Duce GoursonSS
Altoona Curve
Age 23
L/R
5'11" / 204 lbs
AA
BB +7%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 1.8 · 2030
wRC+†74
AVG/OBP/SLG.218 / .296 / .347
PA320
HR7
SB18
K%29
BB%8
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
52→52
PWR
45→45
SPD
50→50
FLD
47→47
EYE
48↗53
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.8peak
2029
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +1.7 | $15M | +$14M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +1.8 | $16M | +$15M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +1.6 | $15M | +$14M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $3M | +1.5 | $14M | +$11M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $4M | +1.2 | $12M | +$7M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $5M | +1.0 | $10M | +$5M |
| Totals | $15M | $82M | +$67M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | A | 2 teams | 95 | 78 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 28 | 6 | 4 | 1 | .167 | .316 | .218 | .534 | .051 | .260 | 29 | 12 | .248 | 48 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +3 | -0.2 |
| 2025 | 22 | AA | 2 teams | 392 | 349 | 82 | 17 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 118 | 12 | 31 | 3 | .235 | .310 | .372 | .683 | .138 | .326 | 30 | 7 | .291 | 81 | -9 | +5 | +0 | +4 | +11 | 1.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | AA | Altoona Curve | 69 | 56 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 19 | 2 | 8 | 2 | .179 | .324 | .214 | .538 | .036 | .263 | 28 | 14 | .250 | 50 | -4 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | PIT | 251 | 222 | 47 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 73 | 5 | 10 | 2 | .212 | .297 | .329 | .626 | .117 | .293 | 29 | 9 | .290 | 80 | -6 | +1 | -0 | +3 | +7 | 0.5 |
| TOT | 23 | MLB | PIT | 320 | 278 | 57 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 92 | 7 | 18 | 4 | .205 | .303 | .306 | .609 | .101 | .284 | 29 | 10 | .282 | 74 | -9 | +2 | -0 | +3 | +9 | 0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB 11% | PIT | 430 | 377 | 84 | 16 | 2 | 10 | 41 | 109 | 9 | 14 | 3 | .223 | .314 | .355 | .669 | .133 | .282 | 25 | 10 | .302 | 89 | -5 | +2 | -1 | +5 | +12 | 1.3 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB 26% | PIT | 463 | 406 | 91 | 18 | 2 | 11 | 45 | 115 | 9 | 13 | 3 | .224 | .315 | .360 | .675 | .135 | .284 | 25 | 10 | .307 | 93 | -4 | +1 | -1 | +5 | +13 | 1.5 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB 44% | PIT | 482 | 422 | 96 | 19 | 2 | 12 | 48 | 120 | 9 | 12 | 2 | .227 | .319 | .367 | .687 | .140 | .285 | 25 | 10 | .309 | 95 | -3 | +2 | -1 | +5 | +14 | 1.7 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB 59% | PIT | 489 | 428 | 97 | 19 | 2 | 12 | 49 | 121 | 9 | 11 | 2 | .227 | .319 | .364 | .683 | .138 | .285 | 25 | 10 | .310 | 95 | -3 | +1 | -1 | +5 | +14 | 1.8 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB 69% | PIT | 488 | 427 | 97 | 19 | 2 | 12 | 49 | 122 | 9 | 10 | 2 | .227 | .320 | .365 | .685 | .138 | .285 | 25 | 10 | .309 | 94 | -3 | +1 | -1 | +5 | +14 | 1.6 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB 77% | PIT | 481 | 420 | 94 | 18 | 2 | 12 | 49 | 122 | 9 | 9 | 1 | .224 | .318 | .362 | .680 | .138 | .284 | 25 | 10 | .307 | 93 | -4 | +1 | -2 | +5 | +14 | 1.5 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB 85% | PIT | 472 | 412 | 92 | 18 | 2 | 11 | 48 | 121 | 9 | 8 | 1 | .223 | .318 | .357 | .674 | .133 | .283 | 26 | 10 | .304 | 91 | -5 | +1 | -3 | +5 | +13 | 1.2 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB 91% | PIT | 459 | 401 | 88 | 17 | 2 | 10 | 46 | 120 | 9 | 7 | 0 | .219 | .314 | .347 | .660 | .127 | .282 | 26 | 10 | .300 | 88 | -6 | +1 | -3 | +5 | +13 | 1.0 |
| 2035 | 32 | MLB | PIT | 441 | 386 | 83 | 16 | 1 | 10 | 44 | 117 | 8 | 6 | 0 | .215 | .308 | .339 | .648 | .124 | .280 | 27 | 10 | .295 | 84 | -8 | +1 | -4 | +5 | +12 | 0.7 |
| 2036 | 33 | MLB | PIT | 412 | 360 | 76 | 15 | 1 | 8 | 41 | 112 | 8 | 5 | 0 | .211 | .306 | .325 | .631 | .114 | .279 | 27 | 10 | .290 | 80 | -9 | +1 | -5 | +4 | +12 | 0.3 |
| 2037 | 34 | MLB | PIT | 367 | 320 | 67 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 37 | 103 | 7 | 5 | 0 | .209 | .305 | .322 | .627 | .113 | .277 | 28 | 10 | .284 | 75 | -10 | +1 | -5 | +4 | +10 | -0.0 |
| 2038 | 35 | MLB | PIT | 314 | 274 | 55 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 31 | 91 | 6 | 4 | 0 | .201 | .296 | .310 | .606 | .109 | .275 | 29 | 10 | .277 | 70 | -11 | +1 | -6 | +3 | +9 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 6036 | 5282 | 1162 | 228 | 23 | 135 | 587 | 1592 | 124 | 149 | 20 | .220 | .313 | .349 | .661 | .129 | .287 | 26 | 10 | .299 | 87 | -90 | +22 | -33 | +65 | +171 | 13.7 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 569 | 126 | 25 | 2 | 15 | 63 | 171 | 13 | 16 | 2 | .221 | .313 | .351 | .665 | .130 | .288 | 26 | 10 | .299 | 87 | -10 | +2 | -4 | +7 | +18 | 1.5 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | 47 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .179 | .319 | .205 | .524 | .026 | .250 | 23 | 11 | .264 | 60 | -2 | +0 | — | — | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 21 | A | Bradenton Marauders | 48 | 35 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .229 | .438 | .343 | .780 | .114 | .320 | 21 | 21 | .374 | 144 | +2 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.4 |
| 2025 | 22 | AA | Altoona Curve | 226 | 197 | 56 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 61 | 5 | 10 | 1 | .284 | .373 | .431 | .805 | .147 | .386 | 27 | 10 | .361 | 134 | +9 | +2 | — | — | +6 | 1.7 |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | 166 | 138 | 36 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 2 | .261 | .370 | .449 | .820 | .188 | .292 | 17 | 10 | .359 | 133 | +6 | +3 | — | — | +5 | 1.5 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Duce Gourson (OGILVIE) | 23 | 52 | 45 | 50 | 53 | .218/.296/.347 | .129 | .297 | 7 | 8 | 29% | 8% | 82 | +0.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Shed Long Jr. 2019 · AA |
23 | 47→48 | 47→50 | 51→50 | 43 | .233/.294/.371 | .138 | .315 | 14 | 13 | 30% | 7% | 85 | +0.7 | .225/.285/.368 | .143 | .305 | 15 | 10 | 30% | 7% | 82 | +0.5 | .216/.276/.363 | .148 | .285 | 16 | 8 | 29% | 8% | 73 | -0.0 |
|
●Bryson Stott 2022 · AAA |
24 | 49→56 | 47→45 | 48→55 | 47 | .240/.306/.374 | .134 | .324 | 14 | 10 | 29% | 9% | 92 | +1.2 | .247/.306/.374 | .127 | .297 | 13 | 20 | 20% | 8% | 92 | +1.2 | .255/.321/.377 | .122 | .291 | 12 | 29 | 16% | 8% | 94 | +1.3 |
|
✕Canaan Smith-Njigba 2022 · AAA |
23 | 48→47 | 44→45 | 52→55 | 47 | .229/.299/.348 | .119 | .319 | 12 | 14 | 30% | 9% | 82 | +0.5 | .226/.295/.343 | .117 | .335 | 9 | 18 | 32% | 9% | 79 | +0.3 | .215/.285/.332 | .117 | .318 | 9 | 20 | 33% | 9% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Ryan Kalish 2010 · AA |
22 | 49→51 | 44→50 | 52→55 | 46 | .237/.296/.355 | .118 | .303 | 12 | 14 | 25% | 8% | 82 | +0.5 | .240/.297/.372 | .132 | .298 | 14 | 23 | 23% | 7% | 87 | +0.8 | .232/.286/.357 | .124 | .293 | 12 | 26 | 24% | 7% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Jordan Danks 2010 · AA |
23 | 48→50 | 44→50 | 50 | 43 | .232/.293/.355 | .123 | .324 | 11 | 11 | 31% | 7% | 81 | +0.4 | .226/.285/.345 | .119 | .330 | 11 | 14 | 32% | 7% | 75 | -0.0 | .237/.309/.368 | .131 | .327 | 15 | 11 | 30% | 9% | 88 | +0.6 |
|
✕Garrett Mitchell 2022 · AA |
23 | 47 | 45→50 | 56→60 | 48 | .223/.306/.345 | .122 | .333 | 14 | 20 | 34% | 10% | 85 | +0.7 | .239/.311/.374 | .135 | .355 | 13 | 26 | 33% | 9% | 94 | +1.3 | .249/.323/.406 | .156 | .360 | 16 | 32 | 33% | 9% | 102 | +0.8 |
|
●Brian Goodwin 2014 · AA |
23 | 46→52 | 45→60 | 50 | 48 | .226/.299/.357 | .132 | .297 | 12 | 15 | 27% | 9% | 85 | +0.7 | .214/.278/.326 | .112 | .294 | 10 | 13 | 29% | 8% | 67 | -0.5 | .243/.309/.437 | .195 | .311 | 23 | 11 | 28% | 8% | 105 | +1.3 |
|
✕Alek Thomas 2022 · AAA |
22 | 50→52 | 48→50 | 50 | 44 | .246/.306/.398 | .152 | .324 | 13 | 12 | 27% | 7% | 98 | +1.6 | .240/.291/.381 | .141 | .289 | 14 | 11 | 21% | 6% | 87 | +0.8 | .235/.283/.368 | .133 | .274 | 14 | 11 | 19% | 6% | 78 | +0.1 |
|
✕Kirk Nieuwenhuis 2011 · AAA |
23 | 48→50 | 48→55 | 48→50 | 40 | .238/.289/.393 | .155 | .323 | 15 | 11 | 30% | 6% | 89 | +1.0 | .236/.295/.383 | .147 | .329 | 14 | 10 | 31% | 7% | 89 | +1.0 | .219/.301/.407 | .188 | .300 | 20 | 11 | 32% | 10% | 94 | +0.8 |
|
✕Nick Senzel 2018 · AA |
23 | 52→56 | 46→50 | 49→50 | 45 | .252/.308/.396 | .144 | .327 | 12 | 13 | 26% | 7% | 98 | +1.6 | .248/.303/.399 | .151 | .320 | 14 | 16 | 26% | 7% | 97 | +1.5 | .250/.307/.393 | .144 | .308 | 14 | 17 | 23% | 7% | 94 | +0.6 |
|
✕Steven Duggar 2018 · AAA |
24 | 51→56 | 44→45 | 47→55 | 46 | .242/.306/.363 | .122 | .335 | 11 | 14 | 30% | 8% | 89 | +0.9 | .232/.290/.349 | .117 | .336 | 9 | 13 | 31% | 7% | 78 | +0.2 | .236/.298/.366 | .130 | .338 | 10 | 15 | 31% | 8% | 81 | +0.3 |
|
●Brice Turang 2023 · AAA |
23 | 50→60 | 42→45 | 55→60 | 47 | .240/.298/.344 | .104 | .301 | 10 | 23 | 23% | 8% | 80 | +0.4 | .245/.306/.349 | .104 | .302 | 10 | 31 | 21% | 8% | 85 | +0.7 | .273/.346/.393 | .120 | .333 | 12 | 35 | 20% | 10% | 107 | +1.7 |
|
✕Parker Meadows 2023 · AA |
23 | 41→47 | 49→55 | 51→55 | 43 | .211/.270/.356 | .146 | .270 | 16 | 12 | 28% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .223/.290/.386 | .163 | .284 | 18 | 19 | 27% | 8% | 89 | +0.9 | .223/.295/.390 | .167 | .282 | 18 | 22 | 27% | 9% | 89 | +0.8 |
|
✕Eliezer Álvarez 2018 · AA |
23 | 52→62 | 41→45 | 51→55 | 43 | .247/.302/.356 | .109 | .329 | 7 | 17 | 26% | 6% | 85 | +0.7 | .199/.257/.303 | .104 | .311 | 10 | 18 | 37% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .174/.234/.271 | .097 | .278 | 10 | 20 | 39% | 7% | 32 | -2.2 |
|
●Jemile Weeks 2010 · AA |
23 | 49→59 | 44→45 | 52→55 | 48 | .240/.305/.358 | .118 | .289 | 12 | 12 | 21% | 8% | 87 | +0.8 | .247/.307/.353 | .106 | .293 | 7 | 18 | 17% | 7% | 85 | +0.7 | .253/.322/.344 | .091 | .305 | 3 | 20 | 17% | 8% | 85 | +0.7 |
|
✕James Ramsey 2014 · AA |
24 | 46→50 | 44→45 | 50→45 | 45 | .220/.297/.339 | .120 | .316 | 12 | 11 | 32% | 9% | 79 | +0.3 | .227/.289/.354 | .127 | .323 | 13 | 7 | 32% | 7% | 79 | +0.3 | .224/.280/.348 | .124 | .320 | 13 | 5 | 32% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 |
|
✕Henry Davis 2023 · AA |
23 | 46 | 49→50 | 52→50 | 42 | .230/.311/.380 | .151 | .300 | 16 | 13 | 28% | 6% | 97 | +1.5 | .224/.309/.378 | .154 | .287 | 18 | 12 | 27% | 8% | 95 | +1.4 | .208/.294/.355 | .146 | .264 | 19 | 11 | 28% | 9% | 79 | +0.2 |
|
✕Jason Martin 2019 · AAA |
23 | 44→50 | 49→60 | 47→50 | 41 | .225/.273/.375 | .150 | .299 | 16 | 13 | 30% | 6% | 78 | +0.2 | .224/.273/.360 | .136 | .284 | 14 | 12 | 26% | 6% | 74 | -0.1 | .218/.285/.408 | .191 | .271 | 26 | 8 | 29% | 8% | 90 | +0.7 |
|
✕Brett Jackson 2012 · AAA |
23 | 47→50 | 49→50 | 55 | 44 | .229/.300/.384 | .155 | .326 | 16 | 19 | 33% | 8% | 92 | +1.2 | .193/.266/.328 | .135 | .323 | 13 | 17 | 41% | 8% | 63 | -0.8 | .165/.241/.284 | .119 | .296 | 11 | 17 | 45% | 8% | 39 | -1.7 |
|
✕Nate Tenbrink 2011 · AA |
24 | 50→52 | 46→50 | 57→50 | 46 | .244/.306/.379 | .135 | .309 | 12 | 15 | 25% | 7% | 92 | +1.2 | .225/.295/.371 | .146 | .308 | 15 | 15 | 30% | 8% | 87 | +0.8 | .219/.293/.368 | .149 | .332 | 16 | 11 | 36% | 8% | 82 | +0.2 |