Javier Osorio

SS Lakeland Flying Tigers

Age 22 R/R 6'0" / 165 lbs A HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	20	ROKDET	146	.304/.389/.488	5	20	72	—	.215/.292/.346
2026	21	ADET	287	.251/.330/.414	9	29	59	—	.201/.266/.324
2027PROJ0% MLB	22	MLBDET	397	.206/.268/.335	10	11	69	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	23	MLBDET	111	.207/.269/.338	3	3	74	0.0
2029PROJ46% MLB	24	MLBDET	184	.210/.274/.346	5	5	77	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

Max EV72

Speed67

K%52

Z-Con%40

Whiff%33

BB%26

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 2, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 91%

CompsCooper Bowman (age 22) · Juan Mora (age 22) · Tim Tawa (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 277 proj PA

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .265 / .332

PA277

HR7

SB8

K%25

BB%6

ISO129

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$7M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE46

scouting grade only

SPEED70

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-1	$0.6M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Tigers 1	—	178	154	27	5	0	1	16	68	7	15	3	175	282	227	510	52	302	38	9	246	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	—	117	103	28	6	2	5	11	40	3	11	2	272	359	515	874	243	397	34	9	383	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	—	198	161	49	15	4	3	30	44	7	19	6	304	434	503	937	199	404	22	15	417	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	FCL Tigers	—	146	125	38	8	0	5	11	34	7	20	4	304	389	488	877	184	375	23	8	384	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	287	251	63	14	0	9	25	67	5	29	7	251	330	414	744	163	300	23	9	328	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	178	159	16	3	0	0	11	84	7	15	3	101	192	119	312	19	203	47	6	154	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	117	106	15	3	1	2	8	50	3	11	2	142	222	245	468	104	244	43	7	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	198	171	30	9	2	1	20	54	7	19	6	175	288	269	557	94	251	27	10	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers	—	146	130	28	5	0	4	7	49	7	20	4	215	292	346	638	131	287	34	5	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	287	259	52	11	0	7	18	91	5	29	7	201	266	324	590	124	260	32	6	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	178	159	16	3	0	0	11	84	7	15	3	101	192	119	312	19	211	47	6	154	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 1	—	178	154	27	5	0	1	16	68	7	15	3	175	282	227	510	52	302	38	9	246	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	117	106	15	3	1	2	8	50	3	11	2	142	222	245	468	104	241	43	7	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 2	—	117	103	28	6	2	5	11	40	3	11	2	272	359	515	874	243	397	34	9	383	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	198	171	30	9	2	1	20	54	7	19	6	175	288	269	557	94	250	27	10	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 2	—	198	161	49	15	4	3	30	44	7	19	6	304	434	503	937	199	404	22	15	417	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers	—	146	130	28	5	0	4	7	49	7	20	4	215	292	346	638	131	304	34	5	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	FCL Tigers	—	146	125	38	8	0	5	11	34	7	20	4	304	389	488	877	184	375	23	8	384	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	287	259	52	11	0	7	18	91	5	29	7	201	266	324	590	124	271	32	6	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A RAW	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	287	251	63	14	0	9	25	67	5	29	7	251	330	414	744	163	300	23	9	328	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	178	158	16	3	0	0	11	84	7	15	3	101	192	120	312	19	203	47	6	154	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	117	105	15	3	1	2	8	50	3	11	2	143	222	248	470	105	244	43	7	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	198	169	30	9	2	1	20	54	7	19	6	178	288	272	560	95	251	27	10	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers	—	146	131	28	5	0	4	7	49	7	20	4	214	292	344	635	130	287	34	5	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	287	262	52	11	0	7	18	91	5	29	7	198	266	321	587	122	260	32	6	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	198	169	30	9	2	1	20	54	7	19	6	178	288	272	560	95	251	27	10	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers	—	146	131	28	5	0	4	7	49	7	20	4	214	292	344	635	130	287	34	5	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	287	262	52	11	0	7	18	91	5	29	7	198	266	321	587	122	260	32	6	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	DET	0%	397	364	76	15	2	10	25	99	5	11	3	206	268	335	602	129	254	25	6	270	69	-15	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	DET	34%	323	295	61	12	1	8	21	80	4	9	2	211	273	346	619	136	256	25	7	277	74	-10	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2029	24	MLB MLE	DET	46%	399	365	78	15	2	11	26	98	5	11	3	214	277	355	632	141	259	25	7	282	77	-11	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.3
2030	25	MLB MLE	DET	52%	441	402	87	17	2	12	30	107	6	12	3	216	280	360	640	144	261	24	7	286	80	-11	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.5
2031	26	MLB MLE	DET	54%	466	425	92	18	2	13	32	113	6	13	3	218	282	363	645	145	262	24	7	288	81	-11	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.6
2032	27	MLB MLE	DET	54%	476	434	94	18	2	13	33	116	6	13	3	218	283	363	646	144	263	24	7	288	81	-11	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.6
2033	28	MLB MLE	DET	54%	478	436	94	18	2	13	33	117	6	11	3	217	281	358	640	142	263	24	7	286	80	-12	+1	-1	+5	+10	0.4
2034	29	MLB MLE	DET	58%	472	430	93	18	2	13	33	117	6	9	3	214	279	353	631	138	261	25	7	282	77	-13	+1	-1	+5	+10	0.2
2035	30	MLB MLE	DET	60%	464	424	90	17	2	12	32	116	5	7	2	212	275	345	621	134	260	25	7	278	74	-14	+1	-2	+5	+10	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	DET	34%	111	102	21	4	0	3	7	27	1	3	1	207	269	338	607	131	252	24	6	272	74	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2029	24	MLB CTX	DET	46%	184	168	36	7	1	5	12	45	2	5	1	210	274	346	619	136	255	24	7	277	77	-5	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2030	25	MLB CTX	DET	52%	228	208	44	8	1	6	15	55	3	6	2	212	276	351	627	139	257	24	7	281	80	-6	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.2
2031	26	MLB CTX	DET	54%	253	231	49	9	1	7	17	61	3	7	2	214	279	354	632	140	258	24	7	283	81	-6	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.3
2032	27	MLB CTX	DET	54%	258	235	51	10	1	7	18	63	3	7	2	214	280	354	633	139	259	24	7	283	81	-6	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2033	28	MLB CTX	DET	54%	259	236	51	10	1	7	18	63	3	6	2	213	278	349	627	137	258	24	7	281	80	-6	+0	-0	+3	+6	0.2
2034	29	MLB CTX	DET	58%	272	248	52	10	1	7	19	67	3	5	1	210	275	344	619	133	257	25	7	277	77	-7	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.1
2035	30	MLB CTX	DET	60%	278	254	53	10	1	7	19	70	3	4	1	208	272	337	609	129	256	25	7	273	74	-8	+0	-1	+3	+6	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1843	1682	357	68	7	49	125	451	21	43	12	212	275	348	624	136	259	24	7	279	71	-48	+4	-2	+20	+40	1.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	593	125	24	2	17	44	159	7	15	4	211	273	344	617	133	257	24	7	279	71	-17	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	4722	4290	882	174	19	116	321	1261	77	187	46	206	273	336	609	131	261	27	7	273	71	-101	+9	-4	+41	+82	2.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	591	122	24	3	16	44	174	11	26	6	206	274	338	612	132	262	27	7	273	71	-17	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Bill Cissell'28-'38 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,998 PA	6.0	3,998	29	113	240*	284*	363*	+27	+22	2.2	3.8
/162	664	5	19	+4.5	+3.7	0.4	pk7: 5
#5Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
/162	664	2	11	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	3.2	2,120	57	52	215	276	355	+23	+15	2.9	2.7
/162	664	18	16	+7.1	+4.7	0.9	pk7: 3
#6Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Javier Osorio (OGILVIE)	22	30→35	45→50	65→70	46	204/265/332	127	254	7	8	25%	6%	69	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Cooper Bowman 2022 · A	22	44	45	56→60	41	214/289/346	132	303	12	19	32%	7%	81	-0.1	204/281/321	117	287	12	34	31%	8%	72	-0.7	210/283/330	120	279	11	40	27%	8%	72	-0.5
✕Juan Mora 2022 · A	22	44	42→45	55	47	215/295/325	110	284	9	14	26%	8%	78	-0.3	222/280/325	103	297	9	9	27%	6%	72	-0.7	218/275/319	102	286	9	8	26%	5%	67	-0.5
✕Tim Tawa 2022 · A	23	45	47→55	58→50	45	221/289/359	138	303	14	18	30%	8%	83	+0.1	213/278/339	126	273	14	11	26%	8%	74	-0.5	223/286/391	168	267	21	13	25%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Trey Sweeney 2023 · AA	23	38→45	48→50	57→55	45	200/273/344	144	263	16	19	30%	8%	74	-0.5	218/289/354	136	286	15	17	28%	8%	82	+0.0	219/291/353	133	286	15	17	27%	8%	81	-0.1
✕Brayan Buelvas 2024 · AA	22	37→45	46→50	55	41	190/252/319	129	260	13	18	32%	7%	61	-1.5	204/265/326	122	293	11	16	32%	7%	66	-1.1	205/266/334	130	290	12	14	32%	7%	66	-0.8
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2022 · A	21	43→53	46→55	59→55	39	215/259/351	136	270	13	15	26%	4%	70	-0.9	243/280/401	158	309	17	22	26%	4%	89	+0.5	250/287/402	152	300	17	19	22%	4%	93	+0.8
✕Sean Coyle 2014 · A	22	38	49→50	54→50	37	197/258/345	148	285	17	14	36%	6%	69	-0.9	206/268/346	140	308	16	13	36%	7%	73	-0.6	188/254/312	124	285	15	12	37%	7%	57	-1.0
✕Max Wagner 2024 · AA	22	41→38	46→50	55→50	42	204/275/332	128	291	13	18	33%	8%	72	-0.7	195/261/317	122	302	13	12	37%	7%	63	-1.3	190/255/330	140	291	17	7	39%	7%	61	-0.9
✕Cayden Wallace 2023 · A	21	46→49	42→50	57→50	43	224/279/341	116	300	8	15	27%	6%	74	-0.5	220/277/337	117	289	10	12	26%	6%	73	-0.6	232/281/372	140	285	16	15	24%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Jase Bowen 2023 · A	22	39→42	44→50	55	35	195/250/303	109	296	12	14	37%	5%	56	-1.9	203/253/327	124	287	14	19	33%	5%	62	-1.4	209/260/343	134	298	14	23	33%	6%	66	-0.7
✕Mario Lisson 2006 · A	22	46→49	43→50	57→55	50	221/307/345	123	302	9	19	28%	10%	86	+0.3	220/283/335	115	289	10	21	26%	7%	75	-0.5	222/292/345	123	288	15	8	27%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Michael Guldberg 2022 · A	23	45	44→45	55	44	222/290/341	119	280	12	16	24%	7%	80	-0.2	214/272/298	84	283	6	12	25%	6%	62	-1.4	205/259/264	60	274	3	10	25%	6%	47	-0.7
✕John Rhodes 2023 · AA	22	43→37	41→45	58→50	47	208/286/313	105	274	8	16	26%	8%	72	-0.7	190/258/293	103	266	10	9	31%	7%	57	-1.8	173/241/264	91	242	10	7	31%	7%	41	-2.2
✕Clay Fuller 2009 · A	22	46	42→45	59→55	44	214/295/330	116	316	8	20	32%	8%	79	-0.2	209/279/321	112	294	11	18	31%	8%	71	-0.8	203/269/311	107	279	12	18	30%	7%	62	-1.0
✕Jared Serna 2024 · A	22	45→48	45	53→50	45	226/284/352	126	276	13	18	23%	7%	79	-0.2	214/271/321	107	261	11	15	22%	6%	68	-1.0	202/265/300	97	245	10	16	21%	6%	58	-1.4
✕Johan Lopez 2022 · A	22	44	44→45	56→55	44	210/292/329	119	303	11	16	32%	8%	78	-0.3	197/269/298	101	299	9	12	35%	8%	62	-1.4	173/246/259	86	259	8	12	34%	7%	43	-1.0
✕Eric Brown Jr. 2023 · A	22	45→33	44→40	59→55	46	221/296/340	119	291	10	27	26%	8%	82	-0.0	195/262/276	81	252	7	28	24%	7%	55	-2.0	172/239/236	65	221	6	29	24%	7%	34	-1.6
✕Evan Van Hoosier 2015 · A	21	47	44→50	56→50	44	229/282/358	129	287	10	10	23%	6%	80	-0.2	230/274/338	108	308	6	9	26%	5%	72	-0.7	232/275/343	110	324	5	10	28%	4%	70	-0.3
✕Mason Auer 2023 · A	22	47	47→45	63→60	43	230/292/371	140	304	13	29	28%	7%	86	+0.3	190/249/304	114	290	10	31	36%	6%	55	-1.9	163/223/268	105	258	9	37	39%	6%	35	-2.4
✕Eddinson Paulino 2024 · A	22	42	46→50	54→50	43	210/273/349	139	282	12	17	29%	7%	75	-0.5	202/261/322	120	278	12	13	30%	6%	64	-1.3	186/244/297	111	257	12	11	31%	6%	49	-1.3

Javier Osorio

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps