Colin Tuft

C Frederick Keys

Age 24 R/R 6'3" / 206 lbs A+ HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	A+Aberdeen Iron…	66	.232/.348/.339	1	7	48	—	.203/.288/.305
2025	22	ABAL	207	.207/.369/.280	1	19	47	—	.165/.286/.227
2026	23	AABAL	53	.182/.321/.409	3	2	59	—	.152/.264/.304
2026	23	A+BAL	300	.227/.357/.470	12	23	74	—	.179/.273/.365
2027PROJ0% MLB	24	MLBBAL	2	.193/.284/.350	0	0	76	0.0
2028PROJ38% MLB	25	MLBBAL	133	.197/.287/.355	4	4	78	0.2
2029PROJ55% MLB	26	MLBBAL	219	.199/.289/.358	6	6	80	0.4

Next 3 projected WAR 0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$0.4M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

BB%87

ISO83

Chase%60

wOBA47

wRC+41

Whiff%27

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 2, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 92%

CompsHayden Cantrelle (age 24) · Jeter Downs (age 24) · Corey Joyce (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†76

AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .284 / .350

PA2

HR0

K%50

BB%9

BABIP266

ISO154

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$13M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Arb-1	$0.4M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$2M	+$0.9M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	21	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	79	62	11	3	0	1	10	27	7	7	3	177	354	274	629	97	294	34	13	309	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	66	56	13	1	1	1	9	15	1	7	1	232	348	339	688	107	300	23	14	319	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	207	164	34	5	2	1	37	58	5	19	7	207	369	280	649	73	314	28	18	313	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA	Chesapeake Baysox	—	53	44	8	1	0	3	8	17	1	2	1	182	321	409	730	227	208	32	15	329	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+	Frederick Keys	—	300	247	56	14	5	12	41	82	9	23	4	227	357	470	827	243	282	27	14	363	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	21	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	79	65	9	2	0	1	7	35	7	7	3	138	291	215	507	77	255	44	9	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	66	59	12	1	1	1	6	19	1	7	1	203	288	305	593	102	260	29	9	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	207	176	29	4	2	1	25	79	5	19	7	165	286	227	514	62	286	38	12	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Chesapeake Baysox	—	53	46	7	1	0	2	6	21	1	2	1	152	264	304	568	152	198	40	11	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Frederick Keys	—	300	263	47	11	4	10	25	107	9	23	4	179	273	365	638	186	243	36	8	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	79	65	9	2	0	1	7	35	7	7	3	138	291	215	507	77	276	44	9	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	79	62	11	3	0	1	10	27	7	7	3	177	354	274	629	97	294	34	13	309	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	273	235	41	5	3	2	31	99	6	26	8	174	287	247	534	72	291	36	11	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	273	220	47	6	3	2	46	73	6	26	8	214	364	295	659	82	310	27	17	314	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	353	310	55	12	4	13	30	128	10	25	5	177	271	368	639	190	244	36	8	274	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	353	291	64	15	5	15	49	99	10	25	5	220	351	460	812	241	272	28	14	358	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	79	65	9	2	0	1	7	35	7	7	3	138	291	215	507	77	255	44	9	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	273	234	41	5	3	2	31	99	6	26	8	175	287	248	535	73	280	36	11	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	353	310	55	12	4	13	30	128	10	25	5	177	271	368	639	190	236	36	8	274	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	79	65	9	2	0	1	7	35	7	7	3	138	291	215	507	77	255	44	9	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	273	234	41	5	3	2	31	99	6	26	8	175	287	248	535	73	280	36	11	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	353	310	55	12	4	13	30	128	10	25	5	177	271	368	639	190	236	36	8	274	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	BAL	0%	380	334	62	12	3	10	35	124	8	14	3	190	281	341	622	151	262	33	9	281	76	-11	+2	+0	+7	+8	0.7
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	BAL	0%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	193	284	350	634	156	266	50	0	285	76	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	BAL	38%	351	309	60	12	3	10	32	113	7	11	3	193	284	346	630	153	264	32	9	284	78	-9	+1	+0	+6	+8	0.6
2029	26	MLB MLE	BAL	55%	394	347	67	13	3	11	36	125	8	12	3	196	285	349	634	153	265	32	9	286	80	-10	+1	+0	+7	+9	0.7
2030	27	MLB MLE	BAL	61%	412	363	71	14	3	11	38	129	8	11	3	197	286	349	635	152	266	31	9	286	80	-10	+1	+0	+7	+9	0.8
2031	28	MLB MLE	BAL	65%	419	370	73	14	3	12	38	130	8	10	2	198	286	348	633	150	266	31	9	286	79	-10	+1	-1	+7	+9	0.7
2032	29	MLB MLE	BAL	64%	417	369	72	14	3	11	38	129	7	9	2	198	285	344	629	147	266	31	9	284	78	-11	+1	-1	+7	+9	0.5
2033	30	MLB MLE	BAL	64%	412	365	71	14	3	11	37	129	7	8	2	195	281	336	618	142	264	31	9	279	75	-12	+1	-2	+7	+9	0.3
2034	31	MLB MLE	BAL	70%	388	345	66	13	3	10	34	123	6	6	2	190	276	327	603	136	260	32	9	273	71	-13	+0	-3	+7	+8	-0.0
2028	25	MLB CTX	BAL	38%	133	117	23	5	1	4	12	43	3	4	1	197	287	355	642	158	268	32	9	289	78	-3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2029	26	MLB CTX	BAL	55%	219	193	39	8	2	6	20	69	4	6	1	199	289	358	647	159	269	32	9	291	80	-5	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2030	27	MLB CTX	BAL	61%	253	223	44	9	2	7	23	79	5	7	2	201	289	358	648	158	270	31	9	291	80	-6	+1	+0	+5	+5	0.5
2031	28	MLB CTX	BAL	65%	270	238	48	9	2	8	25	84	5	6	2	201	289	357	646	155	270	31	9	290	79	-7	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.4
2032	29	MLB CTX	BAL	64%	269	238	48	9	2	8	24	83	5	6	2	201	288	353	641	152	270	31	9	289	78	-7	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.3
2033	30	MLB CTX	BAL	64%	265	234	46	9	2	7	24	83	5	5	1	198	284	345	629	147	268	31	9	284	75	-8	+1	-1	+5	+6	0.2
2034	31	MLB CTX	BAL	70%	271	240	47	9	2	7	24	86	5	4	2	194	279	335	614	141	264	32	9	278	71	-9	+0	-2	+5	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1680	1483	295	58	13	47	152	527	32	38	11	199	287	351	638	152	271	31	9	287	74	-46	+3	-5	+30	+36	2.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	574	113	22	5	18	59	204	12	15	4	197	285	347	632	150	268	31	9	287	74	-18	+1	-2	+12	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	3816	3357	638	123	31	101	350	1244	81	136	36	190	282	335	618	145	264	33	9	277	74	-84	+8	-7	+56	+67	4.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	108	21	5	17	60	212	14	23	6	189	282	332	614	143	263	33	9	277	74	-18	+2	-1	+12	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	5.9	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
/162	664	24	9	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Lou Criger'01-'12 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,522 PA	3.8	2,522	6	31	203*	288*	330*	+44	-1	3.8	4.2
/162	664	2	8	+11.6	-0.3	1.0	pk7: 5
#4J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#5Billy Sullivan'01-'12 * career totals — 12 seasons, 3,652 PA	5.5	3,652	11	92	206*	257*	335*	+64	-1	2.9	3.4
/162	664	2	17	+11.7	-0.2	0.5	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	2.5	1,682	45	39	196	281	344	+30	+16	3.4	3.4
/162	664	18	15	+11.9	+6.3	1.3	pk7: 3
#6Gabby Street'04-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,677 PA	2.5	1,677	2	17	210*	281*	325*	+30	+0	3.1	3.3
/162	664	1	7	+11.8	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Colin Tuft (OGILVIE)	24	25	25	60	60	188/279/338	150	262	9	11	33%	9%	76	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Hayden Cantrelle 2023 · AA	24	38	42→40	55→60	53	177/298/289	112	287	8	22	36%	13%	72	-0.7	202/308/299	97	311	7	22	33%	11%	78	-0.3	198/304/282	84	311	6	27	34%	11%	70	-0.5
✕Jeter Downs 2022 · AAA	24	36→41	46→50	53→55	41	190/255/315	125	268	15	19	34%	7%	61	-1.5	185/268/313	128	266	15	22	34%	8%	66	-1.1	176/270/315	139	246	15	26	33%	9%	66	-0.6
✕Corey Joyce 2024 · AAA	25	42	43→40	50	48	204/305/319	115	291	11	13	31%	10%	81	-0.1	217/305/313	96	303	8	15	29%	9%	79	-0.2	219/295/310	91	293	10	16	27%	8%	70	-0.5
✕Maverick Handley 2023 · AA	25	40	45→40	50	45	199/284/317	118	274	12	12	31%	8%	73	-0.6	204/294/293	89	285	8	11	29%	9%	71	-0.8	194/286/264	70	270	4	8	27%	9%	60	-0.6
✕Kaden Polcovich 2023 · AA	24	41	45	55	46	204/286/328	124	274	13	16	29%	8%	76	-0.4	199/283/311	112	277	10	18	30%	9%	71	-0.8	172/267/273	101	245	8	23	30%	10%	54	-0.7
✕Chad Hinshaw 2015 · A	24	44→42	47→45	56→55	39	217/292/359	142	298	14	23	31%	6%	85	+0.2	211/284/312	101	305	8	24	31%	7%	71	-0.8	197/271/276	80	293	6	25	32%	7%	55	-1.0
✕Kenedy Corona 2024 · AA	24	41→42	48→50	54→55	41	211/269/351	141	285	16	24	31%	7%	74	-0.5	207/273/312	105	285	10	24	29%	7%	67	-1.1	202/273/295	93	277	8	27	28%	7%	60	-1.1
✕Luke Williams 2021 · AA	24	42→44	42→45	52→65	44	208/270/316	107	274	9	20	27%	7%	65	-1.2	229/287/323	94	314	7	28	27%	7%	74	-0.6	229/291/325	96	311	8	37	27%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Andrés Alvarez 2023 · AA	26	39→32	49→45	56→50	45	202/280/345	143	284	17	20	34%	9%	77	-0.3	202/266/314	112	287	11	12	32%	7%	64	-1.3	193/253/289	96	272	9	8	31%	6%	51	-1.3
✕Korry Howell 2023 · AA	24	43→35	49→40	58→55	41	206/293/359	153	322	16	22	38%	8%	86	+0.3	190/271/304	114	303	11	23	38%	8%	65	-1.2	130/219/212	83	215	8	34	41%	8%	24	-1.9
✕Cooper Bowman 2024 · AA	24	41→44	44→45	62→60	45	204/283/324	119	284	12	37	31%	8%	73	-0.6	210/281/325	115	288	10	33	29%	8%	72	-0.7	209/280/324	115	279	10	37	27%	8%	70	-0.6
✕Brett Auerbach 2023 · AA	24	40→34	50→45	50→55	40	208/271/356	148	302	19	17	36%	7%	76	-0.4	201/260/308	107	298	10	16	34%	7%	61	-1.5	192/254/283	91	282	7	17	33%	7%	49	-1.1
✕Trey Sweeney 2024 · AA	24	42→45	47→50	54→55	49	213/293/347	134	271	14	19	26%	9%	82	+0.0	222/286/356	134	295	15	16	28%	8%	82	-0.0	219/281/356	137	291	16	15	29%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Braxton Fulford 2023 · A	24	44→41	47→50	52→50	44	216/299/348	131	298	14	10	31%	8%	85	+0.2	213/288/349	136	291	14	10	30%	7%	82	-0.0	207/283/351	144	282	15	9	30%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Sean Jamieson 2013 · A	24	41→44	43→45	53→50	47	201/277/314	113	254	10	15	24%	8%	69	-0.9	225/285/338	113	297	9	10	26%	6%	77	-0.3	233/292/342	109	311	9	9	26%	6%	77	-0.3
✕Devonte Brown 2024 · AA	24	41→39	47→45	55→50	46	202/289/337	136	305	15	17	36%	10%	79	-0.2	190/274/301	111	315	12	16	40%	9%	65	-1.2	170/259/267	97	288	11	17	41%	9%	50	-1.3
✕Clay Fuller 2011 · AA	24	42→46	43→45	53→55	44	207/280/319	112	291	11	19	31%	8%	71	-0.8	220/271/337	117	294	13	14	28%	6%	71	-0.8	221/260/336	115	281	15	15	27%	5%	63	-0.7
✕Rowdey Jordan 2024 · AA	25	42	43→45	54→55	46	205/281/318	113	276	10	20	28%	8%	71	-0.8	207/267/318	111	293	11	18	31%	7%	65	-1.2	196/251/297	102	279	11	20	33%	6%	52	-1.2
✕Bryan Lavastida 2023 · MLB	24	44	44→45	50→55	44	216/281/334	118	281	11	12	27%	7%	75	-0.5	220/289/334	114	283	11	21	25%	8%	78	-0.3	221/293/333	112	282	11	27	24%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Zack Short 2019 · AA	24	40→39	47→50	47→45	51	202/293/345	143	270	14	9	29%	11%	82	+0.0	198/291/335	137	280	14	7	32%	10%	79	-0.2	177/277/302	125	240	14	9	31%	11%	66	-0.8

Colin Tuft

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps