Samuel Munoz
1B Great Lakes Loons| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19 | ALAA | 385 | .229/.313/.342 | 5 | 6 | 43 | — | .182/.249/.275 |
| 2025 | 20 | A+/A2 orgs | 521 | .239/.354/.389 | 12 | 22 | 61 | — | .191/.277/.300 |
| 2026 | 21 | A+LAD | 368 | .210/.299/.315 | 7 | 6 | 40 | — | .179/.247/.266 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 22 | MLBLAD | 1 | .200/.273/.298 | 0 | 0 | 65 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ35% MLB | 23 | MLBLAD | 105 | .208/.281/.322 | 2 | 2 | 73 | -0.3 | |
| 2029PROJ46% MLB | 24 | MLBLAD | 173 | .213/.287/.339 | 4 | 3 | 79 | -0.4 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL LAD Mega | — | 210 | 173 | 60 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 34 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 347 | 443 | 491 | 935 | 145 | 407 | 16 | 12 | 403 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | ACL Dodgers | — | 240 | 216 | 59 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 41 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 273 | 340 | 412 | 752 | 139 | 326 | 17 | 9 | 333 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 385 | 336 | 77 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 79 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 229 | 313 | 342 | 655 | 113 | 277 | 21 | 10 | 293 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | — | 70 | 60 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 183 | 300 | 250 | 550 | 67 | 222 | 20 | 14 | 264 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 451 | 375 | 93 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 63 | 100 | 4 | 18 | 6 | 248 | 362 | 411 | 773 | 163 | 300 | 22 | 14 | 342 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | — | 368 | 324 | 68 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 37 | 74 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 210 | 299 | 315 | 613 | 105 | 248 | 20 | 10 | 281 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL LAD Mega | — | 210 | 182 | 43 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 43 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 236 | 315 | 324 | 639 | 88 | 272 | 20 | 8 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Dodgers | — | 240 | 224 | 45 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 59 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 201 | 248 | 290 | 538 | 89 | 261 | 25 | 5 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 385 | 346 | 63 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 111 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 182 | 249 | 275 | 524 | 92 | 238 | 29 | 8 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 70 | 63 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 159 | 243 | 222 | 465 | 63 | 201 | 26 | 10 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 451 | 394 | 77 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 44 | 138 | 4 | 18 | 6 | 195 | 283 | 312 | 595 | 117 | 259 | 31 | 10 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 368 | 335 | 60 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 94 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 179 | 247 | 266 | 512 | 87 | 225 | 26 | 7 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL LAD Mega | — | 210 | 182 | 43 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 43 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 236 | 315 | 324 | 639 | 88 | 290 | 20 | 8 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL LAD Mega | — | 210 | 173 | 60 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 34 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 347 | 443 | 491 | 935 | 145 | 407 | 16 | 12 | 403 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Dodgers | — | 240 | 224 | 45 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 59 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 201 | 248 | 290 | 538 | 89 | 265 | 25 | 5 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK RAW | ACL Dodgers | — | 240 | 216 | 59 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 41 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 273 | 340 | 412 | 752 | 139 | 326 | 17 | 9 | 333 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 385 | 346 | 63 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 111 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 182 | 249 | 275 | 524 | 92 | 247 | 29 | 8 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A RAW | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 385 | 336 | 77 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 79 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 229 | 313 | 342 | 655 | 113 | 277 | 21 | 10 | 293 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 521 | 457 | 87 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 51 | 156 | 4 | 22 | 6 | 190 | 277 | 300 | 577 | 109 | 259 | 30 | 10 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 521 | 435 | 104 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 73 | 114 | 4 | 22 | 6 | 239 | 354 | 389 | 742 | 149 | 289 | 22 | 14 | 332 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 368 | 335 | 60 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 94 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 179 | 247 | 266 | 512 | 87 | 227 | 26 | 7 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ RAW | Great Lakes Loons | — | 368 | 324 | 68 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 37 | 74 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 210 | 299 | 315 | 613 | 105 | 248 | 20 | 10 | 281 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL LAD Mega | — | 210 | 187 | 43 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 43 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 230 | 315 | 316 | 631 | 86 | 272 | 20 | 8 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Dodgers | — | 240 | 224 | 45 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 59 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 201 | 248 | 290 | 538 | 89 | 261 | 25 | 5 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 385 | 351 | 63 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 111 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 179 | 249 | 271 | 520 | 91 | 238 | 29 | 8 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 521 | 461 | 87 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 51 | 156 | 4 | 22 | 6 | 189 | 277 | 297 | 575 | 108 | 251 | 30 | 10 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 368 | 335 | 60 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 94 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 179 | 247 | 266 | 512 | 87 | 225 | 26 | 7 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 385 | 351 | 63 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 111 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 179 | 249 | 271 | 520 | 91 | 238 | 29 | 8 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 521 | 461 | 87 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 51 | 156 | 4 | 22 | 6 | 189 | 277 | 297 | 575 | 108 | 251 | 30 | 10 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 368 | 335 | 60 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 94 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 179 | 247 | 266 | 512 | 87 | 225 | 26 | 7 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB MLE | LAD | 0% | 478 | 432 | 87 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 40 | 122 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 204 | 277 | 304 | 581 | 100 | 264 | 26 | 8 | 264 | 65 | -20 | +0 | -1 | -9 | +10 | -0.7 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB CTX | LAD | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 273 | 298 | 571 | 98 | 258 | 0 | 0 | 261 | 65 | -0 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 23 | MLB MLE | LAD | 35% | 303 | 272 | 57 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 76 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 211 | 284 | 327 | 612 | 116 | 266 | 25 | 9 | 277 | 73 | -10 | +0 | -0 | -5 | +7 | -0.9 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB MLE | LAD | 46% | 374 | 336 | 73 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 32 | 92 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 217 | 290 | 343 | 633 | 127 | 269 | 25 | 9 | 285 | 79 | -9 | +0 | +0 | -7 | +8 | -0.8 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB MLE | LAD | 52% | 413 | 371 | 81 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 36 | 101 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 220 | 294 | 353 | 647 | 134 | 270 | 24 | 9 | 291 | 83 | -8 | +0 | +0 | -7 | +9 | -0.7 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB MLE | LAD | 54% | 435 | 391 | 86 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 38 | 106 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 221 | 296 | 359 | 654 | 137 | 271 | 24 | 9 | 293 | 85 | -8 | +0 | +0 | -8 | +9 | -0.6 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB MLE | LAD | 54% | 441 | 397 | 87 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 38 | 107 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 221 | 296 | 358 | 654 | 137 | 272 | 24 | 9 | 293 | 85 | -8 | +0 | +0 | -8 | +10 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB CTX | LAD | 35% | 105 | 94 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 208 | 281 | 322 | 603 | 114 | 260 | 25 | 9 | 273 | 73 | -3 | +0 | -0 | -2 | +2 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB CTX | LAD | 46% | 173 | 155 | 33 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 43 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 213 | 287 | 339 | 626 | 126 | 263 | 25 | 9 | 282 | 79 | -4 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +4 | -0.4 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB CTX | LAD | 52% | 213 | 191 | 41 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 52 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 216 | 290 | 349 | 640 | 133 | 264 | 24 | 8 | 288 | 83 | -4 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +5 | -0.3 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB CTX | LAD | 54% | 236 | 212 | 45 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 57 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 218 | 292 | 355 | 647 | 137 | 265 | 24 | 8 | 291 | 85 | -4 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +5 | -0.3 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB CTX | LAD | 54% | 239 | 214 | 46 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 58 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 218 | 293 | 354 | 647 | 136 | 265 | 24 | 9 | 291 | 85 | -4 | -0 | +0 | -4 | +5 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 966 | 866 | 185 | 28 | 5 | 24 | 83 | 236 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 214 | 288 | 341 | 629 | 127 | 264 | 24 | 9 | 286 | 68 | -21 | +0 | -0 | -17 | +21 | -1.7 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 583 | 124 | 19 | 3 | 16 | 56 | 159 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 213 | 287 | 338 | 625 | 125 | 263 | 24 | 9 | 286 | 68 | -14 | +0 | -0 | -12 | +14 | -1.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3900 | 3500 | 720 | 113 | 34 | 71 | 323 | 999 | 31 | 79 | 38 | 206 | 279 | 318 | 597 | 113 | 263 | 26 | 8 | 268 | 68 | -52 | +0 | -1 | -39 | +47 | -4.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 583 | 121 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 54 | 166 | 5 | 13 | 6 | 208 | 280 | 322 | 603 | 115 | 265 | 26 | 8 | 268 | 68 | -16 | +0 | -0 | -12 | +14 | -1.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Great Lakes Loons · 368 PAwOBA .276 → .228 (−48)K% 20.1% → 25.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.11% | ÷1.000 | ×1.270 | — | — | 25.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 7.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.09% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 0.87% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.000 | ×1.012 | 18.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.60% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×1.000 | ×1.012 | 2.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.80% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×1.000 | ×1.012 | 0.69% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.80% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 2.27% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.
Result: wOBA .276 → .228; ISO .105 → .084; BABIP .248 → .225. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes · 451 PAwOBA .340 → .266 (−73)K% 22.2% → 30.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.17% | ÷0.987 | ×1.360 | — | — | 30.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.75% | ÷0.981 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 9.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.89% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.70% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.82% | ÷1.004 | ×0.920 | ×0.973 | ×1.015 | 19.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.82% | ÷1.054 | ×0.830 | ×0.973 | ×1.015 | 4.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.18% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.973 | ×1.015 | 1.70% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.00% | ÷1.055 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 3.08% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 101, 2B 111, 3B 130, K 97, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.
Result: wOBA .340 → .266; ISO .163 → .122; BABIP .300 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Great Lakes Loons · 70 PAwOBA .258 → .209 (−49)K% 20.0% → 25.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷0.980 | ×1.270 | — | — | 25.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.29% | ÷1.023 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 10.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.57% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.967 | ×1.027 | 17.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.17% | ÷0.927 | ×0.810 | ×0.967 | ×1.027 | 1.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.967 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.17% | ÷0.992 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 1.80% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 100, 2B 85, 3B 130, K 96, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.967.
Result: wOBA .258 → .209; ISO .067 → .054; BABIP .222 → .201. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes · 385 PAwOBA .292 → .232 (−60)K% 20.5% → 28.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.52% | ÷0.964 | ×1.360 | — | — | 28.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.13% | ÷0.943 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 7.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.52% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 0.42% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.62% | ÷1.072 | ×0.920 | ×0.976 | ×1.030 | 17.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.84% | ÷0.973 | ×0.830 | ×0.976 | ×1.030 | 5.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.56% | ÷0.973 | ×0.910 | ×0.976 | ×1.030 | 1.46% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.95% | ÷1.072 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 1.50% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 114, 1B 114, 2B 95, 3B 95, K 93, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.
Result: wOBA .292 → .232; ISO .113 → .090; BABIP .277 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Dodgers · 240 PAwOBA .327 → .239 (−88)K% 17.1% → 24.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.08% | ÷1.005 | ×1.440 | — | — | 24.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.75% | ÷0.992 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 5.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.42% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.30% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.86% | ÷0.965 | ×0.820 | ×0.987 | ×1.008 | 19.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.71% | ÷1.032 | ×0.720 | ×0.987 | ×1.008 | 3.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.00% | ÷0.980 | ×0.720 | ×0.987 | ×1.008 | 2.92% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.14% | ÷1.005 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 0.89% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 93, 2B 106, 3B 96, K 101, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.
Result: wOBA .327 → .239; ISO .139 → .097; BABIP .326 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 DSLDSL LAD Mega · 210 PAwOBA .405 → .278 (−127)K% 16.2% → 20.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.19% | ÷0.973 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.31% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.90% | ÷1.059 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 7.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.90% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 1.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.22% | ÷0.977 | ×0.680 | ×1.011 | ×1.008 | 21.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.63% | ÷1.045 | ×0.600 | ×1.011 | ×1.008 | 5.05% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.60% | ÷1.150 | ×0.600 | ×1.011 | ×1.008 | 1.91% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.72% | ÷0.975 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.35% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 95, 2B 109, 3B 130, K 95, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.
Result: wOBA .405 → .278; ISO .145 → .085; BABIP .407 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).