Baron Stuart
P
Hudson Valley Renegades
+0.0
WAR
Age 27
RHP
6'4" / 225 lbs
A+
peak 0.2 · 2026
ERA4.85
FIP4.85
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%18.6%
BB%12.5%
K-BB%6.1%
IP79
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2026
STUF4545
CTRL3030
CMD4040
K†4545
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | 20 | 18 | 101 | 440 | 85 | 46 | 12 | 14.5% | 12.2% | 3.4% | 4.47 | 5.27 | +0.0 |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | 23 | 23 | 116 | 485 | 104 | 46 | 4 | 17.1% | 10.5% | 1.0% | 3.49 | 3.56 | +2.3 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | 33 | 6 | 60 | 258 | 50 | 40 | 4 | 15.8% | 16.8% | 1.8% | 4.37 | 4.87 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AA | Somerset Patriots | 3 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 6 | 7 | 1 | — | — | — | 12.46 | — | — |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | NYY | 14 | 14 | 79 | 332 | 60 | 48 | 8 | 18.1% | 14.3% | 2.5% | 5.13 | 5.13 | -0.0 |
| 2026 Total | 27 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 83 | 358 | 66 | 55 | 9 | 18.4% | 15.2% | 2.6% | 5.51 | 4.86 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | NYY | 14 | 14 | 77 | 327 | 61 | 45 | 8 | 18.5% | 13.9% | 2.6% | 5.07 | 5.08 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | NYY | 14 | 14 | 76 | 320 | 60 | 43 | 8 | 18.8% | 13.6% | 2.6% | 5.04 | 5.07 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | NYY | 13 | 13 | 73 | 310 | 58 | 42 | 8 | 18.8% | 13.5% | 2.7% | 5.05 | 5.09 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB | NYY | 13 | 13 | 71 | 299 | 56 | 40 | 8 | 18.7% | 13.5% | 2.8% | 5.10 | 5.15 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB | NYY | 12 | 12 | 68 | 287 | 53 | 39 | 8 | 18.4% | 13.6% | 2.9% | 5.18 | 5.23 | -0.2 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB | NYY | 12 | 12 | 65 | 274 | 50 | 38 | 8 | 18.1% | 13.8% | 3.0% | 5.27 | 5.33 | -0.2 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB | NYY | 11 | 11 | 62 | 261 | 46 | 36 | 8 | 17.8% | 14.0% | 3.1% | 5.37 | 5.44 | -0.3 |
| 2034 | 35 | MLB | NYY | 58 | — | 58 | 246 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 17.4% | 14.2% | 3.2% | 5.48 | 5.56 | -0.4 |
| 2035 | 36 | MLB | NYY | 54 | — | 54 | 230 | 39 | 33 | 8 | 16.9% | 14.5% | 3.3% | 5.61 | 5.69 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 79 | 47 | 281 | 1209 | 193 | 155 | 25 | 16.0% | 12.8% | 2.1% | 4.17 | 4.53 | +2.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 56 | 33 | 200 | 862 | 138 | 110 | 18 | 16.0% | 12.8% | 2.1% | 4.17 | 4.53 | +1.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Baron Stuart (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.13 | 18.1% | 14.3% | 2.5% | — | 5.08 | 18.7% | 5.1% | 226 | -0.05 | — | — | — |
| Gonzalez Germen R 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.29 | 18.0% | 12.5% | 2.1% | .296 | 3.94 | 19.2% | 8.3% | 54 | -0.35 | 3.68 | 146 | 92 |
| Grant Black R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.46 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +1.00 | 4.46 | 215 | 92 |
| Armando Rivero R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.26 | 18.7% | 13.5% | 1.9% | .256 | 2.69 | 32.9% | 19.8% | 68 | -1.57 | 2.69 | 125 | 90 |
| Josh Zeid R 2027 · 4.13 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.13 | 16.6% | 12.5% | 1.6% | .302 | 5.19 | 16.9% | 5.7% | 194 | +1.06 | 4.13 | 265 | 89 |
| Julian Arballo R 2026 · 5.14 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.14 | 15.1% | 13.8% | 2.9% | .335 | 4.48 | 12.6% | 0.6% | 116 | -0.66 | 4.42 | 214 | 88 |
| David Goforth R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.69 | 14.5% | 12.8% | 2.1% | .333 | 4.53 | 13.9% | 4.6% | 122 | -0.16 | 4.06 | 256 | 84 |
| Luis Mateo R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.58 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.8% | .309 | 5.45 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +0.87 | 3.47 | 160 | 84 |
| Rafael Dolis R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.02 | 15.8% | 14.3% | 0.8% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.80 | 162 | 84 |
| Nolan Riggs R 2024 · 4.54 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.54 | 20.7% | 14.0% | 2.6% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.36 | 132 | 84 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2027 · 4.38 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.38 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.82 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.44 | 4.38 | 101 | 84 |
| Jose De La Torre R 2028 · 4.40 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.40 | 14.5% | 13.1% | 1.6% | .256 | 2.93 | 21.6% | 14.2% | 65 | -1.47 | 2.59 | 130 | 83 |
| Brad Schreiber R 2025 · 4.23 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.23 | 17.3% | 12.7% | 1.8% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 171 | 83 |
| Chris Beck R 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.87 | 17.4% | 12.2% | 3.1% | .305 | 5.27 | 18.1% | 9.3% | 41 | +0.40 | 3.27 | 313 | 83 |
| Stephen Johnson R 2024 · 5.17 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.17 | 16.7% | 12.7% | 3.4% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.12 | 141 | 83 |
| Cole Uvila R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.07 | 20.4% | 13.2% | 1.9% | .360 | 3.16 | 20.2% | 6.3% | 44 | -0.91 | 3.16 | 155 | 82 |
| Jake Gilbert R 2024 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 18.2% | 16.2% | 1.9% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.13 | 103 | 82 |
| Brad Goldberg R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.38 | 18.4% | 15.4% | 1.6% | .331 | 3.14 | 30.3% | 13.3% | 36 | -1.24 | 3.14 | 197 | 82 |
| J.J. Hoover R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.26 | 19.7% | 11.4% | 2.5% | .211 | 4.46 | 24.6% | 14.3% | 98 | +0.20 | 4.26 | 258 | 82 |
| Dustin Antolin R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.34 | 16.2% | 14.4% | 1.4% | .368 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94 | 159 | 82 |
| Gregory Infante R 2027 · 4.55 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.55 | 16.9% | 15.7% | 1.6% | .290 | 3.80 | 21.3% | 12.7% | 181 | -0.75 | 2.97 | 230 | 81 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.