Jared Mitchell
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 25 | AAA/AACWS | 515 | .256/.367/.444 | 19 | 15 | 85 | — | .221/.305/.365 |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 352 | .209/.299/.318 | 5 | 15 | 29 | — | .158/.228/.230 |
| 2016 | 27 | AATrenton Thund… | 83 | .250/.341/.361 | 1 | 5 | 67 | — | .237/.293/.342 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 20 | A | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 139 | 115 | 34 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 40 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 296 | 417 | 435 | 852 | 139 | 453 | 29 | 17 | 385 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | INTL | Peoria Saguaros | — | 88 | 80 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 27 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 163 | 239 | 200 | 439 | 38 | 245 | 31 | 9 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 541 | 477 | 106 | 31 | 8 | 9 | 52 | 183 | 6 | 14 | 6 | 222 | 307 | 377 | 684 | 155 | 336 | 34 | 10 | 304 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 141 | 121 | 28 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 53 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 231 | 331 | 364 | 695 | 132 | 397 | 38 | 11 | 312 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 408 | 334 | 80 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 62 | 126 | 7 | 20 | 5 | 240 | 370 | 440 | 810 | 201 | 350 | 31 | 15 | 358 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 65 | 53 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 27 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 132 | 281 | 170 | 451 | 38 | 259 | 42 | 15 | 228 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 291 | 247 | 43 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 41 | 96 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 174 | 297 | 275 | 572 | 101 | 260 | 33 | 14 | 270 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | INTL | Glendale Desert Dogs | — | 87 | 69 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 17 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 304 | 435 | 580 | 1.015 | 275 | 327 | 20 | 16 | 432 | 179 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 336 | 269 | 62 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 49 | 111 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 230 | 365 | 375 | 740 | 145 | 344 | 33 | 15 | 331 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 179 | 157 | 47 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 299 | 371 | 561 | 932 | 261 | 339 | 22 | 9 | 396 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 153 | 134 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 50 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 194 | 289 | 306 | 595 | 112 | 289 | 33 | 12 | 273 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | — | 199 | 177 | 39 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 72 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 220 | 307 | 328 | 634 | 107 | 353 | 36 | 11 | 291 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AA | Trenton Thunder | — | 83 | 72 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 25 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 250 | 341 | 361 | 703 | 111 | 362 | 30 | 12 | 317 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 20 | A MLE | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 139 | 123 | 28 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 54 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 228 | 317 | 333 | 650 | 106 | 398 | 39 | 11 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 541 | 497 | 70 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 272 | 6 | 14 | 6 | 141 | 202 | 235 | 437 | 95 | 281 | 50 | 6 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 141 | 126 | 25 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 62 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 198 | 273 | 310 | 583 | 111 | 358 | 44 | 8 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 408 | 356 | 77 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 40 | 153 | 7 | 20 | 5 | 216 | 308 | 404 | 712 | 188 | 333 | 38 | 10 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 65 | 55 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 127 | 250 | 164 | 414 | 36 | 240 | 49 | 12 | 187 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 291 | 262 | 34 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 126 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 130 | 214 | 198 | 412 | 69 | 227 | 43 | 9 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 336 | 284 | 58 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 34 | 136 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 204 | 307 | 317 | 624 | 113 | 331 | 40 | 10 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 179 | 163 | 41 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 51 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 252 | 303 | 454 | 757 | 202 | 302 | 28 | 6 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 153 | 139 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 68 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 137 | 211 | 209 | 419 | 72 | 251 | 44 | 8 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 199 | 183 | 32 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 84 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 175 | 241 | 246 | 487 | 71 | 310 | 42 | 8 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 83 | 76 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 31 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 237 | 293 | 342 | 635 | 105 | 354 | 37 | 7 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | A MLE | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 139 | 123 | 28 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 54 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 228 | 317 | 333 | 650 | 106 | 406 | 39 | 11 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | A RAW | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 139 | 115 | 34 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 40 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 296 | 417 | 435 | 852 | 139 | 453 | 29 | 17 | 385 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | INTL MLE | Peoria Saguaros | — | 88 | 80 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 27 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 163 | 239 | 200 | 439 | 38 | 245 | 31 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 21 | INTL RAW | Peoria Saguaros | — | 88 | 80 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 27 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 163 | 239 | 200 | 439 | 38 | 245 | 31 | 9 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 541 | 497 | 70 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 272 | 6 | 14 | 6 | 141 | 202 | 235 | 437 | 95 | 287 | 50 | 6 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A+ RAW | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 541 | 477 | 106 | 31 | 8 | 9 | 52 | 183 | 6 | 14 | 6 | 222 | 307 | 377 | 684 | 155 | 336 | 34 | 10 | 304 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 549 | 482 | 101 | 21 | 13 | 11 | 51 | 216 | 9 | 21 | 6 | 210 | 297 | 376 | 673 | 166 | 349 | 39 | 9 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 549 | 455 | 108 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 78 | 179 | 9 | 21 | 6 | 237 | 360 | 420 | 780 | 182 | 362 | 33 | 14 | 346 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 443 | 392 | 50 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 42 | 197 | 5 | 23 | 8 | 128 | 221 | 194 | 415 | 66 | 233 | 44 | 9 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 443 | 369 | 71 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 65 | 140 | 5 | 23 | 8 | 192 | 321 | 317 | 638 | 125 | 275 | 32 | 15 | 296 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 515 | 447 | 100 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 44 | 187 | 10 | 15 | 12 | 224 | 307 | 374 | 681 | 150 | 337 | 36 | 9 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 515 | 426 | 109 | 13 | 5 | 19 | 65 | 151 | 10 | 15 | 12 | 256 | 367 | 444 | 811 | 188 | 342 | 29 | 13 | 354 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 352 | 323 | 52 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 152 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 161 | 228 | 241 | 469 | 80 | 286 | 43 | 8 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 352 | 311 | 65 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 122 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 209 | 299 | 318 | 617 | 109 | 324 | 35 | 11 | 283 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 83 | 76 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 31 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 237 | 293 | 342 | 635 | 105 | 378 | 37 | 7 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AA RAW | Trenton Thunder | — | 83 | 72 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 25 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 250 | 341 | 361 | 703 | 111 | 362 | 30 | 12 | 317 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 20 | A MLE | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 139 | 122 | 28 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 54 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 230 | 317 | 336 | 653 | 107 | 398 | 39 | 11 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 22 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 541 | 498 | 70 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 272 | 6 | 14 | 6 | 141 | 202 | 235 | 437 | 94 | 281 | 50 | 6 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 549 | 484 | 101 | 21 | 13 | 11 | 51 | 216 | 9 | 21 | 6 | 209 | 297 | 374 | 671 | 165 | 339 | 39 | 9 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 443 | 393 | 50 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 42 | 197 | 5 | 23 | 8 | 127 | 221 | 193 | 414 | 66 | 229 | 44 | 9 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 515 | 456 | 100 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 44 | 187 | 10 | 15 | 12 | 219 | 307 | 366 | 674 | 147 | 321 | 36 | 9 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 352 | 321 | 52 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 152 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 162 | 228 | 243 | 471 | 81 | 284 | 43 | 8 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 27 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 83 | 77 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 31 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 234 | 293 | 338 | 630 | 104 | 354 | 37 | 7 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2710 | 2420 | 432 | 80 | 32 | 42 | 225 | 1136 | 32 | 100 | 42 | 179 | 257 | 290 | 547 | 112 | 309 | 42 | 8 | 236 | 46 | -175 | +3 | +0 | +10 | +59 | -10.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 580 | 104 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 54 | 272 | 8 | 24 | 10 | 179 | 259 | 291 | 550 | 112 | 310 | 42 | 8 | 236 | 46 | -42 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -2.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2016 AATrenton Thunder · 83 PAwOBA .313 → .267 (−46)K% 30.1% → 36.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.12% | ÷0.997 | ×1.220 | — | — | 36.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.05% | ÷1.061 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.968 | 7.69% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.66% | ÷0.981 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×0.968 | 27.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.38% | ÷0.962 | ×0.860 | ×1.050 | ×0.968 | 5.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.13% | ÷1.039 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | ×0.968 | 1.98% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.13% | ÷1.015 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.968 | 1.58% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 96, 2B 92, 3B 108, K 99, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .313 → .267; ISO .111 → .093; BABIP .362 → .354. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAArkansas Travelers · 199 PAwOBA .284 → .223 (−61)K% 36.2% → 42.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 36.18% | ÷1.047 | ×1.220 | — | — | 42.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.55% | ÷0.985 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 7.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.50% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.978 | 0.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.62% | ÷1.002 | ×0.920 | ×1.008 | ×0.978 | 25.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.81% | ÷1.033 | ×0.840 | ×1.008 | ×0.978 | 3.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.86% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.008 | ×0.978 | 2.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.86% | ÷1.022 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 2.19% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 100, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 109, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .284 → .223; ISO .107 → .080; BABIP .353 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAASalt Lake Bees · 153 PAwOBA .268 → .195 (−73)K% 32.7% → 44.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.68% | ÷0.952 | ×1.290 | — | — | 44.31% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.76% | ÷1.025 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 8.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.05% | ÷1.012 | ×0.900 | ×1.010 | ×1.003 | 17.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.001 | ×0.810 | ×1.010 | ×1.003 | 6.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.19% | ÷0.987 | ×0.810 | ×1.010 | ×1.003 | 0.99% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.38% | ÷0.980 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 1.90% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 102, 2B 100, 3B 97, K 90, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.
Result: wOBA .268 → .195; ISO .112 → .079; BABIP .289 → .251. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAACharlotte Knights · 336 PAwOBA .328 → .278 (−50)K% 33.0% → 40.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.04% | ÷0.975 | ×1.200 | — | — | 40.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.58% | ÷1.012 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 10.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.38% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 2.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.22% | ÷0.966 | ×0.930 | ×1.007 | ×1.018 | 26.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.06% | ÷0.977 | ×0.830 | ×1.007 | ×1.018 | 4.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.27% | ÷0.910 | ×0.970 | ×1.007 | ×1.018 | 1.38% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.70% | ÷1.118 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 4.36% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 93, 2B 95, 3B 82, K 95, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.
Result: wOBA .328 → .278; ISO .145 → .119; BABIP .344 → .331. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AABirmingham Barons · 179 PAwOBA .390 → .323 (−66)K% 22.3% → 28.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.35% | ÷0.955 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.94% | ÷1.057 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 5.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.12% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 0.93% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.79% | ÷1.021 | ×0.920 | ×1.008 | ×0.988 | 22.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.27% | ÷0.903 | ×0.910 | ×1.008 | ×0.988 | 4.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.56% | ÷1.065 | ×0.880 | ×1.008 | ×0.988 | 2.11% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.55% | ÷0.967 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 6.99% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 104, 2B 81, 3B 113, K 91, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .390 → .323; ISO .261 → .218; BABIP .339 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AABirmingham Barons · 291 PAwOBA .259 → .193 (−67)K% 33.0% → 43.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.99% | ÷0.926 | ×1.220 | — | — | 43.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.06% | ÷1.001 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 8.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.69% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 0.58% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.87% | ÷0.990 | ×0.920 | ×0.971 | ×0.998 | 17.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.97% | ÷1.096 | ×0.910 | ×0.971 | ×0.998 | 3.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.32% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | ×0.971 | ×0.998 | 0.98% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.31% | ÷0.991 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 2.67% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 98, 2B 119, 3B 130, K 85, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.
Result: wOBA .259 → .193; ISO .101 → .073; BABIP .260 → .227. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAACharlotte Knights · 65 PAwOBA .227 → .187 (−40)K% 41.5% → 48.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 41.54% | ÷1.023 | ×1.200 | — | — | 48.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.38% | ÷0.939 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 11.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.54% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 1.49% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.23% | ÷1.004 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.033 | 18.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.006 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.033 | 6.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.972 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 101, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 105, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .227 → .187; ISO .038 → .031; BABIP .259 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AABirmingham Barons · 408 PAwOBA .348 → .306 (−41)K% 30.9% → 37.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.88% | ÷1.001 | ×1.220 | — | — | 37.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.22% | ÷0.997 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 9.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.72% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 1.46% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.63% | ÷0.995 | ×0.920 | ×1.003 | ×1.012 | 20.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷0.952 | ×0.910 | ×1.003 | ×1.012 | 6.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 5.77% | ÷0.910 | ×0.880 | ×1.003 | ×1.012 | 5.67% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.81% | ÷0.823 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 4.73% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 65, 1B 99, 2B 90, 3B 82, K 100, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.
Result: wOBA .348 → .306; ISO .201 → .197; BABIP .350 → .333. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .