Rocco Reid
P
Hillsboro Hops
Age 23
LHP
6'0" / 200 lbs
A+
2026 ROS PROJECTION25 act + 27 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 106115vR 124
ERA4.63
FIP4.63
K%21.8%
BB%11.1%
K-BB%10.8%
ROS IP27
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | A | Visalia Rawhide | 4 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.0% | 15.0% | 10.0% | 0.0% | 11.25 | 2.89 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A | Visalia Rawhide | 4 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.0% | 15.0% | 10.0% | 0.0% | 11.25 | 2.85 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 0 | 45 | 205 | 50 | 28 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 18.4% | 15.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.98 | 4.63 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 0 | 45 | 205 | 50 | 28 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 24.4% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 1.5% | 2.98 | 3.61 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | Hillsboro Hops | 21 | 0 | 25 | 111 | 39 | 14 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 22.6% | 18.4% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 4.74 | 4.44 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | ARI | 26 | 0 | 27 | 114 | 25 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.8% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 2.9% | 4.63 | 4.63 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.8% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 2.9% | 4.63 | 4.63 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 52 | 225 | 64 | 27 | 5 | — | — | 28.4% | 11.8% | 16.6% | 2.4% | 4.68 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| 2026 FULL | 23 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 21.8% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 2.9% | 4.63 | 4.25 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | ARI | 26 | 0 | 28 | 117 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 2.9% | 4.51 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | ARI | 11 | 0 | 12 | 51 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 2.9% | 4.51 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 11 | 0 | 12 | 51 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 2.9% | 4.51 | 4.07 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 183 | 83 | 17 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 2.9% | 4.51 | 4.07 | +3.1 | ||
| Career | — | 56 | 0 | 74 | 336 | 68 | 56 | 6 | 0% | 1.3 | 20.2% | 16.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 4.01 | 4.46 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 151 | 0 | 200 | 908 | 183 | 151 | 16 | 0% | 1.3 | 20.2% | 16.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 4.01 | 4.46 | +2.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Rocco Reid (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.63 | 21.8% | 11.1% | 2.9% | — | 4.45 | 22.6% | 12.3% | 28 | -0.18 | — | — | — |
| Keylan Killgore L 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.30 | 20.7% | 12.7% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.82 | 161 | 87 |
| Brian Marconi L 2027 · 3.61 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.61 | 25.3% | 12.3% | 2.0% | .265 | 4.96 | 20.3% | 2.1% | 57 | +1.35 | 3.61 | 101 | 86 |
| Jared Tobey L 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.11 | 21.0% | 12.1% | 2.3% | .320 | 5.97 | 22.4% | 8.2% | 73 | +1.86 | 4.11 | 158 | 86 |
| Fred Schlichtholz L 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.41 | 22.5% | 12.8% | 2.9% | .368 | 4.36 | 18.5% | 8.4% | 80 | -0.05 | 3.76 | 175 | 85 |
| Daniel Zamora L 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.52 | 20.3% | 10.8% | 1.4% | .294 | 2.76 | 24.7% | 16.8% | 135 | -0.76 | 2.17 | 310 | 85 |
| Robert Garcia L 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.63 | 24.0% | 11.4% | 3.8% | .342 | 4.41 | 22.0% | 10.4% | 106 | -0.22 | 2.21 | 452 | 84 |
| Wyatt Short L 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.92 | 20.4% | 8.4% | 2.7% | .262 | 3.93 | 20.5% | 10.3% | 91 | +0.01 | 2.70 | 288 | 84 |
| Andrew Mitchell L 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.75 | 21.8% | 7.5% | 2.8% | .333 | 2.67 | 23.8% | 15.8% | 78 | -1.08 | 2.51 | 119 | 84 |
| Seth Clark L 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.30 | 22.5% | 15.0% | 2.2% | .287 | 5.13 | 18.4% | 0.6% | 82 | +0.83 | 4.30 | 128 | 84 |
| Wesley Moore L 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.83 | 25.9% | 13.2% | 2.3% | .254 | 4.14 | 18.3% | 5.6% | 58 | +0.31 | 3.83 | 111 | 83 |
| Kade Bragg L 2027 · 4.40 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.40 | 23.3% | 13.0% | 3.0% | .255 | 4.15 | 23.7% | 2.3% | 45 | -0.25 | 4.15 | 112 | 83 |
| Daniel Stumpf L 2027 · 4.54 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.54 | 20.8% | 11.5% | 3.2% | .268 | 3.58 | 22.5% | 15.3% | 123 | -0.96 | 1.84 | 238 | 83 |
| Michael Johnson L 2027 · 4.09 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.09 | 20.6% | 9.4% | 2.8% | .260 | 4.51 | 17.6% | 7.7% | 185 | +0.42 | 3.88 | 256 | 83 |
| Andrew Walling L 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.20 | 23.7% | 14.8% | 2.2% | .272 | 3.95 | 22.2% | 8.5% | 105 | -0.25 | 3.12 | 161 | 83 |
| Andrew Tomasovich L 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.78 | 21.1% | 13.5% | 1.4% | .333 | 3.88 | 20.3% | 6.9% | 52 | +0.10 | 3.78 | 126 | 83 |
| Colton Johnson L 2029 · 4.04 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.04 | 20.8% | 11.0% | 2.4% | .309 | 4.49 | 12.2% | -0.4% | 48 | +0.45 | 4.04 | 106 | 83 |
| Mitchell Tyranski L 2028 · 5.25 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.25 | 20.4% | 13.6% | 3.9% | .269 | 4.20 | 20.7% | 6.1% | 103 | -1.05 | 3.46 | 145 | 83 |
| Caleb Wurster L 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.44 | 22.2% | 13.4% | 0.9% | .299 | 5.52 | 23.2% | 6.6% | 65 | +2.08 | 3.44 | 100 | 82 |
| Ryne Slack L 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.08 | 18.8% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .293 | 4.89 | 15.4% | 2.5% | 142 | +0.81 | 4.08 | 212 | 82 |
| Easton Lucas L 2027 · 4.21 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.21 | 23.6% | 9.2% | 3.5% | .316 | 4.00 | 21.8% | 11.4% | 184 | -0.21 | 3.49 | 311 | 81 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 27 | 22.2% | 10.6% | 1.12 | 4.57 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |