	77	-12	+2	+0	+2	+13	0.4
2022	23	AAA	2 teams	488	430	92	13	5	7	45	121	4	8	4	.214	.294	.316	.611	.102	.273	25	9	.270	65	-19	+0	+1	+2	+14	-0.3
2023	24	AAA	2 teams	492	424	101	18	6	4	54	109	10	3	3	.238	.338	.337	.675	.099	.308	22	11	.307	93	-4	-1	+1	+2	+14	1.2
2024	25	AAA	2 teams	489	430	101	28	1	12	44	106	8	5	2	.235	.317	.388	.706	.153	.279	22	9	.307	93	-4	+0	+1	+2	+14	1.3
2025	26	AAA	2 teams	416	370	82	13	1	8	32	75	11	4	1	.222	.303	.327	.630	.105	.255	18	8	.283	75	-12	+0	-1	+1	+12	0.1
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	27	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	76	69	20	5	1	0	4	17	2	0	0	.290	.347	.391	.738	.101	.385	22	5	.312	97	-0	+0	+0	+0	+2	0.2
ROS	27	MLB	SF	174	153	40	8	1	5	15	36	4	2	0	.261	.343	.425	.768	.163	.306	21	9	.334	113	+3	+0	+0	+1	+5	0.9
TOT	27	MLB	SF	250	222	60	13	2	5	19	53	6	2	0	.270	.344	.414	.759	.144	.333	21	8	.327	108	+2	+0	+0	+1	+7	1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	28	MLB 20%	SF	392	346	91	18	2	10	35	70	8	3	0	.263	.344	.413	.758	.150	.303	18	9	.341	119	+9	+1	+0	+1	+11	2.2
2028	29	MLB 33%	SF	390	345	90	18	2	10	35	72	7	2	0	.261	.341	.412	.753	.151	.302	18	9	.338	117	+8	+0	-0	+1	+11	2.0
2029	30	MLB 43%	SF	388	343	88	17	2	10	35	74	7	1	0	.257	.338	.405	.743	.149	.301	19	9	.335	114	+6	+0	-1	+1	+11	1.8
2030	31	MLB 52%	SF	373	330	85	17	2	9	33	73	7	0	0	.258	.338	.403	.741	.145	.300	20	9	.331	111	+5	+0	-2	+1	+11	1.5
2031	32	MLB 64%	SF	354	313	79	15	2	9	32	71	6	0	0	.252	.333	.399	.733	.147	.299	20	9	.326	108	+3	+0	-3	+1	+10	1.2
2032	33	MLB 73%	SF	324	286	72	14	2	7	29	67	6	0	0	.252	.333	.388	.721	.136	.298	21	9	.321	104	+1	+0	-3	+1	+9	0.8
2033	34	MLB 81%	SF	280	248	60	11	1	6	25	61	5	0	0	.242	.324	.367	.691	.125	.296	22	9	.314	99	-0	+0	-4	+1	+8	0.4
2034	35	MLB	SF	228	202	49	9	1	5	20	52	4	0	0	.243	.323	.371	.694	.129	.295	23	9	.307	93	-2	+0	-5	+1	+6	0.0
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6152	5464	1291	239	39	128	531	1366	98	57	20	.236	.315	.365	.680	.128	.289	22	9	.303	90	-68	+3	-16	+22	+174	11.8
/ 162G	—			650	577	137	25	4	14	56	144	10	6	2	.237	.315	.367	.683	.130	.290	22	9	.303	90	-7	+0	-2	+2	+18	1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	18	ROK	ACL D-backs	201	178	48	9	8	0	19	47	2	7	2	.270	.347	.410	.757	.140	.361	23	9	.335	114	+3	+1	—	—	+6	1.0
2018	19	ROK	Missoula Osprey	255	226	74	17	1	4	26	34	1	2	0	.327	.399	.465	.864	.137	.368	13	10	.383	151	+15	+0	—	—	+7	2.3
2019	20	A	Kane County Cougars	438	385	101	18	4	7	47	81	2	4	4	.262	.346	.384	.730	.122	.312	18	11	.328	109	+4	-1	—	—	+12	1.6
2021	22	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	279	237	66	6	2	17	39	73	2	7	2	.278	.385	.536	.921	.257	.331	26	14	.402	166	+21	+1	—	—	+8	3.0
2021	22	A+	Hillsboro Hops	127	111	35	5	0	5	11	25	3	9	2	.315	.392	.495	.887	.180	.361	20	9	.388	155	+8	+1	—	—	+4	1.3
2021	22	INTL	Salt River Rafters	64	55	13	3	0	2	7	16	1	0	0	.236	.333	.400	.733	.164	.289	25	11	.326	108	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2022	23	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	94	83	18	2	2	1	8	23	1	0	0	.217	.293	.325	.619	.108	.279	24	9	.276	70	-3	+0	+1	+2	+3	0.2
2022	23	AAA	Reno Aces	394	330	86	14	3	7	54	76	3	8	4	.261	.370	.385	.754	.124	.311	19	14	.339	117	+8	+0	—	—	+11	1.9
2023	24	MLB	Arizona Diamondbacks	29	24	4	1	0	0	4	6	1	0	0	.167	.310	.208	.519	.042	.222	21	14	.259	57	-1	+0	+1	+2	+1	0.2
2023	24	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	463	374	115	24	8	5	76	81	9	3	3	.307	.436	.455	.890	.147	.377	17	16	.398	163	+33	-1	—	—	+13	4.6
2024	25	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	26	21	4	1	0	1	4	7	0	1	0	.190	.320	.381	.701	.190	.214	27	15	.306	93	-0	+0	+1	+2	+1	0.4
2024	25	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	463	389	106	31	1	13	60	84	8	4	2	.272	.381	.458	.838	.185	.312	18	13	.370	141	+22	+0	—	—	+13	3.6
2025	26	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	32	29	2	1	0	0	2	8	1	0	0	.069	.156	.103	.260	.034	.095	25	6	.135	-38	-5	+0	-1	+1	+1	-0.3
2025	26	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	384	328	92	17	1	8	43	55	10	4	1	.280	.381	.412	.792	.131	.313	14	11	.357	132	+14	+0	—	—	+11	2.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			181	157	28	5	2	2	18	44	3	1	0	.178	.275	.274	.549	.096	.228	24	10	.253	52	-10	+0	+2	+7	+5	0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Buddy Kennedy (OGILVIE)	27	60	45	45	55	.250/.333/.410	.160	.293	8	3	20%	9%	114	+1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
★Eric Hosmer 2017 · MLB	27	55→64	51→55	44→50	52	.275/.336/.434	.159	.311	19	6	18%	8%	120	+3.1	.283/.346/.451	.168	.327	20	5	19%	9%	128	+3.7	.281/.342/.443	.162	.330	19	4	20%	8%	118	+3.3
✕Conor Jackson 2009 · MLB	27	58→62	49→50	48→50	59	.288/.367/.446	.158	.305	15	6	11%	10%	135	+4.2	.252/.331/.377	.125	.275	11	11	12%	10%	103	+1.9	.230/.305/.339	.108	.253	10	8	13%	9%	79	+0.1
✕Luis Montanez 2009 · MLB	27	54→59	51→55	41→45	45	.274/.316/.436	.162	.306	19	5	18%	5%	112	+2.6	.259/.303/.401	.142	.295	14	7	17%	5%	97	+1.5	.246/.294/.354	.108	.288	7	7	17%	5%	78	+0.1
●Gaby Sanchez 2011 · MLB	27	51→54	51→55	49→45	52	.258/.324/.423	.165	.280	19	8	16%	8%	112	+2.6	.252/.332/.406	.154	.280	17	5	16%	10%	111	+2.5	.247/.337/.395	.148	.276	16	3	16%	11%	105	+1.7
✕Ken Harvey 2005 · MLB	27	55→58	48→50	40	46	.272/.323/.413	.141	.312	16	3	18%	6%	108	+2.3	.261/.308/.402	.141	.311	16	5	21%	6%	100	+1.7	.270/.300/.386	.116	.336	12	0	23%	4%	89	+0.2
✕Ryan Garko 2009 · MLB	28	53→57	51→55	39→30	50	.266/.340/.424	.158	.295	19	2	17%	7%	120	+3.1	.242/.315/.381	.139	.267	17	2	16%	7%	98	+1.6	.226/.300/.349	.122	.256	16	0	18%	7%	80	+0.2
●Harold Ramírez 2022 · MLB	27	54→64	46→50	46→50	43	.266/.307/.403	.138	.307	13	6	18%	4%	99	+1.7	.283/.326/.402	.119	.333	11	7	18%	5%	107	+2.2	.288/.329/.391	.103	.347	9	8	19%	4%	102	+1.3
✕Nolan Reimold 2011 · MLB	27	48→58	50→60	49→50	52	.245/.320/.401	.156	.277	19	10	19%	9%	105	+2.1	.231/.302/.387	.156	.276	19	10	23%	8%	94	+1.3	.237/.314/.363	.126	.311	14	5	26%	9%	88	+0.4
✕Chris Shelton 2007 · MLB	27	53→57	54→55	42→40	49	.269/.337/.455	.186	.328	21	3	24%	8%	126	+3.5	.248/.319/.398	.150	.323	16	3	26%	9%	104	+2.0	.240/.314/.376	.135	.315	14	2	26%	9%	94	+1.1
✕Larry Bigbie 2005 · MLB	27	56	49→50	49→50	51	.276/.337/.423	.147	.328	17	11	21%	8%	118	+3.0	.253/.315/.380	.127	.320	13	9	23%	8%	97	+1.5	.243/.305/.352	.109	.316	8	8	24%	8%	82	+0.2
✕John Bowker 2010 · MLB	27	52→54	52→55	46→45	47	.262/.321/.433	.171	.306	19	7	21%	7%	113	+2.6	.254/.304/.423	.169	.296	20	5	21%	6%	104	+2.0	.238/.275/.389	.151	.277	19	2	21%	4%	78	+0.2
✕Austin Dean 2021 · MLB	27	50→56	51→55	42→45	45	.256/.305/.422	.166	.297	19	6	21%	6%	104	+2.0	.223/.285/.380	.157	.292	17	9	29%	7%	85	+0.7	.211/.270/.358	.147	.269	17	12	28%	6%	69	-0.3
●Edward Olivares 2023 · MLB	27	49→53	51→55	45→55	45	.251/.306/.408	.156	.288	19	12	20%	6%	101	+1.8	.250/.308/.405	.155	.285	18	16	19%	6%	102	+1.8	.247/.309/.401	.154	.278	18	18	18%	6%	97	+1.0
✕Bobby Kielty 2004 · MLB	27	52→53	50	49→45	62	.257/.363/.423	.166	.297	17	10	19%	13%	128	+3.7	.248/.342/.401	.153	.284	16	6	17%	12%	114	+2.7	.246/.332/.392	.145	.280	15	3	17%	11%	104	+1.2
✕Delmon Young 2013 · MLB	27	54→61	50→55	39→55	43	.271/.307/.423	.152	.300	18	3	17%	4%	105	+2.1	.268/.306/.402	.134	.316	16	3	20%	5%	98	+1.6	.275/.312/.399	.124	.328	15	1	20%	4%	98	+0.7
●Kevin Mench 2004 · MLB	26	53→54	51→60	44→45	50	.267/.334/.437	.170	.302	18	5	18%	8%	121	+3.2	.270/.330/.479	.209	.278	24	3	13%	7%	130	+3.8	.268/.326/.471	.203	.271	24	2	12%	7%	120	+2.7
✕Jesus Guzman 2012 · MLB	28	57→63	48→55	45→50	47	.281/.333/.431	.150	.329	14	9	19%	6%	118	+3.0	.253/.318/.402	.149	.310	15	9	22%	8%	104	+2.0	.228/.303/.364	.135	.287	14	6	24%	9%	84	+0.3
●Jeremy Hermida 2010 · MLB	26	53→59	51→55	46→50	53	.263/.341/.424	.161	.317	18	6	22%	10%	120	+3.1	.245/.309/.390	.145	.312	17	5	26%	8%	98	+1.6	.228/.299/.367	.139	.314	15	2	30%	8%	84	+0.5
✕Dominic Smith 2022 · MLB	27	52→55	52→50	43→40	47	.261/.325/.432	.171	.311	20	4	23%	7%	115	+2.8	.242/.310/.374	.132	.290	14	4	21%	7%	94	+1.3	.243/.312/.368	.125	.289	13	4	20%	8%	91	+0.9
●James Loney 2010 · MLB	26	57→64	46→50	46→45	54	.282/.343/.419	.137	.308	13	6	13%	8%	118	+3.0	.274/.333/.399	.125	.303	11	7	13%	8%	109	+2.4	.291/.340/.396	.105	.319	10	3	12%	7%	103	+1.8

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)