Aaron ZavalaOF
Round Rock Express
Age 26
L/R
5'11" / 193 lbs
AAA
K +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
wRC+†55
AVG/OBP/SLG.181 / .268 / .285
PA250
HR4
K%39
BB%9
MLB%10%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
40→40
PWR
50→50
SPD
45→45
EYE
51↗60
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.5peak
2027
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2028
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2033
First FA Year 2034
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $-12M | $-25M | -$13M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | A | 2 teams | 93 | 80 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 4 | 9 | 0 | .237 | .337 | .325 | .662 | .088 | .346 | 30 | 9 | .290 | 80 | -2 | +2 | +0 | -1 | +3 | 0.2 |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | 3 teams | 535 | 462 | 99 | 15 | 3 | 14 | 58 | 145 | 14 | 14 | 7 | .214 | .320 | .351 | .671 | .136 | .280 | 27 | 11 | .297 | 85 | -9 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +15 | 0.3 |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 426 | 362 | 53 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 51 | 204 | 8 | 7 | 3 | .146 | .266 | .218 | .484 | .072 | .308 | 48 | 12 | .230 | 34 | -32 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +12 | -2.2 |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 498 | 438 | 77 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 41 | 179 | 9 | 12 | 5 | .176 | .260 | .237 | .498 | .062 | .278 | 36 | 8 | .229 | 33 | -37 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +14 | -2.6 |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | 3 teams | 652 | 579 | 115 | 20 | 6 | 17 | 58 | 255 | 8 | 13 | 7 | .199 | .281 | .342 | .623 | .143 | .314 | 39 | 9 | .272 | 67 | -25 | -0 | +0 | -4 | +18 | -1.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 70 | 61 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .213 | .294 | .295 | .589 | .082 | .343 | 37 | 9 | .253 | 52 | -4 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +2 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | TEX | 180 | 159 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 70 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .195 | .281 | .302 | .583 | .107 | .305 | 39 | 9 | .258 | 56 | -9 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +5 | -0.5 |
| TOT | 26 | MLB | TEX | 250 | 220 | 44 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 96 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .200 | .285 | .300 | .585 | .100 | .328 | 38 | 9 | .257 | 55 | -13 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +7 | -0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB 25% | TEX | 336 | 297 | 58 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 32 | 109 | 4 | 5 | 2 | .195 | .282 | .300 | .582 | .104 | .285 | 32 | 10 | .272 | 66 | -13 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +10 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB 37% | TEX | 364 | 321 | 64 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 35 | 116 | 5 | 5 | 2 | .199 | .288 | .308 | .596 | .109 | .285 | 32 | 10 | .274 | 68 | -13 | +0 | -1 | -2 | +10 | -0.6 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB 47% | TEX | 373 | 329 | 66 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 36 | 119 | 5 | 4 | 2 | .201 | .289 | .310 | .599 | .109 | .285 | 32 | 10 | .275 | 69 | -13 | +0 | -1 | -2 | +11 | -0.6 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB 55% | TEX | 378 | 334 | 66 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 36 | 121 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .198 | .285 | .305 | .591 | .108 | .283 | 32 | 10 | .273 | 67 | -14 | +0 | -2 | -2 | +11 | -0.7 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB 73% | TEX | 369 | 327 | 64 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 35 | 119 | 4 | 2 | 1 | .196 | .281 | .303 | .584 | .107 | .282 | 32 | 9 | .269 | 64 | -15 | +0 | -3 | -2 | +10 | -1.0 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB 90% | TEX | 354 | 313 | 60 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 34 | 116 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .192 | .279 | .291 | .570 | .099 | .280 | 33 | 10 | .265 | 61 | -16 | +0 | -4 | -2 | +10 | -1.2 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB | TEX | 326 | 288 | 54 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 31 | 109 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .188 | .276 | .281 | .557 | .094 | .278 | 33 | 10 | .259 | 57 | -16 | +0 | -4 | -2 | +9 | -1.3 |
| 2034 | 34 | MLB | TEX | 284 | 252 | 47 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 98 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .187 | .273 | .278 | .551 | .091 | .276 | 35 | 10 | .253 | 52 | -15 | +0 | -5 | -2 | +8 | -1.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 5168 | 4541 | 873 | 163 | 19 | 92 | 499 | 1788 | 79 | 78 | 31 | .192 | .283 | .297 | .581 | .105 | .290 | 35 | 10 | .265 | 61 | -229 | +3 | -20 | -31 | +146 | -13.3 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 571 | 110 | 21 | 2 | 12 | 63 | 225 | 10 | 10 | 4 | .193 | .285 | .299 | .584 | .107 | .289 | 35 | 10 | .265 | 61 | -29 | +0 | -2 | -4 | +18 | -1.7 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | A | Down East Wood Ducks | 67 | 53 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 0 | .302 | .439 | .434 | .873 | .132 | .375 | 19 | 15 | .393 | 159 | +4 | +1 | — | — | +2 | 0.8 |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | ACL Rangers | 26 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .273 | .385 | .318 | .703 | .045 | .400 | 27 | 12 | .332 | 112 | +0 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.2 |
| 2022 | 22 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 139 | 112 | 31 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 29 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .277 | .413 | .482 | .895 | .205 | .329 | 21 | 15 | .398 | 163 | +10 | +0 | — | — | +4 | 1.4 |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Hickory Crawdads | 375 | 299 | 83 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 68 | 79 | 8 | 10 | 5 | .278 | .424 | .441 | .865 | .164 | .344 | 21 | 18 | .393 | 159 | +25 | +0 | — | — | +11 | 3.6 |
| 2022 | 22 | INTL | Surprise Saguaros | 21 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .200 | .429 | .400 | .829 | .200 | .250 | 29 | 24 | .386 | 154 | +1 | -0 | — | — | +1 | 0.2 |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 426 | 341 | 66 | 16 | 0 | 5 | 72 | 159 | 8 | 7 | 3 | .194 | .347 | .284 | .631 | .091 | .335 | 37 | 17 | .300 | 88 | -6 | +0 | — | — | +12 | 0.6 |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 498 | 416 | 93 | 17 | 1 | 5 | 63 | 139 | 9 | 12 | 5 | .224 | .338 | .305 | .643 | .082 | .314 | 28 | 13 | .297 | 85 | -8 | +0 | — | — | +14 | 0.6 |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 67 | 56 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 0 | 2 | 2 | .214 | .323 | .375 | .698 | .161 | .278 | 28 | 13 | .308 | 94 | -0 | -0 | — | — | +2 | 0.1 |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 471 | 395 | 97 | 17 | 5 | 14 | 66 | 139 | 6 | 8 | 4 | .246 | .362 | .420 | .782 | .175 | .337 | 30 | 14 | .350 | 126 | +14 | +0 | — | — | +13 | 2.8 |
| 2025 | 25 | INTL | Jaguares de Nayarit | 114 | 95 | 34 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .358 | .460 | .621 | 1.081 | .263 | .412 | 18 | 14 | .466 | 215 | +15 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 1.9 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Aaron Zavala (OGILVIE) | 26 | 40 | 50 | 45 | 60 | .181/.268/.285 | .104 | .299 | 4 | 4 | 39% | 9% | 55 | -0.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Justin Toerner 2023 · AAA |
26 | 39 | 43→45 | 48→50 | 44 | .190/.284/.298 | .108 | .293 | 11 | 10 | 36% | 9% | 65 | -0.7 | .190/.283/.309 | .119 | .284 | 13 | 11 | 35% | 10% | 66 | -0.6 | .126/.240/.244 | .118 | .172 | 15 | 9 | 35% | 12% | 32 | -1.0 |
|
✕Shane Matheny 2022 · AA |
26 | 38→42 | 43→45 | 47→50 | 39 | .187/.250/.294 | .107 | .292 | 11 | 6 | 38% | 7% | 48 | -1.9 | .201/.285/.328 | .127 | .324 | 14 | 9 | 38% | 10% | 72 | -0.2 | .191/.281/.316 | .125 | .300 | 14 | 9 | 38% | 10% | 64 | -0.5 |
|
✕Ryan Aguilar 2021 · AA |
26 | 40→41 | 42→45 | 49→50 | 41 | .190/.265/.290 | .099 | .310 | 9 | 8 | 39% | 8% | 53 | -1.5 | .191/.282/.312 | .121 | .320 | 14 | 13 | 41% | 10% | 67 | -0.5 | .176/.277/.309 | .133 | .286 | 16 | 14 | 41% | 11% | 61 | -0.5 |
|
✕Shayne Fontana 2023 · AAA |
26 | 41 | 44→45 | 45→55 | 45 | .202/.287/.319 | .117 | .301 | 13 | 8 | 35% | 9% | 71 | -0.3 | .224/.301/.331 | .107 | .295 | 10 | 18 | 26% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .230/.306/.325 | .095 | .290 | 9 | 25 | 22% | 7% | 76 | +0.1 |
|
✕Mark Contreras 2021 · AA |
26 | 36→38 | 44→50 | 47→55 | 38 | .183/.247/.298 | .115 | .269 | 11 | 13 | 35% | 6% | 48 | -1.9 | .201/.262/.346 | .145 | .292 | 17 | 19 | 36% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .199/.260/.339 | .140 | .286 | 17 | 24 | 35% | 6% | 61 | -0.7 |
|
✕Bruce Caldwell 2018 · AAA |
26 | 41→45 | 44→45 | 46→40 | 42 | .201/.269/.312 | .111 | .301 | 12 | 4 | 35% | 8% | 61 | -1.0 | .204/.265/.317 | .113 | .300 | 12 | 4 | 34% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .195/.255/.304 | .109 | .279 | 11 | 2 | 33% | 7% | 50 | -1.2 |
|
✕Brandon Wagner 2021 · AA |
25 | 38→46 | 44→45 | 47→30 | 41 | .186/.271/.295 | .109 | .301 | 12 | 4 | 39% | 8% | 58 | -1.2 | .190/.271/.284 | .094 | .349 | 10 | 7 | 44% | 9% | 55 | -1.4 | .139/.241/.201 | .062 | .279 | 9 | 3 | 48% | 11% | 20 | -1.2 |
|
✕Will Toffey 2021 · AA |
26 | 43 | 43→45 | 46→50 | 49 | .208/.295/.324 | .116 | .301 | 10 | 7 | 32% | 10% | 75 | -0.0 | .202/.286/.331 | .129 | .342 | 13 | 12 | 41% | 9% | 73 | -0.1 | .185/.274/.320 | .135 | .321 | 13 | 13 | 43% | 9% | 62 | -0.4 |
|
✕Patrick Dorrian 2022 · AAA |
26 | 39→37 | 48→55 | 48→45 | 41 | .200/.265/.342 | .141 | .295 | 16 | 6 | 36% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .196/.262/.348 | .152 | .292 | 19 | 6 | 37% | 8% | 67 | -0.5 | .176/.243/.318 | .142 | .254 | 19 | 5 | 37% | 7% | 48 | -1.1 |
|
✕Lazaro Alonso 2021 · AA |
26 | 47→45 | 44→45 | 44→30 | 42 | .221/.290/.338 | .117 | .340 | 12 | 4 | 36% | 8% | 76 | +0.0 | .206/.286/.313 | .107 | .370 | 11 | 6 | 42% | 10% | 68 | -0.5 | .167/.264/.258 | .092 | .334 | 10 | 2 | 48% | 11% | 43 | -0.9 |
|
✕Drew Vettleson 2017 · AA |
26 | 37→47 | 44→45 | 49→50 | 33 | .189/.226/.300 | .111 | .290 | 12 | 10 | 38% | 5% | 38 | -2.6 | .193/.233/.301 | .108 | .315 | 12 | 13 | 41% | 5% | 42 | -2.3 | .136/.157/.214 | .079 | .232 | 12 | 21 | 47% | 2% | -17 | -1.1 |
|
✕Gosuke Katoh 2021 · AAA |
26 | 45→49 | 42→45 | 47→50 | 44 | .218/.283/.319 | .101 | .312 | 10 | 12 | 32% | 8% | 68 | -0.5 | .219/.281/.335 | .116 | .299 | 11 | 11 | 29% | 7% | 71 | -0.3 | .210/.275/.325 | .115 | .283 | 10 | 10 | 28% | 7% | 62 | -0.5 |
|
✕Ross Adolph 2022 · AA |
25 | 41→33 | 44→45 | 44→50 | 39 | .192/.273/.308 | .117 | .318 | 12 | 8 | 40% | 8% | 62 | -0.9 | .208/.312/.331 | .123 | .364 | 12 | 11 | 42% | 10% | 85 | +0.7 | .191/.333/.297 | .106 | .358 | 9 | 16 | 41% | 13% | 84 | +0.3 |
|
✕Brett Jackson 2015 · MLB |
26 | 37→47 | 43→50 | 50→55 | 36 | .176/.246/.291 | .115 | .314 | 11 | 15 | 44% | 8% | 46 | -2.0 | .192/.259/.291 | .099 | .311 | 10 | 13 | 38% | 8% | 50 | -1.7 | .172/.253/.245 | .073 | .258 | 8 | 16 | 34% | 10% | 37 | -0.8 |
|
✕Dillon Paulson 2022 · AA |
25 | 45→36 | 45→50 | 45→30 | 46 | .215/.290/.340 | .125 | .311 | 12 | 5 | 33% | 10% | 76 | +0.1 | .223/.290/.346 | .123 | .284 | 12 | 5 | 25% | 8% | 78 | +0.2 | .219/.282/.320 | .101 | .286 | 8 | 0 | 25% | 8% | 64 | -0.3 |
|
✕Ford Proctor 2023 · MLB |
26 | 41→50 | 46→45 | 43→45 | 47 | .203/.290/.323 | .119 | .304 | 15 | 6 | 36% | 10% | 73 | -0.1 | .210/.295/.316 | .106 | .293 | 12 | 7 | 30% | 10% | 73 | -0.1 | .199/.299/.276 | .077 | .260 | 10 | 5 | 25% | 12% | 63 | -0.4 |
|
✕Jacob Heyward 2021 · AA |
25 | 41→40 | 45→50 | 44→50 | 46 | .197/.288/.319 | .122 | .302 | 13 | 11 | 36% | 10% | 71 | -0.3 | .190/.272/.334 | .144 | .297 | 18 | 6 | 40% | 9% | 69 | -0.4 | .163/.247/.307 | .144 | .245 | 21 | 2 | 41% | 8% | 49 | -0.9 |
|
✕Cal Towey 2017 · AAA |
27 | 44→49 | 42→45 | 47→50 | 43 | .208/.286/.314 | .106 | .317 | 9 | 13 | 35% | 9% | 69 | -0.4 | .199/.285/.303 | .104 | .320 | 8 | 8 | 37% | 9% | 66 | -0.6 | .172/.272/.263 | .091 | .292 | 6 | 3 | 39% | 10% | 48 | -1.2 |
|
✕Seth Fortenberry 2010 · AA |
26 | 37→43 | 44→45 | 51→50 | 42 | .188/.261/.308 | .120 | .276 | 12 | 10 | 35% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .189/.254/.290 | .101 | .308 | 7 | 9 | 38% | 7% | 48 | -1.9 | .160/.216/.252 | .092 | .300 | 0 | 4 | 44% | 7% | 17 | -0.7 |
|
✕J.R. Hopf 2009 · AAA |
26 | 41 | 40→45 | 48→40 | 43 | .196/.263/.282 | .086 | .297 | 8 | 4 | 35% | 8% | 50 | -1.7 | .218/.277/.318 | .100 | .291 | 8 | 6 | 26% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .224/.274/.326 | .102 | .280 | 8 | 2 | 22% | 6% | 64 | -0.3 |