Bryce Ball
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 24 | AATennessee Smo… | 562 | .265/.358/.405 | 11 | 1 | 84 | — | .238/.310/.358 |
| 2023 | 25 | AA/A+2 orgs | 394 | .219/.316/.364 | 9 | 1 | 47 | — | .175/.245/.284 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAPHI | 206 | .193/.304/.324 | 3 | 0 | 33 | — | .152/.235/.245 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 21 | A | Rome Braves | — | 90 | 86 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 337 | 367 | 547 | 913 | 209 | 403 | 22 | 4 | 400 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | — | 439 | 354 | 73 | 21 | 2 | 13 | 80 | 121 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 206 | 354 | 387 | 741 | 181 | 268 | 28 | 18 | 335 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 562 | 486 | 129 | 31 | 2 | 11 | 69 | 121 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 265 | 358 | 405 | 764 | 140 | 330 | 22 | 12 | 342 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | — | 245 | 212 | 44 | 13 | 0 | 9 | 32 | 74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 311 | 396 | 708 | 189 | 269 | 30 | 13 | 317 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | — | 149 | 131 | 31 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 38 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 237 | 324 | 313 | 637 | 76 | 330 | 26 | 11 | 294 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 206 | 176 | 34 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 193 | 304 | 324 | 628 | 131 | 287 | 33 | 13 | 287 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 21 | A MLE | Rome Braves | — | 90 | 87 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 276 | 300 | 460 | 760 | 184 | 358 | 30 | 3 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | South Bend Cubs | — | 439 | 376 | 61 | 16 | 1 | 11 | 58 | 162 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 162 | 276 | 298 | 574 | 136 | 235 | 37 | 13 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 562 | 505 | 120 | 30 | 2 | 9 | 51 | 154 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 238 | 310 | 358 | 668 | 121 | 315 | 27 | 9 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 245 | 222 | 38 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 22 | 92 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 171 | 246 | 315 | 561 | 144 | 255 | 38 | 9 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | A+ MLE | South Bend Cubs | — | 149 | 137 | 25 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 50 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 182 | 243 | 234 | 477 | 51 | 274 | 34 | 7 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 206 | 184 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 84 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 152 | 235 | 245 | 480 | 92 | 254 | 41 | 9 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A MLE | Rome Braves | — | 90 | 87 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 276 | 300 | 460 | 760 | 184 | 357 | 30 | 3 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A RAW | Rome Braves | — | 90 | 86 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 337 | 367 | 547 | 913 | 209 | 403 | 22 | 4 | 400 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | South Bend Cubs | — | 439 | 376 | 61 | 16 | 1 | 11 | 58 | 162 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 162 | 276 | 298 | 574 | 136 | 242 | 37 | 13 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ RAW | South Bend Cubs | — | 439 | 354 | 73 | 21 | 2 | 13 | 80 | 121 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 206 | 354 | 387 | 741 | 181 | 268 | 28 | 18 | 335 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 562 | 505 | 120 | 30 | 2 | 9 | 51 | 154 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 238 | 310 | 358 | 668 | 121 | 321 | 27 | 9 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA RAW | Tennessee Smokies | — | 562 | 486 | 129 | 31 | 2 | 11 | 69 | 121 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 265 | 358 | 405 | 764 | 140 | 330 | 22 | 12 | 342 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 394 | 359 | 63 | 18 | 0 | 7 | 32 | 142 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 175 | 245 | 284 | 529 | 109 | 264 | 36 | 8 | 238 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 394 | 343 | 75 | 23 | 0 | 9 | 48 | 112 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 219 | 316 | 364 | 681 | 146 | 295 | 28 | 12 | 308 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 206 | 184 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 84 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 152 | 235 | 245 | 480 | 92 | 260 | 41 | 9 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA RAW | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 206 | 176 | 34 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 193 | 304 | 324 | 628 | 131 | 287 | 33 | 13 | 287 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A MLE | Rome Braves | — | 90 | 87 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 276 | 300 | 460 | 760 | 184 | 358 | 30 | 3 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | South Bend Cubs | — | 439 | 377 | 61 | 16 | 1 | 11 | 58 | 162 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 162 | 276 | 297 | 573 | 135 | 235 | 37 | 13 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 562 | 504 | 120 | 30 | 2 | 9 | 51 | 154 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 238 | 310 | 359 | 669 | 121 | 315 | 27 | 9 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 394 | 358 | 63 | 18 | 0 | 7 | 32 | 142 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 176 | 245 | 285 | 530 | 109 | 262 | 36 | 8 | 238 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 206 | 184 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 84 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 152 | 235 | 245 | 480 | 92 | 254 | 41 | 9 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 26 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 206 | 184 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 84 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 152 | 235 | 245 | 480 | 92 | 254 | 41 | 9 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1691 | 1511 | 296 | 77 | 4 | 33 | 162 | 569 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 196 | 276 | 318 | 594 | 122 | 286 | 34 | 10 | 263 | 64 | -72 | -2 | +0 | -30 | +37 | -6.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 581 | 115 | 30 | 2 | 13 | 62 | 219 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 198 | 278 | 324 | 601 | 126 | 288 | 34 | 10 | 263 | 64 | -28 | -1 | +0 | -12 | +14 | -2.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 AAReading Fightin Phils · 206 PAwOBA .283 → .217 (−66)K% 32.5% → 40.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.52% | ÷0.974 | ×1.220 | — | — | 40.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.62% | ÷1.013 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 8.62% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.97% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.82% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.51% | ÷0.997 | ×0.970 | ×0.982 | ×0.988 | 15.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.01% | ÷1.022 | ×0.860 | ×0.982 | ×0.988 | 8.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.92% | ÷0.983 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | ×0.988 | 0.86% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.75% | ÷1.137 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 1.87% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 99, 2B 104, 3B 97, K 95, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.982.
Result: wOBA .283 → .217; ISO .131 → .095; BABIP .287 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAAkron RubberDucks · 245 PAwOBA .309 → .254 (−54)K% 30.2% → 37.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.20% | ÷0.977 | ×1.220 | — | — | 37.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.65% | ÷0.988 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 8.94% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.94% | ÷0.995 | ×0.970 | ×1.004 | ×0.998 | 15.57% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.42% | ÷0.933 | ×0.860 | ×1.004 | ×0.998 | 8.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.053 | ×0.950 | ×1.004 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.52% | ÷0.909 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 5.59% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 99, 2B 87, 3B 111, K 95, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.
Result: wOBA .309 → .254; ISO .189 → .157; BABIP .269 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+South Bend Cubs · 149 PAwOBA .286 → .213 (−73)K% 25.5% → 33.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.50% | ÷0.966 | ×1.270 | — | — | 33.51% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.07% | ÷1.060 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 6.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.67% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.978 | 0.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.58% | ÷0.988 | ×0.920 | ×0.988 | ×0.978 | 20.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.75% | ÷1.140 | ×0.810 | ×0.988 | ×0.978 | 7.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.988 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.197 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 139, 1B 98, 2B 128, 3B 130, K 93, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.
Result: wOBA .286 → .213; ISO .076 → .050; BABIP .330 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AATennessee Smokies · 562 PAwOBA .336 → .292 (−44)K% 21.5% → 27.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.53% | ÷0.958 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.28% | ÷0.940 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 8.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.36% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 0.30% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.29% | ÷0.982 | ×0.920 | ×1.004 | ×1.012 | 22.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.49% | ÷0.929 | ×0.910 | ×1.004 | ×1.012 | 8.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.55% | ÷0.973 | ×0.880 | ×1.004 | ×1.012 | 0.50% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.01% | ÷1.010 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 2.42% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 96, 2B 86, 3B 95, K 92, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.
Result: wOBA .336 → .292; ISO .140 → .122; BABIP .330 → .315. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+South Bend Cubs · 439 PAwOBA .331 → .260 (−71)K% 27.6% → 36.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.56% | ÷1.012 | ×1.350 | — | — | 36.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.22% | ÷0.968 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 13.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.23% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.998 | 0.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.88% | ÷0.990 | ×0.910 | ×1.031 | ×0.998 | 15.01% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.01% | ÷1.080 | ×0.830 | ×1.031 | ×0.998 | 7.13% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.86% | ÷1.150 | ×0.820 | ×1.031 | ×0.998 | 0.63% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.58% | ÷0.928 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.998 | 4.98% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 98, 2B 116, 3B 130, K 102, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.
Result: wOBA .331 → .260; ISO .181 → .144; BABIP .268 → .235. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 ARome Braves · 90 PAwOBA .389 → .317 (−71)K% 22.2% → 29.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.22% | ÷1.001 | ×1.340 | — | — | 29.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.44% | ÷0.982 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.015 | 3.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.79% | ÷1.007 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.015 | 26.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.080 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.015 | 7.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.06% | ÷0.851 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.015 | 5.93% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 101, 2B 116, 3B 130, K 100, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .389 → .317; ISO .209 → .174; BABIP .403 → .358. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).