Jared Thomas — OGILVIE

Jared ThomasOF ACL Rockies

Age 23 L/L 6'1" / 185 lbs ROK HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

2026 ROS PROJECTION17 act + 303 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .283 / .321

PA303

HR6

SB8

K%34

BB%9

BABIP305

ISO114

MLB%4%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 47 / POW 48

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT47

scouting grade only

POWER48

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED53

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1.0M	+$0.3M
2030	Arb-1	$0.6M	+0.3	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2031	Arb-2	$0.7M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.2M
2032	Arb-3	$7M	—	—	—
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$1.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	36	34	10	1	0	2	2	9	0	1	0	294	333	500	833	206	348	25	6	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	36	33	11	1	0	2	3	7	0	1	0	333	389	545	934	212	375	19	8	411	172	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	3 teams	—	600	538	115	21	2	12	52	215	7	41	7	214	291	327	619	113	329	36	9	271	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	3 teams	—	600	517	155	29	3	16	73	173	7	41	7	300	394	460	854	161	421	29	12	380	149	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	ROK	COL	—	17	14	5	2	1	0	2	6	0	1	0	357	438	643	1.080	286	556	35	12	365	137	+1	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.1
YTD	23	ROK	COL	—	17	13	5	2	1	0	3	4	0	1	0	385	500	692	1.192	308	500	24	18	476	222	+2	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.3
ROS	23	ROK	COL	4%	303	271	56	11	1	6	26	103	3	8	2	207	283	321	604	114	303	34	9	274	68	-11	+1	-0	-2	+9	-0.4
ROS	23	MLB	COL	4%	12	11	2	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	182	250	182	432		326	33	8	286	77	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	ROK	COL	—	29	25	7	2	1	0	3	10	0	1	0	280	357	440	797	160	438	34	10	332	113	+0	+0	-0	-0	+1	0.1
TOT	23	ROK	COL	—	320	285	61	13	2	6	28	109	3	9	2	214	291	337	628	123	318	34	9	279	72	-10	+1	-0	-2	+9	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	COL	32%	551	493	105	20	2	13	48	180	5	14	3	213	289	341	630	128	303	33	9	285	76	-15	+2	-0	-3	+16	-0.1
2028	25	MLB	COL	45%	566	506	109	21	2	14	50	180	5	13	3	215	292	348	640	132	302	32	9	291	81	-12	+1	-0	-3	+16	0.1
2029	26	MLB	COL	51%	571	510	111	21	2	15	51	178	5	13	3	218	295	355	650	137	301	31	9	294	83	-11	+1	-0	-3	+16	0.3
2030	27	MLB	COL	53%	570	509	111	21	2	15	51	177	5	12	3	218	296	356	651	138	301	31	9	295	84	-10	+1	-0	-3	+16	0.3
2031	28	MLB	COL	53%	565	504	110	21	2	15	51	176	5	12	3	218	296	357	654	139	300	31	9	294	83	-11	+1	-1	-3	+16	0.2
2032	29	MLB	COL	53%	558	497	108	21	2	14	51	175	5	11	3	217	297	352	649	135	300	31	9	292	81	-12	+1	-2	-3	+16	0.0
2027	24	MLB	COL	32%	176	157	37	7	1	5	15	57	2	4	1	236	310	389	699	153	326	32	9	298	86	-3	+0	-0	-1	+5	0.2
2028	25	MLB	COL	45%	255	228	53	11	1	7	23	81	2	6	2	232	308	382	690	149	326	32	9	305	91	-2	+0	-0	-2	+7	0.4
2029	26	MLB	COL	51%	292	261	62	12	1	9	26	91	3	7	2	238	314	395	708	157	325	31	9	308	94	-2	+1	-0	-2	+8	0.5
2030	27	MLB	COL	53%	300	267	64	13	1	9	27	93	3	7	2	240	316	397	714	157	325	31	9	309	95	-2	+1	-0	-2	+8	0.5
2031	28	MLB	COL	53%	302	269	64	13	1	9	27	94	3	6	2	238	314	394	708	156	324	31	9	308	94	-2	+0	-1	-2	+9	0.5
2032	29	MLB	COL	53%	294	262	62	12	1	9	27	92	3	6	1	237	315	393	708	156	323	31	9	306	92	-3	+1	-1	-2	+8	0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1631	1455	344	68	6	48	146	512	16	36	10	236	313	390	703	154	328	31	9	306	92	-14	+3	-2	-10	+46	2.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	136	27	2	19	58	204	6	14	4	234	310	386	696	152	325	31	9	306	92	-6	+1	-1	-4	+18	1.0
Career	—			—	4320	3862	835	158	15	106	382	1393	40	125	27	216	293	347	641	131	306	32	9	288	78	-105	+14	-4	-26	+122	0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	126	24	2	16	57	210	6	19	4	217	293	348	641	131	307	32	9	288	78	-16	+2	-1	-4	+18	0.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	36	33	11	1	0	2	3	7	0	1	0	333	389	545	934	212	375	19	8	411	172	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2025	22	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	191	163	40	10	1	3	25	66	1	11	5	245	349	374	723	129	389	35	13	327	108	+2	+0	—	—	+5	0.8
2025	22	A+	Spokane Indians	—	342	291	96	13	1	11	45	79	5	22	2	330	428	495	923	165	421	23	13	411	173	+28	+4	—	—	+10	4.2
2025	22	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	67	63	19	6	1	2	3	28	1	8	0	302	343	524	867	222	515	42	4	378	148	+4	+2	—	—	+2	0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#3Shane Halterlast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,744 PA	5	1,744	41	11	247	305	396	-6	+8	3.9	3.9
	/162	664	16	4	247	305	396	-2.1	+3.0	1.5	pk7: 4
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,631	42	36	218	293	355	-10	+0	0.6	0.6
	/162	664	17	15	218	293	355	-4.0	+0.0	0.2	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jared Thomas (OGILVIE)	23	38→47	45→48	51→53	50	214/291/337	123	318	6	9	34%	9%	72	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Oliver Dunn 2022 · AA	24	39→47	44→50	53→55	45	189/273/309	120	297	11	14	38%	10%	62	-0.9	217/302/371	154	344	15	14	38%	10%	89	+1.0	212/288/350	139	311	14	25	34%	8%	75	+0.0
✕Caleb Roberts 2023 · AA	23	41→42	43→45	50	43	199/278/313	114	297	11	12	34%	8%	65	-0.7	202/279/326	124	295	11	11	33%	8%	69	-0.4	187/272/303	117	258	12	11	30%	8%	58	-0.7
✕Kameron Misner 2022 · AA	24	42→43	43→50	55	42	199/272/316	117	310	10	19	36%	8%	63	-0.8	200/289/343	143	318	15	23	38%	11%	78	+0.2	205/283/356	150	291	16	27	33%	9%	75	+0.0
✕Tristan Peters 2023 · AA	23	45→53	44→45	53→50	48	218/288/344	126	281	9	14	25%	8%	76	+0.1	229/295/348	119	286	9	12	22%	8%	80	+0.4	238/306/369	131	290	10	10	21%	8%	87	+0.6
✕Daz Cameron 2020 · AAA	23	40→45	46→55	52→55	42	202/273/338	137	283	13	17	32%	7%	69	-0.4	210/275/344	134	293	13	18	31%	7%	72	-0.2	217/290/380	163	271	19	25	27%	8%	86	+0.5
✕Ji Hwan Bae 2022 · AA	23	48→51	42→45	54→60	43	229/288/341	112	317	9	22	29%	7%	76	+0.0	238/296/347	109	313	8	29	25%	7%	80	+0.4	240/313/341	101	332	7	39	27%	9%	83	+0.3
✕Taylor Trammell 2021 · AA	23	41→46	39→55	50→55	45	195/270/277	82	286	7	17	32%	8%	52	-1.6	218/295/384	166	296	20	15	31%	9%	91	+1.1	211/296/388	177	282	22	17	32%	10%	91	+0.7
●Jason Pridie 2006 · AA	22	42→52	47→50	54→55	38	212/261/348	136	305	14	16	34%	6%	66	-0.6	230/264/341	111	295	9	17	25%	4%	64	-0.8	243/290/391	148	303	17	19	25%	6%	86	+0.7
✕Carlo Testa 2010 · A	23	45→49	45→50	52→50	41	218/277/346	128	325	12	14	35%	7%	72	-0.2	222/281/358	136	332	11	15	34%	7%	76	+0.1	217/278/359	141	325	12	16	35%	7%	73	-0.1
✕Trey Sweeney 2023 · AA	23	39→43	48→50	57→55	46	198/276/341	142	266	15	19	30%	9%	71	-0.3	217/288/368	151	280	17	17	28%	8%	83	+0.6	218/288/372	154	276	19	17	27%	8%	81	+0.3
✕Slade Heathcott 2014 · AA	23	45→43	43→45	51→50	37	217/264/329	112	313	10	16	33%	5%	62	-0.9	224/271/327	103	318	9	12	31%	6%	64	-0.8	218/286/353	135	311	15	11	33%	7%	75	+0.0
✕Matthew den Dekker 2012 · AA	24	46→56	44→50	52→55	38	217/273/345	128	329	10	14	35%	6%	70	-0.3	231/281/368	137	325	12	16	31%	6%	79	+0.3	241/292/379	137	327	12	18	29%	6%	85	+0.6
✕Canaan Smith-Njigba 2022 · AAA	23	48→49	45	53→55	47	229/302/351	122	328	12	15	32%	9%	85	+0.7	220/288/337	117	329	9	18	33%	9%	74	-0.1	208/277/322	114	312	8	20	33%	9%	63	-0.5
✕John Rave 2022 · A	24	40→44	47→55	54→55	40	202/271/332	130	303	15	14	37%	8%	67	-0.5	217/284/358	141	307	17	15	33%	8%	79	+0.3	220/292/381	161	277	17	23	26%	9%	84	+0.5
✕Carlos Guzman 2009 · A	23	43→48	43→50	52→50	37	212/260/321	109	311	12	12	34%	6%	59	-1.1	229/279/333	104	309	10	6	28%	6%	69	-0.4	231/283/327	97	303	10	3	26%	6%	67	-0.3
✕Jeremy Moore 2010 · AA	23	42→52	47→55	53→55	33	209/248/350	141	321	14	16	39%	4%	60	-1.0	240/275/394	154	331	15	19	31%	4%	83	+0.6	228/265/383	155	315	15	19	32%	4%	74	-0.0
✕Isan Díaz 2019 · AAA	23	40→42	47→55	50→45	43	201/270/339	138	290	14	10	34%	8%	68	-0.5	213/282/360	147	291	16	6	31%	8%	79	+0.3	208/287/373	164	275	21	5	31%	9%	79	+0.2
✕Jeisson Rosario 2023 · AA	23	44→49	43→45	47→50	48	214/291/327	114	289	10	12	28%	9%	74	-0.1	204/290/309	105	312	10	12	34%	10%	69	-0.4	186/281/277	91	297	9	12	37%	11%	54	-0.9
✕Carlos Moncrief 2012 · A	23	41→49	43→55	51→50	42	192/268/306	114	317	9	12	39%	9%	59	-1.1	213/267/365	152	312	16	12	35%	7%	73	-0.1	230/284/374	144	289	16	11	25%	7%	80	+0.3
●Josh Lowe 2021 · AA	23	41→51	49→55	52→60	42	209/275/352	144	299	17	20	35%	8%	73	-0.1	247/306/415	168	344	19	26	32%	8%	102	+1.9	256/314/436	180	349	20	31	31%	7%	108	+1.9