Bryce Ball — OGILVIE

Bryce Ball1B Reading Fightin Phils

Age 28 L/R 6'6" / 240 lbs AA HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 174 proj PA

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .263 / .287

PA14

HR0

K%31

BB%8

ISO100

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 34

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER34

scouting grade only

EYE51

scouting grade only

SPEED42

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	21	A	Rome Braves	—	90	86	29	6	0	4	4	20	0	0	0	337	367	547	913	209	403	22	4	400	157	+6	+0	—	—	+2	0.8
2021	23	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	439	354	73	21	2	13	80	121	1	0	0	206	354	387	741	181	268	28	18	335	113	+7	+0	—	—	+10	1.7
2022	24	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	562	486	129	31	2	11	69	121	2	1	4	265	358	405	764	140	330	22	12	342	118	+12	-1	—	—	+12	2.3
2023	25	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	245	212	44	13	0	9	32	74	0	0	0	208	311	396	708	189	269	30	13	317	101	+0	+0	—	—	+5	0.6
2023	25	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	149	131	31	10	0	0	16	38	1	1	1	237	324	313	637	76	330	26	11	294	85	-3	-0	—	—	+3	0.0
2024	26	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	—	206	176	34	12	1	3	26	67	2	0	0	193	304	324	628	131	287	33	13	287	81	-5	+0	—	—	+4	-0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	21	A MLE	Rome Braves	—	90	87	24	4	0	4	3	27	0	0	0	276	300	460	760	184	353	30	3	313	98	-0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2021	23	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	439	375	61	16	1	11	59	162	1	0	0	163	278	299	577	136	236	37	13	260	62	-20	+0	—	—	+10	-1.0
2022	24	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	562	505	118	28	2	8	51	154	2	1	4	234	306	345	651	111	313	27	9	288	81	-13	-1	—	—	+12	-0.2
2023	25	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	—	245	222	39	12	0	7	22	92	0	0	0	176	250	324	574	149	252	38	9	253	57	-12	+0	—	—	+5	-0.7
2023	25	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	149	137	24	7	0	0	10	53	1	1	1	175	236	226	463	51	280	36	7	212	30	-12	-0	—	—	+3	-1.0
2024	26	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	—	206	184	28	9	1	2	18	84	2	0	0	152	235	245	480	92	253	41	9	217	33	-16	+0	—	—	+4	-1.2
2019	21	A MLE	Rome Braves	—	90	87	24	4	0	4	3	27	0	0	0	276	300	460	760	184	357	30	3	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A RAW	Rome Braves	—	90	86	29	6	0	4	4	20	0	0	0	337	367	547	913	209	403	22	4	400	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	439	375	61	16	1	11	59	162	1	0	0	163	278	299	577	136	243	37	13	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+ RAW	South Bend Cubs	—	439	354	73	21	2	13	80	121	1	0	0	206	354	387	741	181	268	28	18	335	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	562	505	118	28	2	8	51	154	2	1	4	234	306	345	651	111	317	27	9	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA RAW	Tennessee Smokies	—	562	486	129	31	2	11	69	121	2	1	4	265	358	405	764	140	330	22	12	342	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	394	359	62	18	0	7	32	145	1	1	1	173	242	281	524	109	263	37	8	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	394	343	75	23	0	9	48	112	1	1	1	219	316	364	681	146	295	28	12	308	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	—	206	184	28	9	1	2	18	84	2	0	0	152	235	245	480	92	260	41	9	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA RAW	Reading Fightin Phils	—	206	176	34	12	1	3	26	67	2	0	0	193	304	324	628	131	287	33	13	287	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A MLE	Rome Braves	—	90	87	24	4	0	4	3	27	0	0	0	276	300	460	760	184	353	30	3	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	439	376	61	16	1	11	59	162	1	0	0	162	278	298	576	136	236	37	13	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	562	504	118	28	2	8	51	154	2	1	4	234	306	345	652	111	313	27	9	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	394	358	62	18	0	7	32	145	1	1	1	173	242	282	524	109	263	37	8	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	—	206	184	28	9	1	2	18	84	2	0	0	152	235	245	480	92	253	41	9	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	394	358	62	18	0	7	32	145	1	1	1	173	242	282	524	109	263	37	8	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	—	206	184	28	9	1	2	18	84	2	0	0	152	235	245	480	92	253	41	9	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	28	MLB MLE	PHI	2%	14	13	3	1	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	231	286	308	593	77	270	29	7	254	58	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	PHI	23%	209	187	36	8	1	3	18	64	2	3	1	193	271	294	565	102	271	31	9	259	61	-10	+0	-1	-4	+5	-1.0
2027	29	MLB CTX	PHI	23%	47	43	8	2	0	1	4	14	0	1	0	186	255	302	558	116	274	30	9	256	61	-2	+0	-0	-1	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	47	43	8	2	0	1	4	14	0	1	0	186	255	302	558	116	250	30	9	256	63	-2	+0	-0	-1	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	595	111	28	0	14	55	194	0	14	0	187	255	304	560	118	251	30	8	256	63	-30	+3	-4	-12	+14	-3.0
Career	—	MLE		—	1914	1710	332	84	5	35	182	640	8	5	6	194	275	311	585	116	283	33	10	261	63	-10	+0	-1	-4	+5	-1.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	114	29	2	12	62	217	3	2	2	196	277	315	592	119	287	33	10	261	63	-30	+1	-4	-12	+14	-3.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Bryce Ball (OGILVIE)	28	20	34	42	51	188/263/287	99	270	2	2	31%	8%	58	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jameson Fisher 2021 · AA	27	40→37	40→45	44→45	42	191/261/284	93	292	8	6	35%	8%	55	-1.9	220/275/335	115	311	11	6	31%	7%	72	-0.7	236/286/368	132	312	14	2	28%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Preston Beck 2019 · AAA	28	45→44	42→45	41→45	42	219/268/321	102	276	9	4	24%	6%	66	-1.1	219/276/331	112	284	10	5	25%	7%	72	-0.7	213/274/323	110	275	9	3	25%	7%	66	-0.9
✕Scott Hurst 2022 · AAA	26	38→32	39→40	43→50	39	186/244/267	82	291	7	8	37%	7%	45	-2.7	220/295/322	102	299	10	19	28%	9%	77	-0.3	236/319/338	102	297	11	25	23%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Nick Banks 2022 · AAA	27	43→46	42→45	41→45	38	212/260/313	101	307	10	5	33%	6%	61	-1.5	221/277/343	122	328	12	7	34%	6%	75	-0.5	221/279/355	134	327	14	5	35%	6%	74	-0.3
✕Eric Jagielo 2018 · AAA	26	39→36	40→45	42→30	42	190/260/275	85	269	8	2	31%	7%	53	-2.1	188/244/292	104	275	10	4	34%	6%	51	-2.3	162/209/266	104	239	11	1	36%	5%	30	-2.8
✕A.J. Zapp 2006 · AAA	28	45→44	40→45	46→30	39	215/266/310	95	302	7	4	30%	6%	63	-1.4	214/281/331	117	323	11	5	35%	7%	74	-0.5	192/273/310	117	303	12	0	38%	9%	65	-0.7
✕Ryan Ripken 2021 · AA	28	44→43	41→45	45→40	35	215/245/308	93	292	9	4	30%	3%	54	-2.0	197/242/281	84	305	6	7	35%	5%	47	-2.6	145/184/195	50	236	2	3	38%	4%	3	-1.6
✕Justin Toerner 2023 · AAA	26	40	42→40	48→50	45	194/288/297	103	292	10	10	34%	9%	70	-0.8	194/284/310	116	283	12	11	33%	10%	71	-0.8	127/239/235	107	174	13	9	33%	12%	38	-1.1
✕Preston Palmeiro 2023 · AAA	28	45→48	43→45	42→40	44	222/273/336	114	276	10	5	23%	6%	72	-0.7	211/276/321	110	275	9	7	25%	8%	70	-0.9	144/232/234	90	194	6	3	27%	10%	33	-1.0
✕Matt Winaker 2022 · AA	26	44→40	38→45	45	47	207/298/289	82	286	5	6	27%	8%	72	-0.7	196/286/289	93	265	7	7	27%	8%	68	-1.0	139/246/214	76	186	7	4	27%	9%	36	-1.4
✕Brian Jeroloman 2013 · AAA	28	43→38	37→40	42→40	48	205/287/272	67	288	6	7	29%	9%	63	-1.4	198/269/264	66	271	5	5	27%	8%	54	-2.0	178/260/236	58	234	5	0	24%	10%	43	-0.9
✕Jason Delay 2023 · MLB	28	42	39→45	42→40	40	202/250/286	84	278	6	5	29%	6%	51	-2.3	223/280/308	85	291	5	5	23%	6%	68	-1.0	217/273/283	67	280	2	2	22%	6%	57	-0.7
✕Francisco Rivera 2017 · AAA	28	42	41→40	48→40	44	205/247/301	96	239	9	8	19%	5%	53	-2.1	228/283/320	92	274	8	7	19%	7%	71	-0.8	247/302/325	78	292	9	1	18%	7%	78	-0.1
✕Jake Lowery 2017 · AA	27	37	42→45	47→30	44	184/253/289	105	259	9	5	32%	8%	54	-2.0	195/267/298	103	310	9	6	37%	9%	61	-1.5	127/205/187	61	257	4	0	48%	9%	12	-1.1
✕Anthony Bemboom 2018 · AAA	28	43	40	46→45	46	210/270/304	93	271	7	7	24%	7%	63	-1.4	202/267/309	107	264	11	4	26%	7%	63	-1.3	201/272/306	105	260	10	2	26%	8%	63	-0.5
✕Ryan Aguilar 2022 · AA	27	36→41	42→45	51→50	41	177/263/272	95	295	11	13	41%	9%	55	-2.0	208/301/333	125	331	13	13	37%	10%	82	+0.0	220/323/371	151	334	16	13	35%	12%	95	+0.6
✕Eric Von Schell 2007 · AA	28	40	43→50	41→30	36	204/238/312	109	274	11	4	30%	4%	53	-2.1	214/265/370	156	285	20	4	31%	5%	77	-0.3	201/260/382	181	255	26	0	32%	6%	79	-0.2
✕Kyle Holder 2022 · AAA	28	45→47	39→40	46→45	43	214/271/298	83	280	6	7	25%	6%	61	-1.5	203/264/289	86	290	7	7	31%	7%	57	-1.8	151/217/205	53	224	5	0	33%	7%	19	-1.3
✕Tyler LaTorre 2011 · AA	28	44	38→40	37→40	46	210/277/292	81	292	5	4	28%	8%	63	-1.4	215/277/316	101	288	9	5	27%	7%	69	-0.9	236/294/323	86	310	7	3	25%	7%	74	-0.1
✕Viosergy Rosa 2018 · AA	28	41→50	45	39→30	43	207/269/326	119	285	13	2	31%	8%	68	-1.0	225/281/362	137	305	15	5	30%	7%	80	-0.1	246/311/424	177	323	19	0	28%	9%	103	+0.3