Bryce Ball1B
Reading Fightin Phils
Age 28
L/R
6'6" / 240 lbs
AA
HR +11%H +4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
wRC+†65
AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .270 / .324
PA174
HR4
K%36
BB%9
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
20→20
PWR
35→35
SPD
42→42
EYE
52→52
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.5peak
2026
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| 2034 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $-16M | $-22M | -$7M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 21 | A | Rome Braves | 90 | 88 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .261 | .278 | .443 | .721 | .182 | .328 | 29 | 2 | .307 | 93 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +3 | 0.0 |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 439 | 376 | 61 | 16 | 1 | 11 | 58 | 162 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .162 | .276 | .298 | .574 | .136 | .242 | 37 | 13 | .262 | 59 | -20 | +0 | +0 | -8 | +12 | -1.6 |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | 562 | 507 | 117 | 29 | 2 | 10 | 49 | 162 | 2 | 1 | 4 | .231 | .301 | .355 | .656 | .124 | .316 | 29 | 9 | .287 | 78 | -14 | -1 | +0 | -10 | +16 | -1.0 |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | 2 teams | 394 | 359 | 64 | 18 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 147 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .178 | .247 | .295 | .543 | .117 | .272 | 37 | 8 | .243 | 44 | -25 | -0 | +0 | -7 | +11 | -2.1 |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 206 | 184 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 88 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .152 | .235 | .245 | .480 | .092 | .271 | 43 | 9 | .217 | 24 | -18 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +6 | -1.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | PHI | 174 | 155 | 31 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 63 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .200 | .279 | .335 | .615 | .135 | .286 | 36 | 9 | .270 | 65 | -7 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +5 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB 9% | PHI | 209 | 187 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 73 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .198 | .275 | .332 | .607 | .134 | .286 | 35 | 9 | .274 | 68 | -8 | +0 | -1 | -4 | +6 | -0.7 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB 19% | PHI | 263 | 235 | 47 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 90 | 2 | 2 | 1 | .200 | .280 | .340 | .620 | .140 | .285 | 34 | 9 | .274 | 68 | -9 | +0 | -2 | -5 | +7 | -0.9 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB 29% | PHI | 274 | 246 | 49 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 94 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .199 | .276 | .333 | .609 | .134 | .284 | 34 | 9 | .273 | 67 | -10 | +0 | -3 | -5 | +8 | -1.0 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB 43% | PHI | 272 | 244 | 47 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 94 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .193 | .270 | .316 | .586 | .123 | .283 | 35 | 9 | .270 | 65 | -11 | +0 | -4 | -5 | +8 | -1.2 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB 57% | PHI | 253 | 227 | 44 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 89 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .194 | .271 | .322 | .593 | .128 | .281 | 35 | 9 | .264 | 60 | -11 | +0 | -4 | -5 | +7 | -1.3 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB 74% | PHI | 217 | 195 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 78 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .195 | .270 | .323 | .593 | .128 | .279 | 36 | 9 | .258 | 55 | -11 | +0 | -5 | -4 | +6 | -1.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3353 | 3003 | 586 | 138 | 11 | 75 | 307 | 1166 | 17 | 9 | 8 | .195 | .274 | .323 | .597 | .128 | .287 | 35 | 9 | .266 | 62 | -145 | -1 | -19 | -60 | +95 | -13.3 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 582 | 114 | 27 | 2 | 15 | 60 | 226 | 3 | 2 | 2 | .196 | .274 | .326 | .601 | .131 | .287 | 35 | 9 | .266 | 62 | -28 | -0 | -4 | -12 | +18 | -2.6 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 21 | A | Rome Braves | 90 | 86 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .337 | .367 | .547 | .913 | .209 | .403 | 22 | 4 | .400 | 164 | +7 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 0.9 |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 439 | 354 | 73 | 21 | 2 | 13 | 80 | 121 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .206 | .354 | .387 | .741 | .181 | .268 | 28 | 18 | .335 | 115 | +7 | +0 | — | — | +12 | 2.0 |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | 562 | 486 | 129 | 31 | 2 | 11 | 69 | 121 | 2 | 1 | 4 | .265 | .358 | .405 | .764 | .140 | .330 | 22 | 12 | .342 | 120 | +13 | -1 | — | — | +16 | 2.8 |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | 245 | 212 | 44 | 13 | 0 | 9 | 32 | 74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .208 | .311 | .396 | .708 | .189 | .269 | 30 | 13 | .317 | 101 | +0 | +0 | — | — | +7 | 0.7 |
| 2023 | 25 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 149 | 131 | 31 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 38 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .237 | .324 | .313 | .637 | .076 | .330 | 26 | 11 | .294 | 83 | -3 | -0 | — | — | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 206 | 176 | 34 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .193 | .304 | .324 | .628 | .131 | .287 | 33 | 13 | .287 | 78 | -5 | +0 | — | — | +6 | 0.1 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Bryce Ball (OGILVIE) | 28 | 20 | 35 | 42 | 52 | .192/.270/.324 | .132 | .286 | 4 | 2 | 36% | 9% | 65 | -0.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Viosergy Rosa 2018 · AA |
28 | 39→49 | 45 | 40→30 | 43 | .198/.263/.320 | .121 | .279 | 14 | 2 | 33% | 8% | 60 | -1.0 | .221/.278/.363 | .142 | .304 | 16 | 4 | 31% | 7% | 77 | +0.1 | .247/.311/.423 | .176 | .325 | 19 | 0 | 28% | 9% | 103 | +0.4 |
|
✕Jameson Fisher 2021 · AA |
27 | 39→36 | 40→45 | 43→45 | 41 | .188/.258/.280 | .092 | .292 | 8 | 6 | 36% | 8% | 48 | -1.9 | .220/.275/.343 | .123 | .313 | 13 | 6 | 32% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .235/.285/.380 | .146 | .314 | 17 | 2 | 30% | 6% | 80 | +0.2 |
|
✕Matt Skole 2016 · AAA |
27 | 39 | 47→50 | 44→40 | 47 | .203/.277/.337 | .134 | .268 | 16 | 4 | 30% | 9% | 71 | -0.3 | .200/.265/.347 | .147 | .255 | 18 | 3 | 28% | 8% | 68 | -0.5 | .186/.263/.326 | .140 | .247 | 17 | 1 | 31% | 9% | 60 | -0.7 |
|
✕Preston Beck 2019 · AAA |
28 | 43 | 42→45 | 42→45 | 42 | .215/.264/.319 | .105 | .272 | 10 | 4 | 25% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .215/.271/.329 | .114 | .283 | 11 | 5 | 26% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .208/.270/.325 | .117 | .273 | 10 | 3 | 26% | 7% | 61 | -0.8 |
|
✕Craig Dedelow 2022 · AA |
27 | 35→34 | 48→50 | 43→45 | 35 | .186/.240/.326 | .140 | .284 | 17 | 5 | 40% | 6% | 52 | -1.6 | .185/.258/.341 | .156 | .335 | 19 | 11 | 47% | 8% | 64 | -0.8 | .157/.241/.320 | .162 | .292 | 21 | 14 | 50% | 9% | 50 | -1.6 |
|
✕Dariel Gomez 2023 · A |
27 | 36→45 | 48→50 | 42→30 | 34 | .177/.245/.318 | .141 | .323 | 16 | 2 | 48% | 8% | 53 | -1.5 | .187/.257/.304 | .117 | .348 | 12 | 5 | 46% | 8% | 53 | -1.5 | .152/.242/.230 | .079 | .323 | 7 | 0 | 50% | 11% | 26 | -0.7 |
|
✕Nick Banks 2022 · AAA |
27 | 43→45 | 43→45 | 42→45 | 37 | .213/.260/.321 | .108 | .305 | 11 | 5 | 33% | 5% | 58 | -1.2 | .221/.275/.350 | .129 | .329 | 14 | 6 | 35% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .224/.281/.371 | .147 | .328 | 16 | 5 | 35% | 6% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Quincy Latimore 2017 · AA |
28 | 41→42 | 48→50 | 46→50 | 41 | .210/.264/.348 | .138 | .277 | 16 | 8 | 30% | 6% | 67 | -0.5 | .214/.263/.345 | .131 | .291 | 16 | 7 | 31% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .216/.254/.339 | .124 | .283 | 17 | 6 | 30% | 4% | 57 | -0.8 |
|
✕Luke Tendler 2019 · AA |
27 | 42→44 | 47→50 | 38→40 | 41 | .216/.269/.345 | .129 | .283 | 15 | 3 | 29% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .207/.258/.324 | .117 | .281 | 13 | 5 | 30% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .186/.238/.294 | .108 | .251 | 13 | 4 | 30% | 6% | 39 | -1.9 |
|
✕Ryan Aguilar 2022 · AA |
27 | 38→41 | 43→45 | 50 | 41 | .181/.265/.280 | .099 | .307 | 11 | 12 | 42% | 9% | 52 | -1.6 | .204/.296/.339 | .135 | .334 | 15 | 13 | 39% | 10% | 80 | +0.4 | .217/.319/.382 | .165 | .335 | 19 | 13 | 37% | 12% | 95 | +0.9 |
|
✕Matt Cepicky 2006 · MLB |
28 | 44→43 | 48→50 | 41→30 | 42 | .224/.274/.370 | .146 | .292 | 15 | 5 | 28% | 6% | 77 | +0.1 | .216/.267/.350 | .134 | .285 | 14 | 4 | 28% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .204/.257/.337 | .133 | .270 | 14 | 2 | 29% | 7% | 62 | -0.6 |
|
✕Steven Lerud 2013 · AAA |
28 | 40→42 | 41→45 | 42→40 | 37 | .192/.259/.287 | .095 | .303 | 9 | 4 | 37% | 6% | 50 | -1.7 | .211/.289/.302 | .091 | .303 | 8 | 5 | 30% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .213/.299/.279 | .066 | .305 | 5 | 1 | 29% | 9% | 61 | -0.3 |
|
✕Aaron Rifkin 2007 · AAA |
28 | 42→43 | 48→50 | 47→45 | 45 | .216/.276/.361 | .145 | .270 | 15 | 8 | 26% | 7% | 76 | +0.1 | .222/.273/.365 | .143 | .300 | 15 | 6 | 30% | 5% | 76 | +0.0 | .217/.266/.358 | .142 | .294 | 15 | 3 | 31% | 5% | 69 | -0.4 |
|
✕Patrick Breen 2009 · AA |
27 | 39→40 | 50→55 | 43→45 | 39 | .199/.266/.355 | .156 | .307 | 18 | 8 | 40% | 8% | 71 | -0.3 | .206/.294/.312 | .106 | .319 | 10 | 11 | 35% | 9% | 72 | -0.2 | .162/.295/.228 | .066 | .258 | 9 | 11 | 36% | 12% | 53 | -0.3 |
|
✕Tim Pahuta 2011 · AA |
28 | 39 | 50→55 | 45→40 | 37 | .207/.242/.354 | .147 | .263 | 18 | 5 | 29% | 4% | 59 | -1.1 | .211/.252/.373 | .162 | .276 | 20 | 5 | 31% | 5% | 69 | -0.4 | .204/.248/.371 | .167 | .261 | 22 | 2 | 31% | 5% | 65 | -0.4 |
|
✕Rhett Wiseman 2021 · AA |
27 | 37→41 | 50 | 46→45 | 38 | .195/.256/.347 | .152 | .291 | 18 | 8 | 38% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .196/.247/.318 | .122 | .333 | 13 | 7 | 43% | 5% | 53 | -1.5 | .168/.216/.286 | .117 | .293 | 13 | 3 | 45% | 4% | 28 | -1.7 |
|
✕Mike Costanzo 2012 · AAA |
28 | 42→48 | 47→50 | 45→40 | 40 | .209/.266/.345 | .136 | .298 | 14 | 6 | 34% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | .211/.271/.346 | .135 | .297 | 14 | 4 | 32% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .200/.264/.329 | .129 | .278 | 14 | 1 | 32% | 8% | 61 | -0.5 |
|
✕Jose Manuel Orozco 2019 · AAA |
28 | 45 | 47→50 | 47→45 | 39 | .224/.271/.354 | .130 | .303 | 15 | 10 | 31% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .234/.282/.385 | .151 | .334 | 17 | 10 | 34% | 5% | 85 | +0.7 | .237/.283/.399 | .163 | .342 | 20 | 6 | 35% | 5% | 87 | +0.4 |
|
✕Jeremy Farrell 2015 · AAA |
28 | 42→38 | 40→45 | 42→45 | 38 | .202/.265/.299 | .098 | .295 | 7 | 4 | 33% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .208/.259/.304 | .096 | .318 | 7 | 6 | 35% | 5% | 53 | -1.5 | .189/.229/.269 | .080 | .302 | 4 | 2 | 38% | 2% | 29 | -1.1 |
|
✕Joe DeCarlo 2021 · AA |
27 | 40→38 | 43→50 | 47→30 | 40 | .197/.265/.308 | .111 | .291 | 11 | 5 | 34% | 7% | 58 | -1.2 | .199/.260/.292 | .093 | .305 | 9 | 6 | 35% | 7% | 51 | -1.7 | .163/.224/.224 | .061 | .249 | 8 | 0 | 36% | 7% | 16 | -1.3 |