Anfernny Reyes

P Wilson Warbirds

Age 23 LHP 6'3" / 170 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	20	MIX2 levels	23	32	2.23	3.38	28.3%	17.9%	—	K 20.2% · BB 21.4% · FIP 4.56
2025	21	ACarolina Mudc…	35	45	4.43	4.00	24.8%	18.7%	—	K 18.3% · BB 22.1% · FIP 4.90
2026	22	AMIL	11	22	2.05	1.83	37.3%	8.4%	—	K 27.6% · BB 10.0% · FIP 2.89
2027PROJ	23	MLBMIL	50	52	5.76	5.76	20.9%	19.8%	-0.7
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBMIL	22	23	5.48	5.38	21.8%	17.4%	-0.2
2029PROJ66% MLB	25	MLBMIL	34	36	5.24	5.14	22.2%	15.8%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -1.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff40Control20Command25

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsDillon Larsen (age 24) · Jeff Belge (age 23) · Julian Bosnic (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126134vR 143

ERA5.76

FIP5.76

K%20.9%

BB%19.8%

K-BB%1.1%

Proj IP52

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL2020

CMD2525

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 2	11	11	47	207	48	24	0	100%	4.2	15.8%	14.5%	1.3%	0.0%	1.54	3.60	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers 2	11	11	47	207	48	24	0	100%	4.2	23.2%	11.6%	11.6%	0.0%	1.54	2.59	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	15	0	30	129	41	14	3	0%	2.0	21.6%	13.6%	8.0%	3.6%	4.85	4.98	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	ACL Brewers	15	0	30	129	41	14	3	0%	2.0	31.8%	10.9%	20.9%	2.3%	4.85	3.07	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	0	32	145	41	26	1	0%	1.4	20.2%	21.4%	-1.3%	0.8%	2.23	4.56	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	0	32	145	41	26	1	0%	1.4	20.2%	21.4%	-1.3%	0.8%	2.23	4.56	—
2024	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	0	32	145	41	26	1	0%	1.4	28.3%	17.9%	10.3%	0.7%	2.23	3.38	—
2025	21	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	35	0	45	214	53	40	2	0%	1.3	18.3%	22.1%	-3.7%	1.0%	4.43	4.90	—
2025	21	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	35	0	45	214	53	40	2	0%	1.3	18.3%	22.1%	-3.7%	1.0%	4.43	4.90	—
2025	21	A RAW	Carolina Mudcats	35	0	45	214	53	40	2	0%	1.3	24.8%	18.7%	6.1%	0.9%	4.43	4.00	—
2026	22	A MLE	Wilson Warbirds	11	0	22	83	31	7	1	0%	2.0	27.6%	10.0%	17.7%	1.6%	2.05	2.89	—
2026	22	A MLE	Wilson Warbirds	11	0	22	83	31	7	1	0%	2.0	27.6%	10.0%	17.7%	1.6%	2.05	2.89	—
2026	22	A RAW	Wilson Warbirds	11	0	22	83	31	7	1	0%	2.0	37.3%	8.4%	28.9%	1.2%	2.05	1.83	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	MIL	50	0	52	220	46	44	6	0%	1.0	20.9%	19.8%	1.1%	2.8%	5.76	5.76	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	MIL	51	0	54	227	49	39	6	0%	1.1	21.8%	17.4%	4.4%	2.8%	5.48	5.38	-0.5
2029	25	MLB MLE	MIL	52	0	54	230	51	36	6	0%	1.0	22.2%	15.8%	6.4%	2.8%	5.24	5.14	-0.4
2028	24	MLB CTX	MIL	22	0	23	97	21	17	3	0%	1.0	21.8%	17.4%	4.4%	2.8%	5.48	5.38	-0.2
2029	25	MLB CTX	MIL	34	0	36	152	34	24	4	0%	1.1	22.2%	15.8%	6.4%	2.8%	5.24	5.14	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		56	0	59	249	55	41	7	0%	1.1	22.1%	16.4%	5.6%	2.8%	5.33	4.85	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	186	139	24	0%	1.1	22.1%	16.4%	5.6%	2.8%	5.33	4.85	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		95	11	175	778	152	134	9	12%	1.8	19.5%	17.2%	2.3%	1.2%	3.03	4.29	-0.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		108	13	200	887	173	153	11	12%	1.8	19.5%	17.2%	2.3%	1.2%	3.03	4.29	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Anfernny Reyes (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.76	20.9%	19.8%	2.8%	—	5.26	22.0%	5.4%	108	-0.50	—	—	—
Dillon Larsen L 2022 · 5.90 FIP	24	SU	5.90	21.7%	21.6%	3.5%	.277	4.65	18.0%	-4.1%	91	-1.25	4.04	120	86
Jeff Belge L 2021 · 4.91 FIP	23	SU	4.91	24.0%	18.8%	2.7%	.343	3.68	24.2%	10.4%	131	-1.23	3.30	175	85
Julian Bosnic L 2023 · 5.72 FIP	23	SU	5.72	22.5%	21.0%	3.4%	.206	4.74	19.1%	-0.1%	90	-0.98	4.31	136	84
Nicolo Pinazzi L 2023 · 6.79 FIP	23	SU	6.79	19.3%	26.9%	3.5%	.307	2.58	30.1%	16.3%	62	-4.21	2.58	155	84
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	84
Christian Chamberlain L 2022 · 6.42 FIP	23	SU	6.42	23.4%	21.7%	4.6%	.330	4.12	24.1%	5.4%	99	-2.30	3.91	148	83
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	83
Gil Luna L 2023 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	22.5%	24.5%	1.9%	.303	4.95	19.7%	-6.0%	73	-0.42	4.57	113	82
Austin Hamilton L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	17.0%	15.6%	2.3%	.329	4.20	16.3%	8.9%	109	-0.72	4.02	135	82
Trevor Seidenberger L 2015 · 4.64 FIP	23	SU	4.64	18.1%	14.3%	2.3%	.248	6.29	13.1%	-1.8%	52	+1.65	4.64	101	82
Juan Pichardo L 2021 · 4.83 FIP	23	SU	4.83	17.7%	17.1%	1.9%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.13	103	82
Triston Polley L 2021 · 4.88 FIP	24	SU	4.88	22.3%	20.0%	2.1%	.361	4.77	18.5%	5.2%	136	-0.11	4.15	151	81
Bryan King L 2021 · 5.20 FIP	24	SU	5.20	17.4%	17.8%	2.4%	.317	2.82	24.4%	14.9%	77	-2.38	2.41	244	81
Ben Harris L 2023 · 4.76 FIP	23	SU	4.76	25.4%	21.9%	1.9%	.252	5.29	22.7%	2.9%	76	+0.53	3.06	183	80
Fabian Williamson L 2015 · 5.31 FIP	26	SU	5.31	17.4%	17.9%	2.6%	.289	4.16	20.0%	8.2%	77	-1.15	3.39	154	80
Evan Shawver L 2023 · 5.78 FIP	23	SW	5.78	15.9%	16.5%	3.5%	.327	4.06	18.5%	7.5%	165	-1.72	3.79	281	79
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	79
Eric Torres L 2023 · 6.58 FIP	23	SU	6.58	21.7%	19.8%	5.1%	.283	4.18	26.5%	10.4%	56	-2.40	2.81	155	78
José Manuel Fernández L 2016 · 6.16 FIP	23	SU	6.16	16.4%	19.7%	3.5%	.211	4.71	17.7%	6.4%	168	-1.45	3.35	263	78
Braeden Fausnaught L 2023 · 4.77 FIP	24	SW	4.77	16.9%	16.4%	1.8%	.287	4.60	17.9%	9.7%	179	-0.17	4.43	242	78

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	54	21.7%	17.6%	1.08	5.49
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Ken Wright ('70-'74, -0 WAR*)	1.2	79	23.8%*	16.1%*	0.70*	5.24*
Dave Jolly ('53-'57, -0 WAR*)	1.5	58	20.2%*	14.3%*	0.91*	4.33*