Allen Facundo

P Hudson Valley Renegades

Age 24 LHP 6'0" / 171 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 0.8 · 2028

Overview

A+PROSPECTFG #232MiLBFA 2034

Scout OFP42ETA2028FG ETA2027MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	21	ANYY	8	7	30	2.40	2.40	30.2%	11.1%	—	K 22.3% · BB 13.1% · FIP 3.45
2025	22	MIX2 levels	10	9	39	1.85	2.10	29.4%	11.1%	—	K 19.6% · BB 12.5% · FIP 3.03
2026	23	MIX2 levels	22	22	114	4.01	3.24	29.2%	15.4%	—	K 22.4% · BB 17.8% · FIP 4.27
2027PROJ	24	MLBNYY	24	24	134	5.18	5.18	22.8%	17.9%	-0.4
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBNYY	10	10	59	5.05	4.97	23.1%	15.5%	0.0
2029PROJ66% MLB	26	MLBNYY	15	15	90	4.94	4.90	23.2%	14.9%	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$2M2032Arb-2$2M2033Arb-3$1M

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff50Control40Command40FB velo64

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 4, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 87%

CompsTate Kuehner (age 23) · Andrew Sears (age 21) · Cody Reed (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115123vR 132

ERA5.18

FIP5.18

K%22.8%

BB%17.9%

K-BB%5.0%

Proj IP134

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 134 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$6M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—45

STUF5050

CTRL—40

CMD3040

K†5555

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-1	$2M	—	—	—
2032	Arb-2	$2M	—	—	—
2033	Arb-3	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Yankees 1	14	11	49	207	84	27	0	79%	3.5	27.6%	16.3%	11.3%	0.0%	4.25	2.84	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL Yankees 1	14	11	49	207	84	27	0	79%	3.5	40.6%	13.0%	27.5%	0.0%	4.25	1.31	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	11	2	30	126	40	13	0	18%	2.8	21.6%	12.9%	8.7%	0.0%	2.37	2.91	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	FCL Yankees	11	2	30	126	40	13	0	18%	2.8	31.7%	10.3%	21.4%	0.0%	2.37	1.75	—
2024	21	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	8	7	30	126	38	14	1	88%	3.8	22.3%	13.1%	9.2%	1.1%	2.40	3.45	—
2024	21	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	8	7	30	126	38	14	1	88%	3.8	22.3%	13.1%	9.2%	1.1%	2.40	3.45	—
2024	21	A RAW	Tampa Tarpons	8	7	30	126	38	14	1	88%	3.8	30.2%	11.1%	19.0%	0.8%	2.40	2.40	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	9	39	153	45	17	0	90%	3.9	19.6%	12.5%	7.1%	0.0%	1.85	3.03	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	9	39	153	45	17	0	90%	3.9	19.6%	12.5%	7.1%	0.0%	1.85	3.03	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	10	9	39	153	45	17	0	90%	3.9	29.4%	11.1%	18.3%	0.0%	1.85	2.10	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	22	114	506	148	78	6	100%	5.2	22.4%	17.8%	4.6%	1.5%	4.01	4.27	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	22	114	506	148	78	6	100%	5.2	22.4%	17.8%	4.6%	1.5%	4.01	4.27	—
2026	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	22	114	506	148	78	6	100%	5.2	29.2%	15.4%	13.8%	1.2%	4.01	3.24	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	NYY	24	24	134	566	129	101	14	100%	5.6	22.8%	17.9%	5.0%	2.5%	5.18	5.18	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	NYY	23	23	136	574	133	89	15	100%	5.9	23.1%	15.5%	7.6%	2.5%	4.96	4.88	+0.0
2029	26	MLB MLE	NYY	23	23	136	574	133	85	15	100%	5.9	23.2%	14.9%	8.4%	2.6%	4.85	4.81	+0.1
2030	27	MLB MLE	NYY	22	22	134	566	131	83	15	100%	6.1	23.2%	14.6%	8.6%	2.6%	4.82	4.82	+0.1
2031	28	MLB MLE	NYY	22	22	130	549	126	80	15	100%	5.9	23.0%	14.6%	8.4%	2.7%	4.85	4.89	+0.0
2032	29	MLB MLE	NYY	21	21	124	524	119	77	15	100%	5.9	22.8%	14.8%	8.0%	2.9%	4.95	5.02	-0.2
2033	30	MLB MLE	NYY	19	19	117	493	111	74	15	100%	6.1	22.4%	15.1%	7.3%	3.1%	5.10	5.20	-0.4
2028	25	MLB CTX	NYY	10	10	59	249	58	39	7	100%	5.9	23.1%	15.5%	7.6%	2.7%	5.05	4.97	+0.0
2029	26	MLB CTX	NYY	15	15	90	380	88	57	10	100%	6.0	23.2%	14.9%	8.4%	2.7%	4.94	4.90	+0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	NYY	17	17	104	439	102	64	12	100%	6.1	23.2%	14.6%	8.6%	2.8%	4.92	4.92	+0.1
2031	28	MLB CTX	NYY	18	18	109	460	106	67	13	100%	6.1	23.0%	14.6%	8.4%	2.9%	4.95	4.99	+0.0
2032	29	MLB CTX	NYY	18	18	109	460	105	68	14	100%	6.1	22.8%	14.8%	8.0%	3.1%	5.06	5.13	-0.1
2033	30	MLB CTX	NYY	18	18	105	443	99	67	15	100%	5.8	22.4%	15.1%	7.3%	3.3%	5.21	5.31	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		96	96	575	2429	557	361	72	100%	6.0	22.9%	14.9%	8.1%	3.0%	5.02	4.66	+1.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	194	125	25	100%	6.0	22.9%	14.9%	8.1%	3.0%	5.02	4.66	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		65	51	262	1118	256	176	9	78%	4.0	22.9%	15.7%	7.2%	0.8%	3.36	3.59	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		50	39	200	852	195	134	7	78%	4.0	22.9%	15.7%	7.2%	0.8%	3.36	3.59	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Allen Facundo (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.18	22.8%	17.9%	2.5%	—	4.84	23.2%	8.2%	406	-0.34	—	—	—
Tate Kuehner L 2024 · 4.08 FIP	23	SP	4.08	20.5%	13.9%	1.7%	.275	3.85	20.3%	7.9%	164	-0.23	3.83	268	81
Andrew Sears L 2024 · 4.25 FIP	21	SP	4.25	19.6%	15.4%	1.6%	.248	4.06	19.9%	11.0%	177	-0.19	3.71	266	75
Cody Reed L 2017 · 4.30 FIP	24	SP-	4.30	19.1%	14.3%	1.8%	.301	3.86	22.0%	13.8%	181	-0.44	2.90	572	75
Dante Biasi L 2022 · 4.91 FIP	24	SP-	4.91	18.7%	15.9%	2.5%	.288	6.65	20.1%	1.7%	69	+1.74	4.91	224	75
Dylan Carmouche L 2024 · 4.35 FIP	22	SP	4.35	19.0%	11.6%	2.5%	.332	5.21	16.7%	6.8%	116	+0.86	4.35	239	74
Hayden Mullins L 2024 · 4.39 FIP	23	SP-	4.39	23.4%	12.4%	3.1%	.288	3.69	25.5%	11.8%	194	-0.70	3.54	283	74
Cameron Bishop L 2019 · 4.65 FIP	23	SP	4.65	16.6%	13.9%	2.2%	.316	3.42	23.8%	11.5%	66	-1.23	2.86	305	73
Shane Drohan L 2023 · 5.13 FIP	24	SP	5.13	19.8%	12.1%	4.0%	.308	3.44	25.0%	16.1%	197	-1.69	2.79	538	73
Brandon Williamson L 2022 · 4.36 FIP	24	SP	4.36	18.6%	15.0%	1.7%	.304	4.76	18.7%	10.0%	165	+0.40	3.62	454	72
Christian MacLeod L 2024 · 4.77 FIP	24	SP	4.77	21.5%	13.6%	3.2%	.269	4.50	18.0%	3.0%	128	-0.27	3.88	280	71
Kyle Carr L 2024 · 4.24 FIP	22	SP	4.24	16.2%	14.0%	1.3%	.310	4.47	18.6%	7.1%	223	+0.23	4.19	327	71
Dalton Rogers L 2024 · 4.17 FIP	23	SP	4.17	17.7%	14.9%	1.2%	.324	4.76	20.4%	4.7%	185	+0.59	3.47	364	71
Lucas Gordon L 2024 · 5.61 FIP	22	SP	5.61	16.3%	15.7%	3.5%	.212	5.08	20.0%	8.1%	225	-0.53	4.44	338	71
Hobbs Johnson L 2015 · 4.54 FIP	24	SP	4.54	14.9%	16.6%	1.1%	.254	5.14	12.3%	-5.3%	25	+0.60	4.54	143	70
Noah Dean L 2024 · 4.41 FIP	23	SP-	4.41	25.4%	18.4%	2.0%	.216	5.93	21.1%	1.3%	74	+1.52	4.41	217	70
Jaylen Nowlin L 2024 · 5.15 FIP	23	SP-	5.15	18.7%	12.6%	3.7%	.299	4.77	21.7%	3.2%	100	-0.38	3.45	372	70
Keegan Akin L 2019 · 4.13 FIP	24	SP	4.13	22.9%	12.7%	2.5%	.329	3.98	22.3%	14.5%	202	-0.15	2.62	743	69
Erik Bedard L 2004 · 4.01 FIP	25	SP	4.01	19.1%	11.1%	2.1%	.317	3.28	23.8%	15.5%	520	-0.73	2.96	1,317	69
Drew Dowd L 2024 · 4.36 FIP	22	SP	4.36	16.1%	11.7%	2.1%	.280	3.13	24.9%	16.0%	55	-1.23	3.13	166	69
Cody Dickson L 2016 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP	4.85	13.9%	16.4%	1.5%	.292	5.48	15.9%	1.3%	72	+0.63	3.88	354	69

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,853 starter careers (497 from 1990-2025 + 1,356 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	4.6	130	23.0%	15.3%	1.04	4.96
Kazuhisa Ishii ('02-'05, 1 WAR*)	2.8	141	19.8%*	13.6%*	1.14*	4.72*
Roy Parmelee ('29-'39, 4 WAR*)	5.6	124	24.0%*	12.7%*	1.20*	4.75*
Tommy Byrne ('43-'57, 6 WAR*)	6.8	124	23.8%*	13.6%*	0.98*	4.39*
Tony Saunders ('99)	1.7	115	19.7%	13.2%	0.86	4.56
Kaz Ishii ('05)	2.8	141	17.4%	14.2%	1.12	4.44
Emmett O'Neill ('43-'46, -2 WAR*)	1.8	119	19.1%*	15.5%*	0.99*	5.94*