Juan Olmos — OGILVIE

Juan Olmos P FCL Braves

Age 21 RHP 6'2" / 175 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 9 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 150142vR 134

ERA6.17

FIP6.17

K%20.1%

BB%21.7%

K-BB%-1.6%

ROS IP10

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 9 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	12	0	16	82	12	19	1	0%	1.3	10.0%	29.0%	-19.0%	1.8%	7.88	6.93	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	12	0	16	82	12	19	1	0%	1.3	10.0%	29.0%	-19.0%	1.8%	7.88	6.93	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Fortuna	12	0	16	82	12	19	1	0%	1.3	14.6%	23.2%	-8.5%	1.2%	7.88	5.97	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	18	0	24	126	24	26	1	0%	1.3	13.0%	25.8%	-12.8%	1.1%	9.00	5.88	—
YTD	21	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	18	0	24	126	24	26	1	0%	1.3	13.0%	25.8%	-12.8%	1.1%	9.00	5.88	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	21	ROK RAW	ATL	18	0	24	126	24	26	1	0%	1.3	19.0%	20.6%	-1.6%	0.8%	9.00	4.54	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	ATL	24	0	25	104	22	19	3	0%	1.0	21.4%	17.9%	3.5%	2.9%	5.72	5.54	-0.3
2027	22	MLB CTX	ATL	11	0	12	51	11	9	1	0%	1.1	21.4%	17.9%	3.5%	2.9%	5.72	5.54	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	12	51	11	9	1	0%	1.0	21.4%	17.9%	3.5%	2.9%	5.72	5.16	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	181	148	16	0%	1.1	21.4%	17.9%	3.5%	2.9%	5.72	5.16	-1.4
Career	—	MLE		30	0	40	208	24	56	3	0%	1.3	11.8%	27.0%	-15.3%	1.4%	8.55	6.30	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		150	0	200	1040	122	281	14	0%	1.3	11.8%	27.0%	-15.3%	1.4%	8.55	6.30	-2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Juan Olmos (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.17	20.1%	21.7%	3.0%	—	5.54	21.4%	3.5%	25	-0.63	—	—	—
Jackson Rose R 2018 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	17.3%	17.2%	2.8%	.267	4.77	23.5%	16.5%	56	-0.55	3.33	147	89
Andrew Schultz R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	22	SU	5.25	20.9%	17.8%	3.0%	.345	4.59	23.0%	4.7%	45	-0.66	3.10	167	87
Marcus Crescentini R 2015 · 5.80 FIP	22	SU	5.80	21.8%	21.9%	3.2%	.365	3.95	23.3%	11.6%	123	-1.85	2.74	150	86
Greg Weissert R 2016 · 5.22 FIP	21	SU	5.22	19.4%	19.3%	2.4%	.382	3.80	23.0%	10.3%	126	-1.42	2.57	481	86
Tommy McCollum R 2021 · 6.21 FIP	22	SU	6.21	17.1%	27.2%	2.0%	.235	3.80	26.4%	10.9%	112	-2.41	2.90	219	85
Jonathan Jimenez R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	19	SU	5.41	16.4%	16.2%	3.0%	.333	5.09	14.1%	2.2%	178	-0.32	3.49	189	84
Conor Grady R 2021 · 5.28 FIP	22	SU	5.28	17.2%	19.0%	2.2%	.242	4.62	16.9%	5.1%	96	-0.66	4.62	108	84
Jairo Beras R 2017 · 6.07 FIP	22	SU	6.07	16.4%	16.9%	4.0%	.237	4.35	20.7%	4.5%	96	-1.72	3.48	110	83
Cory Thompson R 2017 · 5.42 FIP	22	SU	5.42	15.2%	15.7%	2.9%	.289	4.34	16.3%	10.6%	131	-1.08	3.59	218	83
Nick Kuzia R 2017 · 5.18 FIP	21	SU	5.18	16.5%	15.2%	2.8%	.361	5.35	17.6%	6.6%	60	+0.17	4.54	231	83
Bryce McGowan R 2022 · 5.90 FIP	22	SU	5.90	17.0%	22.9%	2.4%	.368	4.36	20.6%	6.6%	145	-1.54	3.71	178	83
Brandon Dufault R 2021 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	22.1%	15.9%	3.8%	.278	4.83	21.0%	4.2%	66	-0.49	4.38	152	83
Andrew Marrero R 2021 · 5.09 FIP	21	SU	5.09	21.7%	22.0%	1.9%	.395	4.61	24.3%	9.1%	148	-0.48	3.45	210	83
Brett Hanewich R 2017 · 5.18 FIP	22	SU	5.18	15.9%	17.6%	2.2%	.372	4.32	20.3%	2.8%	108	-0.86	4.24	134	83
Walker Brockhouse R 2021 · 6.65 FIP	22	SU	6.65	20.2%	19.7%	5.0%	.265	4.69	19.3%	3.2%	111	-1.96	4.24	126	82
Carlos Salazar R 2016 · 5.62 FIP	21	SU	5.62	22.7%	26.9%	1.9%	.282	5.37	22.3%	1.9%	48	-0.25	4.43	155	82
Samuel Fabian R 2023 · 6.61 FIP	20	SU	6.61	16.8%	27.4%	2.7%	.352	4.33	17.2%	4.8%	64	-2.28	4.21	120	82
Madison Jeffrey R 2022 · 5.47 FIP	22	SU	5.47	19.9%	25.3%	1.5%	.252	5.08	17.6%	-9.7%	107	-0.39	4.65	168	82
Tyler Smith R 2018 · 5.30 FIP	22	SU	5.30	17.8%	14.3%	3.4%	.329	4.35	19.8%	7.8%	94	-0.95	3.44	121	82
Andrew Baker R 2021 · 7.36 FIP	21	SU	7.36	22.3%	37.8%	2.5%	.158	4.66	24.7%	6.7%	135	-2.70	3.44	256	82