Skylar King

OF Salem RidgeYaks

Age 23 L/L 6'1" / 180 lbs A HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

OGV OFP35OGV rank#2406ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	21	ASalem Red Sox	103	.258/.359/.382	1	7	71	—	.220/.311/.319
2026	22	A+/ABOS	437	.226/.302/.369	11	31	47	—	.185/.244/.289
2027PROJMLE	23	MLBBOS	506	.227/.282/.350	10	13	77	-0.1
2028PROJ30% MLB	24	MLBBOS	111	.237/.293/.368	2	3	81	-0.1
2029PROJ44% MLB	25	MLBBOS	179	.238/.295/.373	4	5	83	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Speed84

Z-Con%64

ISO30

K%21

Whiff%6

wRC+3

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsDrew Avans (age 23) · Sócrates Brito (age 23) · Leon Landry (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 210 proj PA

wRC+†77

AVG/OBP/SLG.225 / .280 / .347

PA210

HR4

SB5

K%24

BB%6

ISO123

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 53 / POW 46

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT53

scouting grade only

POWER46

scouting grade only

EYE47

scouting grade only

SPEED63

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	21	A	Salem Red Sox	—	103	89	23	2	3	1	7	18	7	7	2	258	359	382	741	124	314	17	7	339	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+	Greenville Drive	—	46	45	8	5	0	0	0	14	1	2	0	178	196	289	485	111	258	30	0	215	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A	Salem RidgeYaks	—	391	345	80	16	1	11	36	66	6	29	11	232	314	380	694	148	255	17	9	311	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	21	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	103	91	20	2	2	1	5	25	7	7	2	220	311	319	629	99	288	24	5	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Greenville Drive	—	46	45	5	3	0	0	0	18	1	2	0	111	130	178	308	67	210	39	0	147	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Salem RidgeYaks	—	391	357	69	13	1	8	25	90	6	29	11	193	258	303	560	109	228	23	6	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	103	91	20	2	2	1	5	25	7	7	2	220	311	319	629	99	292	24	5	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	Salem Red Sox	—	103	89	23	2	3	1	7	18	7	7	2	258	359	382	741	124	314	17	7	339	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	437	402	74	16	1	8	25	108	7	31	11	184	244	289	533	104	228	25	6	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	437	390	88	21	1	11	36	80	7	31	11	226	302	369	671	144	255	18	8	301	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	103	90	20	2	2	1	5	25	7	7	2	222	311	322	633	100	288	24	5	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	437	402	74	16	1	8	25	108	7	31	11	184	244	289	533	104	226	25	6	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	21	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	103	90	20	2	2	1	5	25	7	7	2	222	311	322	633	100	288	24	5	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	437	402	74	16	1	8	25	108	7	31	11	184	244	289	533	104	226	25	6	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	BOS	0%	506	465	106	21	3	10	29	120	7	13	4	227	282	350	632	123	281	24	6	283	77	-14	+1	+0	-3	+11	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	BOS	30%	369	339	78	16	2	8	22	86	5	10	3	230	286	358	645	129	282	23	6	288	81	-8	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.2
2029	25	MLB MLE	BOS	44%	406	373	86	17	2	9	24	95	6	11	3	231	289	363	652	132	283	23	6	291	83	-8	+1	+0	-2	+9	-0.1
2030	26	MLB MLE	BOS	51%	428	393	91	18	2	10	26	100	6	11	3	232	291	366	657	134	283	23	6	293	84	-8	+1	+0	-3	+9	-0.0
2031	27	MLB MLE	BOS	52%	435	399	91	18	2	10	27	102	6	11	3	231	291	365	657	134	283	23	6	293	84	-8	+1	+0	-3	+9	-0.0
2032	28	MLB MLE	BOS	53%	434	397	91	18	2	10	28	102	6	10	3	230	290	363	654	133	283	24	6	292	84	-8	+1	-1	-3	+9	-0.2
2033	29	MLB MLE	BOS	53%	425	390	89	18	2	9	27	101	5	9	3	228	288	357	644	129	281	24	6	288	81	-10	+1	-1	-3	+9	-0.4
2034	30	MLB MLE	BOS	52%	413	379	86	17	2	9	26	100	5	8	3	225	284	349	633	124	279	24	6	283	78	-11	+0	-2	-2	+9	-0.6
2028	24	MLB CTX	BOS	30%	111	102	24	5	1	2	6	26	2	3	1	237	293	368	661	131	292	23	5	295	81	-3	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	BOS	44%	179	163	39	8	1	4	11	42	3	5	1	238	295	373	668	135	293	23	6	298	83	-4	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.0
2030	26	MLB CTX	BOS	51%	217	199	47	10	1	5	13	51	3	6	2	239	297	376	672	137	293	24	6	300	84	-4	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.0
2031	27	MLB CTX	BOS	52%	228	209	50	11	1	5	14	53	3	6	2	238	297	375	672	137	293	23	6	300	84	-4	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.0
2032	28	MLB CTX	BOS	53%	231	211	50	11	1	5	15	54	3	5	2	237	297	373	669	135	293	23	6	298	84	-4	+0	-0	-1	+5	-0.1
2033	29	MLB CTX	BOS	53%	223	204	48	10	1	5	14	53	3	5	2	235	294	366	660	132	291	24	6	295	81	-5	+0	-1	-1	+5	-0.2
2034	30	MLB CTX	BOS	52%	215	196	45	10	1	4	14	52	3	4	2	232	290	359	649	127	289	24	7	290	78	-6	+0	-1	-1	+5	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1404	1284	303	65	7	30	87	331	20	34	12	236	295	368	662	132	294	24	6	297	77	-29	+2	-2	-8	+30	-0.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	594	140	30	3	14	40	153	9	16	6	236	293	367	660	131	293	24	6	297	77	-14	+1	-1	-4	+14	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	3660	3356	750	149	18	78	222	869	56	113	36	223	283	348	631	125	277	24	6	283	77	-67	+6	-4	-19	+68	-1.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	596	133	26	3	14	39	154	10	20	6	223	282	347	629	124	276	24	6	283	77	-14	+1	-1	-4	+14	-0.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ASalem RidgeYaks · 391 PAwOBA .305 → .248 (−57)K% 16.9% → 23.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.88%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	22.96%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.21%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×0.990	6.29%
HBP% /PA	1.53%	—	×0.780	—	×0.990	1.18%
Singles /BIP	18.64%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.016	×0.990	17.26%
Doubles /BIP	5.73%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.016	×0.990	4.79%
Triples /BIP	0.36%	÷1.000	×0.910	×1.016	×0.990	0.33%
Home runs /BIP	3.94%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×0.990	3.12%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.

Result: wOBA .305 → .248; ISO .148 → .117; BABIP .255 → .228. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+Greenville Drive · 46 PAwOBA .208 → .147 (−62)K% 30.4% → 39.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	30.43%	÷1.000	×1.310	—	—	39.87%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.600	—	×0.998	0.00%
HBP% /PA	2.17%	—	×0.770	—	×0.998	1.67%
Singles /BIP	9.68%	÷1.000	×0.870	—	×0.998	8.40%
Doubles /BIP	16.13%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×0.998	12.56%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.850	—	×0.998	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.880	—	×0.998	0.00%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .208 → .147; ISO .111 → .075; BABIP .258 → .210. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ASalem Red Sox · 103 PAwOBA .331 → .273 (−57)K% 17.5% → 24.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.48%	÷0.974	×1.360	—	—	24.39%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.80%	÷1.011	×0.690	—	—	4.64%
HBP% /PA	6.80%	—	×0.780	—	—	5.30%
Singles /BIP	23.94%	÷1.030	×0.920	×1.048	—	22.40%
Doubles /BIP	2.82%	÷0.963	×0.830	×1.048	—	2.54%
Triples /BIP	4.23%	÷1.150	×0.910	×1.048	—	3.50%
Home runs /BIP	1.41%	÷0.891	×0.800	—	—	1.26%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 106, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 95, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.048.

Result: wOBA .331 → .273; ISO .124 → .101; BABIP .314 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Carl Warwick'61-'66 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,616 PA	2.4	1,616	31	13	245*	309*	381*	-9	-1	1.4	1.4
/162	664	13	5	-3.6	-0.6	0.6	pk7: 1
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Greg Briley'88-'93 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,670 PA	2.5	1,670	29	65	251*	309*	399*	-17	-4	0.9	0.9
/162	664	12	26	-6.8	-1.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Eric Owens'95-'03 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,576 PA	3.9	2,576	26	126	253*	303*	334*	-18	+1	-0.9	0.4
/162	664	7	32	-4.5	+0.2	-0.2	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	2.4	1,615	36	39	230	286	361	-10	+0	0.2	0.4
/162	664	15	16	-4.0	+0.0	0.1	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Skylar King (OGILVIE)	23	48→53	41→46	58→63	47	225/280/347	122	281	4	5	24%	6%	77	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Drew Avans 2019 · A	23	45→55	48→45	56→60	49	227/298/370	142	278	15	18	24%	8%	88	+0.5	228/287/350	122	318	12	22	30%	7%	80	-0.2	235/311/348	112	327	7	30	28%	9%	85	+0.2
✕Sócrates Brito 2016 · MLB	23	52→56	41→50	58→55	39	250/281/359	109	319	7	19	24%	4%	78	-0.3	235/269/356	121	304	10	14	25%	4%	74	-0.6	226/270/372	146	299	14	12	28%	6%	76	-0.3
✕Leon Landry 2013 · A	23	49→54	43→45	56→55	41	239/271/362	123	282	8	18	19%	4%	76	-0.4	223/255/320	97	263	7	21	18%	4%	60	-1.6	221/257/313	92	258	6	17	16%	4%	57	-1.2
✕Tsung-Che Cheng 2024 · AA	23	47→48	44→45	57→55	46	230/292/354	124	295	9	20	25%	8%	82	+0.0	211/279/311	100	292	9	17	29%	8%	68	-1.0	200/274/289	89	282	8	17	30%	9%	59	-1.2
✕Engel Beltre 2013 · AA	23	49→59	41→45	59→55	38	235/272/339	104	299	7	20	24%	3%	71	-0.8	230/264/323	93	291	8	16	23%	4%	64	-1.3	254/284/338	85	314	7	12	21%	3%	73	-0.4
●Tristan Peters 2023 · AA	23	48→53	43→50	53→50	49	229/296/351	122	291	8	14	23%	8%	83	+0.1	231/299/350	119	288	9	12	22%	8%	84	+0.2	233/307/367	134	284	11	9	21%	8%	90	+0.5
✕Ezequiel Pagan 2023 · A	23	48→54	45	52→50	44	239/289/363	124	283	12	9	20%	5%	84	+0.1	225/275/326	101	275	10	11	21%	5%	70	-0.9	214/263/307	93	263	9	11	22%	4%	58	-1.0
✕Wenceel Pérez 2023 · AA	23	48→49	47→55	58→55	46	236/291/382	145	287	12	16	22%	7%	88	+0.5	236/299/378	142	289	13	17	22%	8%	91	+0.6	236/303/381	146	287	14	17	22%	8%	92	+0.6
✕Luis Barrera 2019 · AA	23	50→56	39→45	55→50	41	237/280/336	99	309	5	16	24%	5%	73	-0.6	239/282/347	108	311	6	15	24%	5%	76	-0.4	235/282/356	121	298	7	15	23%	6%	76	-0.3
✕Anthony Webster 2006 · A	23	53→56	46→50	57→55	45	258/293/400	142	287	11	16	15%	4%	93	+0.8	252/288/369	117	285	9	20	15%	4%	84	+0.1	250/286/361	111	279	8	22	13%	4%	79	-0.2
✕Kentrail Davis 2012 · A	24	48→55	41→45	56→55	44	230/297/340	110	293	6	17	23%	6%	82	-0.0	230/295/329	99	317	5	17	27%	7%	78	-0.3	231/300/326	95	320	4	18	27%	8%	76	-0.3
✕Zach Kokoska 2022 · A	23	48	40→55	55	43	231/287/324	93	297	7	16	24%	6%	74	-0.6	209/275/363	154	280	18	16	31%	6%	80	-0.2	190/261/360	170	252	21	18	33%	6%	71	-0.5
✕Donnie Dewees 2017 · A	23	48→50	40→45	61→50	41	230/272/333	103	290	5	17	22%	5%	70	-0.9	220/268/329	109	269	8	14	21%	5%	68	-1.0	213/264/327	114	253	10	13	20%	6%	63	-1.1
✕Dustin Fowler 2018 · AAA	23	50→54	46→55	56→55	38	249/275/393	144	302	12	19	22%	3%	84	+0.2	237/273/379	142	303	15	16	26%	4%	81	-0.1	229/270/367	139	304	16	14	30%	4%	75	-0.4
✕Logan Watkins 2013 · AA	23	52→54	40→45	57→55	48	244/310/345	101	314	6	17	23%	8%	87	+0.4	223/282/320	97	298	7	18	26%	7%	71	-0.8	221/277/290	70	283	3	17	22%	6%	60	-0.7
✕Trey Sweeney 2023 · AA	23	38→45	48→50	57→55	45	200/273/344	144	263	16	19	30%	8%	74	-0.5	218/289/354	136	286	15	17	28%	8%	82	+0.0	219/291/353	133	286	15	17	27%	8%	81	-0.1
✕Hoy Park 2018 · A	22	44→52	39→45	58→55	46	208/280/301	93	279	6	17	26%	8%	66	-1.1	228/306/313	85	303	5	16	24%	9%	78	-0.3	234/324/332	98	306	8	17	24%	11%	88	+0.3
✕Leon Johnson 2008 · A	23	48	40	58→60	50	227/300/324	96	299	6	22	24%	9%	78	-0.3	217/281/294	77	280	5	17	23%	7%	65	-1.2	198/260/219	21	246	0	22	18%	6%	36	-0.7
✕Nate Tenbrink 2011 · AA	24	50→53	46→50	57→50	46	244/306/379	135	310	12	16	25%	7%	93	+0.8	225/296/369	144	309	14	15	30%	8%	88	+0.4	218/292/364	145	330	15	11	36%	8%	83	+0.0
✕Ryan Boldt 2018 · A	23	49→50	39→45	53→55	43	233/288/327	94	308	6	16	26%	6%	74	-0.5	235/290/355	120	308	10	16	25%	6%	82	+0.0	219/273/347	128	307	12	18	31%	6%	71	-0.4

Skylar King

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps