PJ Morlando

LF Jupiter Hammerheads

Age 22 L/R 6'1" / 198 lbs A HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	20	A/ROK/INTL2 orgs	328	.197/.350/.288	5	10	52	—	.171/.292/.260
2026	21	AMIA	384	.209/.332/.341	9	6	46	—	.167/.261/.265
2027PROJMLE	22	MLBMIA	494	.181/.274/.290	10	8	62	-0.5
2028PROJ34% MLB	23	MLBMIA	113	.182/.274/.295	2	2	69	-0.3
2029PROJ46% MLB	24	MLBMIA	181	.187/.279/.308	4	3	73	-0.4

Next 3 projected WAR -1.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

Max EV69

BB%61

Chase%60

Speed46

K%26

Whiff%25

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 95%

CompsMike Papi (age 22) · Spencer Nivens (age 22) · Carlos Guzman (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 210 proj PA

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.180 / .272 / .288

PA210

HR4

K%30

BB%10

ISO109

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	20	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	233	190	43	7	1	5	36	62	5	6	1	226	364	353	716	126	304	27	15	330	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	26	15	1	0	0	0	10	9	1	2	0	67	462	67	528		167	35	38	331	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	69	59	8	0	0	0	9	23	1	2	1	136	261	136	396		222	33	13	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	384	320	67	13	1	9	54	110	5	6	3	209	332	341	673	131	283	29	14	308	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	20	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	233	201	37	6	1	4	25	83	5	6	1	184	290	284	574	100	281	36	11	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	26	19	1	0	0	0	6	13	1	2	0	53	308	53	360		137	50	23	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	384	336	56	10	1	7	38	150	5	6	3	167	261	265	526	98	257	39	10	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	328	280	49	8	1	5	39	122	7	10	2	175	291	264	556	89	284	37	12	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	3 teams	—	328	264	52	7	1	5	55	94	7	10	2	197	350	288	638	91	281	29	17	304	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	384	336	56	10	1	7	38	150	5	6	3	167	261	265	526	98	268	39	10	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A RAW	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	384	320	67	13	1	9	54	110	5	6	3	209	332	341	673	131	283	29	14	308	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	328	279	49	8	1	5	39	122	7	10	2	176	291	265	557	90	267	37	12	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	384	338	56	10	1	7	38	150	5	6	3	166	261	263	525	98	257	39	10	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	328	279	49	8	1	5	39	122	7	10	2	176	291	265	557	90	267	37	12	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	384	338	56	10	1	7	38	150	5	6	3	166	261	263	525	98	257	39	10	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	MIA	0%	494	435	79	15	2	10	50	146	6	8	2	181	274	290	564	109	245	30	10	260	62	-22	+1	-0	-5	+11	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	MIA	34%	328	288	53	10	1	7	33	95	4	5	1	188	280	309	589	121	248	29	10	270	69	-12	+1	-0	-4	+7	-0.8
2029	24	MLB MLE	MIA	46%	392	345	67	12	2	10	39	112	5	6	2	194	285	323	607	129	252	29	10	277	73	-12	+0	-0	-4	+8	-0.8
2030	25	MLB MLE	MIA	52%	428	377	75	14	2	11	43	120	5	7	2	197	288	332	620	135	254	28	10	281	77	-12	+1	-0	-5	+9	-0.7
2031	26	MLB MLE	MIA	54%	447	394	79	15	2	12	45	124	5	7	2	200	290	338	628	138	256	28	10	284	79	-11	+1	-0	-5	+10	-0.6
2028	23	MLB CTX	MIA	34%	113	100	17	3	0	2	11	33	1	2	1	182	274	295	570	113	240	29	10	262	69	-4	+0	-0	-1	+2	-0.3
2029	24	MLB CTX	MIA	46%	181	159	30	5	1	4	18	52	2	3	1	187	279	308	587	121	243	29	10	269	73	-6	+0	-0	-2	+4	-0.4
2030	25	MLB CTX	MIA	52%	221	194	37	7	1	5	22	62	3	3	1	191	282	317	599	126	246	28	10	273	77	-6	+0	-0	-2	+5	-0.4
2031	26	MLB CTX	MIA	54%	242	213	41	7	1	6	24	67	3	4	1	193	284	323	607	129	247	28	10	276	79	-6	+0	-0	-3	+5	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	757	666	125	22	3	17	75	214	9	12	4	188	279	306	585	119	246	28	10	271	67	-22	+1	-0	-8	+16	-1.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	572	108	19	3	15	64	184	8	10	3	189	280	311	591	122	247	28	10	271	67	-19	+1	-0	-7	+14	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	2517	2205	412	75	10	56	258	785	33	44	13	187	282	306	588	119	258	31	10	267	67	-57	+2	-0	-19	+39	-3.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	569	106	19	3	14	67	203	9	11	3	186	283	304	587	118	258	31	10	267	67	-21	+1	-0	-7	+14	-1.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AJupiter Hammerheads · 384 PAwOBA .304 → .236 (−68)K% 28.6% → 39.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	28.65%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	38.96%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.06%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.015	9.85%
HBP% /PA	1.30%	—	×0.780	—	×1.015	1.03%
Singles /BIP	20.95%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.004	×1.015	19.65%
Doubles /BIP	6.19%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.004	×1.015	5.24%
Triples /BIP	0.48%	÷1.000	×0.910	×1.004	×1.015	0.44%
Home runs /BIP	4.29%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.015	3.48%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.

Result: wOBA .304 → .236; ISO .131 → .100; BABIP .283 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AJupiter Hammerheads · 233 PAwOBA .325 → .260 (−65)K% 26.6% → 35.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.61%	÷1.014	×1.360	—	—	35.68%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.45%	÷1.018	×0.690	—	×1.030	10.78%
HBP% /PA	2.15%	—	×0.780	—	×1.030	1.72%
Singles /BIP	23.44%	÷1.019	×0.920	×1.005	×1.030	21.91%
Doubles /BIP	5.47%	÷0.947	×0.830	×1.005	×1.030	4.96%
Triples /BIP	0.78%	÷0.900	×0.910	×1.005	×1.030	0.82%
Home runs /BIP	3.91%	÷1.035	×0.800	—	×1.030	3.11%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 104, 2B 89, 3B 80, K 103, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.

Result: wOBA .325 → .260; ISO .126 → .101; BABIP .304 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKFCL Marlins · 26 PAwOBA .327 → .207 (−120)K% 34.6% → 50.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	34.62%	÷0.985	×1.440	—	—	50.63%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	38.46%	÷1.030	×0.620	—	×0.995	23.04%
HBP% /PA	3.85%	—	×0.720	—	×0.995	2.76%
Singles /BIP	16.67%	÷0.992	×0.820	—	×0.995	13.71%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.048	×0.720	—	×0.995	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.146	×0.720	—	×0.995	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.910	×0.780	—	×0.995	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 98, 2B 110, 3B 129, K 97, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .327 → .207; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .167 → .137. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#4James Mouton'94-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	18	109	235*	314*	329*	-11	-0	0.7	1.0
/162	664	7	40	-4.2	-0.1	0.3	pk7: 1
#5Dave McCarty'93-'05 * career totals — 9 seasons, 1,647 PA	2.5	1,647	36	9	233*	295*	365*	-26	+16	-1.1	0.5
/162	664	15	4	-10.5	+6.6	-0.4	pk7: 2
#6Karim Garcia'95-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,560 PA	2.3	1,560	66	10	231*	269*	413*	-16	-3	-1.0	0.1
/162	664	28	4	-6.7	-1.3	-0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.5	967	23	15	194	282	322	-7	+0	-1.0	-0.5
/162	664	16	10	-4.7	+0.0	-0.7	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
PJ Morlando (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	180/272/288	108	245	4	3	30%	10%	62	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Mike Papi 2015 · A	22	38→48	41→45	50→45	49	188/265/282	94	249	9	7	27%	9%	57	-1.8	200/279/308	108	281	9	5	30%	9%	68	-1.0	213/297/336	123	282	13	4	27%	10%	80	-0.1
✕Spencer Nivens 2024 · A	22	41→49	41→45	48→50	52	199/280/294	96	255	8	14	24%	10%	65	-1.2	208/277/334	126	276	13	11	28%	9%	73	-0.6	211/281/333	122	272	12	12	26%	9%	73	-0.5
✕Carlos Guzman 2008 · A	22	39→48	43→50	53→50	44	193/274/305	112	280	11	9	33%	8%	66	-1.1	225/272/334	109	314	11	8	30%	6%	70	-0.8	237/289/332	96	308	9	3	25%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Chris Meyers 2022 · A	23	40→46	41→50	51→40	45	197/266/297	101	258	8	11	26%	7%	61	-1.5	222/279/357	135	292	15	6	28%	6%	79	-0.2	226/286/369	143	292	17	3	28%	6%	81	-0.0
✕Leandro Pineda 2024 · A	22	39→49	42→50	48→45	42	191/259/302	111	275	9	6	33%	7%	59	-1.6	213/280/341	128	279	13	6	27%	7%	76	-0.4	218/291/356	137	276	14	5	25%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Christopher Familia 2023 · A	23	38	45→55	47→45	46	195/271/314	120	240	13	8	25%	7%	68	-1.0	215/270/381	166	280	21	4	31%	6%	82	-0.0	212/261/402	190	265	27	0	32%	5%	79	-0.1
✕Dillon Paulson 2019 · A	22	40→36	47→50	50→30	48	205/279/349	145	264	14	4	27%	9%	78	-0.3	206/284/335	129	302	13	4	33%	10%	76	-0.4	192/275/318	126	272	13	2	32%	10%	67	-0.7
✕Wuilfredo Antunez 2024 · A	22	46→41	43→55	51→50	45	223/285/341	118	292	9	12	26%	7%	77	-0.3	212/261/361	149	283	14	14	29%	6%	73	-0.6	199/246/361	161	266	17	15	31%	5%	65	-0.8
✕Alexander Ovalles 2023 · AA	22	43→41	47→50	46→50	45	217/281/349	132	278	14	8	27%	7%	78	-0.3	214/279/323	109	308	11	11	32%	8%	71	-0.8	177/255/227	50	295	4	15	38%	10%	36	-0.7
✕Conner Capel 2019 · A	22	43→48	45	47→55	44	214/274/339	125	284	11	11	28%	7%	72	-0.7	217/269/335	118	286	12	10	27%	6%	70	-0.9	226/297/349	123	283	12	19	23%	8%	80	-0.1
✕Donald Lutz 2011 · A	22	40→49	43→50	50→45	40	202/253/312	110	269	10	8	28%	6%	59	-1.7	224/267/358	134	308	14	6	31%	5%	74	-0.5	217/262/369	152	289	16	8	30%	4%	73	-0.4
✕Brian O'Grady 2015 · A	23	39→38	43→60	54→50	46	194/258/307	113	251	9	8	26%	8%	59	-1.6	188/270/299	111	264	10	14	30%	9%	63	-1.4	212/274/402	190	276	23	15	31%	7%	87	+0.3
✕Travis Blankenhorn 2019 · A	22	40→45	44→50	50	38	198/259/324	126	291	11	7	34%	6%	64	-1.3	217/266/355	138	298	15	9	31%	5%	74	-0.6	208/282/359	151	278	18	6	31%	8%	78	-0.2
✕Eddinson Paulino 2024 · A	22	42	46→50	54→50	43	210/273/349	139	282	12	17	29%	7%	75	-0.5	202/261/322	120	278	12	13	30%	6%	64	-1.3	186/244/297	111	257	12	11	31%	6%	49	-1.3
✕Mike Daniel 2007 · A	22	39→49	41→45	48→50	43	192/259/288	96	277	9	11	33%	8%	55	-1.9	236/287/346	110	319	10	14	28%	6%	79	-0.2	241/292/350	108	319	10	15	26%	6%	79	-0.2
✕Iverson Leonardo 2023 · A	21	37	44→45	49→50	40	186/254/299	114	273	12	9	35%	7%	57	-1.8	197/278/292	95	346	7	8	41%	8%	64	-1.3	149/272/225	76	351	3	4	50%	12%	46	-0.6
✕Gavin Conticello 2024 · A	21	36→46	45	48→50	40	185/254/310	126	264	13	8	34%	7%	59	-1.6	219/279/344	125	300	11	8	29%	7%	76	-0.4	230/290/358	128	308	12	7	28%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Hunter Morris 2011 · A	22	40→47	47→55	51→40	39	205/244/342	137	257	14	8	26%	4%	62	-1.4	226/261/388	162	278	17	5	25%	4%	79	-0.2	222/260/391	169	273	19	3	26%	4%	77	-0.3
✕Angelo Songco 2011 · A	22	43→47	46→55	50→40	43	214/267/345	131	264	12	4	24%	6%	71	-0.8	219/265/376	157	275	18	3	27%	5%	78	-0.3	211/255/373	162	262	19	2	27%	5%	72	-0.6
✕Argenis Aldazoro 2015 · A	22	41	47→55	53→50	36	211/240/345	133	266	15	9	27%	4%	61	-1.5	205/244/289	84	282	6	8	28%	5%	49	-2.4	202/238/261	60	287	0	6	28%	4%	36	-0.8

PJ Morlando

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps