Jared Thomas — OGILVIE

Jared ThomasOF Hartford Yard Goats

Age 23 L/L 6'1" / 185 lbs AA HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

2026 ROS PROJECTION136 act + 20 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .250 / .263

PA20

HR0

K%40

BB%5

BABIP345

ISO53

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$9M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 47 / POW 48

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT47

scouting grade only

POWER48

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED52

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-1	$0.4M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-2	$5M	—	—	—
2032	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	21	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	36	33	11	1	0	2	3	7	0	1	0	333	389	545	934	212	375	19	8	411	164	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2025	22	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	191	163	40	10	1	3	25	66	1	11	5	245	349	374	723	129	389	35	13	327	107	+2	+0	—	—	+4	0.6
2025	22	A+	Spokane Indians	—	342	291	96	13	1	11	45	79	5	22	2	330	428	495	923	165	421	23	13	411	164	+26	+4	—	—	+7	3.8
2025	22	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	67	63	19	6	1	2	3	28	1	8	0	302	343	524	867	222	515	42	4	378	142	+3	+2	—	—	+1	0.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	21	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	36	34	10	1	0	2	2	9	0	1	0	294	333	500	833	206	328	25	6	327	107	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2025	22	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	—	191	170	35	9	1	2	18	79	1	11	5	206	286	306	592	100	351	41	9	259	61	-9	+0	—	—	+4	-0.5
2025	22	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	342	309	71	9	1	9	27	110	5	22	2	230	302	353	655	123	320	32	8	285	79	-9	+4	—	—	+7	0.3
2024	21	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	36	34	10	1	0	2	2	9	0	1	0	294	333	500	833	206	348	25	6	327	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	—	36	33	11	1	0	2	3	7	0	1	0	333	389	545	934	212	375	19	8	411	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	600	539	118	20	2	12	51	212	7	41	7	219	295	330	625	111	334	35	8	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	600	517	155	29	3	16	73	173	7	41	7	300	394	460	854	161	421	29	12	380	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	36	34	10	1	0	2	2	9	0	1	0	294	333	500	833	206	328	25	6	327	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	600	537	118	20	2	12	51	212	7	41	7	220	295	331	626	112	331	35	8	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	21	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	36	34	10	1	0	2	2	9	0	1	0	294	333	500	833	206	328	25	6	327	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	600	537	118	20	2	12	51	212	7	41	7	220	295	331	626	112	331	35	8	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	AA MLE	COL	—	136	123	27	3	1	2	7	61	4	11	2	220	284	309	593	89	410	45	5	259	62	-6	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	ROK RAW	COL	—	17	13	5	2	1	0	3	4	0	1	0	385	500	692	1.192	308	500	24	18	476	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	AA RAW	COL	—	119	107	27	2	0	3	7	45	4	10	2	252	322	355	677	103	407	38	6	307	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	23	AA MLE	COL	2%	20	19	4	1	0	0	1	8	0	1	0	211	250	263	513	53	328	40	5	266	66	-1	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	23	AA MLE	COL	—	156	142	31	4	1	2	8	69	4	12	2	218	279	303	582	85	403	44	5	260	62	-7	+2	-0	-1	+3	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	COL	31%	471	426	90	14	2	11	36	173	6	15	3	211	282	331	613	120	323	37	8	277	74	-15	+2	-0	-3	+10	-0.6
2028	25	MLB MLE	COL	45%	499	450	97	16	2	12	39	177	7	14	3	216	288	340	628	124	321	35	8	284	78	-13	+2	-0	-3	+11	-0.4
2029	26	MLB MLE	COL	51%	514	461	101	17	2	13	41	179	7	13	3	219	293	349	642	130	319	35	8	288	81	-12	+1	-0	-3	+11	-0.2
2030	27	MLB MLE	COL	53%	518	464	102	17	2	13	42	179	7	13	3	220	294	349	643	129	318	35	8	289	82	-11	+1	-0	-3	+11	-0.2
2031	28	MLB MLE	COL	53%	517	463	101	17	2	13	42	179	7	11	2	218	293	348	641	130	318	35	8	288	81	-12	+1	-1	-3	+11	-0.3
2032	29	MLB MLE	COL	53%	509	455	98	16	2	13	42	177	7	10	2	215	292	345	637	130	315	35	8	285	79	-13	+1	-2	-3	+11	-0.5
2027	24	MLB CTX	COL	31%	146	132	30	5	1	4	11	54	2	5	1	227	297	371	668	144	341	37	8	282	74	-5	+1	-0	-1	+3	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	COL	45%	222	200	46	8	1	6	17	79	3	6	1	230	300	370	670	140	338	36	8	290	78	-6	+1	-0	-1	+5	-0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	COL	51%	262	236	54	9	1	8	21	91	3	7	1	229	300	377	677	148	337	35	8	294	81	-6	+1	-0	-2	+6	-0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	COL	53%	272	244	57	10	1	8	22	94	4	7	1	234	307	381	689	148	336	35	8	295	82	-6	+1	-0	-2	+6	-0.1
2031	28	MLB CTX	COL	53%	276	248	57	10	1	8	22	96	4	6	1	230	303	375	678	145	335	35	8	294	81	-6	+1	-0	-2	+6	-0.2
2032	29	MLB CTX	COL	53%	268	241	55	9	1	8	22	93	3	6	1	228	301	373	674	145	332	35	8	291	79	-7	+1	-1	-2	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1446	1301	299	51	6	42	115	507	19	37	6	230	302	375	677	145	339	35	8	292	78	-35	+5	-1	-9	+31	-0.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	135	23	3	19	52	228	9	17	3	231	304	378	682	147	340	35	8	292	78	-16	+2	-1	-4	+14	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	3684	3311	721	119	14	89	296	1293	48	119	23	218	291	343	634	125	325	35	8	284	78	-76	+9	-3	-18	+66	-2.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	127	21	2	16	52	228	8	21	4	217	290	342	632	125	324	35	8	284	78	-16	+2	-1	-4	+14	-0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Hernán Pérezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,811 PA	2.7	1,811	45	69	252	281	387	-0	+12	3.7	3.7
/162	664	16	25	-0.0	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 4
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	2.2	1,452	37	36	217	287	345	-9	+1	0.1	0.1
/162	664	17	17	-4.0	+0.3	0.0	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jared Thomas (OGILVIE)	23	38→47	44→48	50→52	50	203/274/306	104	328	6	14	39%	7%	66	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Sam Hilliard 2017 · A	23	44→47	44→55	53→55	39	210/267/329	119	322	11	16	37%	7%	68	-1.0	209/259/327	118	328	12	20	38%	6%	64	-1.3	203/279/378	175	281	20	18	34%	9%	82	+0.0
✕Caleb Roberts 2023 · AA	23	40→46	42→50	50	42	193/272/298	105	296	9	12	35%	8%	63	-1.3	208/283/336	128	298	11	11	32%	8%	76	-0.4	203/278/333	131	282	12	10	30%	8%	71	-0.6
✕Victor Labrada 2023 · A	23	42→52	41→45	54→60	39	199/264/301	102	310	8	21	36%	7%	60	-1.6	216/283/316	100	307	8	31	30%	7%	71	-0.8	229/311/347	118	299	10	36	25%	8%	86	+0.2
✕Gage Workman 2023 · AA	23	38→48	46→50	57→55	31	183/231/319	136	327	12	22	46%	6%	52	-2.2	205/265/349	144	339	15	21	41%	7%	72	-0.7	216/274/367	152	334	15	22	38%	7%	77	-0.3
✕Kameron Misner 2022 · AA	24	42→43	43→50	55	42	201/275/318	118	315	10	19	37%	8%	69	-0.9	199/288/334	135	319	14	23	38%	11%	78	-0.3	189/285/327	138	300	14	26	38%	11%	72	-0.6
✕Jeremy Moore 2010 · AA	23	42→52	47→50	53→55	33	209/248/349	140	320	14	16	38%	4%	65	-1.2	239/275/383	144	335	13	19	31%	4%	82	+0.0	230/268/374	144	320	13	19	32%	4%	76	-0.3
●Josh Lowe 2021 · AA	23	41→51	46→55	53→60	43	208/272/338	131	294	14	20	33%	8%	72	-0.7	241/302/401	160	339	17	26	32%	8%	97	+1.1	252/311/424	172	347	18	31	31%	8%	103	+1.3
✕Taylor Trammell 2021 · AA	23	42→46	40→55	51→55	46	203/278/290	87	288	8	17	30%	9%	63	-1.3	213/292/373	160	289	19	15	31%	9%	88	+0.4	203/297/373	170	273	21	23	32%	11%	88	+0.3
✕Oliver Dunn 2022 · AA	24	39→46	44→45	53→55	46	189/273/305	116	294	11	14	37%	10%	65	-1.2	219/303/367	148	341	14	14	36%	10%	91	+0.6	202/286/331	129	310	11	20	35%	9%	73	-0.4
✕Carlos Moncrief 2012 · A	23	40→50	44→50	51→50	42	192/268/313	122	310	10	12	39%	9%	65	-1.2	215/270/358	143	314	14	12	34%	7%	76	-0.4	230/285/359	129	293	12	11	25%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Carlo Testa 2010 · A	23	45→49	45→50	52→50	41	218/277/346	128	325	12	14	35%	7%	76	-0.4	224/282/357	133	333	11	15	34%	7%	80	-0.2	221/280/358	137	326	12	16	34%	7%	77	-0.3
✕Daz Cameron 2020 · AAA	23	40→45	44→50	52→55	42	198/271/320	122	284	10	17	33%	7%	68	-1.0	206/272/329	123	293	11	18	32%	7%	70	-0.8	225/296/393	168	284	19	27	27%	8%	91	+0.3
✕Carlos Guzman 2009 · A	23	43→48	43→50	52→50	37	212/260/321	109	311	12	12	34%	6%	63	-1.3	231/280/335	104	309	10	6	27%	6%	74	-0.6	234/286/330	96	304	9	3	25%	6%	72	-0.3
✕Jason Pridie 2006 · AA	22	43→53	46→50	55	39	212/261/343	131	299	13	16	33%	6%	69	-0.9	230/263/335	105	294	8	17	24%	4%	67	-1.1	235/283/370	135	294	15	19	25%	6%	81	-0.1
✕Slade Heathcott 2014 · AA	23	47→46	42→45	52→50	38	223/273/335	112	319	9	16	32%	6%	71	-0.8	226/274/325	99	321	8	12	30%	6%	69	-0.9	217/284/334	117	310	11	11	32%	7%	72	-0.3
✕Ernesto Martinez Jr. 2022 · A	23	44→52	48→50	59→55	39	215/285/358	143	325	15	24	36%	7%	82	-0.0	219/291/354	135	302	15	20	31%	8%	83	+0.1	224/294/353	129	287	13	19	25%	7%	80	-0.1
✕James Jones 2012 · A	23	44→53	42→45	53→60	42	210/273/320	110	306	9	15	33%	7%	68	-1.0	233/284/340	107	319	8	22	28%	6%	76	-0.4	242/289/344	102	320	6	29	25%	6%	75	-0.4
✕Isan Díaz 2019 · AAA	23	40→41	46→55	50→45	43	199/269/329	130	288	13	10	34%	8%	70	-0.9	212/283/357	145	286	16	6	30%	8%	81	-0.1	206/286/370	164	268	21	5	30%	9%	80	-0.1
✕Khalil Lee 2021 · AA	23	46→51	41→45	57→55	42	212/286/309	96	325	8	30	35%	8%	70	-0.8	205/307/330	125	338	11	15	38%	9%	84	+0.2	190/304/318	128	331	11	13	40%	10%	78	-0.2
✕Zach Cole 2023 · A	22	42→51	41→55	55	39	198/276/295	98	319	8	23	38%	7%	64	-1.3	200/277/352	152	346	16	22	43%	8%	78	-0.3	199/278/371	171	344	18	23	44%	8%	79	-0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps