Alexis Hernandez

Alexis HernandezSS Myrtle Beach Pelicans

Age 21 R/R 6'1" / 155 lbs A HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION486 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†46

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP285

ISO68

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 37

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER37

scouting grade only

EYE56

scouting grade only

SPEED59

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-1	$0.6M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-2	$0.7M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	141	123	30	6	0	2	16	27	1	10	4	244	336	341	677	98	295	19	11	310	96	-1	+0	—	—	+3	0.3
2023	18	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	150	130	41	9	4	3	18	50	2	9	2	315	407	515	922	200	494	33	12	406	161	+11	+1	—	—	+3	1.5
2024	19	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	204	174	25	1	0	2	28	76	1	10	0	144	266	184	450	40	240	37	14	224	38	-15	+2	—	—	+4	-0.9
2025	20	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	52	42	11	2	0	1	10	10	0	1	0	262	404	381	785	119	323	19	19	363	132	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2025	20	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	93	81	14	4	0	0	7	22	3	4	2	173	264	222	486	49	230	24	8	229	41	-7	+0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2025	20	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	136	122	32	7	2	1	13	28	0	12	4	262	333	377	710	115	330	21	10	318	102	+0	+1	—	—	+3	0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	141	129	22	4	0	1	10	41	1	10	4	171	236	225	461	54	236	29	7	213	30	-12	+0	—	—	+3	-0.8
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	150	137	26	5	2	2	11	72	2	9	2	190	260	299	559	109	383	48	7	250	55	-8	+1	—	—	+3	-0.4
2024	19	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	204	184	19	1	0	2	18	110	1	10	0	103	187	141	328	38	220	54	9	149	-13	-27	+2	—	—	+4	-2.1
2025	20	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	52	45	10	2	0	1	7	13	0	1	0	222	327	333	660	111	281	25	13	282	77	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2025	20	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	93	84	12	3	0	0	4	33	3	4	2	143	209	179	387	36	211	35	4	177	6	-10	+0	—	—	+2	-0.9
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	136	127	24	5	1	1	8	42	0	12	4	189	237	268	505	79	262	31	6	221	36	-10	+1	—	—	+3	-0.7
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	141	129	22	4	0	1	10	41	1	10	4	171	236	225	461	54	239	29	7	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Red	—	141	123	30	6	0	2	16	27	1	10	4	244	336	341	677	98	295	19	11	310	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	150	137	26	5	2	2	11	72	2	9	2	190	260	299	559	109	381	48	7	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	ACL Cubs	—	150	130	41	9	4	3	18	50	2	9	2	315	407	515	922	200	494	33	12	406	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	204	184	19	1	0	2	18	110	1	10	0	103	187	141	328	38	236	54	9	149	-13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	204	174	25	1	0	2	28	76	1	10	0	144	266	184	450	40	240	37	14	224	-13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	3 teams	—	281	256	45	10	1	2	19	87	3	17	6	176	241	246	487	70	253	31	7	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	3 teams	—	281	245	57	13	2	2	30	60	3	17	6	233	324	327	650	94	296	21	11	297	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	141	129	22	4	0	1	10	41	1	10	4	171	236	225	461	54	236	29	7	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	150	136	26	5	2	2	11	72	2	9	2	191	260	301	561	110	383	48	7	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	204	183	19	1	0	2	18	110	1	10	0	104	187	142	329	38	220	54	9	149	-13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	3 teams	—	281	257	45	10	1	2	19	87	3	17	6	175	241	245	486	70	249	31	7	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	150	136	26	5	2	2	11	72	2	9	2	191	260	301	561	110	383	48	7	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	204	183	19	1	0	2	18	110	1	10	0	104	187	142	329	38	220	54	9	149	-13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	3 teams	—	281	257	45	10	1	2	19	87	3	17	6	175	241	245	486	70	249	31	7	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A MLE	CHC	—	486	433	80	16	3	3	47	177	2	27	9	185	268	256	524	72	300	36	10	240	49	-30	+2	+0	+5	+11	-1.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A RAW	CHC	—	486	404	96	21	4	4	75	125	2	27	9	238	359	339	698	101	330	26	15	321	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	21	A MLE	CHC	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		282	33	11	237	46	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	21	A MLE	CHC	—	495	441	81	16	3	3	48	180	2	27	9	184	267	254	521	70	298	36	10	240	49	-30	+2	+0	+5	+11	-1.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	CHC	34%	420	376	71	14	2	5	39	141	2	12	4	189	269	277	545	88	284	34	9	254	58	-21	+1	+0	+4	+9	-0.7
2028	23	MLB MLE	CHC	48%	474	424	84	16	3	8	44	153	3	13	4	198	278	307	585	108	285	32	9	266	66	-19	+1	+0	+5	+10	-0.3
2029	24	MLB MLE	CHC	53%	508	452	92	17	3	10	48	160	3	14	4	204	284	321	605	117	287	31	9	273	71	-17	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.0
2030	25	MLB MLE	CHC	55%	523	464	96	18	3	11	50	162	4	14	4	207	290	330	619	123	287	31	10	277	74	-16	+1	+0	+6	+11	0.2
2031	26	MLB MLE	CHC	56%	529	470	97	18	3	11	50	164	4	14	4	206	288	328	616	121	287	31	9	278	74	-16	+1	+0	+6	+11	0.2
2032	27	MLB MLE	CHC	55%	529	469	97	18	3	11	51	165	4	14	4	207	290	328	618	122	287	31	10	278	75	-16	+1	+0	+6	+11	0.2
2033	28	MLB MLE	CHC	55%	523	463	96	18	3	11	51	163	4	13	4	207	292	330	622	123	286	31	10	278	74	-16	+1	-1	+6	+11	0.1
2034	29	MLB MLE	CHC	53%	513	455	92	17	3	10	50	161	3	12	4	202	285	319	604	116	286	31	10	276	73	-17	+1	-1	+5	+11	-0.1
2035	30	MLB MLE	CHC	53%	502	445	90	17	2	10	49	159	3	11	3	202	286	317	603	115	285	32	10	273	71	-17	+1	-2	+5	+11	-0.2
2027	22	MLB CTX	CHC	34%	144	129	25	5	1	2	13	48	1	4	1	194	273	295	567	101	286	33	9	250	58	-7	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.2
2028	23	MLB CTX	CHC	48%	230	206	41	8	1	4	21	74	1	6	2	199	276	306	582	107	288	32	9	262	66	-9	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	CHC	53%	268	239	49	9	2	5	25	84	2	7	2	205	286	322	608	117	289	31	9	269	71	-9	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.0
2030	25	MLB CTX	CHC	55%	286	255	53	10	2	6	27	89	2	8	2	208	289	333	622	125	289	31	9	273	74	-9	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.1
2031	26	MLB CTX	CHC	56%	294	262	54	10	2	6	28	91	2	8	2	206	288	328	616	122	289	31	10	274	74	-9	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.1
2032	27	MLB CTX	CHC	55%	291	259	54	10	2	6	28	91	2	7	2	208	291	332	623	124	289	31	10	274	75	-9	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.1
2033	28	MLB CTX	CHC	55%	286	254	53	10	2	6	28	89	2	7	2	209	292	335	627	126	288	31	10	273	74	-9	+1	-0	+3	+6	0.1
2034	29	MLB CTX	CHC	53%	274	243	49	9	2	5	27	86	2	6	2	202	287	317	604	115	288	31	10	271	73	-9	+0	-1	+3	+6	-0.0
2035	30	MLB CTX	CHC	53%	264	234	47	9	1	5	26	84	2	6	2	201	286	312	598	111	287	32	10	269	71	-9	+0	-1	+3	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2337	2081	425	80	15	45	223	736	16	59	17	204	286	322	608	118	290	31	10	270	64	-79	+5	-2	+25	+51	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	118	22	4	13	62	205	4	16	5	204	285	323	608	119	288	32	10	270	64	-22	+1	-1	+7	+14	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	5306	4732	928	173	28	94	491	1741	37	163	47	196	277	304	581	108	285	33	9	263	64	-157	+9	-4	+49	+98	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	114	21	3	12	60	213	5	20	6	197	278	305	583	109	284	33	9	263	64	-22	+1	-1	+7	+14	-0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	4.0	2,657	47	68	200	278	309	+28	+18	0.5	1.1
/162	664	12	17	+7.1	+4.5	0.1	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alexis Hernandez (OGILVIE)	21	20→25	32→37	54→59	56	178/257/247	69	282	2	14	35%	9%	46	-1.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/248/255	81	275	5	19	36%	8%	45	-2.7	193/258/268	75	281	5	10	31%	7%	51	-2.3	172/238/215	43	239	3	6	27%	7%	30	-1.1
✕Victor Soto 2010 · A	21	39	37→45	56→60	40	188/240/265	77	263	3	22	29%	5%	42	-2.9	199/243/272	73	293	3	14	31%	5%	45	-2.7	187/218/237	50	279	0	18	32%	3%	25	-0.8
✕Nelson Medina 2022 · A	21	40	38→45	53→50	48	189/275/275	85	275	5	15	31%	10%	59	-1.6	188/260/285	97	334	7	13	42%	8%	55	-1.9	138/202/215	77	286	6	16	50%	7%	15	-1.7
✕Chris Roller 2018 · A	21	37	37→45	53→55	45	178/254/255	77	243	4	12	27%	8%	47	-2.5	205/274/318	113	295	9	11	31%	7%	68	-1.0	191/257/296	105	277	7	15	32%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Luke Williams 2018 · A	21	39→44	35→45	55→65	41	188/231/241	52	251	2	18	26%	5%	33	-3.6	199/255/288	89	264	8	18	26%	6%	54	-2.0	222/284/339	116	307	11	42	29%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Christian Cairo 2022 · A	21	40→46	40	53→60	46	188/283/278	90	291	7	16	35%	10%	63	-1.3	193/292/274	81	290	6	18	32%	11%	66	-1.1	205/292/276	72	294	4	31	28%	9%	64	-0.8
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	39→29	38→45	51→50	41	185/255/266	81	281	5	13	34%	7%	49	-2.4	210/275/314	104	329	8	15	36%	7%	68	-1.0	190/253/306	116	287	12	16	36%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Robert Del Rosario 2013 · A	21	40	36→40	53→55	45	191/251/257	67	255	4	15	26%	7%	45	-2.7	212/263/277	65	287	3	13	26%	6%	53	-2.1	226/270/269	43	303	0	17	24%	4%	52	-0.8
✕Omar Hernandez 2023 · A	21	36	36→30	52→55	35	177/219/241	64	266	3	12	34%	5%	28	-3.9	191/240/254	63	261	5	17	27%	5%	40	-3.1	209/245/262	53	279	4	21	26%	4%	40	-1.5
✕Kyle Nevin 2023 · A	21	41→38	40	52→50	39	198/250/294	96	274	6	10	29%	5%	53	-2.1	216/274/318	102	332	9	10	35%	7%	68	-1.0	210/271/306	96	328	9	12	36%	7%	61	-0.9
✕Grolmann Gonzalez 2010 · A	21	40	38→40	52→55	42	193/255/277	85	272	4	9	29%	7%	51	-2.2	209/265/303	94	303	6	7	31%	6%	61	-1.5	218/266/319	101	307	7	4	30%	6%	63	-0.3
✕Jose Curpa 2022 · A	22	40	36→30	58→55	46	185/273/254	70	286	2	24	33%	10%	54	-2.0	204/289/287	83	310	5	17	32%	9%	68	-1.0	191/292/252	60	291	4	23	31%	10%	59	-0.4
✕Kenny Wilson 2011 · A	21	37→47	35→40	56→60	40	173/246/227	54	279	2	26	36%	7%	37	-3.3	197/268/268	71	292	4	28	31%	7%	55	-2.0	200/268/290	91	305	7	22	34%	7%	57	-0.7
✕Sander Mora 2022 · A	21	39	37→30	52→55	44	185/261/259	74	275	5	12	32%	8%	50	-2.3	178/255/258	80	307	6	9	40%	9%	48	-2.5	129/221/190	62	226	6	11	42%	10%	19	-1.9
✕Lane Adams 2011 · A	21	44→46	37→45	57→60	40	206/257/280	74	300	4	14	31%	6%	52	-2.2	213/263/314	101	299	8	14	30%	6%	62	-1.4	227/280/350	123	310	14	36	30%	6%	74	-0.4
✕Neyfy Castillo 2021 · A	20	40→31	37→45	54→55	38	188/244/263	75	289	4	11	34%	6%	44	-2.8	180/251/307	127	326	15	16	46%	7%	58	-1.7	166/238/291	125	290	16	19	46%	7%	47	-1.7
✕Glenn Santiago 2021 · A	20	43	37→40	55→45	46	200/274/277	78	262	3	13	23%	7%	59	-1.6	205/269/296	91	280	7	9	28%	7%	61	-1.5	182/247/261	79	270	7	8	33%	7%	43	-1.1
✕Johnni Turbo 2009 · A	20	37→47	37→40	54→55	36	184/222/257	73	263	4	13	31%	4%	33	-3.6	211/247/290	79	307	4	16	31%	4%	50	-2.3	254/283/341	87	306	5	19	18%	3%	73	-0.4
✕Jon Matthews 2013 · A	22	37	36→40	56→60	38	178/236/244	66	265	3	23	32%	6%	36	-3.3	221/286/292	71	305	4	21	27%	7%	66	-1.1	231/302/293	61	313	3	21	25%	8%	69	-0.4
✕Juan Batista 2021 · A	20	40	36→40	51→55	45	190/261/264	74	271	3	16	29%	8%	51	-2.3	183/244/264	81	367	5	13	48%	6%	44	-2.8	90/155/144	54	278	2	18	64%	5%	-18	-1.9

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps