Baron Stuart
P
Wilmington Blue Rocks
Age 27
RHP
6'4" / 225 lbs
A+
2026 ROS PROJECTION25 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 144135vR 125
ERA5.56
FIP5.56
K%15.2%
BB%15.9%
K-BB%-0.7%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 95 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 18 | 101 | 440 | 85 | 46 | 12 | 90% | 5.0 | 14.5% | 12.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.47 | 5.16 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 18 | 101 | 440 | 85 | 46 | 12 | 90% | 5.0 | 19.3% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 2.7% | 4.47 | 4.33 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 23 | 116 | 485 | 104 | 46 | 4 | 100% | 5.0 | 17.1% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 1.0% | 3.49 | 3.55 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 23 | 116 | 485 | 104 | 46 | 4 | 100% | 5.0 | 21.4% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 0.8% | 3.49 | 2.94 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 6 | 60 | 258 | 50 | 40 | 4 | 18% | 1.8 | 15.8% | 16.8% | -1.0% | 1.7% | 4.37 | 4.82 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 6 | 60 | 258 | 50 | 40 | 4 | 18% | 1.8 | 19.4% | 15.5% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 4.37 | 4.31 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AA | Hudson Valley Renegades | 19 | 0 | 25 | 126 | 33 | 25 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 22.0% | 21.9% | 0.1% | 3.0% | 8.03 | 5.65 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | NYY | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 45 | 47 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.2% | 15.9% | -0.7% | 2.5% | 5.56 | 5.56 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15.2% | 15.9% | -0.7% | 2.5% | 5.56 | 5.56 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 95 | 422 | 78 | 72 | 12 | — | — | 18.5% | 17.1% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 6.20 | 5.58 | -0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 15.2% | 15.9% | -0.7% | 2.5% | 5.56 | 5.18 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | NYY | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 45 | 44 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.9% | 15.4% | 0.5% | 2.6% | 5.49 | 5.52 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | NYY | 62 | 0 | 65 | 274 | 44 | 41 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.2% | 15.2% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 5.50 | 5.56 | -0.7 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | NYY | 24 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 17 | 16 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.9% | 15.4% | 0.5% | 2.6% | 5.49 | 5.52 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | NYY | 34 | 0 | 36 | 152 | 25 | 23 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.2% | 15.2% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 5.50 | 5.56 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 58 | 0 | 61 | 257 | 41 | 39 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.1% | 15.3% | 0.8% | 2.7% | 5.50 | 5.17 | -0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 135 | 128 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.1% | 15.3% | 0.8% | 2.7% | 5.50 | 5.17 | +0.5 | ||
| Career | — | 95 | 47 | 301 | 1309 | 215 | 176 | 27 | 49% | 3.2 | 16.4% | 13.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 4.37 | 4.54 | +3.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 63 | 31 | 200 | 870 | 143 | 117 | 18 | 49% | 3.2 | 16.4% | 13.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 4.37 | 4.54 | +2.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Baron Stuart (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.56 | 15.2% | 15.9% | 2.5% | — | 5.54 | 16.0% | 0.8% | 133 | -0.02 | — | — | — |
| Paul Clemens R 2026 · 5.36 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.36 | 14.3% | 14.1% | 3.1% | .310 | 4.76 | 16.9% | 7.3% | 200 | -0.60 | 4.76 | 247 | 83 |
| Grant Black R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 80 |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2025 · 5.19 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.19 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 157 | 79 |
| Dustin Antolin R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.36 | 16.2% | 14.4% | 1.5% | .368 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.90 | 159 | 78 |
| Alex Caldera R 2028 · 5.56 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.56 | 10.4% | 13.1% | 3.1% | .333 | 4.61 | 11.9% | 0.8% | 84 | -0.95 | 4.61 | 120 | 78 |
| Jordan Geber R 2026 · 6.11 FIP | 27 | SW | 6.11 | 14.2% | 18.0% | 3.5% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 239 | 76 |
| Robbie Peto R 2024 · 5.71 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.71 | 15.3% | 13.4% | 4.0% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.38 | 232 | 75 |
| Vanny Valenzuela R 2026 · 6.66 FIP | 27 | SW | 6.66 | 12.4% | 14.8% | 5.0% | .314 | 4.38 | 15.8% | 4.6% | 70 | -2.28 | 3.26 | 118 | 74 |
| Brad Allen R 2026 · 6.07 FIP | 27 | SW | 6.07 | 14.7% | 13.2% | 4.6% | .272 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.22 | 149 | 72 |
| Clate Schmidt R 2024 · 5.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.61 | 13.5% | 13.9% | 3.4% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 160 | 72 |
| Chris Jensen R 2026 · 5.29 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.29 | 12.0% | 10.6% | 3.4% | .347 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.73 | 488 | 72 |
| Colby Morris R 2024 · 5.76 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.76 | 16.2% | 11.8% | 4.6% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 105 | 72 |
| Stephen Johnson R 2024 · 5.44 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.44 | 16.7% | 12.7% | 3.9% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 141 | 71 |
| Endrys Briceno R 2025 · 4.83 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.83 | 14.0% | 13.2% | 2.2% | .328 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.69 | 303 | 71 |
| Fernando Cruz R 2024 · 5.41 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.41 | 15.6% | 12.2% | 3.8% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.52 | 356 | 71 |
| Julian Arballo R 2026 · 5.47 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.47 | 15.1% | 13.8% | 3.5% | .335 | 4.38 | 12.6% | 0.6% | 116 | -1.09 | 4.28 | 214 | 71 |
| Yordy Cabrera R 2025 · 4.95 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.95 | 12.2% | 12.7% | 2.3% | .335 | 3.48 | 15.7% | 6.8% | 61 | -1.47 | 3.48 | 159 | 70 |
| Orlando Rodriguez R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.53 | 13.7% | 10.6% | 2.3% | .252 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.50 | 119 | 70 |
| Jake Walters R 2026 · 5.97 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.97 | 15.5% | 15.7% | 4.0% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.46 | 261 | 70 |
| Alfonso Sanchez R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.81 | 12.5% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .346 | 4.97 | 14.0% | 5.3% | 138 | +0.16 | 4.54 | 224 | 70 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 68 | 15.7% | 15.5% | 1.01 | 5.52 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |