Jaxson West — OGILVIE

Jaxson WestC Vancouver Canadians

Age 22 L/R 6'0" / 193 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION164 act + 15 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†84

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .267 / .214

PA15

HR0

K%20

BB%7

BABIP306

ISO99

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$32M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$3M	+$2M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Arb-1	$3M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.0M
2034	Arb-2	$5M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-3	$5M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$11M	+$6M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	21	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	61	50	8	2	0	0	11	7	0	0	2	160	311	200	511	40	186	11	18	257	60	-3	-1	—	—	+1	-0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	21	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	61	53	8	2	0	0	8	10	0	0	2	151	262	189	451	38	176	16	13	212	30	-5	-1	—	—	+1	-0.5
2025	21	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	61	53	8	2	0	0	8	10	0	0	2	151	262	189	451	38	186	16	13	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	61	50	8	2	0	0	11	7	0	0	2	160	311	200	511	40	186	11	18	257	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	61	53	8	2	0	0	8	10	0	0	2	151	262	189	451	38	176	16	13	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	21	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	61	53	8	2	0	0	8	10	0	0	2	151	262	189	451	38	176	16	13	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	A+ MLE	TOR	—	164	145	42	3	0	2	13	28	3	7	2	290	360	352	712	62	339	17	8	318	102	+0	+1	+0	+3	+4	0.8
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	ROK RAW	TOR	—	30	22	8	0	0	0	6	1	2	1	1	364	533	364	897		381	3	20	430	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	A RAW	TOR	—	37	34	15	2	0	1	2	6	0	1	1	441	472	588	1.060	147	500	16	5	457	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	A+ RAW	TOR	—	97	81	25	2	0	1	13	13	1	5	0	309	411	370	781	62	348	13	13	354	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	22	A+ MLE	TOR	0%	15	14	3	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	214	267	214	481		305	20	7	293	84	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	22	A+ MLE	TOR	—	179	159	45	3	0	2	14	31	3	7	2	283	352	340	692	57	333	17	8	316	100	+0	+1	+0	+3	+4	0.8
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	TOR	35%	220	198	49	7	1	4	18	48	2	4	1	247	317	354	670	106	307	22	8	301	90	-3	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.7
2028	24	MLB MLE	TOR	46%	323	291	72	11	1	6	26	71	3	6	2	247	316	354	670	107	307	22	8	306	93	-3	+0	+0	+6	+7	1.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	TOR	52%	381	343	86	13	2	8	31	83	4	8	2	251	320	370	690	120	306	22	8	309	95	-2	+1	+0	+7	+8	1.4
2030	26	MLB MLE	TOR	54%	419	376	94	14	2	9	35	92	5	8	2	250	322	370	692	120	306	22	8	311	96	-2	+1	+0	+7	+9	1.6
2031	27	MLB MLE	TOR	54%	436	392	98	15	2	9	36	96	5	9	2	250	321	367	688	117	305	22	8	311	96	-2	+1	+0	+8	+9	1.7
2032	28	MLB MLE	TOR	54%	442	397	99	15	2	9	37	98	5	8	2	249	321	365	686	116	305	22	8	310	96	-2	+1	-1	+8	+10	1.6
2033	29	MLB MLE	TOR	53%	439	394	97	14	2	9	37	98	5	8	2	246	319	360	679	114	304	22	8	308	94	-3	+1	-1	+8	+10	1.4
2034	30	MLB MLE	TOR	52%	433	388	96	14	2	9	37	98	5	7	2	247	321	363	684	116	303	23	9	305	92	-4	+1	-2	+8	+9	1.2
2035	31	MLB MLE	TOR	52%	408	366	88	13	1	8	35	93	4	6	1	240	314	347	661	107	301	23	9	301	90	-5	+1	-3	+7	+9	0.9
2036	32	MLB MLE	TOR	52%	380	341	80	11	1	7	32	88	4	4	1	235	308	334	642	100	298	23	8	295	86	-6	+0	-4	+7	+8	0.6
2037	33	MLB MLE	TOR	56%	342	307	72	10	1	6	29	81	3	3	1	235	307	332	639	98	294	24	8	288	81	-8	+0	-4	+6	+7	0.2
2038	34	MLB MLE	TOR	51%	292	263	60	8	1	5	24	71	3	2	0	228	300	323	623	95	289	24	8	280	76	-8	+0	-5	+5	+6	-0.1
2027	23	MLB CTX	TOR	35%	76	69	16	2	0	1	6	17	1	2	0	232	303	304	607	72	308	22	8	294	90	-1	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.3
2028	24	MLB CTX	TOR	46%	149	134	34	5	1	3	12	33	2	3	1	254	324	373	697	119	308	22	8	299	93	-1	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.5
2029	25	MLB CTX	TOR	52%	197	177	45	7	1	4	16	43	2	4	1	254	323	373	696	119	308	22	8	302	95	-1	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.7
2030	26	MLB CTX	TOR	54%	227	204	52	8	1	5	19	50	2	5	1	255	324	377	702	123	307	22	8	304	96	-1	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.9
2031	27	MLB CTX	TOR	54%	237	212	53	8	1	5	20	52	3	5	1	250	323	368	691	118	307	22	8	304	96	-1	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.9
2032	28	MLB CTX	TOR	54%	240	215	54	8	1	5	20	53	3	5	1	251	324	367	691	116	306	22	8	303	96	-1	+1	-0	+4	+5	0.9
2033	29	MLB CTX	TOR	53%	233	208	52	8	1	5	20	52	3	4	1	250	325	370	695	120	306	22	9	301	94	-2	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.7
2034	30	MLB CTX	TOR	52%	227	204	50	7	1	5	19	51	2	4	1	245	316	363	678	118	304	22	8	298	92	-2	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.6
2035	31	MLB CTX	TOR	52%	212	190	47	7	1	4	18	48	2	3	1	247	319	358	677	111	302	23	8	294	90	-3	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.5
2036	32	MLB CTX	TOR	52%	197	176	43	6	1	4	17	46	2	2	1	244	318	358	676	114	299	23	9	289	86	-3	+0	-2	+4	+4	0.3
2037	33	MLB CTX	TOR	56%	191	171	40	5	1	3	16	45	2	2	0	234	307	327	634	94	295	24	8	282	81	-4	+0	-2	+3	+4	0.1
2038	34	MLB CTX	TOR	51%	150	135	30	4	0	2	13	37	1	1	0	222	295	296	592	74	290	25	9	274	76	-4	+0	-3	+3	+3	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2336	2095	516	75	10	46	196	527	25	40	9	246	318	358	676	111	307	23	8	296	90	-25	+4	-10	+42	+51	6.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	144	21	3	13	55	147	7	11	3	247	320	360	680	113	308	23	8	296	90	-7	+1	-3	+12	+14	1.8
Career	—	MLE		—	4591	4123	1002	147	18	89	386	1030	48	73	20	243	315	352	667	109	302	22	8	302	90	-48	+7	-20	+81	+98	12.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	143	21	3	13	55	146	7	10	3	245	318	358	676	113	304	22	8	302	90	-7	+1	-3	+12	+14	1.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jordy Mercerlast yr '21 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,394 PA	5.1	3,394	66	13	257	315	387	+35	+50	17.0	16.7
/162	664	13	3	+6.9	+9.8	3.3	pk7: 17
#2Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#3Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	5.0	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
/162	664	17	4	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Toby Halllast yr '08 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,501 PA	3.8	2,501	45	2	263	298	374	+32	+38	9.9	10.0
/162	664	12	1	+8.4	+10.1	2.6	pk7: 10
#6Jorge Alfarolast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,693 PA	2.5	1,693	48	18	254	303	396	+30	+17	9.1	9.1
/162	664	19	7	+11.9	+6.6	3.6	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.5	2,337	47	38	245	314	356	+42	+24	8.3	7.4
/162	664	13	11	+11.9	+6.8	2.4	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jaxson West (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	241/310/329	88	305	1	2	22%	8%	84	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕José Caballero 2019 · A	22	48→46	43→45	47→70	45	232/293/349	117	280	10	9	21%	6%	82	-0.0	219/293/329	110	283	9	26	25%	8%	78	-0.3	225/318/339	113	300	10	63	26%	9%	88	+0.3
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→46	45→55	51→55	44	214/275/343	129	286	12	11	29%	7%	74	-0.5	230/293/385	155	277	18	13	23%	8%	91	+0.6	230/293/400	170	266	20	16	22%	7%	92	+0.7
●Graham Pauley 2023 · A	22	45→51	46→55	48→50	52	226/305/358	133	270	13	12	21%	9%	89	+0.5	230/298/389	159	277	18	11	23%	8%	93	+0.8	222/292/383	160	263	19	11	23%	8%	87	+0.3
✕Leo Jiménez 2023 · A	22	46→49	40→45	48→45	49	216/322/312	96	283	8	9	24%	9%	86	+0.3	226/314/335	109	285	10	7	23%	7%	88	+0.4	228/319/335	107	286	10	5	22%	7%	87	+0.2
✕Canaan Smith-Njigba 2021 · A	22	49→50	44→45	50→55	46	235/299/356	121	318	11	10	28%	8%	86	+0.3	230/301/343	113	337	9	17	31%	9%	84	+0.1	227/299/342	115	335	9	21	32%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Matt Thaiss 2017 · A	22	49→50	43→50	45	47	235/285/352	118	272	8	5	17%	6%	79	-0.2	229/291/352	123	286	11	6	23%	8%	82	-0.0	222/303/377	155	275	18	4	25%	10%	90	+0.5
✕Blaze Alexander 2021 · A	22	45→48	42→45	51→50	42	215/281/322	107	301	9	11	30%	7%	72	-0.7	206/277/331	125	321	14	12	37%	7%	73	-0.6	239/319/362	123	339	12	15	30%	8%	93	+0.6
✕Tyler Stephenson 2019 · A	22	43→53	42→55	46→30	44	211/280/316	105	287	10	3	29%	8%	70	-0.8	237/311/351	114	302	11	3	24%	8%	89	+0.5	237/322/408	171	303	20	0	27%	10%	103	+1.1
✕Greg Garcia 2012 · A	22	49→55	39→40	45→50	47	232/301/322	90	293	5	8	21%	7%	79	-0.2	241/316/335	94	309	6	10	22%	8%	88	+0.4	240/350/332	92	308	6	3	21%	13%	98	+0.6
●TJ Friedl 2018 · A	22	47→54	41→50	50→55	42	227/287/338	111	296	7	11	25%	6%	77	-0.3	225/299/322	97	292	6	18	23%	8%	78	-0.3	249/340/389	140	279	15	18	16%	10%	106	+1.6
✕Carlos Vidal 2017 · A	21	48	43→45	49→50	48	234/302/348	114	288	10	12	22%	7%	85	+0.2	231/279/321	90	301	5	7	24%	6%	70	-0.9	236/282/326	90	306	4	6	23%	5%	69	-0.5
✕Bo Naylor 2021 · A	21	40→43	44→55	50	41	201/255/324	123	276	11	7	30%	7%	61	-1.5	198/278/343	145	273	16	13	32%	9%	76	-0.4	213/305/387	174	267	21	12	27%	11%	94	+0.7
✕Ryne Malone 2007 · A	22	47	40→45	48→50	49	225/294/330	105	288	6	10	23%	8%	78	-0.3	214/278/310	96	271	7	6	22%	7%	68	-1.0	197/264/276	80	244	5	1	20%	7%	53	-1.0
●Eric Sogard 2008 · A	22	45→55	42→45	46→55	43	221/269/323	102	269	11	9	22%	6%	67	-1.1	252/312/356	104	285	8	10	14%	8%	90	+0.6	252/337/372	120	286	11	10	15%	11%	100	+0.8
✕Noah Mendlinger 2023 · A	22	48→58	37→40	47→45	54	224/319/299	75	279	4	9	20%	10%	81	-0.1	257/340/330	73	305	3	8	15%	8%	95	+1.0	271/353/338	68	317	2	8	14%	8%	100	+1.0
●Tyler Black 2023 · A	23	47→52	41→50	50→60	54	222/318/324	102	296	7	14	25%	11%	86	+0.3	235/326/374	139	303	12	30	24%	10%	100	+1.3	232/326/372	140	301	12	35	25%	10%	97	+0.8
✕Ryan Wheeler 2010 · A	22	49→55	45→50	48→40	47	241/312/368	127	299	12	8	23%	8%	94	+0.9	248/290/367	119	316	12	4	24%	5%	84	+0.2	253/293/380	127	317	12	4	24%	5%	88	+0.4
✕Kevin Kramer 2016 · A	22	46→54	40→45	54→50	44	220/276/315	95	281	6	12	24%	6%	68	-1.0	244/300/352	108	310	7	8	22%	6%	85	+0.2	251/305/365	114	325	8	8	24%	6%	88	+0.3
✕Conner Crumbliss 2010 · A	23	49	40→45	50	50	230/314/332	102	296	6	10	23%	9%	86	+0.3	225/328/316	91	285	6	14	21%	13%	88	+0.5	221/330/313	92	278	6	16	20%	13%	87	+0.4
✕Eric Smith 2013 · A	22	51	39→45	50→40	48	239/298/338	99	282	5	4	17%	6%	80	-0.1	220/286/310	90	271	5	5	19%	8%	70	-0.8	197/275/279	82	236	3	4	16%	9%	59	-0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps