Reed TrimbleLF Frederick Keys
Age 26 S/R 5'11" / 190 lbs A+ HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION23 act + 192 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†79
AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .279 / .371
PA192
HR6
SB7
K%30
BB%6
BABIP286
ISO154
MLB%40%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -3.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +1.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -2.3 runs (Positional adjustment)-2POSREP: +6.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+6REPTotal WAR: +0.10+0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.00.10.10.0-$1M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 60
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT45
scouting grade only
POWER60
scouting grade only
EYE45
scouting grade only
SPEED60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2027
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2032
First FA Year   2033
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.1$0.4M+$0.0M (cut)
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.7M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202121 A2 teams 9484 13100 8331 30 155237167403 12250 359 196 8
202121 A2 teams 9480 16200 12251 30 200312225537 25286 2713 259 56
202222 A2 teams 189172 49802 12501 51 285335366701 81379 266 305 92
202222 A2 teams 189162 451002 22481 51 278368377744 99371 2512 333 113
202323 A+Aberdeen IronBirds 5751 7210 5181 60 137228216444 78212 329 203 14
202323 A+Aberdeen IronBirds 5748 8210 8131 60 167298250548 83229 2314 264 60
202424 A+4 teams 255222 441324 27641 290 198288329617 131252 2511 282 74
202424 A+4 teams 255209 551736 39471 290 263380459839 196304 1815 366 138
202525 AA3 teams 351320 7011411 201017 210 219280381661 162280 296 290 80
202525 AA3 teams 351308 7913416 32827 210 256340481821 224296 239 358 132
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD26 A+BAL 2321 5102 180 00 238273571844 333250 354 349 125 +1 +0 +0 -0 +1 0.1
YTD26 A+BAL 2321 6103 160 00 2863187621.080 476231 264 436 192 +2 +0 +0 -0 +1 0.3
ROS26 A+BAL 40% 192175 38716 12583 70 217279371650 154281 306 288 79 -5 +1 +0 -2 +5 0.0
ROS26 MLBBAL 40% 7771 17313 5231 30 239299437735 197285 306 283 75 -2 +1 +0 -1 +2 -0.0
FULL26 A+BAL 10092 22415 6311 30 239293467760 228298 316 298 86 -2 +1 +0 -1 +3 0.1
TOT26 A+BAL 215196 43818 13663 70 219278393671 173282 316 295 84 -4 +1 +0 -2 +6 0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202727 MLBBAL 47% 333303 6512210 22985 121 215279366645 152282 297 292 82 -7 +2 +0 -4 +9 0.1
202828 MLBBAL 50% 361328 7113211 251055 121 216282369651 152282 297 293 82 -7 +2 -1 -4 +10 0.1
202929 MLBBAL 51% 371337 7414211 261075 121 220285371656 151281 297 292 82 -8 +2 -1 -4 +11 -0.0
202727 MLBBAL 47% 156143 32615 10462 50 224284385668 161286 296 287 78 -4 +1 +0 -2 +4 -0.0
202828 MLBBAL 50% 182166 37716 12532 60 223283386669 163287 297 288 79 -4 +1 -0 -2 +5 -0.0
202929 MLBBAL 51% 189171 38716 13553 60 222289380669 158286 297 288 78 -5 +1 -1 -2 +5 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career 604551 12423420 401778 200 225287390677 165291 297 287 78 -15 +4 -1 -6 +17 -0.2
/ 162G 650593 13425422 431909 220 226288393681 167292 297 287 78 -16 +4 -1 -7 +18 -0.2
Career 22031992 431811455 15763429 1074 216283354637 138284 297 285 76 -59 +20 -2 -24 +62 -0.2
/ 162G 650588 12724416 461879 321 216283352635 136284 297 285 76 -17 +6 -1 -7 +18 -0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202121 ADelmarva Shorebirds 7665 11100 9211 10 169280185465 15244 2812 228 33 -6 +0 +2 -0.3
202121 ROKFCL Orioles Orange 1815 5100 340 20 333444400844 67455 2217 389 156 +1 +0 +1 0.2
202222 ADelmarva Shorebirds 133117 34602 13280 20 291362393755 103356 2110 334 114 +2 +0 +4 0.6
202222 INTLScottsdale Scorpions 5645 11400 9201 31 244382333715 89423 3616 330 111 +1 +0 +2 0.3
202323 A+Aberdeen IronBirds 5748 8210 8131 60 167298250548 83229 2314 264 60 -3 +1 +2 0.0
202424 AABowie Baysox 2523 8301 151 20 3484006091.009 261412 204 439 194 +3 +0 +1 0.4
202424 A+Aberdeen IronBirds 194161 411335 29350 230 255366466832 211290 1815 362 135 +8 +5 +5 1.8
202424 ADelmarva Shorebirds 2018 5100 150 30 278316333649 56357 255 280 73 -1 +1 +1 0.1
202424 ROKFCL Orioles 167 1000 820 10 143600143743 167 1250 405 168 +1 +0 +0 0.2
202525 AAANorfolk Tides 119108 28405 9321 80 259322435757 176319 278 334 114 +2 +2 +3 0.7
202525 AAChesapeake Baysox 217187 488410 22476 130 257353503856 246290 2210 372 143 +11 +3 +6 2.0
202525 A+Aberdeen IronBirds 1513 3101 130 00 231286538824 308200 207 331 112 +0 +0 +0 0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA
82,7118155233305399-12-134.14.5
/1626642013-2.9-3.21.0pk7: 5
#2Chris Heiseylast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA
81,7586225238296413-18+33.03.2
/162664239-6.7+1.01.1pk7: 4
#3John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA
61,5065415234298417-6-181.71.7
/162664247-2.8-8.10.8pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA
71,5644513236292400-11-61.31.3
/162664196-4.5-2.50.6pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
#6Chad Pinderlast yr '22
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA
71,740625242294417-17-200.60.6
/162664242-6.5-7.60.2pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons
26121920219280376-7-20.10.1
/1626642122-7.1-2.20.1pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Reed Trimble (OGILVIE) 26 45 60 60 45 219/278/393 173282 87 31% 6% 84 +0.1
Mitch Longo
2022 · AAA
27 46→43 50 59→50 40 235/283/388 154300 1722 28% 6% 85 +0.7 225/272/372 147297 1714 29% 5% 77 +0.1 184/222/32414023319331%4%40-0.6
Blake Perkins
2023 · AAA
26 40→50 49→50 56→55 47 208/287/358 150280 1719 31% 9% 80 +0.4 234/312/365 131316 1321 28% 10% 92 +1.2 239/321/358119322112527%10%91+0.6
Brooks Conrad
2006 · AAA
26 41→44 50→55 54→50 46 216/281/373 157268 1816 27% 8% 82 +0.5 196/253/364 168253 1812 30% 7% 67 -0.5 225/298/43621129127732%9%102+0.6
Arismendy Alcántara
2017 · MLB
25 42→48 48→60 59→55 37 213/253/363 150293 1526 32% 5% 66 -0.6 212/255/352 140301 1320 33% 5% 63 -0.8 218/266/399181293201432%6%78+0.1
Melky Mesa
2013 · AAA
26 42→43 52→55 52→55 37 217/269/380 164299 2019 34% 5% 79 +0.3 215/253/360 145318 1713 37% 4% 66 -0.6 206/237/33512932014939%2%48-1.0
John Rave
2023 · AAA
25 43→44 50→55 54→55 43 218/288/365 147310 1918 35% 9% 82 +0.5 217/283/362 145296 1616 30% 8% 79 +0.3 220/292/381161277172326%9%84+0.5
Micah Pries
2023 · AA
25 44→42 49→55 56→50 38 221/277/380 159307 1617 33% 5% 82 +0.5 204/266/341 137272 149 29% 6% 67 -0.5 183/250/31112923814529%6%50-0.8
Michael Beltre
2022 · AA
27 47→52 49→50 62→60 43 232/292/392 160313 1526 30% 7% 90 +1.0 223/291/375 152327 1632 34% 8% 86 +0.8 195/277/338142299165038%9%69-0.2
Daz Cameron
2022 · MLB
25 43→45 49→55 53→55 42 219/285/370 151290 1619 30% 7% 82 +0.5 213/277/349 136287 1521 30% 7% 73 -0.1 217/290/380163271192527%8%86+0.5
Jeremy Moore
2013 · AAA
26 49→52 49→55 57→55 37 243/276/399 156320 1520 29% 4% 85 +0.7 201/252/342 141281 179 34% 6% 61 -1.0 178/233/31613824119534%6%43-1.1
Joey Wiemer
2023 · AAA
24 42→43 52→55 56→55 41 217/280/383 166298 2023 34% 7% 84 +0.6 203/276/341 138281 1617 32% 8% 72 -0.2 188/269/315127256151631%9%59-0.7
Lane Adams
2016 · AAA
26 45→46 47→50 56→60 42 228/278/361 132291 1427 27% 6% 76 +0.1 220/275/346 126316 1333 33% 6% 72 -0.2 188/255/332144293172840%7%57-0.6
Wilkin Ramirez
2012 · MLB
26 41→49 51→55 53→55 36 212/258/369 157299 1922 35% 6% 71 -0.3 232/267/375 143307 1512 29% 4% 76 +0.0 232/262/36012830713928%3%66-0.4
Michael A. Taylor
2017 · MLB
26 45→53 48→55 55→60 40 224/277/358 134316 1625 34% 7% 76 +0.0 233/285/389 156327 1726 32% 7% 87 +0.8 242/299/384143312191428%7%90+0.8
Alex Castellanos
2014 · MLB
27 39→49 50→55 53→50 39 205/271/359 154280 1818 33% 6% 74 -0.1 204/264/339 135297 1412 34% 6% 66 -0.6 198/258/32712929412835%6%57-0.6
Cody Strait
2009 · AA
26 42→48 49→55 53→55 39 217/263/371 155279 1619 29% 5% 73 -0.1 217/263/325 108289 816 27% 5% 60 -1.0 212/258/2998728541926%5%48-1.0
Brandon Lockridge
2023 · AA
26 44→53 47→50 53→65 37 219/269/351 132312 1518 34% 5% 70 -0.3 237/299/336 99341 739 30% 7% 79 +0.3 251/318/3358435635328%8%83+0.3
Daniel Ortmeier
2006 · MLB
25 46→51 49→50 55 42 232/297/382 151288 1724 26% 6% 91 +1.1 222/275/348 126278 1218 24% 5% 72 -0.2 228/287/338110295101525%6%73-0.1
Blake Tekotte
2013 · MLB
26 40→48 50→55 50→55 39 210/261/363 154283 1821 32% 6% 70 -0.3 197/254/317 120271 1113 30% 6% 55 -1.4 189/253/30511625691028%6%49-0.9
Josh Stowers
2023 · AA
26 36→43 50 55 40 193/263/345 151273 1822 35% 7% 67 -0.5 188/252/316 128271 1417 34% 7% 55 -1.4 143/205/256113199131835%6%17-2.2