Bryce Ball — OGILVIE

Bryce Ball1B Reading Fightin Phils

Age 28 L/R 6'6" / 240 lbs AA HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 174 proj PA

wRC+†51

AVG/OBP/SLG.184 / .259 / .287

PA174

HR3

K%33

BB%8

ISO104

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 34

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER34

scouting grade only

EYE51

scouting grade only

SPEED42

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	21	A	Rome Braves	—	90	87	24	4	0	4	3	27	0	0	0	276	300	460	760	184	357	30	3	325	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A	Rome Braves	—	90	86	29	6	0	4	4	20	0	0	0	337	367	547	913	209	403	22	4	400	164	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	439	373	60	14	1	12	61	160	1	0	0	161	280	300	581	139	234	36	14	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	439	354	73	21	2	13	80	121	1	0	0	206	354	387	741	181	268	28	18	335	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	562	502	117	29	2	9	54	171	2	1	4	233	310	353	663	120	331	30	10	292	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	562	486	129	31	2	11	69	121	2	1	4	265	358	405	764	140	330	22	12	342	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA	2 teams	—	394	360	62	17	0	9	31	155	1	1	1	172	240	294	534	122	268	39	8	241	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA	2 teams	—	394	343	75	23	0	9	48	112	1	1	1	219	316	364	681	146	295	28	12	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	206	184	27	9	1	2	18	91	2	0	0	147	230	239	470	92	269	44	9	206	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	206	176	34	12	1	3	26	67	2	0	0	193	304	324	628	131	287	33	13	287	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	28	MLB	PHI	—	174	156	30	7	1	3	15	58	1	2	1	192	267	308	575	115	271	33	9	251	51	-10	+0	+0	-3	+5	-0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	PHI	23%	209	187	36	8	1	4	18	68	2	3	1	193	271	310	581	118	272	33	9	256	54	-11	+0	-1	-4	+6	-1.0
2027	29	MLB	PHI	23%	47	43	8	2	0	1	4	15	0	1	0	186	255	302	558	116	274	32	9	252	51	-3	+0	-0	-1	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	47	43	8	2	0	1	4	15	0	1	0	186	255	302	558	116	259	32	9	252	51	-3	+0	-0	-1	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	595	111	28	0	14	55	207	0	14	0	187	255	304	560	118	259	32	8	252	51	-36	+3	-4	-12	+18	-3.1
Career	—			—	2074	1849	356	88	6	43	200	730	9	7	7	193	275	316	591	124	287	35	10	262	59	-96	-1	-1	-37	+59	-7.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	112	28	2	13	63	229	3	2	2	193	276	316	592	123	290	35	10	262	59	-30	-0	-0	-12	+18	-2.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	21	A	Rome Braves	—	90	86	29	6	0	4	4	20	0	0	0	337	367	547	913	209	403	22	4	400	164	+7	+0	—	—	+3	0.9
2021	23	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	439	354	73	21	2	13	80	121	1	0	0	206	354	387	741	181	268	28	18	335	115	+7	+0	—	—	+12	2.0
2022	24	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	562	486	129	31	2	11	69	121	2	1	4	265	358	405	764	140	330	22	12	342	120	+13	-1	—	—	+16	2.8
2023	25	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	245	212	44	13	0	9	32	74	0	0	0	208	311	396	708	189	269	30	13	317	101	+0	+0	—	—	+7	0.7
2023	25	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	149	131	31	10	0	0	16	38	1	1	1	237	324	313	637	76	330	26	11	294	83	-3	-0	—	—	+4	0.1
2024	26	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	206	176	34	12	1	3	26	67	2	0	0	193	304	324	628	131	287	33	13	287	78	-5	+0	—	—	+6	0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Bryce Ball (OGILVIE)	28	20	34	42	51	184/259/287	103	271	3	2	33%	8%	51	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jameson Fisher 2021 · AA	27	39→36	40→45	44→45	42	186/257/276	90	290	8	6	36%	8%	46	-2.0	215/267/333	118	308	11	6	32%	6%	65	-0.7	227/273/366	140	303	15	2	29%	5%	72	-0.1
✕Luke Tendler 2019 · AA	27	41→42	45	38→40	39	208/258/327	118	279	13	3	30%	6%	59	-1.1	201/252/317	116	275	13	6	31%	6%	54	-1.4	176/228/284	108	235	14	4	31%	6%	33	-2.2
✕Preston Beck 2019 · AAA	28	43→44	42→45	41→45	41	213/262/315	101	277	9	4	26%	5%	57	-1.2	217/273/329	112	289	10	5	27%	7%	66	-0.6	213/272/324	111	281	9	3	26%	7%	61	-0.8
✕Scott Hurst 2022 · AAA	26	37→31	40	43→50	37	182/237/266	85	290	8	8	38%	7%	34	-2.8	216/287/322	106	294	11	19	28%	8%	70	-0.3	228/308/337	109	285	13	25	23%	9%	79	+0.2
✕Ryan Ripken 2021 · AA	28	43→44	41→40	45→40	34	214/244/309	95	295	9	4	30%	3%	48	-1.9	197/241/282	85	308	7	7	36%	5%	40	-2.4	147/184/198	51	240	3	3	39%	4%	-9	-1.6
✕Viosergy Rosa 2018 · AA	28	37→47	47→45	39→30	41	194/256/325	131	278	15	2	35%	8%	59	-1.1	222/277/366	144	306	16	5	31%	7%	78	+0.2	247/310/412	165	335	16	0	29%	8%	100	+0.3
✕Ryan Aguilar 2022 · AA	27	36→40	43→45	51→50	40	173/258/271	97	302	12	13	43%	9%	46	-2.0	207/298/337	130	337	14	13	39%	10%	80	+0.4	218/319/374	157	335	17	13	36%	11%	93	+0.8
✕Matt Winaker 2022 · AA	26	43→38	38→45	45	47	202/293/283	81	284	5	6	28%	8%	65	-0.7	197/285/295	98	268	9	7	28%	8%	64	-0.8	142/246/227	85	189	9	4	28%	8%	30	-1.3
✕A.J. Zapp 2006 · AAA	28	45→44	41→45	46→30	39	216/265/316	100	302	8	4	30%	5%	59	-1.1	213/277/334	121	326	12	5	36%	7%	70	-0.3	188/270/312	123	306	14	0	40%	9%	59	-0.6
✕Caleb Hamilton 2022 · AAA	27	35	44→45	47→45	44	179/260/291	112	277	12	9	38%	10%	52	-1.6	180/266/322	142	275	19	6	39%	10%	63	-0.8	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Nick Banks 2022 · AAA	27	43→46	43→45	41→45	37	211/259/315	104	313	11	5	35%	6%	56	-1.3	225/281/354	129	331	13	7	34%	6%	76	+0.1	230/289/378	148	332	15	5	33%	6%	81	+0.2
✕Justin Toerner 2023 · AAA	26	39	43→45	48→50	44	192/283/299	108	293	11	10	36%	9%	65	-0.7	194/282/315	121	288	13	11	34%	9%	68	-0.5	127/238/245	118	175	14	9	35%	11%	31	-1.0
✕Eric Von Schell 2007 · AA	28	40	44→50	41→30	35	203/237/318	115	276	12	4	32%	4%	47	-1.9	215/266/378	163	289	21	4	32%	5%	77	+0.1	203/262/394	192	257	28	0	33%	6%	80	+0.3
✕Preston Palmeiro 2023 · AAA	28	44→47	45	42→40	43	222/270/346	124	274	12	5	24%	6%	69	-0.4	210/272/323	113	273	10	7	25%	7%	65	-0.7	143/230/236	94	191	6	3	27%	10%	24	-0.9
✕Jake Lowery 2017 · AA	27	36	44→45	47→30	43	185/254/299	114	263	11	5	33%	8%	51	-1.7	195/267/300	105	315	10	6	38%	9%	56	-1.3	118/199/170	52	253	3	0	50%	9%	-6	-1.3
✕Jeremy Farrell 2015 · AAA	28	41→36	40→45	42→45	38	198/260/294	96	295	7	4	34%	6%	52	-1.6	210/260/306	96	324	7	6	35%	5%	54	-1.4	193/233/275	82	313	4	2	38%	2%	33	-1.0
✕Eric Crozier 2006 · MLB	27	38	46→50	45→40	36	188/244/325	138	305	13	8	41%	7%	53	-1.5	204/261/343	139	334	15	7	41%	7%	66	-0.6	184/260/342	158	267	20	2	37%	9%	64	-0.3
✕Eric Jagielo 2018 · AAA	26	38→36	40→50	42→30	40	186/254/273	87	268	8	2	32%	6%	44	-2.1	190/242/301	111	279	11	4	34%	5%	46	-2.0	167/210/286	119	245	13	1	36%	4%	27	-2.5
✕Steven Lerud 2013 · AAA	28	40→41	40→45	42→40	37	191/258/280	89	307	8	4	38%	6%	47	-1.9	211/291/302	91	301	8	5	30%	8%	67	-0.5	207/292/282	75	287	7	2	28%	9%	60	-0.4
✕Anderson Miller 2021 · AA	27	39→45	43→45	47→50	36	199/237/307	108	271	12	12	31%	4%	45	-2.1	205/268/345	140	282	18	15	33%	7%	69	-0.4	166/237/308	143	210	22	18	33%	7%	45	-0.9