Duce Gourson

2B Altoona Curve

Age 24 L/R 5'11" / 204 lbs AA HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

Scout OFP43ETA2028MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	AAPIT	226	.284/.373/.431	5	10	88	—	.245/.316/.363
2025	22	A+PIT	166	.261/.370/.449	5	21	82	—	.221/.302/.366
2026	23	AAAPIT	204	.277/.381/.457	6	9	97	—	.244/.327/.378
2026	23	AAPIT	337	.227/.377/.357	7	29	78	—	.203/.317/.308
2027PROJ2% MLB	24	MLBPIT	6	.217/.308/.333	0	0	85	0.0
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBPIT	160	.220/.311/.342	3	7	88	0.3
2029PROJ62% MLB	26	MLBPIT	338	.222/.312/.348	7	15	90	0.6

Next 3 projected WAR 0.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$0.8M2034Arb-2$0.4M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Speed85

BB%72

Max EV69

Chase%68

Z-Con%42

K%36

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 6, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 87%

CompsBrett Wisely (age 24) · Trey Sweeney (age 24) · José Caballero (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†85

AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .308 / .333

PA6

HR0

K%33

BB%17

BABIP298

ISO114

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$14M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 49 / POW 47

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT49

scouting grade only

POWER47

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED52

scouting grade only

DEFENSE46

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	21	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	47	39	7	1	0	0	5	11	3	2	1	179	319	205	524	26	250	23	11	264	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	48	35	8	4	0	0	10	10	3	2	0	229	438	343	780	114	320	21	21	374	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	Altoona Curve	—	226	197	56	12	1	5	23	61	5	10	1	284	373	431	805	147	386	27	10	361	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	166	138	36	9	1	5	17	28	7	21	2	261	370	449	820	188	292	17	10	359	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	204	173	48	9	2	6	26	51	3	9	4	277	381	457	838	179	359	25	13	371	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA	Altoona Curve	—	337	269	61	14	0	7	54	83	11	29	4	227	377	357	734	130	298	25	16	340	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	21	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	47	41	6	1	0	0	3	14	3	2	1	146	255	171	426	24	214	30	6	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	48	38	7	3	0	0	7	14	3	2	0	184	354	263	617	79	269	29	15	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	226	204	50	10	1	4	16	79	5	10	1	245	316	363	678	118	370	35	7	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	166	145	32	7	1	4	10	37	7	21	2	221	302	366	668	145	256	22	6	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	204	180	44	8	2	4	19	61	3	9	4	244	327	378	705	133	338	30	9	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	337	286	58	12	0	6	37	101	11	29	4	203	317	308	625	105	282	30	11	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	95	79	13	4	0	0	10	28	6	4	1	165	305	215	520	51	255	29	11	238	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	95	74	15	5	0	0	15	21	6	4	1	203	379	270	649	68	283	22	16	319	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	392	348	83	17	2	9	27	116	12	31	3	239	315	376	692	138	329	30	7	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA RAW	2 teams	—	392	335	92	21	2	10	40	89	12	31	3	275	372	439	811	164	345	23	10	360	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	541	466	102	20	2	10	56	162	14	38	8	219	321	335	656	116	310	30	10	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	541	442	109	23	2	13	80	134	14	38	8	247	379	396	775	149	322	25	15	352	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	95	79	13	4	0	0	10	28	6	4	1	165	305	215	520	51	242	29	11	238	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	392	350	83	17	2	9	27	116	12	31	3	237	315	374	690	137	322	30	7	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	541	466	102	20	2	10	56	162	14	38	8	219	321	335	656	116	303	30	10	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	95	79	13	4	0	0	10	28	6	4	1	165	305	215	520	51	242	29	11	238	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	392	350	83	17	2	9	27	116	12	31	3	237	315	374	690	137	322	30	7	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	541	466	102	20	2	10	56	162	14	38	8	219	321	335	656	116	303	30	10	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	PIT	2%	380	334	71	14	1	7	35	109	8	17	3	218	309	336	645	118	297	29	9	294	85	-7	+2	-1	+1	+8	0.8
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	PIT	2%	6	5	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	217	308	333	641	115	298	33	17	293	85	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	PIT	43%	370	324	71	14	1	8	35	105	8	17	3	221	311	347	658	126	297	28	9	299	88	-5	+2	-1	+1	+8	0.6
2029	26	MLB MLE	PIT	62%	541	474	106	21	2	12	51	152	11	24	5	223	312	352	665	130	297	28	9	301	90	-6	+3	-1	+2	+12	0.9
2030	27	MLB MLE	PIT	69%	546	479	106	21	2	12	51	152	11	24	5	223	312	353	665	130	296	28	9	301	90	-7	+3	-1	+2	+12	0.9
2031	28	MLB MLE	PIT	72%	425	375	84	16	2	10	39	118	8	17	3	222	310	351	661	129	295	28	9	300	89	-6	+2	-1	+2	+9	0.6
2032	29	MLB MLE	PIT	72%	420	370	82	16	2	9	39	117	8	14	3	221	308	348	656	127	294	28	9	297	87	-6	+2	-2	+1	+9	0.4
2033	30	MLB MLE	PIT	72%	414	365	80	16	1	9	38	117	8	12	3	218	305	341	645	122	292	28	9	293	84	-8	+1	-3	+1	+9	0.1
2034	31	MLB MLE	PIT	72%	401	355	76	15	1	8	36	115	7	8	2	214	300	331	631	117	289	29	9	287	81	-9	+1	-4	+1	+9	-0.2
2035	32	MLB MLE	PIT	78%	384	340	71	14	1	7	34	111	7	4	1	209	294	319	613	110	286	29	9	280	76	-11	+0	-4	+1	+8	-0.5
2028	25	MLB CTX	PIT	43%	160	141	31	6	1	3	15	45	3	7	1	220	311	342	653	122	298	28	9	297	88	-2	+1	-0	+1	+3	0.3
2029	26	MLB CTX	PIT	62%	338	296	66	14	1	7	32	95	7	15	3	222	312	348	659	126	298	28	9	299	90	-4	+2	-1	+1	+7	0.6
2030	27	MLB CTX	PIT	69%	376	330	73	15	1	8	35	105	8	16	3	222	311	348	659	126	297	28	9	299	90	-5	+2	-1	+1	+8	0.6
2031	28	MLB CTX	PIT	72%	307	269	59	12	1	6	29	86	6	12	2	222	310	347	656	125	296	28	9	298	89	-4	+2	-1	+1	+7	0.4
2032	29	MLB CTX	PIT	72%	303	266	59	12	1	6	28	84	6	10	2	221	308	344	651	123	295	28	9	296	87	-5	+1	-2	+1	+7	0.3
2033	30	MLB CTX	PIT	72%	298	264	58	12	1	6	27	84	5	8	2	218	304	336	641	119	293	28	9	291	84	-5	+1	-2	+1	+6	0.1
2034	31	MLB CTX	PIT	72%	288	255	54	11	1	5	26	82	5	5	1	214	300	327	627	113	290	28	9	286	81	-7	+1	-3	+1	+6	-0.1
2035	32	MLB CTX	PIT	78%	300	265	55	11	1	5	27	87	5	3	1	209	294	315	609	107	286	29	9	279	76	-9	+0	-3	+1	+6	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2370	2086	455	93	8	46	219	668	45	76	15	218	306	337	642	118	295	28	9	293	85	-40	+9	-12	+8	+51	1.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	572	125	26	2	13	60	183	12	21	4	219	306	339	645	121	295	28	9	293	85	-11	+3	-3	+2	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	4849	4255	935	186	17	100	446	1385	107	208	40	220	309	342	651	122	299	29	9	294	85	-64	+16	-18	+14	+83	3.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	570	125	25	2	13	60	186	14	28	5	219	309	339	647	119	299	29	9	294	85	-11	+3	-3	+2	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Julio Lugo'00-'11 * career totals — 11 seasons, 5,338 PA	8.0	5,338	80	198	259*	323*	374*	+48	-38	10.5	11.7
/162	664	10	25	+6.0	-4.7	1.3	pk7: 13
#2Billy Urbanski'31-'37 * career totals — 6 seasons, 3,345 PA	5.0	3,345	19	24	237*	300*	353*	+32	+2	7.1	7.1
/162	664	4	5	+6.5	+0.4	1.4	pk7: 7
#3Dylan Moorelast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,922 PA	2.9	1,922	63	118	206	310	383	+4	+8	6.6	6.6
/162	664	22	41	+1.3	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	3.6	2,376	51	78	220	304	345	+25	-7	5.9	5.8
/162	664	14	22	+7.1	-1.9	1.6	pk7: 6
#4Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	3.1	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
/162	664	4	44	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5
#5Monte Cross'01-'07 * career totals — 7 seasons, 3,343 PA	5.0	3,343	9	138	213*	306*	344*	+36	-30	2.8	2.8
/162	664	2	27	+7.1	-6.0	0.6	pk7: 3
#6Sam Bohne'16-'26 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,593 PA	3.9	2,593	16	75	230*	300*	367*	+13	+3	2.8	2.8
/162	664	4	19	+3.4	+0.8	0.7	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Duce Gourson (OGILVIE)	24	35→49	40→47	55→52	60	216/306/333	117	297	6	15	29%	9%	85	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brett Wisely 2023 · AAA	24	47→51	49→50	54→55	46	237/301/384	147	305	16	24	27%	8%	93	+0.8	233/299/358	125	300	12	15	25%	8%	86	+0.3	230/298/342	112	290	10	18	23%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Trey Sweeney 2024 · AA	24	42→45	47→50	54→55	49	213/293/347	134	271	14	19	26%	9%	82	+0.0	222/286/356	134	295	15	16	28%	8%	82	-0.0	219/281/356	137	291	16	15	29%	7%	78	-0.2
✕José Caballero 2022 · AA	25	44→45	44→45	55→70	47	217/293/337	119	284	11	29	27%	8%	80	-0.2	222/326/336	114	285	11	41	24%	11%	93	+0.8	226/318/339	113	301	10	63	26%	9%	91	+0.4
✕Bradley Zimmer 2017 · AAA	24	48→51	46→50	57→60	43	224/302/360	135	337	13	29	35%	8%	88	+0.5	233/296/372	139	347	14	26	34%	7%	88	+0.5	230/307/358	128	349	13	28	35%	7%	90	+0.3
✕Ji Hwan Bae 2023 · MLB	24	52→55	42→45	58→60	46	250/307/366	116	317	8	27	23%	7%	91	+0.6	247/311/349	102	333	7	31	25%	8%	88	+0.4	246/318/343	97	336	6	39	26%	9%	87	+0.2
●Jakob Marsee 2024 · AA	23	47→49	47→45	58→60	58	234/337/363	130	285	15	28	22%	12%	103	+1.5	219/318/347	128	277	12	34	24%	11%	92	+0.7	217/321/350	133	273	12	37	23%	11%	92	+0.8
✕Canaan Smith-Njigba 2023 · AAA	24	52→51	42→45	54→55	49	239/317/352	113	345	7	17	30%	10%	91	+0.7	224/293/340	116	334	9	19	33%	9%	80	-0.1	214/286/328	114	320	9	21	33%	9%	72	-0.5
✕Kyle Isbel 2022 · MLB	25	47→52	46→50	56→55	45	234/298/370	136	298	14	20	26%	7%	89	+0.5	231/287/369	138	287	13	16	23%	6%	84	+0.2	237/288/363	126	282	10	11	19%	6%	83	+0.1
✕Tyler Saladino 2013 · AAA	24	46→47	42→45	54→55	48	220/296/330	110	289	9	19	26%	8%	79	-0.2	228/289/327	99	286	8	23	22%	7%	75	-0.5	258/304/376	118	306	11	25	19%	5%	91	+0.4
✕Blake Tekotte 2011 · AA	24	45→47	48→50	50→55	47	228/290/372	144	279	15	18	24%	8%	86	+0.3	214/274/356	142	286	15	21	29%	7%	77	-0.3	194/258/314	120	261	9	10	28%	6%	59	-0.8
✕Ryan Kalish 2012 · MLB	24	49→53	47→50	56→55	48	246/305/387	142	295	14	24	22%	8%	95	+1.0	226/278/329	103	300	9	19	26%	7%	71	-0.8	217/264/312	94	293	8	20	27%	6%	59	-0.9
✕Raynel Delgado 2024 · AAA	24	46→56	40	49→60	46	220/288/314	94	300	8	16	28%	8%	72	-0.7	240/303/337	97	326	8	29	27%	7%	82	+0.0	241/303/332	91	322	6	36	25%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Josh Smith 2023 · MLB	25	49→53	44→45	52→50	51	236/327/361	125	295	11	17	23%	9%	98	+1.2	236/324/362	126	289	12	11	21%	9%	97	+1.1	240/326/364	124	289	12	10	20%	9%	98	+0.9
✕Akil Baddoo 2023 · MLB	24	51→53	46→50	54→55	51	244/320/382	138	321	12	22	26%	10%	99	+1.3	221/300/371	150	291	15	25	27%	10%	90	+0.6	213/293/369	156	278	16	28	28%	10%	85	+0.2
✕Ryan Bliss 2024 · AAA	24	45→51	46→50	59→60	44	224/286/356	132	289	12	32	26%	7%	81	-0.1	231/299/360	129	304	11	38	26%	8%	87	+0.4	223/291/342	119	294	9	40	25%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Hak-Ju Lee 2015 · AAA	24	46→56	39→40	54→55	47	222/282/306	84	293	6	21	26%	8%	68	-1.0	213/270/298	85	313	7	19	32%	7%	61	-1.5	206/261/278	72	312	5	22	34%	6%	51	-1.0
✕Oswald Peraza 2024 · MLB	24	45→54	48→50	55→60	43	230/292/365	135	286	16	26	25%	6%	86	+0.3	213/280/329	116	277	14	23	27%	7%	73	-0.6	205/271/309	103	274	13	24	29%	6%	65	-0.7
✕Parker Meadows 2024 · MLB	24	43→48	49→55	57→55	46	219/284/373	154	279	17	17	28%	8%	84	+0.2	234/303/394	160	302	16	20	26%	9%	96	+1.0	236/310/408	171	300	16	22	26%	9%	101	+0.9
●Michael Reed 2017 · MLB	24	46→56	40→45	53→55	50	215/300/313	99	308	7	21	30%	10%	77	-0.3	229/311/343	114	341	11	14	33%	10%	88	+0.4	243/331/364	122	358	13	11	32%	10%	98	+0.6
✕Taylor Walls 2021 · AA	25	48→54	44→45	53→60	48	234/295/359	125	292	10	21	23%	8%	84	+0.2	203/294/324	121	273	11	19	27%	11%	78	-0.3	190/291/310	120	252	12	22	27%	12%	74	-0.4

Duce Gourson

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps