Kyle Robinson

P Greensboro Grasshoppers

Age 24 RHP 6'6" / 225 lbs A+ peak 0.5 · 2029

Overview

A+PROSPECT

Scout OFP40ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	21	AOAK	3	2	7	7.71	3.67	26.5%	8.8%	—	K 26.5% · BB 8.8% · FIP 3.60
2025	22	MIX2 levels	25	20	121	4.54	4.05	16.6%	10.1%	—	K 13.1% · BB 11.3% · FIP 4.77
2026	23	MIX3 levels	25	24	107	5.74	4.83	21.0%	9.5%	—	K 16.4% · BB 11.0% · FIP 5.74
2027PROJ	24	MLBLAA	14	14	77	5.69	5.69	15.0%	12.7%	-0.7
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBLAA	8	8	47	5.46	5.40	16.8%	11.8%	-0.3
2029PROJ66% MLB	26	MLBLAA	12	12	73	5.30	5.26	17.8%	11.5%	-0.3

Next 3 projected WAR -1.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff46Control41Command35

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 3, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 86%

CompsAaron Heilman (age 24) · Baron Stuart (age 24) · Jake Peppers (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 141133vR 125

ERA5.69

FIP5.69

K%15.0%

BB%12.7%

K-BB%2.3%

Proj IP77

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 77 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF3045

CTRL5040

CMD3535

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	21	A MLE	Stockton Ports	3	2	7	34	9	3	1	67%	2.3	26.5%	8.8%	17.6%	2.9%	7.71	3.60	—
2024	21	A MLE	Stockton Ports	3	2	7	34	9	3	1	67%	2.3	26.5%	8.8%	17.6%	2.9%	7.71	3.60	—
2024	21	A RAW	Stockton Ports	3	2	7	34	9	3	1	67%	2.3	26.5%	8.8%	17.6%	2.9%	7.71	3.67	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	20	121	524	87	53	10	80%	4.8	13.1%	11.3%	1.7%	2.4%	4.54	4.77	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	20	121	524	87	53	10	80%	4.8	13.1%	11.3%	1.7%	2.4%	4.54	4.77	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	20	121	524	87	53	10	80%	4.8	16.6%	10.1%	6.5%	1.9%	4.54	4.05	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	25	24	107	472	99	45	19	96%	4.3	16.4%	11.0%	5.4%	4.8%	5.74	5.74	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	25	24	107	472	99	45	19	96%	4.3	16.4%	11.0%	5.4%	4.8%	5.74	5.74	—
2026	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	25	24	107	472	99	45	19	96%	4.3	21.0%	9.5%	11.4%	4.0%	5.74	4.83	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	LAA	14	14	77	325	49	41	11	100%	5.5	15.0%	12.7%	2.3%	3.4%	5.69	5.69	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	LAA	19	19	110	466	78	55	16	100%	5.8	16.8%	11.8%	5.0%	3.4%	5.46	5.40	-0.6
2029	26	MLB MLE	LAA	18	18	110	466	83	53	15	100%	6.1	17.8%	11.5%	6.3%	3.3%	5.30	5.26	-0.4
2030	27	MLB MLE	LAA	18	18	109	459	82	52	15	100%	6.0	18.0%	11.4%	6.6%	3.4%	5.24	5.24	-0.4
2031	28	MLB MLE	LAA	18	18	105	445	80	51	15	100%	5.8	18.0%	11.4%	6.6%	3.5%	5.27	5.30	-0.5
2032	29	MLB MLE	LAA	17	17	101	425	75	49	15	100%	5.9	17.7%	11.6%	6.1%	3.6%	5.37	5.43	-0.6
2033	30	MLB MLE	LAA	16	16	95	399	69	48	15	100%	5.9	17.4%	11.9%	5.4%	3.8%	5.51	5.61	-0.7
2028	25	MLB CTX	LAA	8	8	47	198	33	23	7	100%	5.9	16.8%	11.8%	5.0%	3.4%	5.46	5.40	-0.3
2029	26	MLB CTX	LAA	12	12	73	308	55	35	10	100%	6.1	17.8%	11.5%	6.3%	3.3%	5.30	5.26	-0.3
2030	27	MLB CTX	LAA	14	14	84	355	64	40	12	100%	6.0	18.0%	11.4%	6.6%	3.4%	5.24	5.24	-0.3
2031	28	MLB CTX	LAA	15	15	89	376	68	43	13	100%	5.9	18.0%	11.4%	6.6%	3.5%	5.27	5.30	-0.4
2032	29	MLB CTX	LAA	15	15	88	372	66	43	13	100%	5.9	17.7%	11.6%	6.1%	3.6%	5.37	5.43	-0.5
2033	30	MLB CTX	LAA	14	14	85	359	62	43	14	100%	6.1	17.4%	11.9%	5.4%	3.8%	5.51	5.61	-0.7
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		78	78	466	1969	348	228	69	100%	6.0	17.7%	11.6%	6.1%	3.5%	5.35	5.00	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	149	98	30	100%	6.0	17.7%	11.6%	6.1%	3.5%	5.35	5.00	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		53	46	235	1030	155	114	36	87%	4.4	15.0%	11.1%	3.9%	3.5%	5.18	5.17	-3.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		45	39	200	878	132	98	31	87%	4.4	15.0%	11.1%	3.9%	3.5%	5.18	5.17	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kyle Robinson (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.69	15.0%	12.7%	3.4%	—	5.30	17.5%	6.0%	329	-0.39	—	—	—
Aaron Heilman R 2003 · 5.57 FIP	24	SP	5.57	16.2%	12.4%	4.1%	.311	3.13	22.0%	14.1%	223	-2.44	2.76	630	89
Baron Stuart R 2023 · 5.24 FIP	24	SP	5.24	14.5%	12.2%	3.3%	.266	4.22	17.6%	4.1%	205	-1.02	3.57	306	87
Jake Peppers R 2024 · 5.02 FIP	22	SP	5.02	15.3%	12.2%	3.0%	.293	5.15	14.8%	-1.3%	89	+0.13	4.83	186	87
Charlie Morton R 2008 · 4.79 FIP	24	SP	4.79	13.9%	11.3%	2.6%	.285	3.97	14.7%	6.0%	348	-0.82	2.52	2,281	86
Hayden Merda R 2023 · 5.17 FIP	23	SP	5.17	16.1%	15.3%	2.7%	.325	4.59	25.5%	10.9%	108	-0.58	4.20	203	86
Joel Hanrahan R 2007 · 5.58 FIP	25	SP	5.58	17.4%	15.4%	3.6%	.318	3.06	27.8%	18.1%	218	-2.52	2.08	397	85
Jake Bockenstedt R 2024 · 6.05 FIP	24	SP	6.05	17.0%	13.1%	5.0%	.322	4.35	16.8%	5.4%	126	-1.70	3.74	218	85
Paxton Schultz R 2022 · 5.27 FIP	24	SP-	5.27	17.5%	12.2%	3.8%	.293	4.31	21.9%	11.8%	274	-0.96	3.83	543	85
Justin Miller R 2002 · 5.01 FIP	24	SP-	5.01	14.5%	13.6%	2.6%	.280	5.41	12.5%	2.1%	82	+0.40	2.63	373	84
J.P. France R 2019 · 5.32 FIP	24	SP-	5.32	17.9%	13.9%	3.6%	.285	4.24	26.3%	15.2%	225	-1.08	4.04	577	84
Khristian Curtis R 2024 · 5.48 FIP	22	SP	5.48	18.8%	14.4%	3.9%	.275	4.62	20.6%	8.4%	216	-0.86	4.60	291	83
Jacob Meador R 2024 · 5.34 FIP	23	SP-	5.34	15.6%	14.0%	3.2%	.301	6.73	14.7%	-6.6%	50	+1.39	5.34	139	83
Bryce Osmond R 2023 · 5.56 FIP	22	SP	5.56	18.0%	12.4%	4.4%	.294	7.13	16.7%	3.8%	80	+1.57	5.56	177	83
Riley Thompson R 2019 · 4.69 FIP	23	SP	4.69	16.5%	9.4%	3.3%	.288	5.32	21.7%	7.0%	57	+0.63	4.48	340	83
Jason Savacool R 2024 · 4.83 FIP	22	SP-	4.83	14.9%	14.1%	2.2%	.275	4.88	17.2%	4.6%	128	+0.05	4.26	225	83
Joe Nathan R 2000 · 5.19 FIP	25	SP-	5.19	14.3%	13.8%	2.8%	.262	3.30	26.3%	16.8%	79	-1.89	1.25	929	83
Jarrod Cande R 2024 · 5.42 FIP	24	SP	5.42	16.7%	11.0%	4.3%	.256	5.72	11.7%	-3.6%	23	+0.30	4.31	315	82
Elijah Dale R 2024 · 4.55 FIP	23	SP	4.55	16.7%	13.6%	2.1%	.239	6.48	18.4%	-1.6%	31	+1.93	4.55	140	82
John Maine R 2005 · 6.04 FIP	24	SP-	6.04	13.0%	13.0%	4.3%	.242	4.20	20.9%	11.4%	421	-1.84	3.91	582	82
Will Sanders R 2024 · 4.95 FIP	22	SP	4.95	19.3%	11.8%	3.6%	.297	4.11	20.1%	12.5%	173	-0.84	3.92	266	82

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 3,327 pitcher careers (1,251 from 1990-2025 + 2,076 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.5	101	17.3%	11.7%	1.34	5.39
Jerry Casale ('58-'62, -1 WAR*)	1.9	93	18.7%*	11.2%*	1.44*	5.30*
Charlie Bishop ('52-'55, -1 WAR*)	1.5	98	16.9%*	11.2%*	1.30*	5.49*
Bob McGraw ('17-'29, -2 WAR*)	3.0	99	16.8%*	11.0%*	1.21*	5.01*
Mac Suzuki ('02)	2.3	93	15.4%	12.5%	1.29	5.72
Jesus Sanchez ('04)	2.6	131	16.3%	11.9%	1.41	5.32
Shawn Chacon ('08)	4.6	115	15.0%	11.5%	1.34	4.99