Juan Amarante

P Jersey Shore BlueClaws

Age 23 LHP 5'10" / 197 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	20	MIX2 levels	22	11	73	4.56	3.69	27.0%	11.6%	—	K 18.9% · BB 14.3% · FIP 5.10
2025	21	MIX2 levels	18	17	77	4.34	3.23	22.1%	9.3%	—	K 15.9% · BB 11.1% · FIP 4.15
2026	22	MIX3 levels	27	7	58	3.43	3.15	28.6%	12.5%	—	K 21.2% · BB 14.7% · FIP 4.48
2027PROJ	23	MLBPHI	50	0	52	5.42	5.42	17.8%	14.7%	-0.5
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBPHI	29	0	30	5.20	5.14	18.9%	13.3%	-0.2
2029PROJ66% MLB	25	MLBPHI	46	0	48	5.04	4.97	19.6%	12.5%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff35Control40Command35

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 95%

CompsMark Manfredi Sr. (age 24) · Braeden Fausnaught (age 24) · Connor Oliver (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120128vR 136

ERA5.42

FIP5.42

K%17.8%

BB%14.7%

K-BB%3.0%

Proj IP52

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL4040

CMD3535

K†4050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	15	0	29	118	40	10	1	0%	1.9	23.1%	10.6%	12.5%	1.4%	2.79	3.26	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	15	0	29	118	40	10	1	0%	1.9	33.9%	8.5%	25.4%	0.8%	2.79	1.82	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	10	9	28	117	37	18	0	90%	2.8	21.5%	19.2%	2.3%	0.0%	2.86	3.72	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies Red	10	9	28	117	37	18	0	90%	2.8	31.6%	15.4%	16.2%	0.0%	2.86	2.39	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	11	73	318	86	37	8	50%	3.3	18.9%	14.3%	4.7%	3.3%	4.56	5.10	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	11	73	318	86	37	8	50%	3.3	18.9%	14.3%	4.7%	3.3%	4.56	5.10	—
2024	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	11	73	318	86	37	8	50%	3.3	27.0%	11.6%	15.4%	2.5%	4.56	3.69	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	17	77	335	74	31	5	94%	4.3	15.9%	11.1%	4.8%	1.8%	4.34	4.15	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	17	77	335	74	31	5	94%	4.3	15.9%	11.1%	4.8%	1.8%	4.34	4.15	—
2025	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	18	17	77	335	74	31	5	94%	4.3	22.1%	9.3%	12.8%	1.5%	4.34	3.23	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	27	7	58	248	71	31	4	26%	2.1	21.2%	14.7%	6.5%	2.4%	3.43	4.48	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	27	7	58	248	71	31	4	26%	2.1	21.2%	14.7%	6.5%	2.4%	3.43	4.48	—
2026	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	27	7	58	248	71	31	4	26%	2.1	28.6%	12.5%	16.1%	1.6%	3.43	3.15	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	PHI	50	0	52	220	39	32	6	0%	1.0	17.8%	14.7%	3.0%	2.9%	5.42	5.42	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	PHI	67	0	71	299	56	40	8	0%	1.1	18.9%	13.3%	5.5%	2.8%	5.20	5.14	-0.5
2029	25	MLB MLE	PHI	68	0	72	302	59	38	9	0%	1.1	19.6%	12.5%	7.1%	2.8%	5.04	4.97	-0.3
2030	26	MLB MLE	PHI	68	0	72	302	60	37	9	0%	1.1	20.0%	12.3%	7.7%	2.9%	4.95	4.91	-0.3
2031	27	MLB MLE	PHI	67	0	70	298	60	37	9	0%	1.1	20.0%	12.3%	7.8%	2.9%	4.94	4.94	-0.3
2032	28	MLB MLE	PHI	65	0	68	289	58	36	9	0%	1.1	19.9%	12.4%	7.5%	3.0%	4.99	5.02	-0.4
2033	29	MLB MLE	PHI	62	0	65	276	54	35	9	0%	1.1	19.7%	12.7%	7.0%	3.2%	5.09	5.15	-0.4
2034	30	MLB MLE	PHI	58	0	61	259	50	34	9	0%	1.1	19.3%	13.0%	6.4%	3.4%	5.23	5.33	-0.5
2028	24	MLB CTX	PHI	29	0	30	127	24	17	4	0%	1.0	18.9%	13.3%	5.5%	2.8%	5.20	5.14	-0.2
2029	25	MLB CTX	PHI	46	0	48	203	40	25	6	0%	1.0	19.6%	12.5%	7.1%	2.8%	5.04	4.97	-0.2
2030	26	MLB CTX	PHI	54	0	57	241	48	30	7	0%	1.1	20.0%	12.3%	7.7%	2.9%	4.95	4.91	-0.2
2031	27	MLB CTX	PHI	57	0	60	253	51	31	7	0%	1.1	20.0%	12.3%	7.8%	2.9%	4.94	4.94	-0.3
2032	28	MLB CTX	PHI	58	0	61	258	51	32	8	0%	1.1	19.9%	12.4%	7.5%	3.0%	4.99	5.02	-0.3
2033	29	MLB CTX	PHI	56	0	59	249	49	32	8	0%	1.1	19.7%	12.7%	7.0%	3.2%	5.09	5.15	-0.4
2034	30	MLB CTX	PHI	54	0	57	241	46	31	8	0%	1.1	19.3%	13.0%	6.4%	3.4%	5.23	5.33	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		354	0	372	1569	309	197	47	0%	1.0	19.7%	12.6%	7.1%	3.0%	5.05	4.68	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	166	106	25	0%	1.0	19.7%	12.6%	7.1%	3.0%	5.05	4.68	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		92	44	265	1136	218	154	24	48%	2.9	19.2%	13.6%	5.7%	2.1%	3.88	4.35	-2.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		70	33	200	858	165	116	18	48%	2.9	19.2%	13.6%	5.7%	2.1%	3.88	4.35	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Juan Amarante (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.42	17.8%	14.7%	2.9%	—	5.01	19.5%	6.8%	214	-0.41	—	—	—
Mark Manfredi Sr. L 2024 · 4.60 FIP	24	SW	4.60	22.0%	14.9%	2.7%	.289	3.22	25.4%	11.6%	128	-1.38	2.91	204	85
Braeden Fausnaught L 2023 · 4.77 FIP	24	SW	4.77	16.9%	16.4%	1.8%	.287	4.60	17.9%	9.7%	179	-0.17	4.43	242	85
Connor Oliver L 2024 · 4.34 FIP	23	SW	4.34	17.3%	12.1%	2.1%	.314	6.07	19.2%	3.4%	165	+1.73	4.34	244	83
Estevan Gonzalez L 2015 · 4.77 FIP	23	SW	4.77	14.1%	10.7%	2.8%	.322	4.86	14.7%	0.1%	130	+0.09	4.58	195	83
Colby Langford L 2024 · 5.34 FIP	22	SW	5.34	21.6%	22.5%	2.2%	.273	6.01	22.2%	-1.1%	110	+0.67	4.92	168	82
Luis De Paula L 2015 · 4.35 FIP	23	SW	4.35	14.8%	14.2%	1.3%	.285	5.37	16.4%	0.2%	47	+1.02	4.35	125	82
Joe Kemlage L 2022 · 4.42 FIP	23	SW	4.42	19.4%	13.5%	2.3%	.278	5.35	17.6%	5.9%	65	+0.93	4.42	128	80
Garrett Williams L 2018 · 5.04 FIP	23	SW	5.04	14.5%	16.2%	2.0%	.335	4.33	19.3%	4.5%	162	-0.71	3.37	470	79
Doug Davis L 2000 · 5.12 FIP	24	SW	5.12	14.7%	12.2%	3.1%	.302	4.41	13.0%	4.1%	355	-0.71	3.47	1,713	79
Bailey Horn L 2021 · 4.99 FIP	23	SP-	4.99	19.7%	12.7%	3.6%	.300	4.60	22.3%	10.3%	152	-0.39	3.90	265	79
Joe Adametz L 2023 · 5.89 FIP	23	SW	5.89	19.0%	15.0%	4.5%	.158	4.32	14.8%	5.5%	224	-1.57	3.66	248	79
Marino Santy L 2024 · 4.80 FIP	22	SW	4.80	17.6%	16.1%	2.1%	.322	4.51	20.3%	1.1%	82	-0.29	3.91	270	78
Bryce Hubbart L 2024 · 5.45 FIP	23	SP-	5.45	15.5%	13.8%	3.5%	.313	5.14	19.9%	6.3%	82	-0.31	4.79	194	78
Dante Biasi L 2021 · 4.91 FIP	23	SW	4.91	21.5%	12.6%	3.7%	.251	5.70	19.3%	2.3%	153	+0.79	4.91	224	78
Jaime Arias L 2022 · 5.00 FIP	23	SP-	5.00	15.6%	9.9%	3.6%	.332	5.53	15.8%	4.8%	77	+0.53	4.38	243	77
Max Roberts L 2021 · 4.85 FIP	24	SW	4.85	19.3%	15.2%	2.6%	.330	4.62	24.5%	8.4%	115	-0.23	4.27	173	77
Tom Windle L 2015 · 4.63 FIP	23	SW	4.63	12.3%	13.0%	1.7%	.304	4.33	18.0%	6.8%	159	-0.30	3.68	330	77
Seth Lonsway L 2022 · 4.41 FIP	23	SW	4.41	21.2%	14.4%	2.3%	.304	4.15	16.0%	4.4%	319	-0.26	3.35	506	77
Dan Meyer L 2007 · 4.76 FIP	26	SP-	4.76	13.9%	11.4%	2.5%	.316	4.35	20.6%	11.8%	86	-0.41	3.73	112	77
Garrett Schoenle L 2022 · 4.60 FIP	24	SW	4.60	21.4%	10.8%	3.5%	.263	4.25	20.9%	9.7%	219	-0.35	2.32	362	76

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.7	66	19.4%	12.8%	1.15	5.09
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
Jesus Colome ('10)	2.1	53	17.3%	11.7%	1.03	4.69
Mike Mohler ('01)	2.1	60	15.0%	12.4%	0.97	4.99
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*