Jose De Jesus — OGILVIE

Jose De JesusOF Hickory Crawdads

Age 22 S/L 6'1" / 170 lbs A HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 110 proj PA

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .277 / .316

PA110

HR2

K%26

BB%7

ISO102

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL TEX Blue	—	229	199	56	5	3	3	27	47	1	14	9	281	368	382	750	101	353	21	12	340	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	220	188	42	10	3	2	29	62	2	12	6	223	333	340	674	117	320	28	13	309	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	126	115	29	2	0	0	8	22	2	8	5	252	312	270	582	17	309	17	6	270	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	215	182	61	10	5	0	21	42	5	21	8	335	418	445	863	110	418	20	10	376	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	32	30	2	0	0	0	2	4	0	2	0	67	125	67	192		77	12	6	100	-60	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL TEX Blue	—	229	209	38	3	2	1	18	60	1	14	9	182	250	230	480	48	243	26	8	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	220	198	27	6	2	1	19	95	2	12	6	136	219	202	421	66	246	43	9	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	126	117	28	2	0	0	6	29	2	8	5	239	288	256	544	17	305	23	5	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	215	189	46	7	3	0	14	61	5	21	8	243	312	312	625	69	326	28	7	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	32	31	2	0	0	0	1	6	0	2	0	65	94	65	158		73	19	3	79	-60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL TEX Blue	—	229	209	38	3	2	1	18	60	1	14	9	182	250	230	480	48	248	26	8	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL TEX Blue	—	229	199	56	5	3	3	27	47	1	14	9	281	368	382	750	101	353	21	12	340	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	220	198	27	6	2	1	19	95	2	12	6	136	219	202	421	66	252	43	9	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	ACL Rangers	—	220	188	42	10	3	2	29	62	2	12	6	223	333	340	674	117	320	28	13	309	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	341	307	74	9	3	0	19	90	7	29	13	241	300	290	590	49	330	26	6	262	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	341	297	90	12	5	0	29	64	7	29	13	303	378	377	755	74	375	19	9	337	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	32	31	2	0	0	0	1	6	0	2	0	65	94	65	158		80	19	3	79	-60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	Hickory Crawdads	—	32	30	2	0	0	0	2	4	0	2	0	67	125	67	192		77	12	6	100	-60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL TEX Blue	—	229	208	38	3	2	1	18	60	1	14	9	183	250	231	481	48	243	26	8	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	220	197	27	6	2	1	19	95	2	12	6	137	219	203	422	66	246	43	9	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	341	312	74	9	3	0	19	90	7	29	13	237	300	285	586	48	318	26	6	262	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	32	31	2	0	0	0	1	6	0	2	0	65	94	65	158		73	19	3	79	-60	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	341	312	74	9	3	0	19	90	7	29	13	237	300	285	586	48	318	26	6	262	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	32	31	2	0	0	0	1	6	0	2	0	65	94	65	158		73	19	3	79	-60	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	TEX	0%	289	264	57	10	2	4	20	75	3	6	1	217	279	319	598	102	284	26	7	270	69	-11	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	TEX	34%	156	142	31	5	1	3	11	40	2	3	1	222	285	334	618	112	285	26	7	278	75	-5	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
2029	24	MLB MLE	TEX	46%	275	251	56	9	2	6	19	70	3	6	1	225	289	345	634	120	286	25	7	285	79	-7	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.2
2030	25	MLB MLE	TEX	52%	352	320	72	12	2	8	25	89	4	7	2	227	292	353	645	126	287	25	7	289	82	-8	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.2
2031	26	MLB MLE	TEX	54%	402	366	84	14	3	9	29	101	4	8	2	229	293	359	653	130	287	25	7	292	84	-8	+1	+0	-2	+9	-0.1
2032	27	MLB MLE	TEX	54%	427	389	89	15	3	10	31	107	4	8	2	229	294	359	653	130	287	25	7	292	84	-8	+1	+0	-3	+9	-0.1
2033	28	MLB MLE	TEX	54%	439	400	90	15	3	10	32	111	4	7	2	227	292	354	646	127	286	25	7	289	82	-9	+1	-1	-3	+10	-0.3
2028	23	MLB CTX	TEX	34%	54	49	11	2	0	1	4	14	1	1	0	223	285	338	623	115	285	26	7	280	75	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	TEX	46%	127	116	26	4	1	3	9	32	1	3	1	226	290	350	640	124	286	25	7	287	79	-3	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
2030	25	MLB CTX	TEX	52%	182	165	37	6	1	4	13	46	2	4	1	229	293	359	651	130	287	25	7	291	82	-4	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
2031	26	MLB CTX	TEX	54%	218	198	44	7	1	5	16	55	2	4	1	230	295	365	659	134	287	25	7	295	84	-4	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.0
2032	27	MLB CTX	TEX	54%	232	211	48	8	1	6	17	58	2	4	1	230	295	364	659	135	286	25	7	295	84	-4	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.0
2033	28	MLB CTX	TEX	54%	238	217	49	8	1	6	17	60	2	4	1	228	293	359	652	132	285	25	7	292	82	-5	+0	-0	-1	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1051	956	215	35	5	25	76	265	10	20	5	225	289	350	639	126	283	25	7	292	69	-23	+2	-0	-6	+23	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	591	133	22	3	15	47	164	6	12	3	225	288	349	637	124	284	25	7	292	69	-14	+1	-0	-4	+14	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	2983	2714	586	92	22	50	211	798	32	98	39	216	280	321	602	105	284	27	7	271	69	-49	+4	-1	-13	+47	-1.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	591	128	20	5	11	46	174	7	21	8	217	281	323	604	107	285	27	7	271	69	-15	+1	-0	-4	+14	-0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Dylan Carlsonlast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,987 PA	3.0	1,987	43	16	233	312	372	-9	-22	0.8	0.8
/162	664	14	5	-3.0	-7.4	0.3	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.7	1,160	25	22	227	288	352	-7	+0	0.2	0.3
/162	664	14	13	-4.0	+0.0	0.1	pk7: 0
#6Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose De Jesus (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	215/277/316	101	284	2	2	26%	7%	69	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Allan Castro 2024 · A	21	42→45	42→45	52→50	47	205/277/316	111	276	7	12	27%	8%	69	-0.9	213/282/329	116	284	11	15	27%	8%	74	-0.6	212/279/324	113	274	12	17	26%	8%	69	-0.7
✕BJ Murray 2022 · A	22	44→51	42→45	52→50	39	214/264/321	107	310	9	8	33%	6%	64	-1.3	224/308/346	122	307	11	10	28%	10%	87	+0.4	211/299/345	134	268	15	14	26%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Jacob Berry 2023 · A	22	43→44	42→45	46→55	43	212/283/312	100	277	9	6	26%	6%	71	-0.8	206/257/315	109	263	9	12	25%	5%	61	-1.5	213/278/320	107	261	10	21	22%	7%	69	-0.8
✕Skye Bolt 2017 · A	23	40	40→50	47→50	41	194/255/287	93	273	7	9	30%	6%	54	-2.0	201/262/331	130	290	12	10	33%	7%	67	-1.1	238/305/370	132	313	14	12	27%	8%	89	+0.2
✕Chris Meyers 2022 · A	23	40→46	41→50	51→40	45	197/266/297	101	258	8	11	26%	7%	61	-1.5	222/279/357	135	292	15	6	28%	6%	79	-0.2	226/286/369	143	292	17	3	28%	6%	81	-0.0
✕Reed Trimble 2022 · A	22	43	37→55	51→65	42	200/266/271	71	309	5	10	34%	8%	54	-2.0	215/278/308	93	301	7	17	29%	8%	67	-1.1	207/274/378	171	260	19	31	28%	7%	82	+0.0
✕Wenceel Pérez 2022 · A	22	45→49	38→55	55	44	217/269/302	86	282	5	15	24%	6%	61	-1.5	236/296/374	138	290	12	17	22%	7%	88	+0.5	237/301/388	150	285	13	19	21%	8%	92	+0.6
✕Michael Beltre 2017 · A	22	44→52	39→45	56→60	43	207/272/299	91	291	5	13	29%	7%	62	-1.4	216/282/298	82	301	4	10	27%	8%	65	-1.2	224/296/341	118	306	9	22	28%	9%	78	-0.2
✕Leandro Pineda 2024 · A	22	39→49	42→50	48→45	42	191/259/302	111	275	9	6	33%	7%	59	-1.6	213/280/341	128	279	13	6	27%	7%	76	-0.4	218/291/356	137	276	14	5	25%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Robert Moore 2024 · A	22	41→44	40→45	48→50	44	198/265/297	99	262	7	16	26%	7%	60	-1.6	204/268/313	109	256	10	14	23%	7%	65	-1.2	196/264/316	120	235	12	13	22%	7%	62	-0.9
✕Conner Capel 2019 · A	22	43→48	45	47→55	44	214/274/339	125	284	11	11	28%	7%	72	-0.7	217/269/335	118	286	12	10	27%	6%	70	-0.9	226/297/349	123	283	12	19	23%	8%	80	-0.1
✕Peyton Wilson 2022 · A	22	43→52	41→45	53→55	41	204/279/310	106	302	7	14	32%	7%	68	-1.0	222/288/343	121	297	11	18	27%	7%	79	-0.2	217/286/336	120	283	12	19	26%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Carlos Guzman 2008 · A	22	39→48	43→50	53→50	44	193/274/305	112	280	11	9	33%	8%	66	-1.1	225/272/334	109	314	11	8	30%	6%	70	-0.8	237/289/332	96	308	9	3	25%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Jabari Henry 2013 · A	22	41	46→55	49→45	44	208/269/341	133	270	13	6	28%	7%	72	-0.7	206/283/358	152	269	17	6	28%	9%	81	-0.1	191/276/354	163	247	19	6	30%	10%	74	-0.4
✕Jose Sermo 2013 · A	22	44→34	41→55	48→50	37	212/254/309	97	296	8	8	30%	4%	57	-1.8	198/243/289	91	311	7	9	37%	5%	49	-2.4	193/236/316	123	298	13	13	38%	5%	51	-0.7
✕Isiah Gilliam 2018 · A	22	42→47	47→55	46→55	40	213/267/352	138	293	14	6	31%	6%	74	-0.6	198/250/317	119	325	13	7	40%	6%	59	-1.7	219/300/388	170	334	20	19	38%	9%	91	+0.4
✕Oswaldo Cabrera 2021 · A	22	43→49	41→55	41→50	39	211/251/310	99	275	8	7	26%	5%	57	-1.8	228/279/389	161	296	18	16	28%	6%	86	+0.3	223/278/382	159	281	18	18	27%	7%	83	+0.0
✕Colin Walsh 2012 · A	22	43→52	41→45	50	53	207/286/311	104	254	8	9	21%	10%	71	-0.8	233/303/355	122	292	11	7	23%	9%	87	+0.4	214/321/331	117	302	10	7	29%	13%	87	+0.3
✕Wuilfredo Antunez 2024 · A	22	46→41	43→55	51→50	45	223/285/341	118	292	9	12	26%	7%	77	-0.3	212/261/361	149	283	14	14	29%	6%	73	-0.6	199/246/361	161	266	17	15	31%	5%	65	-0.8
✕Karexon Sanchez 2010 · A	22	42→47	43→45	49→50	40	205/270/318	113	297	10	12	33%	7%	67	-1.1	215/287/323	108	304	10	12	30%	8%	74	-0.5	220/298/324	104	305	10	11	29%	8%	76	-0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps