Jaxson West — OGILVIE

Jaxson WestC Dunedin Blue Jays

Age 22 L/R 6'0" / 193 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION63 act + 42 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†80

AVG/OBP/SLG.237 / .310 / .342

PA42

HR1

K%24

BB%7

BABIP296

ISO105

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.6	$9M	+$8M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.5	$8M	+$7M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.4	$7M	+$6M
2034	Arb-1	$2M	+1.2	$5M	+$4M
2035	Arb-2	$3M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.8M
2036	Arb-3	$2M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.1M
Totals		$10M		$31M	+$27M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	61	53	8	2	0	0	8	11	0	0	2	151	262	189	451	38	190	18	13	207	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	61	50	8	2	0	0	11	7	0	0	2	160	311	200	511	40	186	11	18	257	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A	TOR	—	63	57	20	2	0	1	4	10	2	2	2	351	413	439	851	88	413	16	6	369	140	+3	-0	+0	+1	+2	0.5
YTD	22	A	TOR	—	63	54	23	2	0	1	7	7	2	2	2	426	508	519	1.026	93	478	11	11	462	212	+8	-0	+0	+1	+2	1.1
ROS	22	A	TOR	0%	42	38	9	1	0	1	3	10	1	1	0	237	310	342	652	105	308	24	7	290	80	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
ROS	22	MLB	TOR	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		309	—	—	282	74	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	22	A	TOR	—	63	58	20	2	0	1	4	10	2	2	2	345	413	431	844	86	404	16	6	369	140	+3	-0	+0	+1	+2	0.5
TOT	22	A	TOR	—	105	95	29	3	0	2	7	20	3	3	2	305	371	400	771	95	370	19	7	337	116	+2	-0	+0	+2	+3	0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	TOR	34%	171	154	38	6	1	3	13	40	2	2	1	247	314	357	671	110	308	23	8	296	85	-3	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.5
2028	24	MLB	TOR	46%	285	257	63	10	1	5	23	66	3	4	2	245	314	350	665	105	308	23	8	300	88	-4	+0	+0	+5	+8	1.0
2029	25	MLB	TOR	52%	356	320	79	12	2	7	29	83	4	5	2	247	317	362	680	116	307	23	8	303	90	-4	+0	+0	+6	+10	1.3
2030	26	MLB	TOR	54%	402	362	89	14	2	8	32	93	5	6	2	246	316	362	678	116	307	23	8	304	91	-4	+0	+0	+7	+11	1.5
2031	27	MLB	TOR	54%	425	382	93	14	2	8	35	99	5	6	2	243	315	353	669	110	307	23	8	304	91	-4	+0	+0	+8	+12	1.6
2032	28	MLB	TOR	54%	435	391	96	15	2	9	36	102	5	6	2	246	317	363	680	118	306	23	8	303	90	-5	+0	-1	+8	+12	1.5
2033	29	MLB	TOR	53%	434	390	94	14	2	8	36	102	5	5	2	241	313	349	662	108	305	24	8	301	89	-5	+0	-1	+8	+12	1.4
2034	30	MLB	TOR	52%	430	386	93	14	2	8	36	102	5	5	2	241	314	350	664	109	304	24	8	299	87	-6	+0	-2	+8	+12	1.2
2035	31	MLB	TOR	52%	406	364	87	13	2	7	34	98	5	4	2	239	313	343	656	104	302	24	8	294	83	-8	+0	-3	+7	+12	0.9
2036	32	MLB	TOR	52%	379	341	79	12	1	6	31	93	4	3	1	232	303	326	629	94	299	25	8	289	79	-9	+0	-4	+7	+11	0.5
2037	33	MLB	TOR	52%	341	306	69	10	1	5	28	85	4	2	1	225	299	314	613	88	295	25	8	282	74	-10	+0	-4	+6	+10	0.2
2038	34	MLB	TOR	47%	291	262	58	8	1	4	24	75	3	1	1	221	294	305	599	84	289	26	8	274	68	-11	-0	-5	+5	+8	-0.2
2027	23	MLB	TOR	34%	59	53	13	2	0	1	5	14	1	1	0	245	322	340	662	94	309	24	8	289	79	-1	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.2
2028	24	MLB	TOR	46%	131	118	29	4	1	2	10	30	2	2	1	246	315	347	663	102	309	23	8	293	82	-3	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.4
2029	25	MLB	TOR	52%	184	165	41	6	1	4	15	43	2	3	1	248	319	370	688	121	309	23	8	296	84	-3	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.6
2030	26	MLB	TOR	54%	218	195	48	7	1	4	18	50	3	3	1	246	319	354	673	108	308	23	8	297	85	-4	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.7
2031	27	MLB	TOR	54%	231	207	52	8	1	5	19	54	3	3	1	251	323	372	695	121	308	23	8	297	85	-4	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.7
2032	28	MLB	TOR	54%	236	212	52	8	1	5	19	55	3	3	1	245	316	363	679	118	308	23	8	296	85	-4	+0	-0	+4	+7	0.7
2033	29	MLB	TOR	53%	230	206	50	8	1	4	19	54	3	3	1	243	316	350	665	107	307	23	8	294	83	-4	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.6
2034	30	MLB	TOR	52%	225	201	48	7	1	4	19	54	3	2	1	239	314	343	657	104	306	24	8	291	81	-5	+0	-1	+4	+6	0.5
2035	31	MLB	TOR	52%	211	189	46	7	1	4	18	51	2	2	1	243	316	354	670	111	303	24	9	287	78	-5	+0	-1	+4	+6	0.3
2036	32	MLB	TOR	52%	196	176	41	6	1	3	16	48	2	2	1	233	304	330	634	97	300	24	8	282	74	-6	+0	-2	+4	+6	0.1
2037	33	MLB	TOR	52%	176	158	37	5	1	3	14	44	2	1	0	234	305	335	640	101	296	25	8	275	69	-6	+0	-2	+3	+5	0.0
2038	34	MLB	TOR	47%	137	124	27	4	0	2	11	35	1	1	0	218	287	298	585	81	291	26	8	267	63	-6	+0	-2	+2	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2234	2005	484	72	10	41	183	532	27	26	9	241	313	349	662	107	307	24	8	290	80	-51	+2	-10	+40	+63	4.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	141	21	3	12	53	155	8	8	3	242	314	350	664	108	308	24	8	290	80	-15	+0	-3	+12	+18	1.3
Career	—			—	4458	4006	955	145	19	79	368	1059	51	50	22	238	311	343	654	105	303	24	8	295	84	-79	+1	-20	+80	+126	11.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	140	21	3	12	54	154	7	7	3	240	312	348	659	108	304	24	8	295	84	-12	+0	-3	+12	+18	1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	61	50	8	2	0	0	11	7	0	0	2	160	311	200	511	40	186	11	18	257	55	-3	-1	—	—	+2	-0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#5Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	9	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.9
	/162	664	7	7	253	291	351	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#6Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	2,312	42	26	240	308	346	+41	+28	6.5	5.8
	/162	664	12	8	240	308	346	+11.9	+8.0	1.9	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jaxson West (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	305/371/400	95	370	2	3	19%	7%	116	+0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Anthony Seigler 2021 · A	22	42→39	37→50	49→55	47	199/276/274	74	283	5	6	29%	9%	53	-1.5	192/289/301	109	273	9	9	30%	12%	67	-0.5	226/317/363	137	277	12	28	21%	11%	91	+0.6
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	43	41→40	46→45	48	206/290/308	102	278	8	6	27%	9%	69	-0.4	221/302/309	88	318	7	6	30%	9%	74	-0.1	242/332/316	74	335	8	6	27%	10%	86	+0.3
✕Matt Wallach 2008 · A	22	45	42→50	45→40	45	218/282/324	106	277	9	5	24%	6%	69	-0.4	209/262/336	127	271	13	3	27%	6%	63	-0.8	215/288/338	123	247	15	3	19%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Zach Fisher 2014 · A	22	43	43→50	43→30	45	214/269/331	117	256	10	3	21%	6%	65	-0.7	231/281/356	125	295	12	4	25%	6%	76	+0.1	248/294/394	147	309	16	0	25%	6%	88	+0.3
✕Matt Thaiss 2017 · A	22	49→50	42→55	46→45	46	235/284/350	115	276	8	5	18%	6%	76	+0.0	228/289/352	124	286	12	6	23%	7%	79	+0.3	224/303/389	165	274	20	4	25%	9%	92	+0.9
●Bruce Maxwell 2014 · A	23	47→48	40→45	46→30	47	228/282/321	93	278	7	3	20%	7%	67	-0.5	224/279/312	88	291	8	2	24%	7%	64	-0.8	243/309/372	129	317	12	1	26%	9%	90	+0.5
✕Ryne Malone 2007 · A	22	47	40→45	48→50	49	225/294/330	105	288	6	10	23%	8%	76	+0.0	214/278/310	96	271	7	6	22%	7%	63	-0.8	197/264/276	80	244	5	1	20%	7%	46	-0.9
✕David Martin 2023 · A	22	45	39→30	49→30	42	211/285/301	89	298	5	7	29%	6%	65	-0.7	218/299/286	68	273	4	4	20%	8%	67	-0.5	236/329/295	58	282	5	1	16%	10%	79	+0.2
✕Leo Jiménez 2023 · A	22	47→49	41→45	49→45	50	221/327/317	97	287	8	9	24%	9%	88	+0.9	227/313/341	114	287	11	7	24%	7%	88	+0.9	227/317/342	114	286	11	5	23%	7%	86	+0.4
✕Johnny Monell 2008 · A	22	43→44	44→50	44→45	48	213/288/328	115	279	11	8	27%	9%	73	-0.1	232/294/362	130	291	12	8	23%	7%	84	+0.6	211/282/355	144	277	15	6	28%	8%	76	+0.0
✕Greg Garcia 2012 · A	22	48→54	39→40	45→50	47	228/297/317	89	288	5	8	21%	7%	73	-0.1	240/313/334	94	308	6	10	22%	8%	85	+0.7	242/351/334	92	309	6	3	21%	13%	98	+0.8
✕Randy Florentino 2021 · A	21	43	40→50	42→45	47	204/282/302	97	297	7	6	32%	10%	63	-0.8	179/241/260	81	267	8	5	34%	7%	35	-2.8	183/233/258	75	242	8	4	27%	6%	29	-0.9
✕Blaze Alexander 2021 · A	22	44→48	43→45	51→50	41	215/278/328	113	300	10	11	30%	6%	68	-0.5	198/268/323	125	313	14	12	39%	7%	63	-0.8	237/319/364	126	339	12	15	31%	8%	92	+0.8
✕Eric Smith 2013 · A	22	51	39→45	50→40	48	239/298/338	99	282	5	4	17%	6%	78	+0.2	221/286/312	91	271	5	5	19%	7%	67	-0.5	200/276/286	86	236	4	4	16%	9%	56	-0.4
✕Carlos Vidal 2018 · A	22	52	39→45	46→50	41	247/289/335	88	314	6	9	23%	5%	73	-0.1	223/273/328	105	293	7	7	25%	6%	65	-0.7	205/259/326	121	265	8	5	24%	6%	56	-0.7
✕Collin Burns 2022 · A	22	50	37→45	46→55	44	237/297/313	76	310	5	11	24%	6%	72	-0.2	219/273/305	86	293	6	16	26%	6%	59	-1.1	200/257/277	77	273	6	19	27%	6%	42	-1.1
✕Jeferson Morales 2021 · A	22	44→45	41→50	48→50	51	208/295/315	107	257	6	8	21%	9%	72	-0.2	200/283/336	136	266	14	9	29%	8%	74	-0.1	221/296/357	136	275	13	8	23%	7%	81	+0.2
✕Daniel Vellojin 2021 · A	21	45	39→45	47→45	51	215/298/306	91	267	6	8	21%	9%	71	-0.3	200/293/314	114	279	11	5	29%	11%	72	-0.2	179/275/290	111	249	12	4	31%	11%	56	-0.7
✕Greg Cullen 2019 · A	22	47→43	38→45	46→40	49	221/285/307	86	269	5	3	19%	8%	65	-0.7	219/305/323	104	282	9	3	24%	9%	79	+0.3	231/334/324	92	319	10	4	27%	12%	89	+0.3
✕Pratt Maynard 2012 · A	22	43	39→45	48→45	42	206/272/292	86	305	7	5	33%	7%	56	-1.3	216/277/305	89	275	7	5	22%	8%	62	-0.9	218/282/314	95	271	7	4	21%	8%	63	-0.4