Nolan Schubart — OGILVIE

Nolan SchubartOF Lake County Captains

Age 22 L/R 6'4" / 227 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION340 act + 226 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†93

AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .312 / .384

PA226

HR9

K%38

BB%13

BABIP294

ISO187

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 36 / POW 62

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT36

scouting grade only

POWER62

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED30

scouting grade only

DEFENSE37

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.2	$8M	+$7M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.3	$8M	+$7M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.3	$7M	+$7M
2032	Arb-1	$2M	+1.1	$6M	+$4M
2033	Arb-2	$3M	+1.0	$5M	+$3M
2034	Arb-3	$3M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.0M
Totals		$11M		$34M	+$28M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	66	56	9	2	0	2	10	35	0	1	0	161	288	304	591	143	368	53	15	249	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	66	51	13	2	0	3	15	24	0	1	0	255	424	471	895	216	417	36	23	402	166	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A+	CLE	—	340	288	49	9	1	15	48	154	2	1	2	170	293	365	657	194	281	45	14	287	78	-9	-1	+0	-2	+10	-0.2
YTD	22	A+	CLE	—	340	268	65	13	1	20	68	114	2	1	2	243	399	522	922	280	331	34	20	403	166	+25	-1	+0	-2	+10	3.3
ROS	22	A+	CLE	0%	226	192	38	7	1	9	30	86	2	2	1	197	312	384	696	187	280	38	13	307	93	-2	+0	-1	-1	+6	0.2
ROS	22	MLB	CLE	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						281	0	0	302	89	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	0.0
FULL	22	A+	CLE	—	341	289	49	9	1	15	48	154	2	1	2	170	292	363	655	194	279	45	14	287	78	-9	-1	-0	-2	+10	-0.2
TOT	22	A+	CLE	—	566	480	87	16	2	24	78	240	4	3	3	181	300	372	673	191	287	42	14	295	84	-10	-1	-1	-3	+16	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	CLE	43%	581	497	100	18	2	24	75	211	4	4	2	201	311	390	701	189	284	36	13	312	97	-2	+0	-4	-3	+16	0.7
2028	24	MLB	CLE	58%	609	523	107	19	2	25	77	214	4	5	2	205	311	392	703	187	286	35	13	317	101	+1	+0	-4	-4	+17	1.1
2029	25	MLB	CLE	65%	618	531	111	20	2	26	77	213	5	5	2	209	315	401	716	192	287	34	12	320	103	+2	+0	-4	-4	+18	1.2
2030	26	MLB	CLE	68%	617	530	111	20	2	26	77	210	5	5	2	209	315	402	717	192	287	34	12	322	104	+3	+0	-4	-4	+17	1.3
2031	27	MLB	CLE	68%	612	525	110	20	2	26	77	209	5	5	2	210	316	404	720	194	287	34	13	322	104	+3	+0	-4	-4	+17	1.3
2032	28	MLB	CLE	68%	604	518	108	20	2	25	76	207	5	4	2	208	316	400	715	191	286	34	13	321	103	+2	+0	-5	-4	+17	1.1
2033	29	MLB	CLE	66%	595	510	106	19	2	25	76	205	4	4	2	208	315	400	715	192	285	34	13	319	102	+1	+0	-5	-4	+17	1.0
2034	30	MLB	CLE	66%	585	502	103	18	2	24	74	203	4	4	2	205	312	392	704	187	283	35	13	316	100	-0	+0	-6	-4	+17	0.7
2035	31	MLB	CLE	65%	574	492	100	18	2	23	73	201	4	4	2	203	311	388	699	185	280	35	13	312	97	-2	+0	-7	-3	+16	0.4
2036	32	MLB	CLE	65%	563	483	96	17	2	22	71	200	4	4	2	199	306	379	685	180	276	36	13	306	93	-5	+0	-7	-3	+16	0.1
2037	33	MLB	CLE	65%	486	419	80	14	1	18	61	175	3	3	1	191	298	358	656	167	271	36	13	300	88	-7	+0	-7	-3	+14	-0.3
2038	34	MLB	CLE	60%	412	354	66	11	1	15	52	151	3	2	1	186	296	350	646	164	265	37	13	291	81	-9	+0	-8	-2	+12	-0.7
2027	23	MLB	CLE	43%	252	216	43	8	1	10	32	92	2	2	1	199	308	384	692	185	284	37	13	307	93	-2	+0	-2	-2	+7	0.2
2028	24	MLB	CLE	58%	353	302	62	11	1	15	45	124	3	3	1	205	314	397	712	192	286	35	13	312	97	-1	+0	-2	-2	+10	0.5
2029	25	MLB	CLE	65%	401	345	72	13	1	17	50	138	3	3	2	209	314	400	714	191	287	34	12	314	99	-1	-0	-3	-2	+11	0.6
2030	26	MLB	CLE	68%	420	362	77	14	2	18	52	143	3	3	2	213	317	412	728	199	287	34	12	316	100	-0	-0	-3	-3	+12	0.7
2031	27	MLB	CLE	68%	416	358	76	14	1	18	52	142	3	3	2	212	317	408	725	196	287	34	12	316	100	-0	-0	-3	-2	+12	0.7
2032	28	MLB	CLE	68%	411	353	73	13	1	17	52	141	3	3	2	207	314	394	707	187	286	34	13	315	99	-0	-0	-3	-2	+12	0.6
2033	29	MLB	CLE	66%	395	339	70	13	1	16	50	136	3	3	1	206	314	392	706	186	285	34	13	313	98	-1	+0	-3	-2	+11	0.5
2034	30	MLB	CLE	66%	383	328	68	12	1	16	49	133	3	3	1	207	316	396	712	189	283	35	13	310	96	-2	+0	-4	-2	+11	0.3
2035	31	MLB	CLE	65%	373	320	65	12	1	15	47	131	3	2	1	203	311	388	698	184	281	35	13	307	93	-3	+0	-4	-2	+11	0.1
2036	32	MLB	CLE	65%	364	312	62	11	1	14	46	129	3	2	1	199	307	375	682	176	277	35	13	301	89	-5	+0	-5	-2	+10	-0.1
2037	33	MLB	CLE	65%	314	269	52	9	1	12	40	113	2	2	1	193	302	368	670	175	272	36	13	295	84	-6	+0	-5	-2	+9	-0.4
2038	34	MLB	CLE	60%	247	212	39	6	1	9	31	90	2	1	1	184	294	349	643	165	265	36	13	287	77	-6	-0	-5	-1	+7	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4330	3717	759	136	13	177	546	1512	33	30	16	204	311	391	702	186	284	35	13	309	95	-27	-0	-41	-26	+123	3.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	558	114	20	2	27	82	227	5	5	2	204	312	392	704	188	283	35	13	309	95	-4	+0	-6	-4	+18	0.5
Career	—			—	7148	6132	1245	223	23	290	906	2520	52	52	23	203	311	389	699	186	284	35	13	313	98	-18	+1	-65	-43	+203	7.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	558	112	20	2	26	82	229	5	5	2	201	309	384	692	183	281	35	13	313	98	-2	+0	-6	-4	+18	0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	66	51	13	2	0	3	15	24	0	1	0	255	424	471	895	216	417	36	23	402	166	+5	+0	—	—	+2	0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Mark Reynoldslast yr '19 career totals — 13 seasons, 6,243 PA	13	6,243	298	64	236	328	453	-49	-105	15.9	16.3
	/162	664	32	7	236	328	453	-5.2	-11.1	1.7	pk7: 17
#2Joey Gallolast yr '24 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,373 PA	9	3,373	207	32	195	320	459	-29	-11	13.5	14.1
#2Joey Gallolast yr '24 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,373 PA	/162	664	41	6	195	320	459	-5.6	-2.1	2.7	pk7: 15
#3Pedro Álvarezlast yr '18 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,287 PA	8	3,287	161	15	235	309	447	+1	-40	10.0	10.2
	/162	664	33	3	235	309	447	+0.2	-8.0	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	11	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
	/162	664	24	4	242	316	418	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	4,331	177	30	205	309	393	-26	-41	8.2	7.5
	/162	664	27	5	205	309	393	-4.0	-6.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#5Brandon Mosslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,459 PA	8	3,459	160	11	238	315	455	-53	-41	5.9	5.9
	/162	664	31	2	238	315	455	-10.2	-7.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#6Chris Carterlast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,807 PA	7	2,807	158	12	219	314	462	-50	-50	3.3	3.3
	/162	664	37	3	219	314	462	-11.7	-11.9	0.8	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nolan Schubart (OGILVIE)	22	20→36	50→62	30	50	181/300/372	191	287	24	3	42%	14%	84	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Sergio Pedroza 2007 · A	23	42→47	56→60	38→45	47	220/314/415	194	293	24	3	32%	10%	107	+2.2	228/302/388	160	306	18	7	30%	8%	95	+1.4	229/300/383	153	297	17	7	27%	7%	90	+0.6
●Travis Ishikawa 2006 · A	22	45→49	53→55	41→45	45	227/302/408	181	315	21	3	33%	9%	99	+1.7	216/278/378	162	301	18	3	33%	7%	82	+0.5	257/320/425	167	309	19	6	23%	8%	107	+1.4
✕Kellen Kulbacki 2009 · A	23	47→46	56→60	38→30	50	248/319/434	185	284	25	4	22%	8%	114	+2.7	222/277/341	119	269	13	6	22%	7%	71	-0.3	197/240/273	76	241	5	5	20%	5%	33	-0.7
✕Allan Cerda 2022 · A	22	40→22	54→55	39→45	40	207/287/395	188	302	21	5	37%	8%	90	+1.0	172/274/332	160	276	20	7	42%	10%	69	-0.4	139/253/290	151	217	21	7	44%	11%	48	-0.9
✕Seth Beer 2021 · AA	24	46→45	54→55	38→30	41	242/312/417	175	297	24	3	27%	5%	107	+2.2	214/303/360	146	260	17	2	24%	7%	89	+1.0	198/292/329	131	247	14	0	25%	7%	75	-0.0
●Allan Dykstra 2011 · A	24	39→49	50→55	38→30	52	201/303/360	159	274	18	2	32%	12%	89	+0.9	222/323/381	159	327	18	3	34%	12%	102	+1.9	228/340/399	171	322	21	1	32%	13%	112	+1.7
✕Nick Weglarz 2010 · AA	22	43→47	50→55	43→45	52	219/309/374	155	273	17	5	26%	10%	94	+1.3	217/305/375	158	289	17	5	29%	10%	92	+1.2	201/293/358	157	285	18	3	34%	10%	82	+0.2
✕Travis Snider 2010 · MLB	22	49→53	53→60	39→50	44	245/312/423	177	336	21	4	32%	8%	107	+2.2	249/304/411	162	317	18	12	26%	7%	101	+1.8	251/304/402	151	313	16	15	24%	7%	95	+1.1
●Mark Vientos 2022 · AAA	22	40→49	58→60	38→30	36	221/267/417	196	296	28	3	35%	5%	88	+0.9	242/298/439	197	329	27	2	33%	7%	106	+2.2	245/305/447	202	325	28	0	32%	7%	109	+2.0
✕George Valera 2023 · AAA	22	41→39	52→50	44→45	48	212/297/379	167	288	20	6	33%	10%	90	+1.0	210/286/357	147	298	17	6	33%	9%	79	+0.3	202/278/340	138	285	17	4	33%	9%	70	-0.2
●MJ Melendez 2022 · AAA	23	39→49	65→60	40→50	46	226/295/469	243	272	35	5	32%	9%	113	+2.6	227/308/420	193	280	23	6	26%	10%	105	+2.1	220/304/400	180	274	20	5	26%	10%	95	+1.3
✕Marcos Castañon 2023 · A	24	38→48	54→55	38→40	47	203/299/376	174	276	23	2	34%	10%	91	+1.1	225/288/383	158	295	20	3	29%	7%	87	+0.8	230/285/382	152	297	19	2	28%	6%	83	+0.5
●Ryan McMahon 2016 · A	21	46→56	52→55	38→45	38	230/284/402	172	328	18	5	35%	6%	90	+1.0	235/286/378	143	334	14	8	32%	6%	85	+0.7	233/294/378	145	309	16	7	28%	7%	85	+0.6
●Jonathan Rodríguez 2012 · A	22	41→50	50→55	41→50	48	212/293/368	156	263	18	5	26%	8%	85	+0.7	218/285/366	148	299	16	8	31%	7%	81	+0.4	229/307/382	153	312	19	3	31%	9%	93	+1.0
✕Ryan Costello 2019 · A	23	42→39	50	42→30	47	216/285/369	154	277	17	4	28%	9%	82	+0.5	201/276/334	133	299	14	4	35%	9%	69	-0.4	168/256/295	127	261	14	0	39%	10%	50	-1.2
✕Jamie Romak 2008 · A	22	39→48	52→55	41→45	44	204/288/372	168	289	20	4	35%	9%	85	+0.7	200/263/349	149	284	18	3	35%	6%	68	-0.5	216/274/355	139	264	17	5	25%	6%	71	-0.2
✕Andy Marte 2006 · MLB	22	43→48	52→55	37→40	51	225/294/392	168	259	19	3	22%	9%	92	+1.2	222/270/374	152	260	18	3	22%	6%	77	+0.1	238/288/397	159	268	19	2	19%	6%	88	+0.5
✕J.J. Matijevic 2019 · A	23	43→42	55→60	43→50	37	221/272/408	188	324	23	11	38%	6%	87	+0.8	209/263/376	167	325	19	10	39%	7%	75	-0.0	218/282/414	196	297	24	10	34%	8%	89	+0.7
✕Nathan Hickey 2023 · A	23	44→37	56→55	43→40	50	222/321/413	191	310	23	3	34%	12%	109	+2.4	199/278/356	157	283	19	4	34%	9%	76	+0.1	183/259/329	147	254	18	3	34%	9%	59	-0.9
✕Kyle Wilson 2006 · A	23	46	56→60	38→30	38	240/288/426	186	311	24	4	31%	5%	98	+1.6	217/260/335	118	279	12	4	26%	4%	63	-0.9	196/233/283	87	248	8	0	24%	2%	34	-1.3