JT Schwartz — OGILVIE

JT Schwartz1B Binghamton Rumble Ponies

Age 26 L/R 6'3" / 215 lbs AA H -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION296 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP246

ISO112

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	21	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	100	82	16	5	0	0	13	12	3	2	0	195	327	256	583	61	222	12	13	277	73	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2022	22	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	455	400	109	25	4	6	46	89	7	3	3	273	358	400	758	128	336	20	10	341	117	+9	-1	—	—	+10	1.9
2023	23	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	277	245	74	17	2	4	27	46	5	4	0	302	383	437	819	135	359	17	10	368	135	+12	+1	—	—	+6	1.9
2023	23	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	83	73	18	6	0	2	6	20	3	1	0	247	329	411	740	164	308	24	7	329	109	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2024	24	AAA	Syracuse Mets	—	178	160	35	11	0	5	10	29	6	2	0	219	290	381	671	162	234	16	6	298	88	-3	+0	—	—	+4	0.2
2024	24	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	262	217	64	11	1	5	39	41	4	7	1	295	412	424	836	129	341	16	15	377	141	+13	+1	—	—	+6	2.0
2025	25	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	335	283	58	19	1	5	39	57	6	0	2	205	314	332	646	127	233	17	12	292	84	-6	-1	—	—	+7	0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	21	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	100	86	14	4	0	0	9	17	3	2	0	163	265	209	475	47	195	17	9	224	38	-7	+0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2022	22	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	455	417	90	19	3	5	29	120	7	3	3	216	278	312	590	96	286	26	6	262	63	-20	-1	—	—	+10	-1.1
2023	23	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	277	254	66	14	2	3	18	56	5	4	0	260	321	366	687	106	317	20	6	299	88	-4	+1	—	—	+6	0.3
2024	24	AAA MLE	Syracuse Mets	—	178	163	28	9	0	3	7	36	6	2	0	172	233	282	515	110	197	20	4	234	45	-12	+0	—	—	+4	-0.8
2024	24	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	262	229	60	10	1	5	27	48	4	7	1	262	350	380	730	118	304	18	10	321	103	+1	+1	—	—	+6	0.8
2025	25	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	335	295	55	18	1	4	27	68	6	0	2	186	268	295	563	108	214	20	8	250	55	-18	-1	—	—	+7	-1.2
2021	21	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	100	86	14	4	0	0	9	17	3	2	0	163	265	209	475	47	197	17	9	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A RAW	St. Lucie Mets	—	100	82	16	5	0	0	13	12	3	2	0	195	327	256	583	61	222	12	13	277	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	455	417	90	19	3	5	29	120	7	3	3	216	278	312	590	96	289	26	6	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ RAW	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	455	400	109	25	4	6	46	89	7	3	3	273	358	400	758	128	336	20	10	341	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	360	328	85	18	2	4	23	73	8	5	0	259	323	363	686	104	321	20	6	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	360	318	92	23	2	6	33	66	8	5	0	289	370	431	801	142	348	18	9	359	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	440	392	89	19	1	8	34	84	10	9	1	227	305	342	647	115	266	19	8	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	440	377	99	22	1	10	49	70	10	9	1	263	362	406	768	143	296	16	11	345	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	335	295	55	18	1	4	27	68	6	0	2	186	268	295	563	108	223	20	8	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA RAW	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	335	283	58	19	1	5	39	57	6	0	2	205	314	332	646	127	233	17	12	292	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	100	88	14	4	0	0	9	17	3	2	0	159	265	205	470	45	195	17	9	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	455	416	90	19	3	5	29	120	7	3	3	216	278	312	591	96	286	26	6	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	360	326	85	18	2	4	23	73	8	5	0	261	323	365	688	104	317	20	6	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	440	393	89	19	1	8	34	84	10	9	1	226	305	341	646	115	261	19	8	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	335	299	55	18	1	4	27	68	6	0	2	184	268	291	559	107	214	20	8	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	360	326	85	18	2	4	23	73	8	5	0	261	323	365	688	104	317	20	6	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	440	393	89	19	1	8	34	84	10	9	1	226	305	341	646	115	261	19	8	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	335	299	55	18	1	4	27	68	6	0	2	184	268	291	559	107	214	20	8	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	26	AA MLE	NYM	—	296	268	48	11	1	8	21	94	5	2	1	179	252	317	569	138	238	32	7	246	53	-17	+0	+0	-5	+6	-1.6
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	AA RAW	NYM	—	296	259	57	14	1	10	30	77	5	2	1	220	313	398	711	178	270	26	10	317	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	26	AA MLE	NYM	2%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		253	30	10	263	64	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	26	AA MLE	NYM	—	306	277	49	11	1	8	22	97	5	2	1	177	250	310	560	134	236	32	7	247	53	-17	+0	+0	-5	+7	-1.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	NYM	27%	336	302	59	14	1	7	26	95	5	3	1	195	270	318	588	123	257	28	8	267	67	-13	+0	+0	-6	+7	-1.2
2027	27	MLB CTX	NYM	27%	90	82	16	4	0	2	7	25	1	1	0	195	267	317	584	122	250	28	8	252	67	-4	+0	+0	-2	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	90	82	16	4	0	2	7	25	1	1	0	195	267	317	584	122	255	28	8	252	69	-4	+0	+0	-2	+2	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	592	115	29	0	14	51	181	7	7	0	194	266	314	580	120	254	28	8	252	69	-26	+1	+0	-12	+14	-2.2
Career	—	MLE		—	2036	1829	393	92	8	28	149	460	39	22	7	215	288	320	608	105	269	23	7	271	69	-14	+0	+0	-6	+7	-1.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	126	29	3	9	48	147	12	7	2	216	289	322	611	106	270	23	7	271	69	-26	+0	+0	-12	+14	-2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
JT Schwartz (OGILVIE)	26	40	40	40	50	190/264/310	120	253	5	2	29%	7%	64	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jeremy Vasquez 2022 · AA	26	43→46	43→45	40→30	48	211/279/323	112	272	10	4	25%	8%	71	-0.8	217/277/308	91	277	7	4	23%	7%	66	-1.1	216/275/283	67	271	4	0	20%	7%	57	-1.2
✕D.J. Hicks 2016 · AA	26	44→47	43→45	40→30	45	215/277/326	111	291	10	3	29%	8%	71	-0.8	217/277/304	87	306	6	5	29%	7%	65	-1.2	216/277/287	71	308	4	2	29%	7%	59	-1.3
✕Bligh Madris 2022 · AAA	26	46→47	42→50	39→50	45	224/280/333	109	281	9	5	24%	7%	74	-0.6	214/279/349	135	283	14	11	28%	8%	77	-0.3	195/271/351	156	244	20	13	28%	9%	73	-0.4
✕Luke Tendler 2018 · AA	26	42→45	46→50	39→40	42	215/269/346	131	276	14	3	27%	6%	72	-0.7	208/258/323	115	276	13	4	28%	6%	63	-1.4	199/248/305	106	261	13	3	29%	5%	53	-1.5
✕Connor Panas 2019 · AA	26	41→42	45	45→40	40	207/268/329	122	272	13	5	28%	6%	69	-0.9	213/277/338	125	276	12	8	27%	6%	74	-0.5	175/262/325	151	214	16	6	26%	7%	63	-0.3
✕Mike Papi 2019 · AAA	26	45→47	44→45	44→45	49	219/298/337	118	289	12	5	27%	9%	82	-0.0	217/285/321	104	303	9	8	29%	8%	73	-0.6	166/226/208	42	247	0	0	30%	6%	22	-0.7
✕Matt Winaker 2022 · AA	26	44→40	38→45	45	47	207/298/289	82	286	5	6	27%	8%	72	-0.7	196/286/289	93	265	7	7	27%	8%	68	-1.0	139/246/214	76	186	7	4	27%	9%	36	-1.4
✕Brendon Sanger 2019 · AA	25	42	43→45	41→45	46	210/279/319	109	279	11	5	28%	8%	70	-0.8	192/264/301	109	281	12	7	34%	8%	61	-1.5	147/228/243	96	221	12	4	37%	8%	33	-2.4
✕Greg Creek 2009 · AA	26	47→49	40	39→40	45	225/283/327	101	288	6	4	24%	6%	73	-0.6	217/268/314	97	277	8	5	23%	6%	64	-1.3	202/245/278	76	253	7	3	22%	5%	45	-1.6
✕Dillon Paulson 2023 · AA	26	45→36	46→50	45→30	50	225/298/352	127	278	14	6	24%	9%	85	+0.2	220/285/329	109	293	10	5	26%	8%	74	-0.5	213/277/313	100	285	8	0	26%	8%	65	-0.4
✕Chantz Mack 2017 · AA	26	45→47	44→45	45	47	221/290/334	113	297	11	5	28%	8%	78	-0.3	217/293/321	104	298	10	6	28%	9%	76	-0.4	159/272/212	53	217	4	0	26%	13%	42	-0.5
✕Nathan Panther 2007 · AA	26	44→43	42→45	44→45	46	213/275/315	102	268	9	7	24%	7%	68	-1.0	225/294/353	128	277	12	7	22%	8%	83	+0.1	227/302/369	143	272	14	6	21%	9%	87	+0.2
✕Stefan Welch 2014 · AA	25	42→43	45	45→40	44	211/278/329	118	280	13	5	28%	7%	72	-0.7	204/279/317	113	284	11	5	30%	8%	70	-0.8	178/263/285	107	251	10	1	31%	8%	57	-1.2
✕Viosergy Rosa 2016 · AA	26	43→50	44→45	46→30	48	212/287/326	114	277	12	2	27%	9%	76	-0.4	212/276/329	117	298	12	2	31%	8%	71	-0.8	208/269/328	121	293	13	0	32%	8%	67	-0.7
✕Danny Hayes 2017 · AAA	26	45→47	45	42→30	51	219/300/344	125	287	12	2	26%	10%	84	+0.1	200/270/326	126	287	13	4	33%	9%	69	-0.9	172/245/288	116	249	13	0	35%	9%	50	-2.0
✕Steele Walker 2022 · AAA	26	43→47	45	47→50	44	215/266/336	121	258	13	10	22%	6%	69	-0.9	211/266/329	118	259	13	10	23%	6%	68	-1.0	198/257/309	111	239	13	9	23%	6%	56	-0.7
✕Eric Jagielo 2018 · AAA	26	39→36	40→45	42→30	42	190/260/275	85	269	8	2	31%	7%	53	-2.1	188/244/292	104	275	10	4	34%	6%	51	-2.3	162/209/266	104	239	11	1	36%	5%	30	-2.8
✕Carlos Franco 2018 · AAA	26	45→50	44→45	42→45	41	220/274/328	109	311	12	3	32%	7%	70	-0.8	214/263/333	119	331	14	4	37%	6%	68	-1.0	198/245/310	112	315	13	1	40%	6%	54	-1.6
✕Ricky Oropesa 2016 · AA	26	43	46→45	43→30	39	218/263/339	122	293	14	2	30%	5%	68	-1.0	212/265/336	124	292	14	5	31%	6%	69	-0.9	182/241/287	105	248	15	0	32%	6%	45	-1.3
✕Tristan Gray 2022 · AAA	26	41→35	46→50	42→40	42	209/270/342	132	281	14	5	30%	7%	72	-0.7	186/239/339	153	263	20	4	37%	5%	61	-1.5	198/254/329	130	265	15	3	30%	6%	62	-0.9