Jose Sermo
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 32 | INTLGigantes de C… | 45 | .143/.200/.357 | 3 | 0 | 52 | — |
| 2024 | 33 | INTLGigantes de C… | 42 | .111/.238/.194 | 1 | 0 | 31 | — |
| 2025 | 34 | INTLSenadores de … | 28 | .160/.222/.240 | 0 | 0 | 26 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 21 | ROK | AZL Brewers | — | 197 | 183 | 52 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 41 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 284 | 335 | 432 | 767 | 148 | 348 | 21 | 6 | 341 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 129 | 117 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 38 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 179 | 238 | 299 | 537 | 120 | 241 | 29 | 6 | 237 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | ROK | AZL Brewers | — | 47 | 43 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 372 | 426 | 558 | 984 | 186 | 455 | 19 | 9 | 432 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ | Brevard County Manatees | — | 110 | 95 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 31 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 221 | 288 | 305 | 594 | 84 | 302 | 28 | 8 | 258 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | A+ | Salem Red Sox | — | 236 | 212 | 62 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 59 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 292 | 351 | 505 | 855 | 212 | 360 | 25 | 8 | 367 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | A+ | Salem Red Sox | — | 431 | 384 | 96 | 35 | 0 | 14 | 40 | 145 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 250 | 324 | 451 | 774 | 201 | 360 | 34 | 9 | 339 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | INTL | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 34 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 324 | 250 | 574 | 71 | 312 | 35 | 15 | 280 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | INTL | Puerto Rico | — | 124 | 109 | 35 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 321 | 398 | 550 | 949 | 229 | 385 | 22 | 10 | 412 | 165 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 29 | INTL | Atenienses de Manati | — | 68 | 55 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 353 | 509 | 862 | 309 | 188 | 26 | 19 | 377 | 142 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 30 | INTL | Gigantes de Carolina | — | 104 | 91 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 154 | 260 | 286 | 545 | 132 | 220 | 37 | 12 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 31 | INTL | Gigantes de Carolina | — | 147 | 127 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 48 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 173 | 281 | 346 | 627 | 173 | 227 | 33 | 12 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 32 | INTL | Gigantes de Carolina | — | 45 | 42 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 200 | 357 | 557 | 214 | 188 | 51 | 7 | 246 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 33 | INTL | Gigantes de Carolina | — | 42 | 36 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 111 | 238 | 194 | 433 | 83 | 200 | 48 | 14 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 34 | INTL | Senadores de San Juan | — | 28 | 25 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 160 | 222 | 240 | 462 | 80 | 364 | 54 | 7 | 206 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 21 | ROK MLE | AZL Brewers | — | 197 | 187 | 40 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 59 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 214 | 254 | 321 | 575 | 107 | 285 | 30 | 4 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 129 | 120 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 53 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 142 | 183 | 225 | 408 | 83 | 224 | 41 | 4 | 182 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | ROK MLE | AZL Brewers | — | 47 | 45 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 267 | 298 | 422 | 720 | 156 | 349 | 28 | 4 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ MLE | Brevard County Manatees | — | 110 | 97 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 47 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 186 | 240 | 268 | 508 | 82 | 287 | 43 | 6 | 208 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | A+ MLE | Salem Red Sox | — | 236 | 219 | 49 | 12 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 88 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 224 | 264 | 397 | 661 | 174 | 310 | 37 | 5 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | A+ MLE | Salem Red Sox | — | 431 | 405 | 69 | 24 | 0 | 10 | 19 | 215 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 170 | 211 | 304 | 515 | 133 | 312 | 50 | 4 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | ROK MLE | AZL Brewers | — | 197 | 187 | 40 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 59 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 214 | 254 | 321 | 575 | 107 | 296 | 30 | 4 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | ROK RAW | AZL Brewers | — | 197 | 183 | 52 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 41 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 284 | 335 | 432 | 767 | 148 | 348 | 21 | 6 | 341 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 176 | 164 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 66 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 171 | 214 | 262 | 476 | 91 | 265 | 38 | 5 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 176 | 160 | 37 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 47 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 231 | 289 | 369 | 658 | 138 | 304 | 27 | 7 | 289 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ MLE | Brevard County Manatees | — | 110 | 97 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 47 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 186 | 240 | 268 | 508 | 82 | 327 | 43 | 6 | 208 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ RAW | Brevard County Manatees | — | 110 | 95 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 31 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 221 | 288 | 305 | 594 | 84 | 302 | 28 | 8 | 258 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | A+ MLE | Salem Red Sox | — | 236 | 219 | 49 | 12 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 88 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 224 | 264 | 397 | 661 | 174 | 320 | 37 | 5 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | A+ RAW | Salem Red Sox | — | 236 | 212 | 62 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 59 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 292 | 351 | 505 | 855 | 212 | 360 | 25 | 8 | 367 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | A+ MLE | Salem Red Sox | — | 431 | 405 | 69 | 24 | 0 | 10 | 19 | 215 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 170 | 211 | 304 | 515 | 133 | 322 | 50 | 4 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | A+ RAW | Salem Red Sox | — | 431 | 384 | 96 | 35 | 0 | 14 | 40 | 145 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 250 | 324 | 451 | 774 | 201 | 360 | 34 | 9 | 339 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | INTL MLE | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 34 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 324 | 250 | 574 | 71 | 312 | 35 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 27 | INTL RAW | Caneros de los Mochis | — | 34 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 324 | 250 | 574 | 71 | 312 | 35 | 15 | 280 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | INTL MLE | Puerto Rico | — | 124 | 109 | 35 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 321 | 398 | 550 | 949 | 229 | 385 | 22 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | INTL RAW | Puerto Rico | — | 124 | 109 | 35 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 321 | 398 | 550 | 949 | 229 | 385 | 22 | 10 | 412 | 165 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 29 | INTL MLE | Atenienses de Manati | — | 68 | 55 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 353 | 509 | 862 | 309 | 188 | 26 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 29 | INTL RAW | Atenienses de Manati | — | 68 | 55 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 353 | 509 | 862 | 309 | 188 | 26 | 19 | 377 | 142 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 30 | INTL MLE | Gigantes de Carolina | — | 104 | 91 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 154 | 260 | 286 | 545 | 132 | 220 | 37 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 30 | INTL RAW | Gigantes de Carolina | — | 104 | 91 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 154 | 260 | 286 | 545 | 132 | 220 | 37 | 12 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 31 | INTL MLE | Gigantes de Carolina | — | 147 | 127 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 48 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 173 | 281 | 346 | 627 | 173 | 227 | 33 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 31 | INTL RAW | Gigantes de Carolina | — | 147 | 127 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 48 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 173 | 281 | 346 | 627 | 173 | 227 | 33 | 12 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 32 | INTL MLE | Gigantes de Carolina | — | 45 | 42 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 200 | 357 | 557 | 214 | 188 | 51 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 32 | INTL RAW | Gigantes de Carolina | — | 45 | 42 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 200 | 357 | 557 | 214 | 188 | 51 | 7 | 246 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 33 | INTL MLE | Gigantes de Carolina | — | 42 | 36 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 111 | 238 | 194 | 433 | 83 | 200 | 48 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 33 | INTL RAW | Gigantes de Carolina | — | 42 | 36 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 111 | 238 | 194 | 433 | 83 | 200 | 48 | 14 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 34 | INTL MLE | Senadores de San Juan | — | 28 | 25 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 160 | 222 | 240 | 462 | 80 | 364 | 54 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 34 | INTL RAW | Senadores de San Juan | — | 28 | 25 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 160 | 222 | 240 | 462 | 80 | 364 | 54 | 7 | 206 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | ROK MLE | AZL Brewers | — | 197 | 185 | 40 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 59 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 216 | 254 | 324 | 578 | 108 | 285 | 30 | 4 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 176 | 165 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 66 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 170 | 214 | 261 | 474 | 91 | 257 | 38 | 5 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A+ MLE | Brevard County Manatees | — | 110 | 102 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 47 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 176 | 240 | 255 | 495 | 78 | 287 | 43 | 6 | 208 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | A+ MLE | Salem Red Sox | — | 236 | 222 | 49 | 12 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 88 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 221 | 264 | 392 | 656 | 171 | 310 | 37 | 5 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | A+ MLE | Salem Red Sox | — | 431 | 407 | 69 | 24 | 0 | 10 | 19 | 215 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 170 | 211 | 302 | 513 | 133 | 312 | 50 | 4 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1742 | 1585 | 305 | 72 | 7 | 47 | 125 | 676 | 10 | 36 | 16 | 192 | 256 | 336 | 591 | 143 | 295 | 39 | 7 | 156 | -8 | -224 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +38 | -18.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 591 | 115 | 27 | 3 | 18 | 47 | 252 | 4 | 13 | 6 | 195 | 259 | 342 | 600 | 147 | 298 | 39 | 7 | 156 | -8 | -84 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -6.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 A+Salem Red Sox · 431 PAwOBA .325 → .228 (−97)K% 33.6% → 49.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.64% | ÷0.958 | ×1.420 | — | — | 49.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.42% | ÷1.043 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.968 | 4.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.46% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.968 | 0.39% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.67% | ÷1.042 | ×0.940 | ×1.028 | ×0.968 | 17.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 14.64% | ÷0.977 | ×0.830 | ×1.028 | ×0.968 | 12.39% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.956 | ×0.800 | ×1.028 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.86% | ÷0.956 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.968 | 5.34% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 108, 2B 95, 3B 91, K 92, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.
Result: wOBA .325 → .228; ISO .201 → .145; BABIP .360 → .312. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Salem Red Sox · 236 PAwOBA .365 → .284 (−81)K% 25.0% → 37.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷0.951 | ×1.420 | — | — | 37.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.63% | ÷0.989 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.978 | 4.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.42% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.978 | 0.36% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | ×0.990 | ×0.978 | 20.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷1.030 | ×0.830 | ×0.990 | ×0.978 | 8.66% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.31% | ÷1.150 | ×0.800 | ×0.990 | ×0.978 | 0.88% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.23% | ÷0.787 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.978 | 5.85% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 57, 1B 100, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 90, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .365 → .284; ISO .212 → .179; BABIP .360 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Brevard County Manatees · 110 PAwOBA .254 → .208 (−45)K% 28.2% → 42.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.18% | ÷0.947 | ×1.420 | — | — | 42.28% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.18% | ÷1.029 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.998 | 5.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.56% | ÷1.024 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 25.01% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.12% | ÷0.937 | ×0.960 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 3.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.12% | ÷0.954 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 2.88% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 105, 2B 87, 3B 80, K 89, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .254 → .208; ISO .084 → .072; BABIP .302 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AWisconsin Timber Rattlers · 129 PAwOBA .235 → .182 (−53)K% 29.5% → 41.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.46% | ÷0.973 | ×1.360 | — | — | 41.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.20% | ÷1.056 | ×0.690 | — | — | 4.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.78% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.60% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.46% | ÷0.991 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | — | 16.04% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.06% | ÷1.040 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | — | 4.24% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.53% | ÷1.032 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | — | 2.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.53% | ÷1.011 | ×0.800 | — | — | 2.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 98, 2B 108, 3B 106, K 95, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .235 → .182; ISO .120 → .089; BABIP .241 → .224. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 ROKAZL Brewers · 47 PAwOBA .420 → .292 (−128)K% 19.1% → 27.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.15% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 27.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.51% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 5.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.35% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 25.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.82% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 6.19% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 2.06% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 2.24% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .420 → .292; ISO .186 → .125; BABIP .455 → .349. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 ROKAZL Brewers · 197 PAwOBA .332 → .239 (−93)K% 20.8% → 30.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.81% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 29.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.58% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 3.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.52% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 1.08% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.06% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×0.985 | 22.10% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.93% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×0.985 | 3.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.82% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×0.985 | 2.10% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.82% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 2.16% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .332 → .239; ISO .148 → .101; BABIP .348 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .