Caden Powell

SS Asheville Tourists

Age 23 R/R 6'2" / 200 lbs A+ HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

Overview

A+PROSPECTFG #493MiLBFA 2034

Scout OFP40ETA2030FG ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	21	AHOU	346	.239/.345/.404	10	32	52	—	.183/.261/.298
2025	21	ROKHOU	20	.083/.421/.083	0	0	20	—	.067/.263/.067
2026	22	A+HOU	474	.279/.369/.454	18	30	72	—	.218/.278/.354
2027PROJ0% MLB	23	MLBHOU	2	.200/.264/.326	0	0	65	-0.0
2028PROJ22% MLB	24	MLBHOU	109	.205/.270/.340	3	3	70	-0.0
2029PROJ35% MLB	25	MLBHOU	180	.208/.274/.348	5	5	74	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$1M2032Arb-2$2M2033Arb-3$1.0M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

wOBA67

ISO61

BB%54

wRC+52

Speed50

Chase%36

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 94%

CompsJase Bowen (age 23) · Sean Coyle (age 22) · Kendall Simmons (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .264 / .326

PA2

HR0

K%50

BB%7

BABIP285

ISO130

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$4M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 34 / POW 52

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT34

scouting grade only

POWER52

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-3	$1.0M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$0.6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	20	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	94	87	21	4	1	2	4	34	2	6	1	241	290	379	670	138	365	36	4	296	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	346	297	71	15	2	10	43	103	5	32	6	239	345	404	749	165	330	30	12	338	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK	FCL Astros	—	20	12	1	0	0	0	5	7	2	0	0	83	421	83	504		167	35	25	293	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	474	412	115	18	0	18	57	131	2	30	9	279	369	454	823	175	365	28	12	366	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	20	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	94	88	16	3	1	1	3	45	2	6	1	182	226	273	499	91	330	48	3	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	346	312	57	11	2	7	28	141	5	32	6	183	261	298	559	115	292	41	8	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	20	15	1	0	0	0	2	10	2	0	0	67	263	67	330		143	50	10	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	474	435	95	14	0	15	34	172	2	30	9	218	278	354	632	136	313	36	7	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	94	88	16	3	1	1	3	45	2	6	1	182	226	273	499	91	349	48	3	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A RAW	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	94	87	21	4	1	2	4	34	2	6	1	241	290	379	670	138	365	36	4	296	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	366	327	58	11	2	7	30	151	7	32	6	177	261	287	548	110	298	41	8	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	366	309	72	15	2	10	48	110	7	32	6	233	349	392	740	159	325	30	13	335	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	474	435	95	14	0	15	34	172	2	30	9	218	278	354	632	136	319	36	7	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ RAW	Asheville Tourists	—	474	412	115	18	0	18	57	131	2	30	9	279	369	454	823	175	365	28	12	366	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	94	89	16	3	1	1	3	45	2	6	1	180	226	270	495	90	330	48	3	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	366	326	58	11	2	7	30	151	7	32	6	178	261	288	549	110	284	41	8	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	474	435	95	14	0	15	34	172	2	30	9	218	278	354	632	136	313	36	7	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	20	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	94	89	16	3	1	1	3	45	2	6	1	180	226	270	495	90	330	48	3	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	366	326	58	11	2	7	30	151	7	32	6	178	261	288	549	110	284	41	8	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	474	435	95	14	0	15	34	172	2	30	9	218	278	354	632	136	313	36	7	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	543	495	98	16	1	15	39	189	4	18	5	198	262	325	587	127	281	35	7	264	65	-23	+2	-3	+6	+12	-0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	23	MLB CTX	HOU	0%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	200	264	326	590	127	285	50	0	265	65	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	HOU	22%	492	449	90	15	1	14	36	167	4	15	4	203	268	339	607	136	283	34	7	272	70	-17	+1	-1	+5	+11	-0.2
2029	25	MLB MLE	HOU	35%	520	472	97	16	1	16	39	173	4	14	4	206	272	347	620	141	284	33	8	277	74	-16	+1	-2	+6	+11	0.0
2030	26	MLB MLE	HOU	42%	535	485	101	17	1	17	41	175	4	13	3	209	275	352	627	144	284	33	8	281	76	-15	+1	-2	+6	+12	0.2
2031	27	MLB MLE	HOU	45%	541	490	103	17	2	17	42	175	4	12	3	209	276	352	629	143	284	32	8	281	77	-15	+1	-2	+6	+12	0.2
2032	28	MLB MLE	HOU	50%	539	488	101	17	1	16	42	173	4	10	3	210	277	351	628	141	284	32	8	281	76	-15	+1	-2	+6	+12	0.1
2033	29	MLB MLE	HOU	54%	531	481	100	17	1	16	41	172	4	9	3	207	274	345	619	138	282	32	8	277	74	-16	+1	-3	+6	+12	-0.2
2034	30	MLB MLE	HOU	51%	522	474	97	16	1	15	40	171	3	7	3	205	271	338	608	133	280	33	8	273	71	-18	+0	-4	+6	+11	-0.5
2028	24	MLB CTX	HOU	22%	109	99	20	4	0	3	8	37	1	3	1	205	270	340	610	135	287	34	7	273	70	-4	+0	-0	+1	+2	-0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	HOU	35%	180	163	33	6	0	5	14	60	1	5	1	208	274	348	622	140	288	33	8	278	74	-6	+1	-1	+2	+4	0.0
2030	26	MLB CTX	HOU	42%	224	203	43	7	1	7	17	73	2	5	1	210	277	353	630	143	288	33	8	282	76	-6	+1	-1	+2	+5	0.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	HOU	45%	242	219	46	8	1	7	19	78	2	5	1	211	278	354	632	142	288	32	8	283	77	-7	+1	-1	+3	+5	0.1
2032	28	MLB CTX	HOU	50%	270	245	52	9	1	8	21	87	2	5	1	211	279	352	631	141	288	32	8	282	76	-8	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.1
2033	29	MLB CTX	HOU	54%	284	258	55	10	1	8	22	92	2	5	1	209	276	346	622	137	286	32	8	279	74	-9	+1	-2	+3	+6	-0.1
2034	30	MLB CTX	HOU	51%	266	242	50	9	1	7	20	87	2	4	1	206	272	339	612	133	285	33	8	274	71	-9	+0	-2	+3	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1575	1429	299	53	5	45	121	514	12	32	7	209	277	348	624	139	290	33	8	279	71	-48	+4	-7	+17	+34	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	124	22	2	19	50	212	5	13	3	210	278	351	628	141	290	33	8	279	71	-20	+1	-3	+7	+14	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	4934	4481	916	152	12	143	371	1685	40	159	42	204	271	339	611	135	288	34	8	273	71	-127	+8	-17	+43	+87	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	590	121	20	2	19	49	222	5	21	6	205	272	342	614	137	289	34	8	273	71	-21	+1	-3	+7	+14	-0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Yuniesky Betancourtlast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,278 PA	6.4	4,278	80	30	261	285	388	+41	-20	6.1	7.2
/162	664	12	5	+6.4	-3.1	0.9	pk7: 8
#2Monte Cross'01-'07 * career totals — 7 seasons, 3,343 PA	5.0	3,343	9	138	213*	306*	344*	+36	-30	2.8	2.8
/162	664	2	27	+7.1	-6.0	0.6	pk7: 3
#3Carlos Sanchez'14-'22 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,503 PA	3.8	2,503	32	30	248*	305*	353*	+8	+0	2.1	2.6
/162	664	8	8	+2.0	+0.0	0.6	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	2.4	1,576	47	33	208	272	348	+17	-5	1.4	1.4
/162	664	20	14	+7.1	-2.1	0.6	pk7: 1
#4Tommy Corcoran'01-'07 * career totals — 7 seasons, 3,117 PA	4.7	3,117	7	102	235*	269*	379*	+32	-3	-0.3	-0.3
/162	664	1	22	+6.7	-0.7	-0.1	pk7: -0
#5Pedro Garcia'73-'77 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,967 PA	3.0	1,967	37	35	220*	270*	388*	+6	-6	-0.3	-0.3
/162	664	12	12	+2.1	-2.0	-0.1	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Caden Powell (OGILVIE)	23	20→34	50→52	55→50	30	196/260/322	126	281	9	11	35%	7%	65	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jase Bowen 2024 · AA	23	37→42	47→50	55	36	194/247/321	127	273	15	17	34%	5%	59	-1.7	209/260/339	130	297	14	20	33%	5%	68	-1.0	209/260/343	134	298	14	23	33%	6%	66	-0.7
✕Sean Coyle 2014 · A	22	38	49→50	54→50	37	197/258/345	148	285	17	14	36%	6%	69	-0.9	206/268/346	140	308	16	13	36%	7%	73	-0.6	188/254/312	124	285	15	12	37%	7%	57	-1.0
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A	23	36	47→50	49→50	38	188/250/319	131	265	15	10	34%	6%	60	-1.6	206/269/349	143	296	16	9	34%	6%	74	-0.6	201/265/348	147	289	17	7	35%	6%	70	-0.3
✕Jeter Downs 2022 · AAA	24	36→41	46→50	53→55	41	190/255/315	125	268	15	19	34%	7%	61	-1.5	185/268/313	128	266	15	22	34%	8%	66	-1.1	176/270/315	139	246	15	26	33%	9%	66	-0.6
✕Kenedy Corona 2023 · A	23	42	47→50	53→55	40	214/271/352	138	294	15	21	32%	6%	75	-0.5	206/270/322	116	285	12	24	30%	7%	68	-1.0	202/273/295	93	277	8	27	28%	7%	60	-1.1
✕Cody Puckett 2010 · A	23	38→40	46→50	51→50	37	199/250/327	129	279	15	11	34%	6%	61	-1.5	204/255/347	143	278	15	11	31%	5%	68	-1.0	196/250/340	143	260	16	11	30%	5%	63	-1.1
✕Ryan Bliss 2023 · A	23	37→47	44→50	52→60	40	191/253/303	112	263	12	21	31%	6%	57	-1.8	231/299/365	134	305	12	39	26%	8%	88	+0.4	232/299/362	129	300	10	41	25%	7%	85	+0.2
✕Neyfy Castillo 2024 · AA	23	39→33	46→45	51→55	37	190/259/318	127	319	15	18	42%	7%	63	-1.3	191/250/302	111	320	12	13	41%	6%	55	-1.9	166/225/267	101	282	11	11	43%	6%	36	-2.8
✕Jose Acosta 2023 · A	23	39	45	49→55	37	194/253/316	122	299	13	16	38%	6%	60	-1.6	193/246/301	108	278	10	17	33%	6%	53	-2.1	169/217/263	95	233	9	22	31%	5%	31	-1.0
✕Yusuf Carter 2009 · A	24	36→33	48→50	50	34	192/233/334	142	279	16	13	37%	5%	56	-1.9	219/259/358	139	309	17	9	33%	5%	72	-0.7	229/269/371	142	313	18	5	32%	5%	76	-0.3
✕Alexander Canario 2022 · A	22	37→36	50→60	50	36	195/243/346	150	282	18	14	37%	6%	63	-1.4	213/276/401	188	298	24	14	35%	7%	89	+0.5	210/280/412	202	285	27	13	35%	8%	90	+0.4
✕Billy Cook 2023 · A	24	35→44	48→50	56→55	32	181/235/320	139	288	15	20	42%	5%	54	-2.0	206/266/342	136	290	16	22	33%	6%	71	-0.8	211/276/340	129	293	14	25	32%	7%	72	-0.4
✕Kevin Smith 2019 · A	23	43→45	48→55	53→50	36	219/261/365	146	296	16	15	31%	4%	74	-0.5	205/255/362	157	286	18	14	34%	6%	72	-0.7	209/261/367	157	281	19	15	32%	6%	73	-0.5
✕Jeremiah Jackson 2023 · AA	23	38→48	49→55	48→55	42	201/265/351	150	272	17	12	32%	7%	73	-0.6	221/268/376	155	290	20	15	30%	6%	80	-0.2	231/272/390	159	293	20	15	28%	5%	82	+0.0
✕Justin McClanahan 2009 · A	23	41→39	47→45	50→45	39	210/265/341	131	282	15	17	31%	6%	70	-0.8	205/259/319	114	302	12	9	35%	5%	63	-1.3	195/251/308	113	291	12	7	35%	4%	56	-1.1
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2019 · AA	23	41→40	47→50	54→55	44	208/283/351	143	281	14	17	30%	8%	80	-0.2	198/279/320	122	275	12	17	30%	8%	71	-0.8	173/262/276	103	236	10	19	29%	9%	53	-1.1
✕Johan Lopez 2023 · AA	23	39	43→45	51→55	40	194/269/303	109	291	11	13	35%	7%	63	-1.3	205/275/304	99	311	8	12	34%	8%	65	-1.2	176/264/251	75	285	3	11	36%	10%	48	-0.5
✕Brayan Buelvas 2024 · AA	22	37→45	46→50	55	41	190/252/319	129	260	13	18	32%	7%	61	-1.5	204/265/326	122	293	11	16	32%	7%	66	-1.1	205/266/334	130	290	12	14	32%	7%	66	-0.8
✕Max Wagner 2024 · AA	22	41→38	46→50	55→50	42	204/275/332	128	291	13	18	33%	8%	72	-0.7	195/261/317	122	302	13	12	37%	7%	63	-1.3	190/255/330	140	291	17	7	39%	7%	61	-0.9
✕Rece Hinds 2023 · AA	22	38→44	49→55	50→55	33	191/247/337	146	319	17	14	44%	6%	63	-1.4	207/257/374	167	330	19	19	41%	5%	75	-0.5	207/257/386	179	313	22	22	40%	5%	77	-0.3

Caden Powell

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps