JT Schwartz

1B Binghamton Rumble Ponies
Age 27 L/R 6'3" / 215 lbs AA H -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202424AAA/AANYM440.263/.362/.40610983—.231/.310/.346
202525AANYM335.205/.314/.3325055—.183/.265/.288
202626AANYM296.220/.313/.39810251—.175/.245/.301
2027PROJMLE27MLBNYM3.189/.263/.3040065-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB28MLBNYM55.189/.264/.3031065-0.2
Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
Whiff%80
Z-Con%75
Chase%71
ISO67
BB%48
wRC+45
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
CompsLuke Tendler (age 27) · Jeremy Vasquez (age 26) · Preston Palmeiro (age 27)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†65
AVG/OBP/SLG.189 / .263 / .304
PA3
HR0
K%33
BB%8
BABIP252
ISO121
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -6.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: -0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -2.8 runs (Positional adjustment)-3POSREP: +3.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.50-0.5WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.5-0.22728
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT40
scouting grade only
POWER40
scouting grade only
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED40
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202121 ASt. Lucie Mets — 10082 16500 13123 20 195327256583 61222 1213 277 38 — — — — — —
202222 A+Brooklyn Cyclones — 455400 1092546 46897 33 273358400758 128336 2010 341 57 — — — — — —
202323 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies — 277245 741724 27465 40 302383437819 135359 1710 368 94 — — — — — —
202323 INTLGlendale Desert Dogs — 8373 18602 6203 10 247329411740 164308 247 329 109 — — — — — —
202424 AAASyracuse Mets — 178160 351105 10296 20 219290381671 162234 166 298 49 — — — — — —
202424 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies — 262217 641115 39414 71 295412424836 129341 1615 377 106 — — — — — —
202525 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies — 335283 581915 39576 02 205314332646 127233 1712 292 55 — — — — — —
202626 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies — 296259 5714110 30775 21 220313398711 178270 2610 317 51 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202121 A MLESt. Lucie Mets — 10086 14400 9173 20 163265209475 47195 179 224 38 — — — — — —
202222 A+ MLEBrooklyn Cyclones — 455420 871836 261177 33 207265307572 100270 266 252 57 — — — — — —
202323 AA MLEBinghamton Rumble Ponies — 277254 681423 18565 40 268329374703 106328 206 307 94 — — — — — —
202424 AAA MLESyracuse Mets — 178162 29903 8366 20 179244290534 111204 204 241 49 — — — — — —
202424 AA MLEBinghamton Rumble Ponies — 262229 611015 27484 71 266354384738 118311 1810 325 106 — — — — — —
202525 AA MLEBinghamton Rumble Ponies — 335295 541714 27686 02 183265288553 105215 208 250 55 — — — — — —
202626 AA MLEBinghamton Rumble Ponies — 296269 471117 20945 21 175245301546 126232 327 244 51 — — — — — —
202121 A MLESt. Lucie Mets — 10086 14400 9173 20 163265209475 47197 179 224 38 — — — — — —
202121 A RAWSt. Lucie Mets — 10082 16500 13123 20 195327256583 61222 1213 277 38 — — — — — —
202222 A+ MLEBrooklyn Cyclones — 455420 871836 261177 33 207265307572 100271 266 252 57 — — — — — —
202222 A+ RAWBrooklyn Cyclones — 455400 1092546 46897 33 273358400758 128336 2010 341 57 — — — — — —
202323 AA MLE2 teams — 360327 871824 24738 50 266331370702 104331 207 307 94 — — — — — —
202323 AA RAW2 teams — 360318 922326 33668 50 289370431801 142348 189 359 94 — — — — — —
202424 AA MLE2 teams — 440391 901918 358410 91 230310345655 115271 198 291 83 — — — — — —
202424 AA RAW2 teams — 440377 9922110 497010 91 263362406768 143296 1611 345 83 — — — — — —
202525 AA MLEBinghamton Rumble Ponies — 335295 541714 27686 02 183265288553 105218 208 250 55 — — — — — —
202525 AA RAWBinghamton Rumble Ponies — 335283 581915 39576 02 205314332646 127233 1712 292 55 — — — — — —
202626 AA MLEBinghamton Rumble Ponies — 296269 471117 20945 21 175245301546 126235 327 244 51 — — — — — —
202626 AA RAWBinghamton Rumble Ponies — 296259 5714110 30775 21 220313398711 178270 2610 317 51 — — — — — —
202121 A MLESt. Lucie Mets — 10088 14400 9173 20 159265205470 45195 179 224 38 — — — — — —
202222 A+ MLEBrooklyn Cyclones — 455419 871836 261177 33 208265308573 100270 266 252 57 — — — — — —
202323 AA MLE2 teams — 360325 871824 24738 50 268331372704 105328 207 307 94 — — — — — —
202424 AA MLE2 teams — 440392 901918 358410 91 230310344654 115268 198 291 83 — — — — — —
202525 AA MLEBinghamton Rumble Ponies — 335299 541714 27686 02 181265284550 104215 208 250 55 — — — — — —
202626 AA MLEBinghamton Rumble Ponies — 296269 471117 20945 21 175245301546 126232 327 244 51 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202424 AA MLE2 teams — 440392 901918 358410 91 230310344654 115268 198 291 83 — — — — — —
202525 AA MLEBinghamton Rumble Ponies — 335299 541714 27686 02 181265284550 104215 208 250 55 — — — — — —
202626 AA MLEBinghamton Rumble Ponies — 296269 471117 20945 21 175245301546 126232 327 244 51 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202727 MLB MLENYM 2% 346312 601417 261015 31 195269313582 118261 298 264 65 -15 +0 +0 -6 +7 -0.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202727 MLB CTXNYM 2% 33 0000 010 00 189263304567 115252 330 258 65 -0 +0 +0 -0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202828 MLB MLENYM 27% 204183 36814 16593 11 195269312582 117261 298 264 65 -9 -0 -1 -4 +4 -0.9
202828 MLB CTXNYM 27% 5550 9201 4161 00 189264303567 114253 297 258 65 -2 +0 -0 -1 +1 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 5550 9201 4161 00 180255280535 100242 297 258 67 -2 +0 -0 -1 +1 -0.2
/ 162G— A+C — 650591 10724012 4718912 00 181255283538 102244 297 258 67 -27 +0 -2 -12 +14 -2.8
Career— MLE — 23452111 4421011036 16955744 239 209282318600 108264 247 267 67 -15 -0 -1 -6 +8 -1.5
/ 162G— MLE — 650585 12328310 4715412 62 210283320602 109265 247 267 67 -27 -1 -1 -12 +14 -2.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies · 296 PAwOBA .311 → .244 (−67)K% 26.0% → 31.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.01%÷1.000×1.220——31.74%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.14%÷1.000×0.700—×0.9786.94%
HBP% /PA1.69%—×0.850—×0.9781.40%
Singles /BIP17.58%÷1.000×0.970×0.952×0.97815.87%
Doubles /BIP7.69%÷1.000×0.860×0.952×0.9786.16%
Triples /BIP0.55%÷1.000×0.950×0.952×0.9780.49%
Home runs /BIP5.49%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9784.19%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.952.

Result: wOBA .311 → .244; ISO .178 → .135; BABIP .270 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies · 335 PAwOBA .290 → .250 (−40)K% 17.0% → 20.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.01%÷1.015×1.220——20.45%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.64%÷0.983×0.700—×0.9888.19%
HBP% /PA1.79%—×0.850—×0.9881.50%
Singles /BIP14.60%÷0.982×0.970×0.973×0.98813.87%
Doubles /BIP8.41%÷0.941×0.860×0.973×0.9887.39%
Triples /BIP0.44%÷0.911×0.950×0.973×0.9880.44%
Home runs /BIP2.21%÷0.990×0.780—×0.9881.72%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 96, 2B 88, 3B 82, K 103, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.

Result: wOBA .290 → .250; ISO .127 → .111; BABIP .233 → .215. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies · 262 PAwOBA .371 → .325 (−46)K% 15.6% → 18.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.65%÷1.046×1.220——18.25%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.89%÷0.996×0.700—×0.99810.44%
HBP% /PA1.53%—×0.850—×0.9981.30%
Singles /BIP26.70%÷0.992×0.970×0.950×0.99824.75%
Doubles /BIP6.25%÷0.954×0.860×0.950×0.9985.34%
Triples /BIP0.57%÷1.062×0.950×0.950×0.9980.48%
Home runs /BIP2.84%÷0.834×0.780—×0.9982.65%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 67, 1B 98, 2B 91, 3B 112, K 109, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .371 → .325; ISO .129 → .121; BABIP .341 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAASyracuse Mets · 178 PAwOBA .294 → .241 (−53)K% 16.3% → 20.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.29%÷0.968×1.200——20.21%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.62%÷0.933×0.690—×1.0334.29%
HBP% /PA3.37%—×0.940—×1.0333.27%
Singles /BIP14.50%÷1.006×0.930×0.950×1.03313.16%
Doubles /BIP8.40%÷0.972×0.830×0.950×1.0337.04%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.970×0.950×1.0330.00%
Home runs /BIP3.82%÷1.059×0.700—×1.0332.61%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 101, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 94, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .294 → .241; ISO .163 → .119; BABIP .234 → .204. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies · 277 PAwOBA .358 → .307 (−50)K% 16.6% → 20.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.61%÷1.002×1.220——20.23%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.39%÷1.015×0.700—×1.0126.55%
HBP% /PA1.81%—×0.850—×1.0121.55%
Singles /BIP25.63%÷0.993×0.970×0.965×1.01224.43%
Doubles /BIP8.54%÷1.032×0.860×0.965×1.0126.95%
Triples /BIP1.01%÷1.150×0.950×0.965×1.0120.81%
Home runs /BIP2.01%÷0.925×0.780—×1.0121.72%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 99, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 100, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.965.

Result: wOBA .358 → .307; ISO .135 → .111; BABIP .359 → .328. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 A+Brooklyn Cyclones · 455 PAwOBA .333 → .252 (−81)K% 19.6% → 25.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.56%÷0.995×1.310——25.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.89%÷1.020×0.600—×0.9985.81%
HBP% /PA1.54%—×0.770—×0.9981.18%
Singles /BIP23.79%÷1.026×0.870×0.979×0.99819.72%
Doubles /BIP8.04%÷1.030×0.780×0.979×0.9985.95%
Triples /BIP1.29%÷1.060×0.850×0.979×0.9981.01%
Home runs /BIP1.93%÷0.925×0.880—×0.9981.83%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 105, 2B 106, 3B 112, K 99, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.

Result: wOBA .333 → .252; ISO .128 → .103; BABIP .336 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 ASt. Lucie Mets · 100 PAwOBA .276 → .224 (−52)K% 12.0% → 17.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA12.00%÷0.945×1.360——17.27%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.00%÷1.041×0.690——8.62%
HBP% /PA3.00%—×0.780——2.34%
Singles /BIP15.71%÷1.028×0.920×0.985—13.84%
Doubles /BIP7.14%÷0.935×0.830×0.985—6.25%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.137×0.910×0.985—0.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.988×0.800——0.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 106, 2B 87, 3B 127, K 89, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.

Result: wOBA .276 → .224; ISO .061 → .055; BABIP .222 → .195. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .